Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2021.63.6.141

Assessing the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation by Reservoir  

Kim, Soo-Jin (Institute of Green Bio Science and Technology, Seoul National University)
Hwang, Syewoon (Department of Agricultural Engineering & Institute of Agricultural and Life Science, Gyeongsang National University)
Bae, Seung-Jong (Institute of Green Bio Science and Technology, Seoul National University)
Yoo, Seunghwan (Department of Rural and Bio-Systems Engineering, Chonnam National University)
Choi, Jin-Yong (Department of Rural Systems Engineering & Institute of GBST, Seoul National University)
Jang, Min-Won (Department of Agricultural Engineering & Institute of Agricultural and Life Science, Gyeongsang National University)
Publication Information
Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers / v.63, no.6, 2021 , pp. 141-150 More about this Journal
Abstract
In order to assess the impact of climate change on irrigation reservoirs, climate exposure (EI), sensitivity (SI), and potential impact (PI) were evaluated for 1,651 reservoirs nationwide. Climate exposure and sensitivity by each reservoir were calculated using data collected from 2011 to 2020 for seven proxy variables (e.g. annual rainfall) and six proxy variables (e.g. irrigation days), respectively. The potential impact was calculated as the weighted sum of climate exposure and sensitivity, and was classified into four levels: 'Low (PI<0.4)', 'Medium (PI<0.6)', 'High (PI<0.8)', and 'Critical (PI≥0.8)'. The result showed that both the climate exposure index and the sensitivity index were on average high in Daegu and Gyeongbuk with high temperature and low rainfall. About 79.8% of irrigation reservoirs in Daegu, Gyeongbuk, and Ulsan with high climate exposure and sensitivity resulted in a 'High' level of potential impact. On the contrary, 64.5% of the study reservoirs in Gyeongnam and Gangwon showed 'Low' in potential impact. In further studies, it is required to reorganize the proxy variables and the weights in accordance with practical alternatives for improving adaptive capacity to drought, and it is expected to contribute to establishing a framework for vulnerability assessment of an irrigation reservoir.
Keywords
Climate change; drought; irrigation reservoir; potential impact;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2007. Climate change 2007-impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
2 Jang, M. W., 2006. County-based vulnerability evaluation to agricultural drought using principal component analysis -The case of Gyeonggi-do-. Journal of the Korean Society of Rural Planning 12(1): 37-48.
3 Jang, M. W., S. J. Kim, S. J. Bae, S. Yoo, K. Jung, and S. Hwang, 2019. Assessing vulnerability to agricultural drought of pumping stations for preparing climate change. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 61(6): 31-40 (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2019.61.6.031.   DOI
4 Kim, H. G., D. K. Lee, H. Jung, S. H. Kil, J. H. Park, C. Park, R. Tanaka, C. Seo, H. Kim, W. Kong, K. Oh, J. Choi, Y. J. Oh, G. Hwang, and C. K. Song, 2016. Finding key vulnerable areas by a climate change vulnerability assessment. Natural Hazards 81(3): 1683-1732.   DOI
5 Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC), 2017. Establishment of survey and management plan for rural water district and agricultural production infrastructure for climate change impact and vulnerability assessment. Naju, Jeonnam.
6 Choi, Y. W., M. W. Jang, S. J. Bae, K. H. Jung, and S. W. Hwang, 2019. Prioritizing the importance of the factors related to the vulnerability of agricultural water resources and infra-structures to climate change. Journal of the Korean Society of Rural Planning 25(1): 75-87 (in Korean). doi:10.7851/ksrp.2019.25.1.075.   DOI
7 Kim, K., B. C. Park, J. Heo, J. Y. Kang, and I. Lee, 2020. Assessment of heat wave vulnerability in Busan using the IPCC climate change vulnerability assessment framework. The Korea Spatial Planning Review 104: 23-38 (in Korean). doi:10.15793/kspr.2020.104..02.   DOI
8 Kim, S. J., S. J. Bae, J. Y. Choi, S. P. Kim, S. K. Eun, S. H. Yoo, T. I. Jang, N. Y. Goh, S. W. Hwang, S. J. Kim, T. S. Park, K. H. Jeong, and S. H. Song, 2018. Analysis on the impact of climate change on the survey of rural water district and agricultural production infrastructure. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 60(5): 1-15 (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2018.60.5.001.   DOI
9 Kim, S. M., M. S. Kang, and M. W. Jang, 2018. Assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability to climate change at a municipal level in South Korea. Paddy and Water Environment 16(4): 699-714 (in Korean). doi:10.1007/s10333-018-0661-z.   DOI
10 Choi, J. Y., 2014. A study on survey and assessment of climate change vulnerability for non-point pollution reduction facility. Sejong: Ministry of Environment.
11 National Institute of Environmental Research (NIER), 2012. Climate change vulnerability maps for local climate change adaptation planning. Sejong: Ministry of Environment.
12 Yoon, S. T., Y. H. Lee, S. H. Hong, M. H. Kim, K. K. Kang, Y. E. Na, and Y. J. Oh, 2013. Vulnerability assessment of cultivation facility by abnormal weather of climate change. Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 15(4): 264-272 (in Korean). doi : 10.5532/KJAFM.2013.15.4.264.   DOI
13 Johnson, J. E. and D. J. Welch, 2010. Marine fisheries management in a changing climate: A review of vulnerability and future options. Review in Fisheries Science 18(1): 106-124. doi:10.1080/10641260903434557.   DOI
14 Lee, D., 2011. A study on climate change vulnerability by sectors for local government adaptation implementation planning. The Korean Society of Climate Change Research, Incheon: National Institute of Environmental Research.
15 Lee, J. S. and H. I. Choi, 2018. Comparison of flood vulnerability assessment outcomes by classification schemes for vulnerability components to climate change. Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 18(3): 221-229 (in Korean). doi:10.9798/KOSHAM.2018.18.3.221.   DOI
16 Moon, Y. S., W. H. Nam, M. G. Kim, H. J. Kim, K. Kang, J. C. Lee, T. H. Ha, and K. Lee, 2020. Evaluation of regional drought vulnerability assessment based on agricultural water and reservoirs. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 62(2): 97-109 (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2020.62.2.097.   DOI
17 Moss, R. H., E. L. Brenkert, and A. L. Malone, 2001. Vulnerability to climate change: a quantitative approach. Prepared for the U. S. Department of Energy.
18 National Institute of Environmental Research (NIER), 2011, A study on vulnerability assessment of each sector to climate change at the local government level. Sejong: Ministry of Environment.
19 Rural Development Administration (RDA), 2012. Impact and vulnerability assessment of agro-biotic community on climate change. Jeonju, Jeonbuk.
20 Shin, H. J., J. Y. Lee, S. M. Jo, S. M. Jeon, M. S. Kim, S. S. Cha, and C. G. Park, 2019. Vulnerability evaluation of groundwater well efficiency and capacity in drought vulnerable areas. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 61(6): 41-53 (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2019.61.6.041.   DOI
21 Yoo, G. Y. and I. A. Kim, 2008. Development and application of a climate change vulnerability index. Sejong: Korea Environment Institute.
22 Myeong, S. J., J. Y. Kim, S. H. Shin, and B. O. An, 2010. Assessing vulnerability to climate change of the physical infrastructure and developing adaptation measures in Korea II. Sejong: Korea Environment Institute.
23 Kim, S. J. S. J. Bae, S. Kim, S. H. Yoo, and M. W. Jang. 2016. Assessing sensitivity of paddy rice to climate change in South Korea. Water 8: 554. doi:10.3390/w8120554.   DOI