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Arrival Time Estimation for Bus Information System Using Hidden Markov Model (은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용한 버스 정보 시스템의 도착 시간 예측)

  • Park, Chul Young;Kim, Hong Geun;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 2017
  • BIS(Bus Information System) provides the different information related to buses including predictions of arriving times at stations. BIS have been deployed almost all cities in our country and played active roles to improve the convenience of public transportation systems. Moving average filters, Kalman filter and regression models have been representative in forecasting the arriving times of buses in current BIS. The accuracy in prediction of arriving times depends largely on the forecasting algorithms and traffic conditions considered when forecasting in BIS. In present BIS, the simple prediction algorithms are used only considering the passage times and distances between stations. The forecasting of arrivals, however, have been influenced by the traffic conditions such as traffic signals, traffic accidents and pedestrians ets., and missing data. To improve the accuracy of bus arriving estimates, there are big troubles in building models including the above problems. Hidden Markov Models have been effective algorithms considering various restrictions above. So, we have built the HMM forecasting models for bus arriving times in the current BIS. When building models, the data collected from Sunchean City at 2015 have been utilized. There are about 2298 stations and 217 routes in Suncheon city. The models are developed differently week days and weekend. And then the models are conformed with the data from different districts and times. We find that our HMM models can provide more accurate forecasting than other existing methods like moving average filters, Kalmam filters, or regression models. In this paper, we propose Hidden Markov Model to obtain more precise and accurate model better than Moving Average Filter, Kalman Filter and regression model. With the help of Hidden Markov Model, two different sections were used to find the pattern and verified using Bootstrap process.

Analysis of ITS DNA Sequences of Korean Oxalis Species (Oxalidaceae) (한국산 괭이밥속(Oxalis) 식물 ITS DNA 염기서열 분석)

  • Koo, Jachoon;Chae, Mi Suk;Lee, Jeoung-Ki;Whang, Sung Soo
    • Korean Journal of Plant Taxonomy
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2007
  • This study was conducted to know the taxonomic features of nuclear ribosomal ITS DNA sequences, ITS1, ITS3 and 5.8S regions, as to nine individuals belonging to four Oxalis species in Korea and an induced species. Sequences of the same regions of sixteen taxa deposited in GenBank were also aligned with those of Korean species as outgroups. The length of ITS sequences aligned in this study is 679 by in total. Evidences, from not only the sequence similarities and divergences but also the phylogenetic and statistical treatments with ITS sequences aligned, were useful for the taxonomy of the genus. The similarity of sequences, among both cauline and acauline taxa, is high as 89% and 95% respectively, but between cauline and acauline taxa, relatively low in the range of 64~69%. The sequence divergences, among both cauline and acauline taxa, is also high as much as 0.36~0.42, but between both cauline and both acauline taxa, low as 0.04~0.06. Two groups between cauline and acauline taxa are paraphyletic, and each group makes a single Glade with a high bootstrap value. The analysis of variance, using ITS sequence aligned, revealed that taxa are significantly different in the level of 0.5%, and O. corymbosa, an induced speices, is also separated from the Korean taxa in the Duncan analysis.

Natural hybridization of Iris species in Mt. Palgong-san, Korea (팔공산 금붓꽃 계열의 자연 잡종 현상)

  • Son, OGyeong;Son, Sung-Won;Suh, Gang-Uk;Park, SeonJoo
    • Korean Journal of Plant Taxonomy
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.243-253
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    • 2015
  • Series Chinensis, Genus Iris, endemic to the far regions of East Asia, consists of four species and related varieties. This series is divided into two major groups (I. rossii and I. minutiaurea complex). In this study, the ITS region and matK gene sequences within nuclear ribosomal DNA and plastid DNA were analyzed in order to investigate the phylogenetic relationships among the I. minutiaurea complex (I. minutiaurea, I. odaesanensis, and I. koreana) and the taxonomic identities of a putative hybrid in Mt. Palgong. In the internal transcribed spacer (ITS1, 5.8S, and ITS2) region, a total of 106 cloned genomic sequences from three taxa were obtained to study the intragenomic polymorphisms of the ITS regions. Three taxa revealed high levels of intragenomic polymorphisms, indicative of incomplete nrDNA concerted evolution. This incomplete ITS concerted evolution in the series Chinensis may be linked to the recent species divergence and frequent interspecies hybridization of the series Chinensis. In the matK gene, three taxa were fairly separated by eleven variable sites. In eight individuals collected on Mt. Palgong, putative hybrids between I. odaesanensis and I. minutiaurea were clustered in the I. minutiaurea clade in the NJ (neighbor-joining) tree based on the matK gene. However, in the ITS tree, some of them were clustered in the I. odaesanensis clade and others were clustered in the I. minutiaurea clade. Therefore, the individuals on Mt. Palgong were formed by the hybridization between two taxa (I. odaesanensis and I. minutiaurea) and not through the lineage of I. koreana.

Effects of Cultural Challenge and Economic Hardship on Intention to Divorce among the Multicultural Couples : Interdependence and Relationship Patterns Viewed Through Actor and Partner Effects (문화적 도전과 경제적 곤란이 다문화부부의 이혼의사에 미치는 영향 : 자기효과와 상대방효과로 본 상호의존성과 관계패턴)

  • Hyun, Kyoungja;Kim, Jeonghwa
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.203-236
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    • 2015
  • Given the interdependence of a marital couple, this study examined the effects of both cultural challenge and economic hardship on intention to divorce among the multicultural couple using the actor-partner interdependence model(APIM), and explored dyadic patterns of actor and partner effects. 415 couples(n=830) participated in this self-administered questionnaire study. Results of path analyses based on APIMs revealed that for Korean husbands perceived cultural challenge contributed positively to divorce intention of the couple showing both actor and partner effects, whereas for immigrant wives such perception showed only an actor effect. In contrast, perceived economic hardship among the husbands had little effect on divorce intention of both husbands and wives, whereas such perception by wives had both actor and partner effects on divorce intention. Results of dyadic pattern analyses performed by Bootstrap indicated the actor-only pattern and the couple pattern of perceived cultural challenge on divorce intention of husbands and wives respectively. In case of perceived economic hardship comparison of the effect size suggested the partner-only pattern and the actor-only pattern for divorce intention of husbands and wives respectively. These findings implied that in order to promote conjugal harmony and to prevent the multicultural family from being dissolved, Korean husbands need to develop greater cultural competence so as to tolerate cultural differences between the couple, whereas immigrant wives and their families need to develop greater economic competence so as to foster a hope for economic reliance.

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Phylogeny Study of Genus Pelvetia in Korea by Internal Transcribed Spacer Sequence (ITS) (ITS에 의한 한국 내 Pelvetia속 분류군의 계통학적 연구)

  • Lee, Bok-Kyu;Huh, Man-Kyu;Choi, Joo-Soo;Cho, Sung-Hyun
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2009
  • The brown algae, or phaeophytes, are a large group of multicellular algae, including many notable types of seaweed. We analysed intra- and interspecific phylogenic studies within the genus Pelvetia in Korea and compared them with results of both same and different species in GenBank. The sequences for P. babingtonii in Korea were generally similar to those for P. babingtonii AF102957, and the sequences of P. siliquosa in Korea were also similar to those of P. siliquosa AF102958. Sequence variation within the Pelvetia is mostly due to nucleotide substitutions, although several small indels and some large indels can be found. Another source of sequence divergence is length variation due to stretches of short repeats that occur at the ITS1 or ITS2 in all the Pelvetia. NJ analysis consists mainly of two clades. One of them contains P. canaliculata and P. limitata, and is sister to the rest of the genus (P. siliquosa, P. compressa, and P. babingtonii). P. babingtonii is not grouped one clade. In the MP analysis, ten accessions or populations were fully resolved and all accessions from the same species formed with 99% or 100% bootstrap supports.

Estimation of Species Richness of Butterfly Community in the Gwangneung Forest, Korea (광릉 숲 나비군집의 종풍부도 산정)

  • Kwon, Tae-Sung;Byun, Bong-Kyu;Lee, Bong-Woo;Lee, Chi-Young;Shon, Jeong-Dal;Kang, Seung-Ho;Kim, Sung-Soo;Kim, Young-Kul
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2009
  • Species richness (number of species) of the butterfly community in the Gwangneung forest, Korea, was estimated using data of the long-term butterfly monitoring, which had been carried out 291 times in the Korea National Arboretum or forest area of Gwangneung from 1998 to 2008. Abundance of each butterfly species was monitored using the line-transact method. In the present study, 13,333 butterflies belonging to 112 species were observed. Species accumulation curve and species richness was obtained using a software, EstimateS. The species accumulation curve shows an increase tendency even at 291 survey times, implying the possibility of the presence of a few unfound species. However, values of species richness estimated by the seven estimators were stabilized around 240-250 survey times. Species richness estimated by the estimators ranged from 120 species to 141 species with 128 species in average. However, the figure estimated by the previous studies since 1958 was 148 species. We estimated the reasonable scale of species richness on the base of recent analysis on the change of butterfly species. Species richness of the Korea National Arboretum was higher than that of natural forest and of plantation. However, species richness of butterfly was not different between natural forest and plantation. It is likely that increase of grasslands and habitat diversity in arboretum led to the increase of species richness of butterfly community.

A molecular systematic study of Korean Iris (Iridaceae) based on RAPD analysis (RAPD에 의한 한국산 붓꽃속(Iris)의 계통분류학적 연구)

  • Park, Seon-Joo;Sim, Jeong-Ki;Park, Hong-Duok
    • Korean Journal of Plant Taxonomy
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2002
  • RAPD analyses were compared for 17 taxa of Korean Iris including the subgenus Sisyrinchium and Belamcanda. Eighty scorable RAPD markers were formed from the PCR reactions using 10 random oligoprimers. In this systematic analyses which used neighbor-joining methods including bootstrapping analyses with genetic coefficients, the Korean Iris were divided into three subgenera (Limniris, Crossiris, Pardanthopsis), or two genera (Limniris, Pardanthopsis). The molecular data agree with the previous classification system that recognized two sections and six series for the subgenus Limniris because the subgenus is comprised of four clades in the RAPD analyses. According to the molecula data, the series Chinensis should be divided into two groups. The minutoaurea group is composed of I. koreana, I. odaesanensis, and I. minitoaurea, while the rossi group is comprised of two varieties of I. rossi. The series Tripetalae is closely allied with the series Sibiricae, whereas the series Ensatae is recognized as a sister group to the series Ruthencae. The molecular phylogeny, which was based on RAPD analysis, for the most part agreed with the data proposed by previous authors. This is because the basis of morphological and ITS sequence data suggests that the RAPD markers should be very useful in addressing phylogenetic questions about the genus Iris.

Phylogenetic Analysis of the Genus Gliocladium and its Related Taxa by Comparing the Sequences of Internal Transcribed Spacers and 5.8S r-DNA (Ribosomal DNA의 Internal Transcribed Spacer(ITS) 부위의 염기서열 분석에 의한 Gliocladium 속과 근연속에 관한 계통 분류학적 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Young;Kim, Gi-Young;Ha, Myoung-Gyu;Shin, Young-Kook;Park, Yong-Ha;Lee, Tae-Ho;Lee, Jae-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Mycology
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    • v.27 no.3 s.90
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    • pp.191-197
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    • 1999
  • The phylogenetic position of Gliocladium and its related taxa were investigated, using the neighbor-joining method of the sequences from internal transcribed spacers (ITS1 and ITS2) and 5.8S ribosomal DNA (rDNA). It was focused especially on the generic concept by comparing with the related genera such as Trichoderma, Hypocrea, Verticillium, Penicillium and Talaromyces. Gliocladium species and its related genus were divided into three groups by the phylogenetic analysis using the neighbor-joining method. The first group includes Penicillium-like strains such as Penicillium, Tararomyces, Verticillium and one species of Gliocladium (G. cibotii JCM 9203 and JCM 9206). Especially, Gliocladium cibotii JCM 9203 is thought to be the similar species with Verticillium bulbillosum JCM 9214. Between these two species, Gliocladium cibotii and Verticillium bulbillosum, the intraspecies concept needs to examined with culture condition. and morphological properties. The second group includes two species Verticillium, Verticillium tricorpus and Verticillium albo-atrum which extracted from the GenBank database in NCBI (National Center for Biotechnology Information). Trichoderma-like strains, such as Trichoderma, Hypocrea and several species of Gliocladium are included in the third group. Also, Gliocladium penicillioides IFO 5869 and Gliocladium catenulatum ATCC 10523 formed the subgroup of Trichoderma-like strains. The species of Gliocladium were dispersed in Trichoderma-like and Penicillinum-like group, and only one species of Gliocladium cihotii used in our study was located in Penicillium-like genus group. The species of Verticillium appeared in all three groups and the species of Trichoderma formed the monophylogeny with Hypocrea (telemorph). Also, Gliocladium virens was grouped with Trichoderma harzianum with a high bootstrap value, supporting that Gliocladium virens is to be placed in Trichoderma. The results suggest that Gliocladium is polyphyletic, and is more Trichoderma-like than Penicillium-like.

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Hourly Prediction of Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Concentration Using Time Series Data and Random Forest (시계열 데이터와 랜덤 포레스트를 활용한 시간당 초미세먼지 농도 예측)

  • Lee, Deukwoo;Lee, Soowon
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2020
  • PM2.5 which is a very tiny air particulate matter even smaller than PM10 has been issued in the environmental problem. Since PM2.5 can cause eye diseases or respiratory problems and infiltrate even deep blood vessels in the brain, it is important to predict PM2.5. However, it is difficult to predict PM2.5 because there is no clear explanation yet regarding the creation and the movement of PM2.5. Thus, prediction methods which not only predict PM2.5 accurately but also have the interpretability of the result are needed. To predict hourly PM2.5 of Seoul city, we propose a method using random forest with the adjusted bootstrap number from the time series ground data preprocessed on different sources. With this method, the prediction model can be trained uniformly on hourly information and the result has the interpretability. To evaluate the prediction performance, we conducted comparative experiments. As a result, the performance of the proposed method was superior against other models in all labels. Also, the proposed method showed the importance of the variables regarding the creation of PM2.5 and the effect of China.

Gene Expression Pattern during Early Embryogenesis and Transcriptional Activities of Estrogen Receptor-Related Receptor(ERR) in Sea Urchin, Strongylocentrotus nudus (둥근성게(Strongylocentrotus nudus) Estrogen Receptor-Related Receptor(ERR)의 초기 발생시 유전자 발현 패턴과 전사 활성)

  • Maeng, Se-Jung;Kim, Mi-Soon;Sohn, Young-Chang
    • Development and Reproduction
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 2009
  • The estrogen receptor-related receptors (ERRs) are a group of nuclear receptor superfamily of transcription factors. ERRs and estrogen receptors (ERs) have overlapping affinities for coactivators and DNA binding sites, but differ markedly in ligand binding and activation. The three mammalian ERR genes have been implicated in diverse physiological processes ranging from placental development to maintenance of bone density, whereas the molecular diversity, function, and regulation of ERRs in non-mammalian species are not well understood. In the present study, to investigate the involvement of ERR in transcription and embryogenesis in marine invertebrates, a cDNA encoding ERR (SnERR) was cloned from the gonad in Strongylocentrotus nudus, by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The amino acid sequence of SnERR showed high homology with that of S. purpuratus (91%). A phylogenetic tree clearly showed that SnERR is a member of the ERR family and clustered in echinodermata group as supported by a high bootstrap value. We examined gene expression of SnERR during embryonic development of S. nudus using real-time PCR. During the embryonic development, the mRNA of ERR was significantly high levels in early development stages (4~64 cell) and larval stages. The SnERR slightly activated transcription through the classical estrogen response elements (EREs) in the presence of genistein. In addition, peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor $\gamma$ coactivator (PGC)-$1\alpha$ knwon as a coactivator of ERR enhanced the snERR-mediated transactivation, suggesting that the PGC-$1\alpha$ is a coactivator of SnERR.

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