• 제목/요약/키워드: Appropriate Risk Standard

검색결과 100건 처리시간 0.025초

국내 음용수의 안전성 (Safety of Drinking Water in Korea)

  • 권숙표
    • 한국막학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국막학회 1997년도 제5회 하계 Workshop (97 한,카 국제공동 Workshop, 고도 수처리를 위한 막분리 공정)
    • /
    • pp.1-20
    • /
    • 1997
  • The present standard of drinking water quality is not reached to the guidelines of WHO and US EPA recommended. The appraisal of safety is not appropriate by the results of intermittent and limitted analysis. 45 items of drinking water quality are regulated in the Korean standard and 9 items for inspection designated by Seoul City. This report is the results of analysis of the water quality in the water stations of Seoul which are concerned with the items of Korean water quality standard and the priolity pollutnats recommended by WHO. In the results, 45 items of water quality, and the priolity pollutants were not exceeded to the standard and criteria, while DDT, heptachlor-epoxide, THMs, benzo(a)pyrene, Ba, Al, Gross beta, $^{226}$Ra, $^{90}$Sr were detected, the levels were not exceeded to the WHO guidelines. In ordes to evalute the safety of drinking water quality, besides of the existed items of standard, new hazardouse pollutants should be considered monitored continenously. For the regulation of hazardous pollutants, it may be introduced from the risk assessment. According to the relevant assessment, the acceptable risk of pollutants estimated could be applied to set the water quality standard or recommendations or quidelines as well as the number of monitoring.

  • PDF

Optimal Portfolio Models for an Inefficient Market

  • GINTING, Josep;GINTING, Neshia Wilhelmina;PUTRI, Leonita;NIDAR, Sulaeman Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.57-64
    • /
    • 2021
  • This research attempts to formulate a new mean-risk model to replace the Markowitz mean-variance model by altering the risk measurement using ARCH variance instead of the original variance. In building the portfolio, samples used are closing prices of Indonesia Composite Stock Index and Indonesia Composite Bonds Index from 2013 to 2018. This study is a qualitative study using secondary data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Indonesia Bonds Pricing Agency. This research found that Markowitz's model is still superior when utilized in daily data, while the mean-ARCH model is appropriate with wider gap data like monthly observation. The Historical return has also proven to be more appropriate as a benchmark in selecting an optimal portfolio rather than a risk-free rate in an inefficient market. Therefore Mean-ARCH is more appropriate when utilized under data that have a wider gap between the period. The research findings show that the portfolio combination produced is inefficient due to the market inefficiency indicated by the meager return of the stock, while bears notable standard deviation. Therefore, the researcher of this study proposed to replace the risk-free rate as a benchmark with the historical return. The Historical return proved to be more realistic than the risk-free rate in inefficient market conditions.

퍼지추론을 이용한 해체공정 중 리스크 요인의 통합 평가 (Comprehensive Assessment on Risk Factors using Fuzzy Inference in Decommissioning Process)

  • 임현교;김현정
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제29권4호
    • /
    • pp.184-190
    • /
    • 2014
  • Decommissioning process of nuclear facilities consist of a sequence of problem solving activities, because there may exist not only working environments contaminated by radiological exposure but also industrial hazards such as fire, explosions, toxic materials, and electrical and physical hazards. Therefore, not a few countries in the world have been trying to develop appropriate counter techniques in order to guarantee safety and efficiency of the process. In spite of that, there still exists neither domestic nor international standard. Unfortunately, however, there are few workers who experienced decommissioning operations a lot in the past. As a solution, it is quite necessary to utilize experts' opinions for risk assessment in decommissioning process. As for an individual hazard factor, risk assessment techniques are getting known to industrial workers with advance of safety technology, but the way how to integrate those results is not yet. This paper aimed to find out an appropriate technique to integrate individual risk assessment results from the viewpoint of experts. Thus, on one hand the whole risk assessment activity for decommissioning operations was modeled as a sequence of individual risk assessment steps which can be classified into two activities, decontamination and dismantling, and on the other, a risk assessment structure was introduced. The whole model was inferred with Fuzzy theory and techniques, and a numerical example was appended for comprehension.

사고시나리오별 위험도 산정을 통한 적정 위험도 기준 설정 (Establishment of the Appropriate Risk Standard through the Risk Assessment of Accident Scenario)

  • 김건호;천영우;황용우;이익모;곽인호
    • 대한환경공학회지
    • /
    • 제39권2호
    • /
    • pp.74-81
    • /
    • 2017
  • 장외영향평가란 사업장에서 취급되는 유해화학물질이 누출되었을 시 사업장 외부로 미치는 위험도를 산정하는 것으로, 사고시나리오별 영향평가를 실시하여 사고시나리오별 위험도를 산정하고, 안전성 확보방안 등을 고려하여 사업장의 최종 위험도를 결정하게 된다. 사업장의 최종 위험도에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요인은 사고시나리오별 위험도로, 사업장에서는 사고시나리오별 위험도를 낮출 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 이 점에 착안하여 동일한 설비에 대하여 OGP/LOPA의 위험도 산정기법을 적용하여 사고시나리오별 위험도를 산정하고, 각 개시사건별 적용 가능한 완화장치를 검토하여 사고시나리오의 위험도 감소율을 산정하고, 위험도 산정기법별 적정 위험도 기준을 제시하고자 한다. 적용 가능한 모든 완화장치를 고려하여 사고시나리오의 안전성 향상도를 산정할 경우 OGP에 의한 위험도는 8.05E-04, LOPA에 의한 위험도는 1.00E-04로 분석되었으며, IPL 적용사례에 따라 완화장치를 적용한 경우의 위험도는 1.34E-02로 분석되어서, 완화장치를 적용하지 않은 경우의 LOPA 적용시에 비해 위험도가 33배 가량 낮아지는 것으로 나타났다. 완화장치 적용 수준에 따른 안전성 향상율을 비교 검토하여 장외영향평가 시 사업장의 적정 위험도 기준을 제시하였다. 본 연구결과에 따르면 LOPA를 적용한 사고시나리오의 적정 위험도 기준은 $10^{-2}$ 수준으로 나타났으나, 유사연구의 사고시나리오별 적정 위험도 기준은 $10^{-3}{\sim}10^{-4}$ 수준으로, LOPA를 적용하여 사고시나리오의 위험도를 산정하는 경우 허용 불가능한 수준으로 결정될 수 있다. 따라서 LOPA를 적용하는 경우 허용 가능한 위험도 수준을 만족하기 위해서는 완화장치 적용 원칙 외에 추가로 적용 가능한 모든 완화장치를 적용하여야 하며, OGP에 비해 LOPA를 적용하는 경우 위험도가 높게 산정되는 경향이 있으므로 위험도 기법별로 허용 가능한 위험도 수준을 다르게 설정해야 할 것으로 판단된다.

An Examination of Variation in Risk Assessment Practices in Relation to Assessors' Goals: American and International Practices

  • Park, Lorenz R. mberg
    • Toxicological Research
    • /
    • 제17권
    • /
    • pp.219-225
    • /
    • 2001
  • The basic structure for assessment of potential health risks from environmental chemicals is widely agreed upon, but many of the details of risk assessment procedures differ among practitioners. Government regulatory agencies typically have guidelines or standard procedures for their risk assessments, established to ensure consistency and comparability, to set standards for adequacy, and to embody underlying tenets. In setting and updating such guidelines, each agency takes into account not only the prevailing thinking about appropriate procedures, but also its own goals and responsibilities and the precedents it has set for itself in past analyses. This results in variations in methods, and consequently in characterization of risks, among regulatory assessments, even when they are based on the same data. As a result, adopting existing assessments from a variety of regulatory bodies needs to be done with caution. This paper examines some of the variants in risk assessment approaches among American federal regulatory agencies and relates them to the variations in regulatory responsibilities of those groups. Comparisons to international practices are also drawn. The impact on development of world-wide risk standards is discussed.

  • PDF

GARCH 모형을 활용한 비트코인에 대한 체계적 위험분석 (Systematic Risk Analysis on Bitcoin Using GARCH Model)

  • 이중만
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • 제25권4호
    • /
    • pp.157-169
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the volatility of bitcoin, diagnose if bitcoin are a systematic risk asset, and evaluate their effectiveness by estimating market beta representing systematic risk using GARCH (Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedastieity) model. First, the empirical results showed that the market beta of Bitcoin using the OLS model was estimated at 0.7745. Second, using GARCH (1, 2) model, the market beta of Bitcoin was estimated to be significant, and the effects of ARCH and GARCH were found to be significant over time, resulting in conditional volatility. Third, the estimated market beta of the GARCH (1, 2), AR (1)-GARCH (1), and MA (1)-GARCH (1, 2) models were also less than 1 at 0.8819, 0.8835, and 0.8775 respectively, showing that there is no systematic risk. Finally, in terms of efficiency, GARCH model was more efficient because the standard error of a market beta was less than that of the OLS model. Among the GARCH models, the MA (1)-GARCH (1, 2) model considering non-simultaneous transactions was estimated to be the most appropriate model.

Assessment of the Risk of Exposure to Chemical Carcinogens

  • Purchase, Iain F.H.
    • Toxicological Research
    • /
    • 제17권
    • /
    • pp.41-45
    • /
    • 2001
  • The methods used for risk assessment from exposure to chemicals are well established. in most cases where toxicity other than carcinogenesis is being considered, the standard method relies on establishing the No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) in the most sensitive animal toxicity study and using an appropriate safety factor (SF) to determine the exposure which would be associated with an acceptable risk. For carcinogens a different approach is used because it has been argued there is no threshold of effect. Thus mathematical equations are used to extrapolate from the high doses used in ani-mal experiments. These methods have been strongly criticised in recent years on several grounds. The most cogent criticisms are a) the equations are not based on a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis and b) the outcome of a risk assessment based on such models varies more as a consequence of changes to the assumptions and equation used than it does from the data derived from carcinogenicity experiments. Other criticisms include the absence of any measure of the variance on the risk assessment and the selection of default values that are very conservative. Recent advances in the application of risk assessment emphasise that measures of both the exposure and the hazard should be considered as a distribution of values. The outcome of such a risk assessment provides an estimate of the distribution of the risks.

  • PDF

연약지반상 위생매립지 안정성 평가에 대한 문제점 분석과 개선방향 (Slope Stability Evaluation System of Sanitary Landfill on Soft Ground and Its Reliability)

  • 우동찬;송좌빈
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지반공학회 1997년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.161-168
    • /
    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the possibility of normalization of the distibutions of soil parameters taken from soft ground and the reliability of the safety factors of specific objects on it, including sanitary landfill. Through this study it is found that distributions of soil parameters could be adjusted to appropriate normal distributions as possibility density functions(PDF), and that especially the group of initial cohesions and the coresponding safety factors has a perfect linear correlation. According to those results the PDF to initial cohesion as possibility parameter can not only be tmsformed to the PDF to safety factor but also, conseqently, the reliability of the safety factor(SF) simply based on the mean value of soil parameter(Co) can be calculated or easily picked up from the standrad normal distribution table. It is therefore concluded that even though calculated values of safety factors are over any standard requirements some possibility of risk both to the objects and natural soft ground could be still existing, and also a new standard value for this slope stability control system should be derived just by adjusting old one according to the magnitude of risk possibility.

  • PDF

CFD 툴을 활용한 패키지형 수소충전시스템의 안전성 향상 연구 (A Study on the Safety Improvement by CFD Analysis for Packaged Type Hydrogen Refueling System)

  • 황순일;강승규;허윤실
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
    • /
    • 제30권3호
    • /
    • pp.243-250
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this study, to ensure the safety of the packaged hydrogen refueling system, the improvement plan was derived by using 3-dimensional CFD program (FLACS). We also confirmed the effectiveness of risk reduction and the suitability of safety standard. By ventilation performance evaluation according to the position of the vent, it demonstrated that the vent should be installed at the ceiling to safely ventilate without stagnation of the leaked gas. In case of ventilation system according to KGS standard, risk situation could be resolved after about 5 minutes in the worst leaked condition. The result showed that jet fire and explosion inside the packaged system could affect the surrounding facilities. This proves that the standard for installing flame detectors, emergency shut down system and protection wall is appropriate.

Coronary Artery Calcium Data and Reporting System (CAC-DRS): A Primer

  • Parveen Kumar;Mona Bhatia
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-17
    • /
    • 2023
  • The Coronary Artery Calcium Data and Reporting System (CAC-DRS) is a standardized reporting method for calcium scoring on computed tomography. CAC-DRS is applied on a per-patient basis and represents the total calcium score with the number of vessels involved. There are 4 risk categories ranging from CAC-DRS 0 to CAC-DRS 3. CAC-DRS also provides risk prediction and treatment recommendations for each category. The main strengths of CAC-DRS include a detailed and meaningful representation of CAC, improved communication between physicians, risk stratification, appropriate treatment recommendations, and uniform data collection, which provides a framework for education and research. The major limitations of CAC-DRS include a few missing components, an overly simple visual approach without any standard reference, and treatment recommendations lacking a basis in clinical trials. This consistent yet straightforward method has the potential to systemize CAC scoring in both gated and non-gated scans.