• 제목/요약/키워드: Backward Linkage

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.026초

신재생에너지산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석 (A Study on the Economic Effects of Renewable Energy Industry)

  • 권승문;김하나;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2016
  • The world's major countries have focused on the renewable energy industry as the solution to climate change and the energy crisis. Nevertheless, there are no studies on the economic effects of the renewable energy industry. This study analyzed the economic effects of Korea's renewable energy industry by using the 2010 Input-Output Table. It is estimated that Korea's renewable energy industry made a production-induced effect of 2.0262 won, and a value-added-induced effect of 0.6138 won through an increase in output growth of 1 won, and an employment-induced effect of 2.3046 labors through an increase in output growth of 1 billion won. Both the effect ratio and the response ratio were greater than 1, which means the renewable energy industry is an intermediate manufacturing industry whose forward linkage effect and backward linkage effects are large. These results show differences with previous studies that classified electricity sector and renewable energy industry into final primary production industries. It is expected that the economic effects of the renewable energy industry will become greater in the future. Therefore, research on statistics related to the renewable energy industry is needed for more precise analysis.

A Future Economic Model: A Study of the Impact of Food Processing Industry, Manufacturers and Distributors in a Thai Context

  • Maliwan SARAPAB;Duangrat TANDAMRONG
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study attempted to analyze the impacts of the backward linkage and output multipliers, and investigate the price fluctuation and the price forecast amongst the manufacturing sectors associated with food processing industrial output of Thailand. Research design, data and methodology: The Thailand Input-Output table with a size of 180 x 180 sectors from 2005, 2010, and 2015 was utilized while the secondary data of the time series from January 2002 to December 2021 were processed via a multiplicative model and Box-Jenkins model. Results: The backward linkage analysis indicates that canning and preserving of the meat sector majorly utilized the factors of production from the slaughtering sector; canning and preservation of fish and other seafoods sector largely used those factors from the ocean and coastal fishing sector; and the sugar sector used those of the sugarcane sector. Notably, the output multiplier analysis indicated that output multipliers of those 3 manufacturing sectors were highly increased; meanwhile the price fluctuation continually existed in all forms. Besides, the price forecast suggested that prices of chicken and sugarcane tended to be higher; whereas, the price of shrimp was unstable. Conclusions: Food processing industry contains the favorable components to be one of the industries of the future of Thailand.

한국, 중국, 일본의 1차 산업의 생산유발효과 비교 연구 (A Competitive Study on the Linkage Effects of Primary Industry among Korea, China and Japan)

  • 임지원;이상근
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 세계산업연관표의 전후방연쇄효과를 이용하여 2000년부터 2014년까지의 한국, 중국, 일본의 1차 산업의 생산유발효과를 비교 분석하였다. 1차 산업의 산업영향력에 관한 연구는 활발히 진행되어 왔으나, 본 논문은 1차 산업 분야에 대한 한국, 중국, 일본의 산업연쇄효과의 차이에 대한 연구라는 점에서 의미가 있다. Fisher(1939)와 Clark(1957)의 1차 산업 분류에 따라 1차 산업을 농림축산업, 임업, 수산업, 광업으로 분류하였다. 분석방법으로는 세계산업연관표를 이용하여 한국, 중국, 일본 3국간 산업연관모형을 만든 후 비교분석하는 것이다. 본 연구의 결과에 따르면, 농림축산업, 광업은 한국, 중국, 일본 각 국가별로 전 후방 연쇄효과에 유의한 차이가 있었고 임업과 수산업의 경우 한국, 중국, 일본의 전 후방 연쇄효과에 부분적으로 유의한 차이가 있었다. 1차 산업의 산업의존도 변화를 4차 산업혁명의 시대에 산업의 전방연쇄효과와 후방연쇄효과를 IO 분석을 통해 각 국가별로 비교함으로서 향후 1차 산업이 나아가야할 방향을 제시하였다.

서비스 로봇산업의 산업연관분석 (Input-Output Analysis of Service Robot Industry)

  • 류성은;정인재
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.142-149
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    • 2022
  • This study attempts to analyze the economic impact of the service robot industry using Input-Output analysis, which is conducted based on Demand-driven model, the Leontief price model, the Backward and Forward Linkage Effects, and the Exogenous Methods. In a Demand-driven model analysis, we can conclude that the service robot industry contains characteristics of both the manufacturing industry and the service industry, which causes a positive impact on the overall industry by compensating for the weaknesses of the two industries. The Leontief price analysis indicates when wages in the service robot industry increase, prices related to robot manufacturing also increase. Also, when profits in the service robot industry increase, prices related to service provision increase, too. The Backward and Forward Linkage Effects analysis shows that the service robot industry is highly sensitive to the current economic condition and has a great influence on the service industry. The service robot industry can highlight the aspect of service characteristics when the manufacturing industry is in recession and vice versa. In addition, the service robot industry can be regarded as a value-adding and domestic economy promoting industry which utilizes knowledge of information and communication technologies. It is important to foster the service robot industry in South Korea, which is in economic recession to provide an opportunity to stimulate the growth of both service and robot industries.

조선해양플랜트산업의 디지털 전환에 따른 파급효과 분석 (Analysis of the Ripple Effect of Digital Transformation in the Shipbuilding & Offshore Plant Industry)

  • 이영규;이운식;박세훈;옥영석
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권spc호
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2023
  • In the global manufacturing industry, digital transformation is emerging as an important issue for companies to improve productivity and strengthen industrial competitiveness. The government and shipbuilding companies drive research and development to attain advanced technologies through digital transformation for shipbuilding & offshore plants, one of Korea's representative manufacturing industries. Therefore, the digital transformation of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry was defined using an input-output analysis model, and the economic interrelationships of industries linked to the digital transformation of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry were analyzed. According to the analysis, the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry ranks second among all 34 industries regarding the forward linkage effect. The backward linkage effect was ranked 27th, making it a mid-demand industry with a robust forward linkage effect. In addition, the production-induced effect was 0.455, the value-added-induced effect was 0.174, and the employment-induced effect was 1.779 people per billion won. The contribution of this study is that it will provide the basis for establishing policies necessary to strengthen the competitiveness of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry. Also, it will help analyze the economic effects of digital transformation in other manufacturing industries.

의료서비스산업의 산업연관분석 (Input-Output Analysis on the Medical Service Industry between Korea and Japan)

  • 이견직;정영호
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.126-147
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    • 2000
  • This paper empirically explores the nature of the medical service industry and its various propagation effects on the economy in the input-output model, as revealed by a comparative analysis between Korea and Japan. The main findings of the paper are as follows; First, the growth of medical industry induces above-average effect on employment. Second, the industry is of the characteristics of weak both backward and forward linkage effects implying a 'final demand dependency industry'. When compared with public service sectors, however, the medical services industry shows stronger backward linkage effect than those sectors. Furthermore, it has strong repercussion effects on the goods industries. Third, in order to produce per unit of services, the medical services industry of Korea uses relatively more drugs and medical devices than that of Japan. In general, it has been shown that production structure of medical service industry in Korea is 'hardware-oriented' one; on the other hand, 'software-oriented' in Japan which means that, as intermediate inputs, outsourcing and informatization has been used than those of Korea. From the findings of the paper it could be emphasized that the medical organizations in Korea should put more efforts on shifting the current hardware-oriented production structure to strengthen core competence by enhancing productivity and by outsourcing to improve efficiency of production process. However, the medical organizations in Korea would not have enough incentives for high value-added production structure because they enjoy high operating surplus. Therefore, it would be necessary that government policy should be taken into account of these environments.

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산업연관분석을 이용한 우리나라의 연안 및 내륙수상운송 부문의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석에 관한 연구 (The Study on Economic Effects of the Coastal and Inland Water Transportation Sector upon the Korean Economy using Input-Output Analysis)

  • 장영태;이태우;김승곤;신성호
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.35-60
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    • 2006
  • This paper uses input-output techniques to analyze the impacts of the coastal and inland water transportation (CIWT) upon the Korean economy between 1990 and 2000. The impacts were identified by means of backward and forward linkages effects, production inducing and import-inducing effects, and commodity prices repercussion effects of the coastal and inland water transportation. The data of this study come from The Bank of Korea databases for Input-Output Structure of the Korean economy. The major findings in this study can, among others, be summarized: that the power of dispersion(=backward linkage effect) and the degree of sensitivity (=forward linkage effect) of CIWT are higher than those of the deep sea transportation sector and that it has higher production-inducing effect than the average of total industries, while it has lower import-inducing effect than the average of total industries.

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2000-2019년 산업연관표를 이용한 수산가공품 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석 (A Multi-Period Analysis on the Economic Effects of Fisheries Processing Industry Using 2000-2019 Input-Output Table)

  • 엄권오;이헌동
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the structure, status and economic ripple effects of the fisheries processing industry in Korea using interindustry analysis. Five input-output tables published over the past twenty years have been reclassified with a focus on the fisheries processing sector. Through these multi-period tables, we analyzed changes in the inducing effects in production, value added and employment as well as the backward-forward linkage effects. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the industrial scale of the fisheries processing industry is very small compared to other food manufacturing industries. The backward linkage effect of the fisheries processing industry was greater than that of other industries, but the forward linkage effect was rather low. This means that the fisheries processing industry can be greatly affected by industrial depression of the downstream industries such as fishery and aquaculture. Production and employment-inducing effects of the fisheries processing industry have shown a decreasing trend in recent years. This reflects the reality that intermediate inputs are gradually being replaced by imports from domestic production due to the expansion of market opening and the depletion of fishery resource. In the future, it is necessary to prepare a strategy to increase the value-added productivity of the fisheries processing sector and foster it as an export industry.

ICT 산업과 자동차 산업의 생산유발효과 비교 연구 (A Competitive Study on the Linkage Effects between ICT and Automobile Industry)

  • 윤은경;김상목;이상근
    • 경영정보학연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.111-134
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 1996년부터 2011년까지 투입산출표를 이용하여 해당 기간 동안 한국의 ICT 산업과 자동차 산업의 산업연쇄효과 및 경쟁우위를 비교하였다. 국제표준산업분류(ISIC Rev.4)에 따라 ICT 산업을 분류하여 범위를 명확히 하였으며, 제품의 특성, 혁신주기에 따라 ICT 산업 내 제조업과 서비스업, 그리고 자동차 산업 내 제조업과 서비스업 부문으로 분류하였다. 연구 결과는, (1) ICT 산업은 수요(Backward Linkage Effect)와 공급(Forward Linkage Effect) 측면에서 자동차 산업의 평균과 비슷한 수준의 파급효과를 가지고 있다. (2) ICT 제조업은 수요와 공급 측면에서 ICT 서비스업의 평균보다 높은 수준의 파급효과를 가지고 있다. (3) 자동차 제조업은 수요와 공급 측면에서 모두 높은 수준의 파급효과를 갖지만, 자동차 서비스업은 공급 측면에서만 높은 수준의 파급효과를 갖는다. (4) ICT 제조업은 수요와 공급 측면에서 모두 높은 수준의 파급효과를 갖지만, 자동차 제조업은 공급 측면에서 높은 수준의 파급효과를 갖는다. (5) ICT 서비스업은 수요 측면에서 높은 수준의 파급효과를 가지고 있었으나 그 효과가 줄어들고 있고, 자동차 서비스업은 공급 측면에서 높은 수준의 파급효과를 갖는다고 보여준다. 이러한 연구 결과를 통하여, 이 전의 연구들에서 논의가 되었던 ICT 산업에 대한 분류 기준을 명확히 제시하였으며 ICT 산업과 자동차 산업에 대한 파급효과 및 중요성을 확인하고, 정책적 시사점을 제시하였다.

스마트홈 제조업과 서비스업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석 (An Analysis about Impact of Smart Home manufacturing and service Industry on National Economy)

  • 김규남
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.97-126
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 4차 산업혁명의 핵심 산업으로 주목받고 있는 스마트홈 관련 산업의 국민경제적 파급효과를 정량적으로 분석하여 그 잠재성을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 선행연구들에 대한 문헌검토(literature review)를 통해 스마트홈 관련 산업을 제조업과 서비스업으로 분류하고 외생화하였다. 그리고 2018년 산업연관표를 이용하여 이들 산업이 유발하는 생산, 부가가치, 고용 및 취업효과와 산업간 연쇄효과를 분석하였다. 분석결과 스마트홈 제조업과 서비스업은 각 산업 영역에서 타 산업에 비해 높은 수준의 부가가치유발효과를 보였으며 스마트홈 산업 내부적으로는 제조업의 서비스업 생산 견인 기능이 상대적으로 더 크게 나타났다. 또한 4차 산업혁명기술을 활용하는 산업답게 기술집약적인 산업과의 연관성이 높을 뿐만 아니라 스마트시티, 스마트카, 핀테크 등을 구현하기 위한 서비스 부문과도 깊이 연관되어 있음을 확인하였다. 한편 스마트홈 제조업은 후방파급효과가 전방파급효과에 비해 상대적으로 높은 최종 수요적 산업인 반면 스마트홈 서비스업은 전방파급효과가 후방파급효과에 비해 상대적으로 높게 나타나 중간재 산업으로서 타 산업으로의 공급 기능이 높은 산업임을 알 수 있었다.