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http://dx.doi.org/10.9709/JKSS.2017.26.2.031

A Study on Effectiveness Analysis of K2 system with Weapon's unit cost  

Jung, Byungki (Defense Science Dept., KNDU)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation / v.26, no.2, 2017 , pp. 31-39 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper analyses the effectiveness of Kill Chain (KC) and Korea Air and Missile Defense (KAMD), also known as the K2 systems, using monte carlo simulation. It is assumed that the K2 systems are consisted with unitary KC and multi-layered (upper-tier and lower-tier) KAMD. And each system has two or three arbitrary weapon systems and its combination makes 12 scenarios. Measures of effectiveness (MOE) of the K2 systems were defined as ratio of eliminated ballistic missiles from total threats. And total cost was calculated by number of weapon launched and its unit cost. MOE and total cost of the K2 systems were estimated using monte carlo simulation with a thousand iteration for each scenario. Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed and the best candidate was selected using fixed effectiveness approach. As a result, the performances of KC are prime factor that affects both effectiveness and total cost of the K2 systems. It is also, acquired proper level of lower-tier KAMD to achieve desired defense effectiveness. For future work, it needs to be performed cost-effectiveness analysis based on practical specification and life cycle cost of weapon systems.
Keywords
Effectiveness Analysis; M&S; Kill Chain; Korea Air and Missile Defense (KAMD); Monte Carlo;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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