• 제목/요약/키워드: Accident of Highway

검색결과 269건 처리시간 0.033초

보행자 사고확률모형을 이용한 도로안전시설물의 효과도 추정(4차로 일반국도를 대상으로) (Estimating the Effectiveness of Road Safety Features using Pedestrian Accident Probability Model)

  • 박규영;이수범
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2006
  • 우리나라는 교통사고 사망자 가운데 보행자가 차지하는 비율이 43%로 매우 높으며, 이는 OECD평균의 2.5배에 이르는 수치이다 도로종류별 사고발생 특성을 보면 국도에서 보행자사고로 인한 사망자수 비율이 가장 높은 구성비를 차지하고 있다. 이에 따라 지방부 도로에서 보행자사고를 방지하기 위하여 보행자 관련 안전시설물 설치가 확대될 예정이다. 그러나 보행자 관련 연구가 주로 도시부 교차로를 대상으로 이루어짐에 따라 지방부 보행자사고 특성 분석에 대한 연구가 부족하고, 특히, 안전시설물의 보행자사고에의 효과에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지방부 4차로 국도를 대상으로 로짓모형을 이용하여 보행자사고 확률모형을 구축하고, 추정시 도로안전시설물 설치여부를 설명변수로 포함하여 그 효과도를 추정하였다. 시설물별 효과도는 승산비(Odds ratio)를 이용하여 비교위험I÷로 분석 제시하였다. 분석결과 시거개선, 보도설치, 조명설치가 보행자 사고를 줄이기 위한 효과적인 대안으로 나타났다.

변수변환 기법을 이용한 고속도로 트럼펫IC 유출연결로 교통사고율 예측모형 개발 (Development of Traffic Accident Rate Forecasting Models for Trumpet IC Exit Ramp of Freeway using Variables Transformation Method)

  • 윤병조
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 도로연장측면에서 본선에 비해 상대적으로 연결로에서 발생하는 사고빈도가 높고, 교통사고가 증가하는 추세인 고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 예측모형의 개발에 초점을 두었다. 연결로 유형별(직결, 준직결, 루프)로 통계적으로 유의한 사고인자를 선정하고, 사고율과의 관계가 비선형 임을 분석하여 변수를 변형(Variables Transformation)하여 All possible 방식으로 예측모형을 개발하고, 통계적 진단 및 검증을 거쳐 유의성을 확인하였으며 이에 기존 개발 모형에 비해 예측력이 더욱 우수한 결과를 보였다. 개발된 사고예측모형은 보다 비용면에서 효율적이고, 안전한 트럼펫형 IC 연결로의 설계와 연결로 교통사고 원인분석에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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관제시스템 구축을 위한 Fuzzy-AHP 위험 순위 평가 모델 개발 (Development on Fuzzy-AHP Ranking Risk Assessment Model for the monitoring systems)

  • 정성학;박태준
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop an evaluation model for the National highway risky areas. Thus, for the purposes of doing this, National highway risky area evaluated targeting to provide determination ranking and suggesting rival-superiority factors as well as under-inferiority factors in ten National highway risky areas. This study developed for modules of risky areas evaluation, using fuzzy set theory and analytic hierarchy process for evaluation model of National highway risky area in transport environment. The preceding studies assess risk analysis through analysis of causal relationships by National highway safety sector not only handles rating scale development suitable for assessment area by referring to accident frequency model but also geometric structures model. As result of this study, this model of Fuzzy Ahp Risk Analysis (FARA) apply for programmable design in real time processing through easily derive strategy for improvement activities to provide a decision-making effectively. Furthermore, this study contributes frame for improvements of National highway construction for renovation's priority strategy as well as future's policy schemes.

평면곡선과 종단곡선이 겹친 복합선형 구간에서 교통사고 특성분석 (Analysis of Traffic Accident Characteristics for the Overlap Section of Horizontal and Vertical Alignment)

  • 박민수;장명순
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 평면선형과 종단선형이 겹친 복합선형 구간에서 복합선형요소와 교통사고와의 특성을 파악하기 위한 목적으로 진행되었다. 이를 위해 설계속도 및 제한속도가 100km/h인 4차로 고속도로 중 평면곡선부를 대상으로 연구를 진행하였다. 기하구조자료는 한국도로공사 "지리도형정보시스템" 자료를 이용하였고 교통사고자료는 "고속도로 교통사고 통계' 자료를 활용하였다. 분석결과, 종단곡선이 없는 경우가 종단곡선이 있는 경우보다 사고율이 높게 나타났으며, 종단곡선이 1개인 경우가 종단곡선이 2개 이상인 경우보다 사고율이 높게 나타났다. 종단곡선이 1개인 경우, 오목종단곡선(SAG) 구간이 볼록종단곡선(CREST) 구간보다 사고율이 높게 나타났으며, 평면곡선부 이전 선형이 직선부인 경우가 곡선부인 경우보다 사고율이 높게 나타났다. 특히 노면상태가 습기(강우)일 때에는 평면곡선내 오목종단곡선인 경우이거나 평면곡선방향이 좌향구간의 경우 교통사고와 관련성이 높음을 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 도로의 안전성을 높이기 위해 3차원적인 복합선형 조건을 고려한 도로 선형 설계의 중요성을 제시하였다는 점에서 의미가 있을 것이다.

사고예측모형을 활용한 회전교차로 안전성 향상에 관한 연구 - 전라북도를 중심으로 - (Safety Improvement Analysis of Roundabouts in Jeollabuk-do Province using Accident Prediction Model)

  • 김칠현;권용석;강규동
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : There are many recently constructed roundabouts in Jeollabuk-do province. This study analyzed how roundabouts reduce the risk of accidents and improve safety in the province. METHODS : This study analyzed safety improvement at roundabouts by using an accident prediction model that uses an Empirical Bayes method based on negative binomial distribution. RESULTS : The results of our analysis model showed that the total number of accidents decreased from 130 to 51. Roundabouts also decreased casualties; the number of casualties decreased from 7 to 0 and the seriously wounded from 87 to 16. The effectiveness of accident reduction as analyzed by the accident prediction model with the Empirical Bayes method was 60%. CONCLUSIONS : The construction of roundabouts can bring about a reduction in the number of accidents and casualties, and make intersections safer.

무인신호위반단속장비 설치에 따른 사고감소효과 예측 (Prediction on the Accident Reduction Effects of the Red Light Cameras Installation)

  • 김태영;백태헌;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the effects on the installation of RLC(Red Light Camera). The objective is to analyze the effects of accident reduction after the installation of RLC. METHODS : In pursuing the above, the study uses the 703 accident data occurred at the 64 intersections which RLC are installed or not installed. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, Poisson RLC accident model developed in this study is analyzed to be statistically significant. Second, using the above developed model, 33 intersections among 40 intersections are predicted to have the decreasing effects of accidents after the installation of RLC. Finally, the reduction effects are analyzed to be affected by ADT and the number of left-turn lane. CONCLUSIONS : This study is expected to improve the efficiency of RLC and to help in decision-making of RLC installation.

GIS를 이용하여 교차로를 고려한 도로선형 최적화 모델링 (The Road Alignment Optimization Modelling of Intersection Based on GIS)

  • 김동하;이준석;강인준
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.341-345
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    • 2003
  • This study develops modeling processes for alignment optimization considering characteristics of intersections using genetic algorithms and GIS for road alignment optimization. Since existing highway alignment optimization models have neglected the characteristics of intersections, they have shown serious weaknesses for real applications. In this paper, intersection costs include earthwork, right-of-way, pavement, accident, delay and fuel consumption costs that are sensitive and dominating to alignments. Also, local optimization of intersections for saving good alignment alternatives is developed and embedded. A highway alignment is described by parametric representation in space and vector manipulation is used to find the coordinates of intersections and other interesting points. The developed intersection cost estimation model is sufficiently precise for estimating intersection costs and eventually enhancing the performance of highway alignment optimization models. Also, local optimization of intersections can be used for improving search flexibility, thus allowing more effective intersections. It also provides a basis for extending the alignment optimization from single highways to networks. The presented two artificial examples show that the total intersection costs are substantial and sensitive to highway alignments.

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시뮬레이터를 이용한 장대터널 내에서의 운전자 특성 연구 (A Study on Driver's Characteristics in Long Tunnel Using Driving Simulator)

  • 박형진;황경주;신현주
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 2007
  • Generally, it is well known that driving in tunnel imposes large burden to driver because of spatial constraint, limited visual field and so on. And such a burden of driver result in high accident occurrence. In this reason, studies dealing with features of driving and traffic flow in tunnel have been performed. However, information about characteristics of drivers and traffic in a very long tunnel is not accumulated yet. The purpose of this study is to identify the relations between tunnel length and burden of driver, driving patterns, traffic flow characteristics using the tunnel simulator that realizing various tunnel situations. For this, the tunnel simulation program was developed along 11km-length section. And biological data of 10 subjects gained from driving condition in simulation program was analyzed and compared with the result of real driving condition.

간선도로 기능별 보행사고 심각도 분석과 모형 개발 (Pedestrian Accident Severity Analysis and Modeling by Arterial Road Function)

  • 백태헌;박민규;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES: The purposes are to analyze the pedestrian accident severity and to develop the accident models by arterial road function. METHODS: To analyze the accident, count data and ordered logit models are utilized in this study. In pursuing the above, this study uses pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 in Cheongju. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, daytime, Tue.Wed.Thu., over-speeding, male pedestrian over 65 old are selected as the independent variables to increase pedestrian accident severity. Second, as the accident models of main and minor arterial roads, the negative binomial models are developed, which are analyzed to be statistically significant. Third, such the main variables related to pedestrian accidents as traffic and pedestrian volume, road width, number of exit/entry are adopted in the models. Finally, Such the policy guidelines as the installation of pedestrian fence, speed hump and crosswalks with pedestrian refuge area, designated pedestrian zone, and others are suggested for accident reduction. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed the pedestrian accident severity, and developed the negative binomial accident models. The results of this study expected to give some implications to the pedestrian safety improvement in Cheongju.