• Title/Summary/Keyword: Balance of trade

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The Study of deficit improvements of technology trade balance in Korea (우리나라의 기술무역수지 적자개선에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Jason
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.227-248
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    • 2012
  • Technology trade balance of Korea takes only 19th place among the OECD members. As the size of the technology trade of Korea's market increases, the importance of the Intellectual Property Right, which is one of the way of dealing increases, too. 100 million dollar of technology export has a same effect as 16,000 million dollar of merchandise export, and technology export is a value-added business which does not cost at all. For the improvement of trade balance, we have to elevate the merchandise export and also we have to get rid of the trade conflict and china's pursuit of trade. Furthermore, we need to make improvements through import of Royalty and through technology export. In this study, We would like to suggest the improvement of technology trade balance of Korea by analyze the present conditions of technology trade balance of Korea.

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The Impact of Pollution Abatement Cost on Trade Balance (환경오염 저감비용이 무역수지에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Byung Mok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.195-218
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    • 2004
  • This paper explores the impact of pollution abatement cost on trade balance. First, We derive price pressure of spending pollution abatement cost using I-O table. Then the analysis is extended to the impact on trade balance by manufacturing sectors. The paper explicitly includes indirect effect of pollution abatement cost that is the effect through the change of the other sector prices and excluded in the previous studies. The results show that the impact of pollution abatement cost on trade balance is 0.30~0.46% of total trade volume of Korea. This is lower than that of the United States in 1970's.

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The Role of Vehicle Currency in ASEAN-EU Trade: A Double-Aggregation Method

  • BAO, Ho Hoang Gia;LE, Hoang Phong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2021
  • This study is the first to scrutinize how real effective exchange rate, together with the vehicle currency exchange rate, asymmetrically influences the total trade balance between ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and the EU (European Union). This research employs quarterly data between 2000Q1 and 2018Q1, which is derived from several sources. We introduce a method for constructing the double-aggregated real effective exchange rate between ASEAN and the EU that captures the roles of all their currencies. Moreover, we propose the formula to compute vehicle currency exchange rate to assess the importance of vehicle currency in ASEAN-EU trade. Additionally, as asymmetrical impacts of exchange rate on trade balance are well documented by current studies, we employ Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model of Shin et al. (2014) to analyze the impacts of currency depreciation as well as appreciation in detail. The findings confirm the prominence of USD as vehicle currency in ASEAN-EU trade. Both depreciation and appreciation of ASEAN's currencies against USD can foster ASEAN's trade balance in the long run. Short-run asymmetrical impacts as well as J-curve effect are found in the vehicle currency models only. The results are robust for the cases of EU-28 and EU-27.

The Prominence of USD/CNY in China-EU and China-UK Trade

  • BAO, Ho Hoang Gia;LE, Hoang Phong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2021
  • Despite the dominance of the USD as a vehicle currency in non-US trade, most studies on the exchange rate-trade balance relationship ignore its importance. Some recent J-curve papers have proved that incorporating the role of USD as vehicle currency as a crucial determinant of trade balance can well reflect the reality of global trade and provide more detailed findings. Motivated by this new approach and by the fact that USD is substantially used in the trade between China and the EU and the UK, this paper scrutinizes how the vehicle currency USD and the bilateral exchange rates asymmetrically affect China's trade balance with each EU country and the UK. The results of NARDL estimation indicate that the USD models outperform the bilateral exchange rate (BER) models in terms of detecting significant long-run and short-run coefficients, which confirms the usefulness of the new approach. Also, this paper finds that the USD/CNY exchange rate cannot be neglected in China's trade with the EU and the UK, which can supplement China's policies on international trade and foreign exchange management.

The effects of the RMB's appreciation on trade balance in US

  • Gong, Chi;Liu, Zi-Yang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2015
  • This paper applied a VAR model to analyze the effects of RMB exchange rate brought to processing trade, non-processing trade and FDI. Then we can get the results that the appreciation of RMB could not solve the problem of US trade deficit. It is more likely that the appreciation just can transfer the trade imbalance to other country with US, which could not radically solve the economic problems of US. Also this paper find that the data of service trade is surplus while the main goods deficit was occur in advanced technology product, especially in the information & communications trade And US has real advantage in these industries, so the situation will be changed if US decreased the barrier in these industries. In that way, the imbalance situation should be greatly reduced.

The Impact of Exchange Rate on Exports and Imports: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Nga Hong;NGUYEN, Hat Dang;VO, Loan Thi Kim;TRAN, Cuong Quoc Khanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2021
  • The exchange rate is considered a tool improving the volume of exports and reducing imports. This paper aims to determine the impact of the exchange rate on exports and imports between Vietnam and the United States in the context of the trade war. The research uses Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) Model in the time-series data from 2010:1 to 2020:9. The ARDL's results support that real exchange rate impact on export and import volumes, but less than the trade war. The trade war helps trade balance increase 0.35%, while the exchange rate increases trade balance 0.191% when the Vietnamese currency devalues 1% in the long run. In the short term, the real exchange rate makes the trade balance decrease. Therefore, the J curve exists between Vietnam and the U.S. The NARDL expresses that the exchange rate is asymmetric both in the short term and the long term. The findings of this study point to two important elements. Firstly, the exchange rate plays a minor role in exports and imports. Secondly, trade war plays a vital role in increasing exports and imports volume between two countries, and the J curve exists between the two countries.

한국 무역수지 변동의 요인 분석: 수요 및 공급측면의 상대적 중요성

  • Han, Jin-Hui;Sin, In-Seok;Jo, Dong-Cheol
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.3-44
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    • 2002
  • This study attempts to explain why traditionally pro-cyclical trade balance became counter-cyclical since early 1990's in Korea. Structural VAR analysis for two sub-periods reveals two interesting changes in the role of the supply shock. First, impulse response analysis shows that the conditional correlation between the supply shock and trade balance turned from positive to negative over the two sub-periods. Second, the relative importance of the supply shock increased over the sub-periods. These two factors together explain the change in the cyclical properties of trade balance over time. Underlying cause behind these changes is likely to be the trade and financial market liberalization since late 1980's.

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An Empirical Study on Main Factors Affecting Technology Balance of Payments (기술무역수지에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인들에 대한 실증연구)

  • Pak, Cheolmin;Ku, Bonchul
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.61-89
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to estimate empirically the respective impacts of R&D expenditure, R&D labor, overseas direct investment, commodity trade balance, and technology trade openness on technology balance of payments. To examine the presence of co-integration between them, this paper employed the ARDL-bounds test using time series data from 1981 to 2014, and the result shows that there is a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among them. Furthermore, we estimated long- and short-run coefficients of the technology balance of payments with respect to each variables based on long-run equilibrium equation and error correction model. As a result, the technology balance of payments respond negatively to R&D labor and technology trade openness, and R&D expenditure does produce positive effects in the long-run, while coefficients of overseas direct investment and commodity trade balance in the long-run are not statistically significant. Besides, according to results of error correction model, overseas direct investment only has clearly a positive effects in the short-run, in contrast, the short-term relationships between the other variables and the technology balance of payments could not definitively derived. This implies that it is necessary to procure and cultivate talented personnel, as well as to enlarge gradually technology trade size in order to improve technology balance of payments from a long-term point of view.

Legitimate Public Policy Objectives of and Exceptions to Digital Trade Agreements (디지털 무역협정의 예외 조항 및 사례 연구: 정당한 공공정책 목표를 중심으로)

  • Jin-Kyu Kim;Dong-Young Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.285-301
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    • 2023
  • The growing impact of cross-border movement of information is increasing interest in information policy through digital trade agreements in major trading countries. Major trading partners are calling for the inclusion of their digital policies in trade agreements to strengthen market dominance and protect personal information. This study analyzes the meaning and disputed settlement cases of the WTO's public policy objectives and examines the tendency of stakeholders to standardize legitimate exceptions to public policy objectives in digital trade. The study also examines the desirable direction of digital trade standardization suitable for the changing international trade environment. There is still debate about the specific objectives that should be included and the extent to which they should be allowed to restrict trade, however this study finds that there is a growing consensus on the need for legitimate public policy objectives to be included in digital trade agreements. The study concludes that the desirable direction of digital trade standardization is to strike a balance between the need to protect legitimate public policy objectives and the need to liberalize digital trade. This balance will need to be adjusted as the international trade environment continues to change.

An Analysis on Determinants of Balance of Payments of Korea and FTA Pursuing Countries (한국과 FTA 추진국간의 무역수지 결정요인 분석)

  • Son, Yong-Jung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.97-112
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to analyse determinants of payment balance of Korea, targeting 65 countries which concluded FTA with Korea in 2012 or are pursuing it with Korea( effectuation, agreement, negotiation and joint research). For an analysis model, economic and geographical variables of target countries were included in explanatory variables of the gravity model and divided values which indicate surpluses or deficits in trade with Korea were marked in dependent variables to perform a logistic analysis. If payment balance in trade between Korea and specific countries is a surplus, a value of 1 is given and if it is a deficit, a value of 0 is given. As a result of estimating the logit model, it was discovered that variables of GDP, GDP per person, total trade with trade partners, petroleum, landlocked countries and maritime powers were not statistically significant. However, variables of total trade, export dependency, import dependency, distance and mineral were statistically significant.

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