• Title/Summary/Keyword: Asia-Pacific stock market

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Short- and Long-Term Effects of Stock Split Disclosure: Exploring Determinants (주식분할 공시에 대한 장·단기 효과: 결정요인 분석을 중심으로)

  • Jin-Hwon Lee;Kyung-Soon Kim
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to re-examine the disclosure effect of stock splits and long-term performance after stock splits using stock split data over the past 10 years, and infer the motivation (signal or opportunism) of stock splits. In addition, we focus on exploring the determinants of the short- and long-term market response to stock splits. Design/methodology/approach - We measure the short-term market response to a stock split and the long-term stock performance after the stock split announcement using the event study method. We analyze whether there is a difference in the long-term and short-term market response to a stock split according to various company characteristics through univariate analysis and regression analysis. Findings - In the case of the entire sample, a statistically significant positive excess return is observed on the stock split announcement date, and the excess return during the 24-month holding period after the stock split do not show a difference from zero. In particular, the difference between short-term and long-term returns on stock splits is larger in companies with a large stock split ratio, small companies, large growth potential, and companies with a combination of financial events after a stock split. Research implications or Originality - The results of this study suggest that at least the signal hypothesis for a stock split does not hold in the Korean stock market. On the other hand, it suggests that there is a possibility that a stock split can be abused by the manager's opportunistic motive, and that this opportunism can be discriminated depending on the size of the stock split, corporate characteristics, and financing plan.

Dimensions of Corporate Social Responsibility and Market Performance: Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • Sudana, I Made;Sasikirono, Nugroho;Madyan, Muhammad;Pramono, Rifqi
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to examine the relationship between certain dimensions of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) with market performance, measured by Tobin's Q, on companies within various industries in Indonesia. This study disaggregates CSR into 7 dimensions: environment, energy, occupational safety and health, employee, product, community, and general. Samples consisted of 385 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2007-2014. OLS analysis shows that CSR contributes greatly to the formation of market performance of consumer goods, agriculture, and miscellaneous industries. The dimensions of CSR contribute differently to the formation of Q ratios in different industries. We also found that there are differences in the speed of effect of several dimensions of CSR on the formation of market performance; some CSR dimensions give immediate effect while others are lagged.

Predicting Stock Prices Based on Online News Content and Technical Indicators by Combinatorial Analysis Using CNN and LSTM with Self-attention

  • Sang Hyung Jung;Gyo Jung Gu;Dongsung Kim;Jong Woo Kim
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.719-740
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    • 2020
  • The stock market changes continuously as new information emerges, affecting the judgments of investors. Online news articles are valued as a traditional window to inform investors about various information that affects the stock market. This paper proposed new ways to utilize online news articles with technical indicators. The suggested hybrid model consists of three models. First, a self-attention-based convolutional neural network (CNN) model, considered to be better in interpreting the semantics of long texts, uses news content as inputs. Second, a self-attention-based, bi-long short-term memory (bi-LSTM) neural network model for short texts utilizes news titles as inputs. Third, a bi-LSTM model, considered to be better in analyzing context information and time-series models, uses 19 technical indicators as inputs. We used news articles from the previous day and technical indicators from the past seven days to predict the share price of the next day. An experiment was performed with Korean stock market data and news articles from 33 top companies over three years. Through this experiment, our proposed model showed better performance than previous approaches, which have mainly focused on news titles. This paper demonstrated that news titles and content should be treated in different ways for superior stock price prediction.

Two-Stage Forecasting Using Change-Point Detection and Artificial Neural Networks for Stock Price Index (주가지수예측에서의 변환시점을 반영한 이단계 신경망 예측모형)

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 2001
  • The prediction of stock price index is a very difficult problem because of the complexity of stock market data. It has been studied by a number of researchers since they strongly affect other economic and financial parameters. The movement of stock price index has a series of change points due to the strategies of institutional investors. This study presents a two-stage forecasting model of stock price index using change-point detection and artificial neural networks. The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change points, to identify them as change-point groups, and to use them in stock price index forecasting. First, the proposed model tries to detect successive change points in stock price index. Then, the model forecasts the change-point group with the backpropagation neural network(BPN). Finally, the model forecasts the output with BPN. This study then examines the predictability of the integrated neural network model for stock price index forecasting using change-point detection.

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Optimization of Case-based Reasoning Systems using Genetic Algorithms: Application to Korean Stock Market (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 사례기반추론 시스템의 최적화: 주식시장에의 응용)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Ahn, Hyun-Chul;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2006
  • Case-based reasoning (CBR) is a reasoning technique that reuses past cases to find a solution to the new problem. It often shows significant promise for improving effectiveness of complex and unstructured decision making. It has been applied to various problem-solving areas including manufacturing, finance and marketing for the reason. However, the design of appropriate case indexing and retrieval mechanisms to improve the performance of CBR is still a challenging issue. Most of the previous studies on CBR have focused on the similarity function or optimization of case features and their weights. According to some of the prior research, however, finding the optimal k parameter for the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) is also crucial for improving the performance of the CBR system. In spite of the fact, there have been few attempts to optimize the number of neighbors, especially using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. In this study, we introduce a genetic algorithm (GA) to optimize the number of neighbors to combine. This study applies the novel approach to Korean stock market. Experimental results show that the GA-optimized k-NN approach outperforms other AI techniques for stock market prediction.

Predictability of Overnight Returns on the Cross-sectional Stock Returns (야간수익률의 횡단면 주식수익률에 대한 예측력)

  • Cheon, Yong-Ho
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper explores whether overnight returns measured from the last closing price to today's opening price explain the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study is conducted using the Korean stock market data from 1998 to 2018, obtained from DataGuide database. The analysis begins with portfolio-level tests, followed by firm-level cross-sectional regressions. Findings - First, when decile portfolios sorted on the daily average of overnight returns in the previous months, the highest decile portfolio exhibits a significant negative risk-adjusted return. This suggests that stocks with higher average overnight returns are temporarily overvalued due to buying pressure from investors. Second, at least 6 months of persistence exists in average overnight returns, which is in line with the results reported by Barber, Odean and Zhu (2009) that investor sentiment persists over several weeks. Finally, Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression of expected returns after controlling for a variety of firm characteristic variables such as firm size, book-to-market ratio, market beta, momentum, liquidity, short-term reversal, the slope coefficient for overnight returns remains negative and statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - Overall, the evidence consistently suggests that overnight return is considered as a new priced factor in the cross-section of expected returns. The findings of this paper not only adds to finance literature, but also could be useful to practitioners in making stock investment decision.

Overnight Returns, Idiosyncratic Volatility, and the Expected Stock Returns (야간수익률과 고유변동성이 기대수익률에 미치는 영향)

  • Yong-Ho Cheon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.45-66
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper examines whether overnight returns and idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) jointly affects the cross-section of expected stock returns in the Korean stock market. Design/methodology/approach - Constructing 5×5 bivariate monthly portfolios independently sorted on overnight returns and IVOL, this paper tests whether overpricing of stocks with high overnight returns is more pronounced for the stocks that also have high IVOL. In addition, we also investigate whether time-variation in the degree of overpricing for those stocks can be explained by market volatility. Findings - Our results show that stocks having both high overnight returns and high IVOL exhibit strong negative returns in the future. In contrast, we are unable to observe such negative returns for the stocks that have high overnight returns and low IVOL. This suggests that overpricing of stocks with high overnight returns is concentrated for the stocks having high IVOL. Moreover, we also find that the degree to which such stocks are overpriced is negatively related to market volatility. Research implications or Originality - his paper is the first attempt to explore whether degree of overpricing of stocks having high overnight returns is related to IVOL. We also discover time-varying property of overpricing is jointly driven by overnight returns and IVOL. Our results indicate that IVOL might help explain other previously documented stock return anomalies, suggesting interesting topics for future research.

Empirical Study on a Business Model for the Internet-Based Stock Trade (국내 인터넷 주식거래를 위한 비즈니스 모델에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Kun-Chang;Chung, Nam-Ho
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.125-147
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this paper is to propose additional features for the success of the Internet-based stock trading companies in Korea which attempt to improve competitiveness in the stock trading market. Literature about this issue has been rarely reported. To clarify our research intention, therefore, we surveyed 24 stock trading companies which support the Internet-based stock trading systems, and gathered data about appropriate Internet business model which is deemed promising and effective in the future. Analysis results revealed that besides cheap trading transaction cost, those additional features such as convenience, reliability, speed delay, superiority, and profitability are also important as well for the success of the Internet-based stock trading.

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The Timely Disclosure Behaviors of Delisted Companies: An Empirical Study of Korean Firms

  • Byun, Hae-Young
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2019
  • The involuntary delisting of public companies has a detrimental effect on economies caused by the loss of stock value and confidence in the capital market. Previous studies have focused on prediction or prevention models for firm delisting events using various financial and accounting information. However, the timely disclosure of companies, another important indicator, has not been investigated before in connection with companies that have been delisted. To address this gap, this study investigates the timely disclosure behavior of companies prior to delisting using sample firms listed on the Korean stock market between 2000 and 2014. The results show a significant correlation between the frequency of timely disclosure and delisted firms prior to their delisting on the Korean stock market. The delisted companies appear to increase their timely disclosure to deliver specific information to the public. Furthermore, these companies are likely to increase the frequency of timely disclosure as they get closer to their delisting. Notably, the timely disclosure of delisted firms has a capital market effect; namely, timely disclosure increases trading volume while decreasing the market value of the shares, reflecting price efficiency. This study appears to be the first that considers timely disclosure in the involuntary delisting literature.

The Effect of Market Structure on the Performance of China's Banking Industry: Focusing on the Differences between Nation-Owned Banks and Joint-Stock Banks (개혁개방 이후 중국 은행산업의 구조와 성과: 국유은행과 주식제 은행의 차이를 중심으로)

  • Ze-Hui Liu;Dong-Ook Choi
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.431-444
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study applies the traditional Structure-Conduct-Performance (SCP) model from industrial organization theory to investigate the relationship between market structure and performance in China's banking industry. Design/methodology/approach - For analysis, financial data from the People's Bank of China's "China Financial Stability Report" and financial reports of 6 state-owned banks and 11 joint-stock banks for the period 2010 to 2021 were collected to create a balanced panel dataset. The study employs panel fixed-effects regression analysis to assess the impact of changes in market structure and ownership structure on performance variables including return on asset, profitability, costs, and non-performing loan ratios. Findings - Empirical findings highlight significant differences in the effects of market structure between state-owned and joint-stock banks. Notably, increased market competition positively correlates with higher profits for state-owned banks and with lower costs for joint-stock banks. Research implications or Originality - State-owned banks demonstrate larger scale and stability, yet they struggle to respond effectively to market shifts. Conversely, joint-stock banks face challenges in raising profitability against competitive pressures. Additionally, the study emphasizes the importance for Chinese banks to strengthen risk management due to the increase of non-performing loans with competition. The results provide insights into reform policies for Chinese banks regarding the involvement of private sector in the context of market liberalization process in China.