• 한국음향학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.87-92
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• 2012

In this paper, a robust feature compensation method to deal with the environmental mismatch is proposed. The proposed method applies energy based weights according to the degree of speech presence to the Mean subtraction, Variance normalization, and ARMA filtering (MVA) processing. The weights are further smoothed by the moving average and maximum filters. The proposed feature compensation algorithm is evaluated on AURORA 2 task and distant talking experiment using the robot platform, and we obtain error rate reduction of 14.4 % and 44.9 % by using the proposed algorithm comparing with MVA processing on AURORA 2 task and distant talking experiment, respectively.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2015년도 제46회 하계학술대회
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• pp.329-330
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• 2015

From the results of previous my paper [10] in 2015 year of economic and electrical power storage research conference in Naju, this paper describes an application of autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) model to forecast hourly average wind speed (HAWS) in Jeju island. The models are used to build up short-term forecast of hourly average wind speed by the weighted sum of previous wind speed values.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.431-442
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• 2018

This paper highlights the computational explosion issues in the autoregressive moving average approach of frequency estimation of sinusoidal data with a large sample size. A new algorithm is proposed to circumvent the computational explosion difficulty in the conditional least-square estimation method. Notice that sinusoidal pattern can be generated by a non-invertible non-stationary autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. The computational explosion is shown to be closely related to the non-invertibility of the equivalent ARMA model. Simulation studies illustrate the computational explosion phenomenon and show that the proposed algorithm can efficiently overcome computational explosion difficulty. Real data example of sunspot number is provided to illustrate the application of the proposed algorithm to the time series data exhibiting sinusoidal pattern.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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• pp.719-723
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• 2004

본 연구에서는 일 최고, 최소치 유출량 계열을 확충하기 위해 ARIMA(p,d,q) 모형을 이용하였으며, 분석 자료의 경향성 유무를 파악하기 위해 Mann-Kendal 비모수적 검정을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, 최고 최소 유출량 자료 모두 경향성이 없는 것으로 분석되었다. ARIMA(p,d,q) 모형의 최적 차수를 결정하기 위해 ACF, PACF, AIC, 그리고 SBC(Schwarz Bayesian Criterion) 검사를 실시하였으며 이를 통해 최적의 ARMA 모형을 결정하였다. 일 최대치 자료의 경우 추계학적 경향 보다는 무작위적 특성을 보였으며, 일 최소치 자료계열 경우, ARMA(1,0) 모형이 최적 모형으로 선정되었다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.57-65
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• 2011

Monitoring auto correlated processes is prevalent in recent manufacturing environments. As a proactive control for manufacturing processes is emphasized especially in the semiconductor industry, it is natural to monitor real-time status of equipment through sensor rather than resultant output status of the processes. Equipment's sensor data show various forms of correlation features. Among them, considerable amount of sensor data, statistically autocorrelated, is well represented by Box-Jenkins autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. In this paper, we present a design method of statistical process control (SPC) used for monitoring processes represented by the ARMA model. The proposed method shows benefits in the power of detecting process changes, and considers robustness to ARMA modeling errors simultaneously. We prove benefits through Monte carlo simulation-based investigations.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.79-86
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• 2002

This paper proposes a new algorithm for estimating ARMA model parameters. In estimating ARMA model parameters, several methods such as generalized least square method, instrumental variable method have been developed. Among these methods, the utilization of a bootstrap type algorithm is known as one of the effective approach for the estimation, but there are cases that it does not converge. Hence, in this paper, making use of a cross correlation function and utilizing the relation of structural a priori knowledge, a new bootstrap algorithm is developed. By introducing theoretical relations, it became possible to remove terms, which is liable to include much noise. Therefore, this leads to robust parameter estimation. It is shown by numerical examples that using this algorithm, all simulation cases converge while only half cases succeeded with the previous one. As for the calculation time, judging from the fact that we got converged solutions, our proposed method is said to be superior as a whole.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.135-148
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• 1995

Neural Networks have been advocated as an alternative to statistical forecasting methods. However, the empirical evidences are not consistent. In the present experiments, multi-layered perceptron (MLP) are adopted as approximator to the time series generating processes. To prevent the MLP from being overfitted to the given time series, the information obtained from ARMA modeling is used to determine the architecture of MLP. The proposed approach was tested empirically using the subsamples of the 111 time series used in the first Markridakis Competition. The forecasting results were analyzed to find out the factors that affect the performance of MLP. The experimental results show that the proposed approach outperforms ARMA models in terms of fitting and forecasting accuracy. In addition, it is found that the use of deseasonalized data improves the forecasting accuracy of MLP.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.85-94
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• 1994

The cutting mechanism of ultrasonic vibration machining is characterized as two phases, that is, an impact at the cutting edge and a reduction of cutting force due to non-contact interval between tool and workpiece. In this paper, in order to identify cutting dynamics of a system with ultrasonically vibrated cutting tool, an ARMA modeling is performed on experimental cutting force signals which have a dominant effect on cutting dynamics. The aim of this study is, through Dynamic Date System methodology, to find the inherent characteristics of an ultrasonic vibration cutting process by considering natural frequency and damping coefficient. Surface roughness and stability of cutting process under ultrasonic vibration are also considered

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2000년도 제13회 신호처리 합동 학술대회 논문집
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• pp.807-810
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• 2000

입체음향 시스템에서 모노음에 방향감을 제어하기 위한 방법으로 FIR 필터 형태의 머리전달함수( HRTF : Head-Related Transfer Function)를 사용한다. 그러나 이때 사용되는 FIR형태의 머리전달함수는 높은 차수를 가지고 있어 실시간 음상정위 처리가 어려운 문제점을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 FIR 형태의 머리전달함수를 ARMA 시스템 인지기법을 이용하여 저차의 IIR필터 형태로 모델링하여 실시간 데이터 처리가 가능하도록 하였다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 ARMA 시스템 인지기법을 이용하게 되면 주어진 고차의 FIR형태의 머리전달함수를 다양한 안정성을 갖는 IIR모델들을 얻을 수 있으며, 이들 중 적절한 스펙트럼오차를 갖는 저차의 IIR모델을 선택 할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.183-200
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• 2007

We consider a nonlinear autoregressive moving average model with nonlinear GARCH errors, and find sufficient conditions for the existence of a strictly stationary solution of three related time series equations. We also consider a geometric ergodicity and functional central limit theorem for a nonlinear autoregressive model with nonlinear ARCH errors. The given model includes broad classes of nonlinear models. New results are obtained, and known results are shown to emerge as special cases.