• 제목/요약/키워드: Assessment Vulnerability

검색결과 587건 처리시간 0.031초

농업용 저수지의 농업가뭄에 대한 기후변화 잠재영향 평가 (Assessing the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation by Reservoir)

  • 김수진;황세운;배승종;유승환;최진용;장민원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권6호
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2021
  • In order to assess the impact of climate change on irrigation reservoirs, climate exposure (EI), sensitivity (SI), and potential impact (PI) were evaluated for 1,651 reservoirs nationwide. Climate exposure and sensitivity by each reservoir were calculated using data collected from 2011 to 2020 for seven proxy variables (e.g. annual rainfall) and six proxy variables (e.g. irrigation days), respectively. The potential impact was calculated as the weighted sum of climate exposure and sensitivity, and was classified into four levels: 'Low (PI<0.4)', 'Medium (PI<0.6)', 'High (PI<0.8)', and 'Critical (PI≥0.8)'. The result showed that both the climate exposure index and the sensitivity index were on average high in Daegu and Gyeongbuk with high temperature and low rainfall. About 79.8% of irrigation reservoirs in Daegu, Gyeongbuk, and Ulsan with high climate exposure and sensitivity resulted in a 'High' level of potential impact. On the contrary, 64.5% of the study reservoirs in Gyeongnam and Gangwon showed 'Low' in potential impact. In further studies, it is required to reorganize the proxy variables and the weights in accordance with practical alternatives for improving adaptive capacity to drought, and it is expected to contribute to establishing a framework for vulnerability assessment of an irrigation reservoir.

고해상도 격자 기후자료 내 이상 기후변수 수정을 위한 통계적 보간법 적용 (Application of a Statistical Interpolation Method to Correct Extreme Values in High-Resolution Gridded Climate Variables)

  • 정여민;음형일
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2015
  • A long-term gridded historical data at 3 km spatial resolution has been generated for practical regional applications such as hydrologic modelling. However, overly high or low values have been found at some grid points where complex topography or sparse observational network exist. In this study, the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method was applied to properly smooth the overly predicted values of Improved GIS-based Regression Model (IGISRM), called the IDW-IGISRM grid data, at the same resolution for daily precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature from 2001 to 2010 over South Korea. We tested various effective distances in the IDW method to detect an optimal distance that provides the highest performance. IDW-IGISRM was compared with IGISRM to evaluate the effectiveness of IDW-IGISRM with regard to spatial patterns, and quantitative performance metrics over 243 AWS observational points and four selected stations showing the largest biases. Regarding the spatial pattern, IDW-IGISRM reduced irrational overly predicted values, i. e. producing smoother spatial maps that IGISRM for all variables. In addition, all quantitative performance metrics were improved by IDW-IGISRM; correlation coefficient (CC), Index Of Agreement (IOA) increase up to 11.2% and 2.0%, respectively. Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were also reduced up to 5.4% and 15.2% respectively. At the selected four stations, this study demonstrated that the improvement was more considerable. These results indicate that IDW-IGISRM can improve the predictive performance of IGISRM, consequently providing more reliable high-resolution gridded data for assessment, adaptation, and vulnerability studies of climate change impacts.

모의 침투 테스트 방법 및 절차의 평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation Method for Penetration Test Method and Procedures)

  • 강용석;최국현;신용태;김종희;김종배
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2014년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.230-233
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    • 2014
  • 최근 보안 위협과 위험이 매우 빠른 속도로 변화하고 있어, 다각화 되는 공격기법에 대응하기 위한 필수 조건으로 기업 및 기관에서 모의 침투 테스트를 진행하고 있다. 침투 테스트(Penetration Test, PenTest)는 합법적이고 승인된 시도로 컴퓨터 시스템을 더 안전하게 하기 위해 시스템의 취약점을 찾아내고, 찾아낸 취약점에 대해 공격을 시도하는 것이다. 모의 해킹 테스트와 같은 용어로 사용되고 있으며 취약점이 어떻게 악용될 수 있는지 공격을 시도하여 보여준다. 한편, 현재 많은 보안업체에서 다양한 방법 및 절차로 침투 테스트를 수행하고 있으나, 실제로 이러한 테스트의 강도와 신뢰성에 대한 평가는 아직 이루어지지 않고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 침투 테스트에 대하여 검증되고 신뢰할 수 있는 평가 방법을 제시한다. 본 연구에서 제시한 침투 테스트 평가 정보를 활용하여 보다 신뢰할 수 있는 평가 결과를 얻을 수 있고, 결과적으로 효율적인 침투 테스트가 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Seismic pounding effects on the adjacent symmetric buildings with eccentric alignment

  • Abdel Raheem, Shehata E.;Fooly, Mohamed Y.M.;Omar, Mohamed;Abdel Zaher, Ahmed K.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.715-726
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    • 2019
  • Several municipal seismic vulnerability investigations have been identified pounding of adjacent structures as one of the main hazards due to the constrained separation distance between adjacent buildings. Consequently, an assessment of the seismic pounding risk of buildings is superficial in future adjustment of design code provisions for buildings. The seismic lateral oscillation of adjacent buildings with eccentric alignment is partly restrained, and therefore a torsional response demand is induced in the building under earthquake excitation due to eccentric pounding. In this paper, the influence of the eccentric seismic pounding on the design demands for adjacent symmetric buildings with eccentric alignment is presented. A mathematical simulation is formulated to evaluate the eccentric pounding effects on the seismic design demands of adjacent buildings, where the seismic response analysis of adjacent buildings in series during collisions is investigated for various design parameters that include number of stories; in-plan alignment configurations, and then compared with that for no-pounding case. According to the herein outcomes, the effects of seismic pounding severity is mainly depending on characteristics of vibrations of the adjacent buildings and on the characteristics of input ground motions as well. The position of the building wherever exterior or interior alignment also, influences the seismic pounding severity as the effect of exposed direction from one or two sides. The response of acceleration and the shear force demands appear to be greater in case of adjacent buildings as seismic pounding at different levels of stories, than that in case of no-pounding buildings. The results confirm that torsional oscillations due to eccentric pounding play a significant role in the overall pounding-involved response of symmetric buildings under earthquake excitation due to horizontal eccentric alignment.

Fragility-based performance evaluation of mid-rise reinforced concrete frames in near field and far field earthquakes

  • Ansari, Mokhtar;Safiey, Amir;Abbasi, Mehdi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제76권6호
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    • pp.751-763
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    • 2020
  • Available records of recent earthquakes show that near-field earthquakes have different characteristics than far-field earthquakes. In general, most of these unique characteristics of near-fault records can be attributed to their forward directivity. This phenomenon causes the records of ground motion normal to the fault to entail pulses with long periods in the velocity time history. The energy of the earthquake is almost accumulated in these pulses causing large displacements and, accordingly, severe damages in the building. Damage to structures caused by past earthquakes raises the need to assess the chance of future earthquake damage. There are a variety of methods to evaluate building seismic vulnerabilities with different computational cost and accuracy. In the meantime, fragility curves, which defines the possibility of structural damage as a function of ground motion characteristics and design parameters, are more common. These curves express the percentage of probability that the structural response will exceed the allowable performance limit at different seismic intensities. This study aims to obtain the fragility curve for low- and mid-rise structures of reinforced concrete moment frames by incremental dynamic analysis (IDA). These frames were exposed to an ensemble of 18 ground motions (nine records near-faults and nine records far-faults). Finally, after the analysis, their fragility curves are obtained using the limit states provided by HAZUS-MH 2.1. The result shows the near-fault earthquakes can drastically influence the fragility curves of the 6-story building while it has a minimal impact on those of the 3-story building.

Lifetime seismic performance assessment of high-rise steel-concrete composite frame with buckling-restrained braces under wind-induced fatigue

  • Liu, Yang;Li, Hong-Nan;Li, Chao;Dong, Tian-Ze
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제77권2호
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    • pp.197-215
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    • 2021
  • Under a severe environment of multiple hazards such as earthquakes and winds, the life-cycle performance of engineering structures may inevitably be deteriorated due to the fatigue effect caused by long-term exposure to wind loads, which would further increase the structural vulnerability to earthquakes. This paper presents a framework for evaluating the lifetime structural seismic performance under the effect of wind-induced fatigue considering different sources of uncertainties. The seismic behavior of a high-rise steel-concrete composite frame with buckling-restrained braces (FBRB) during its service life is systematically investigated using the proposed approach. Recorded field data for the wind hazard of Fuzhou, Fujian Province of China from Jan. 1, 1980 to Mar. 31, 2019 is collected, based on which the distribution of wind velocity is constructed by the Gumbel model after comparisons. The OpenSees platform is employed to establish the numerical model of the FBRB and conduct subsequent numerical computations. Allowed for the uncertainties caused by the wind generation and structural modeling, the final annual fatigue damage takes the average of 50 groups of simulations. The lifetime structural performance assessments, including static pushover analyses, nonlinear dynamic time history analyses and fragility analyses, are conducted on the time-dependent finite element (FE) models which are modified in lines with the material deterioration models. The results indicate that the structural performance tends to degrade over time under the effect of fatigue, while the influencing degree of fatigue varies with the duration time of fatigue process and seismic intensity. The impact of wind-induced fatigue on structural responses and fragilities are explicitly quantified and discussed in details.

비탈면 취약도 평가를 위한 동적콘관입시험기 모듈개발과 표준관입시험값과의 상관관계 연구 (Development of Dynamic Cone Penetration Tester Module for Slope Vulnerability Assessment and Correlation of Its Results with Standard Penetration Test Values)

  • 채휘영;권순달
    • 지질공학
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2021
  • 비탈면의 유실, 붕락사고 등 비탈면에 대한 안정성을 파악하기 위해서 지층의 구성상태, 역학적 특성 등의 지반정보 파악이 필요하다. 이러한 지반정보를 파악하기 위해서 일반적으로 표준관입시험(SPT) 및 콘 관입시험 등이 널리 이용되고 있다. 대부분이 급경사로 이루어지고 진입로가 없는 비탈면에 대한 접근성 문제로 표준관입시험이 널리 활용되지 못하고 있다. 이러한 단점을 보완할 수 있는 있는 휴대용 장비인 Drop Cone Penetrometer(DCP)를 이용한 조사도 여러 가지 문제로 제한적으로 사용되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 비탈면 현장접근이 용이한 휴대용 시추기와 동적콘관입시험 모듈을 개발하고, 개발된 동적콘관입시험기를 이용한 결과와 동일 현장에서 수행한 표준관입시험값과 상관성을 분석하였다. 에너지전단율로 보정된 동적콘관입시험과 표준관입시험간의 상관식은 Nd' = 3.13 N'으로 나타났다.

항공보안 내부자 위협에 의한 불법방해행위의 대응을 위한 연구 (A Study on the Response to Acts of Unlawful Interference by Insider Threat in Aviation Security)

  • 임상훈;허백용;황호원
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2023
  • 항공 테러는 역사적으로 다양한 형태의 공격 방법으로 민간항공의 취약한 부분을 공격해왔다. 최근 테러 수법은 승객과 별개의 전용 통로 사용, 개인물품 운반, 민감한 정보 접근 등의 권한을 가진 항공업계 종사자로 인한 것으로 보안 위협이 높아지고 있다. 또한, 전 세계적으로 인터넷과 소셜 미디어 등을 통한 급진화 현상으로 인한 내부자 위협은 더욱 고조되고 있는 실정이다. 대한민국 정부는 해외에서 발생한 내부자 보안 사례와 국제민간항공기구 및 미국, 영국 등에서 수립, 권고한 지침 등을 참고하여 항공보안의 불법방해행위에 직간접적으로 악용될 수 있는 내부자 위협에 대해 보안 규정을 사전에 수립하여 대처하여야 한다.

NAVER DATA LAB 데이터 기반 과거 한반도 홍수에 대한 대중 인지도 취약성 평가 (2011-2018) (NAVER Data Lab data-based Assessment of National Awareness Vulnerability of Past Floods over the Korean Peninsula (2011-2018))

  • 이은미;유영욱;정영훈;감종훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.59-59
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화로 인한 집중호우와 홍수는 하천의 범람, 내수침수 등을 일으킨다. 최근 발생한 2022년9월 태풍 '힌남노'는 포항시 10명의 인명 피해와 1조 7000억원의 재산 피해로 막대한 피해를 야기시켰다. 본 연구는 2011년부터 2018년까지 시군구 단위의 행정구역별 홍수 기간 강우량, 피해액, 홍수 지역의 인구 자료를 NAVER DATA LAB(2016년부터 자료 제공) '홍수' 검색량 데이터와 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 다량의 강우량 또는 높은 피해액이 발생한 시기에 홍수 검색량이 낮았던 지역을 홍수에 대한 대중 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 정의하였다. '홍수' 검색량과 강우량, 피해액, 홍수 지역 인구와의 상관관계를 분석한 결과, 강우량과 인구는 각각 0.86, 0.81의 높은 상관계수를 보인 반면, 피해액은 0.52로 상대적으로 낮은 상관관계를 보였다. 2016-2018년 특/광역시단위 분석 결과, 총 17번의 홍수 발생 중 '인천광역시'와 '세종특별시'에서 피해액 규모가 각각 2, 3순위로 높았던 반면 홍수 인지도는 각각 6, 11순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 도 단위 평가 시, 총 34번의 홍수 발생 중 '강원도'와 '경상북도'에서 피해액 규모 3순위, 강우량 10순위 일 때, 홍수 인지도는 27순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 다중 선형회귀 기법을 통해 2016년부터의 데이터를 기반으로 모델을 훈련하여 2016년 이전의 '홍수' 검색량 예측 자료를 재생산하였다. 2011-2015년 특/광역시 중심의 평가에서, 총 25번의 홍수 발생 중 부산광역시에서 피해액 규모가 1순위, 강우량이 2순위로 높았던 반면 홍수 인지도는 6순위로 홍수인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 도 단위 평가 시, 총 50번의 홍수 발생 중 '충청남도'와 '경기도'에서 피해액 규모가 3순위일 때 홍수 인지도가 7순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 본 연구는 물리·사회시스템의 빅데이터를 분석하여, 사회수문학적 접근 방식으로 홍수에 대한 사회적 취약성을 새롭게 제시하며 사회과학과 수자원 분야의 융합연구 필요성을 강조하였다.

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Seismic Retrofit Assessment of Different Bracing Systems

  • Sudipta Chakraborty;Md. Rajibul Islam;Dookie Kim;Jeong Young Lee
    • Architectural research
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • Structural ageing influences the structural performance in a negative way by reducing the seismic resilience of the structure which makes it a major concern around the world. Retrofitting is considered to be a pragmatic and feasible solution to address this issue. Numerous retrofitting techniques are devised by researchers over the years. The viability of using steel bracings as retrofitting component is evaluated on a G+30 storied building model designed according to ACI318-14 and ASCE 7-16. Four different types of steel bracing arrangements (V, Inverted V/ Chevron, Cross/ X, Diagonal) are assessed in the model developed in commercial nu-merical analysis software while considering both material and geometric nonlinearities. Reducing displacement and cost in the structures indicates that the design is safe and economical. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to find the best bracing system that causes minimum displacement, which indicates maximum lateral stiffness. To evaluate the seismic vulnerability of each system, incremental dynamic analysis was conducted to develop fragility curves, followed by the formation of collapse margin ratio (CMR) as stipulated in FEMA P695 and finally, a cost estimation was made for each system. The outcomes revealed that the effects of ge-ometric nonlinearity tend to evoke hazardous consequences if not considered in the structural design. Probabilistic seismic and economic probes indicated the superior performance of V braced frame system and its competency to be a germane technique for retrofitting.