• Title/Summary/Keyword: BIC%

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A Smooth Estimation of Failure Rate Function (고장률 함수의 평활추정)

  • 나명환;이현우;김재주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 1997
  • We introduce a method of estimating an unknown failure rate function based on sample data. We estimate failure rate function by a function s from a space of cubic splines constrained to be linear (or constant) in tails using maximum likelihood estimation. The number of knots are determined by Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC). Examples using simulated data are used to illustrate the performance of this method.

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On Information Criteria in Linear Regression Model

  • Park, Man-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2009
  • In the model selection problem, the main objective is to choose the true model from a manageable set of candidate models. An information criterion gauges the validity of a statistical model and judges the balance between goodness-of-fit and parsimony; "how well observed values ran approximate to the true values" and "how much information can be explained by the lower dimensional model" In this study, we introduce some information criteria modified from the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC). The information criteria considered in this study are compared via simulation studies and real application.

Bayesian Multiple Change-point Estimation in Normal with EMC

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.621-633
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we estimate multiple change-points when the data follow the normal distributions in the Bayesian way. Evolutionary Monte Carlo (EMC) algorithm is applied into general Bayesian model with variable-dimension parameters and shows its usefulness and efficiency as a promising tool especially for computational issues. The method is applied to the humidity data of Seoul and the final model is determined based on BIC.

PARTIAL INTRINSIC BAYES FACTOR

  • Joo Y.;Casella G.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.261-280
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    • 2006
  • We have developed a new model selection criteria, the partial intrinsic Bayes factor, which is designed for cases when we select a model among a small number of candidate models. For example, we can choose only a few candidate models after exploring scatter plots. By simulation study, we have showed that PIBF performs better than AIC, BIC and GCV.

An Algorithm for Hannan and Rissanen's ARMA Modeling Method

  • Chul Eung Kim;Byoung Seon Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 1995
  • Hannan and Rissanen proposed an innovation regression method of ARMA modeling, which is composed of three stages. Its second-stage is to choose orders of the ARMA model using the BIC, which needs a lot of calculation to estimate several regression models. We are going to present a simple and efficient algorithm for the second stage using a special property of triangular Toeplitz matrices.

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Analysis of Elm Topology Optimization Criteria for Handwriting Recognition (필기 데이터 인식을 위한 HMM 구조 최적화 기준에 대한 분석)

  • 박미나;하진영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.10d
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    • pp.571-573
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    • 2002
  • 음성인식과 온라인 필기인식에서 우수한 성능을 보이는 은닉 마르코프(HMM)의 HMM의 구조는 휴리스틱 한 방법에 의해 결정되는 것이 일반적이기 때문에 최적의 모델을 선택하는데 어려움이 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 HMM의 구조를 체계적인 방법으로 정함과 동시에 변별력의 단점을 개선 할 수 있는 방법으로 Anti-likelihood를 이용한 모델간의 변별력을 살펴보고 최적의 모델 선택 기준인 BIC와의 결합하여, 체계적이고 효율적인 최적 모델 선택이 가능한 방법론에 대해 연구하고 필기데이터에 대해 검증한 결과, 기존의 방법보다 파라미터의 수는 감소되고 인식률이 향상됨을 알 수 있다.

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Shotgun/RQ Bomb 시험에 의한 추진제 폭연 특성

  • 유지창;김창기;류백능
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.29-29
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    • 2000
  • 추진제의 폭연 특성을 실험실 규모로 측정하는 시험방법으로 NAWC에서 개발한 BIC (Ballistic Impact Chamber) 시험과 SNPE에서 개발한 Shotgun/RQ Bomb 시험이 있다. SNPE에서는 화약과 추진제가 UNO 위험등급 분류체계에서 1.6급수(우연한 개시나 반응의 전환 가능성이 거의 없는 매우 둔감한 물질)로 분류되는 기준을 UN Test Series 7c(ii)에 탄속 150m/s에서 dP/dt가 15MPa 이내로 규정하고 있다.(중략)

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Development of salinity simulation using a hierarchical bayesian ARX model (계층적 베이지안 ARX 모형을 활용한 염분모의기법 개발)

  • Kim, Hojun;Shin, Choong Hun;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2020
  • The development of agricultural land at Saemangeum has required a significant increase in agricultural water use. It has been well acknowledged that salinity plays a critical role in the farming system. Therefore, a systematic study in salinity is necessary to better manage agricultural water. This study aims to develop a stochastic salinity simulation model that simultaneously simulates salinities obtained from different layers. More specifically, this study proposed a two-stage Autoregressive Exgeneous (ARX) model within a hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework. We derived posterior distributions of model parameters and further used them to obtain the predictive posterior distribution for salinities at three different layers. Here, the BIC values are used and compared to determine the optimal model from a set of candidate models. A detailed discussion of the model is provided.

A Design of a circularly polarized small UHF RFID antenna (소형 원형편파 UHF RFID 대역 융합형 안테나 설계)

  • Chae, Gyoo-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2015
  • A circularly polarized small UHF RFID reader antenna is presented. The antenna is composed of four elements and printed on the plastic substrate(${\varepsilon}_r=2.2$, t=5mm). Each element is fed by a probe which is sequentially connected to the feed line. The feed line is manufactured on the FR-4 substrate(t=1.0mm, ${\varepsilon}_r=4.7$). The simulation results shows that the antenna can be achieved a return loss of 12dB, gain of 3.46dBic over the UHF band of 902-928MHz. According to our simulation results, two prototype antennas are manufactured and measured. The obtained antennas operate in UHF RFID bands and can be adapted for various portable applications. In addition, a parametric study is conducted to facilitate the design and optimization processes.

Effect of resorbable membrane on immediate placement of implant in extraction socket during periradicular surgery (치근단 수출 시 형성된 골결손 부위를 가진 치아의 발치 후 즉시 식립 임플란트에서 골 접촉률에 대한 흡수성 차폐막의 효과)

  • Yang, Seung-Min;Kye, Seung-Beom;Shin, Seung-Yun
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.603-610
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: The guided bone regeneration (GBR) technique is widely used in periradicular surgery. However, there is still some controversy regarding the effectiveness of GBR in promoting bone healing after periradicular surgery. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the resorbable membrane on the osteointegration of immediate implants in sites with periradicular lesion that had been removed by periradicular surgery. Materials and methods: Six roots of lower second premolars and 15 roots of lower third and fourth premolars of dogs were used as control and experimental teeth, respectively. Periradicular lesions were induced only in the experimental teeth. Twelve weeks later, the control and experimental teeth were extracted and implants were placed immediately. Periradicular lesions were removed with osteotomy, curettage and saline irrigation. Resorbable membranes were used in experimental group 1 but not in experimental group 2. After 12 week of healing period, the implants were clinically not mobile and showed no signs of infection. Data obtained by histomorphometric analysis were analyzed by Kruskal-Wallis test. Results: The control group showed a significantly higher bone to implant contact (BIC) ($74.14{\pm}16.18$) than experimental group 1 ($40.28{\pm}15.96$) and 2 ($48.70{\pm}17.75$)(p<0.05). However, there was no significant difference between experimental group 1 and 2. Conclusion: Although BIC in experimental groups were lower than in control group, immediate implant can be successfully placed at extraction socket with periradicular lesion and osseous defect. However, the use of resorbable membrane in bony defect created during periradicular surgery was questioned.