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A Competitive Study on the Linkage Effects of Primary Industry among Korea, China and Japan

한국, 중국, 일본의 1차 산업의 생산유발효과 비교 연구

  • Received : 2018.09.06
  • Accepted : 2018.10.16
  • Published : 2018.10.31

Abstract

This study compared the production inducement effects of primary industries between Korea, China, and Japan for the period from 2000 to 2014, by examining the forward and backward linkage effects using the World Input-Output Tables. Although research on the industrial effect of primary industries has been conducted actively, this study is contributive since it compares the differences in industrial linkage effects between Korea, China, and Japan. According to Fisher(1939)'s and Clark(1957)'s classifications of primary industries, this study classified agriculture, forestry, fishing, and mining industries as primary industries. The analysis methodology of this study is to use the World Input-Output Tables to create the industry linkage model between Korea, China, and Japan, and then conduct a comparative analysis. According to the results of this study, the forward and backward linkage effects of agriculture industry between Korea, China, and Japan are significantly different, while the forward and backward linkage effects of forestry and fishing industries between Korea, China, and Japan are partially different. By comparing the changes in industrial dependencies of primary industries due to the 4th Industrial revolution between the three countries, this study suggested the future development direction of primary industries.

본 논문은 세계산업연관표의 전후방연쇄효과를 이용하여 2000년부터 2014년까지의 한국, 중국, 일본의 1차 산업의 생산유발효과를 비교 분석하였다. 1차 산업의 산업영향력에 관한 연구는 활발히 진행되어 왔으나, 본 논문은 1차 산업 분야에 대한 한국, 중국, 일본의 산업연쇄효과의 차이에 대한 연구라는 점에서 의미가 있다. Fisher(1939)와 Clark(1957)의 1차 산업 분류에 따라 1차 산업을 농림축산업, 임업, 수산업, 광업으로 분류하였다. 분석방법으로는 세계산업연관표를 이용하여 한국, 중국, 일본 3국간 산업연관모형을 만든 후 비교분석하는 것이다. 본 연구의 결과에 따르면, 농림축산업, 광업은 한국, 중국, 일본 각 국가별로 전 후방 연쇄효과에 유의한 차이가 있었고 임업과 수산업의 경우 한국, 중국, 일본의 전 후방 연쇄효과에 부분적으로 유의한 차이가 있었다. 1차 산업의 산업의존도 변화를 4차 산업혁명의 시대에 산업의 전방연쇄효과와 후방연쇄효과를 IO 분석을 통해 각 국가별로 비교함으로서 향후 1차 산업이 나아가야할 방향을 제시하였다.

Keywords

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