• Title/Summary/Keyword: 5-fold cross validation

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Threatening privacy by identifying appliances and the pattern of the usage from electric signal data (스마트 기기 환경에서 전력 신호 분석을 통한 프라이버시 침해 위협)

  • Cho, Jae yeon;Yoon, Ji Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1001-1009
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    • 2015
  • In Smart Grid, smart meter sends our electric signal data to the main server of power supply in real-time. However, the more efficient the management of power loads become, the more likely the user's pattern of usage leaks. This paper points out the threat of privacy and the need of security measures in smart device environment by showing that it's possible to identify the appliances and the specific usage patterns of users from the smart meter's data. Learning algorithm PCA is used to reduce the dimension of the feature space and k-NN Classifier to infer appliances and states of them. Accuracy is validated with 10-fold Cross Validation.

A Study on the Prediction of Community Smart Pension Intention Based on Decision Tree Algorithm

  • Liu, Lijuan;Min, Byung-Won
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2021
  • With the deepening of population aging, pension has become an urgent problem in most countries. Community smart pension can effectively resolve the problem of traditional pension, as well as meet the personalized and multi-level needs of the elderly. To predict the pension intention of the elderly in the community more accurately, this paper uses the decision tree classification method to classify the pension data. After missing value processing, normalization, discretization and data specification, the discretized sample data set is obtained. Then, by comparing the information gain and information gain rate of sample data features, the feature ranking is determined, and the C4.5 decision tree model is established. The model performs well in accuracy, precision, recall, AUC and other indicators under the condition of 10-fold cross-validation, and the precision was 89.5%, which can provide the certain basis for government decision-making.

Exploring Machine Learning Classifiers for Breast Cancer Classification

  • Inayatul Haq;Tehseen Mazhar;Hinna Hafeez;Najib Ullah;Fatma Mallek;Habib Hamam
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.860-880
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    • 2024
  • Breast cancer is a major health concern affecting women and men globally. Early detection and accurate classification of breast cancer are vital for effective treatment and survival of patients. This study addresses the challenge of accurately classifying breast tumors using machine learning classifiers such as MLP, AdaBoostM1, logit Boost, Bayes Net, and the J48 decision tree. The research uses a dataset available publicly on GitHub to assess the classifiers' performance and differentiate between the occurrence and non-occurrence of breast cancer. The study compares the 10-fold and 5-fold cross-validation effectiveness, showing that 10-fold cross-validation provides superior results. Also, it examines the impact of varying split percentages, with a 66% split yielding the best performance. This shows the importance of selecting appropriate validation techniques for machine learning-based breast tumor classification. The results also indicate that the J48 decision tree method is the most accurate classifier, providing valuable insights for developing predictive models for cancer diagnosis and advancing computational medical research.

Survival Prediction of Rats with Hemorrhagic Shocks Using Support Vector Machine (지원벡터기계를 이용한 출혈을 일으킨 흰쥐에서의 생존 예측)

  • Jang, K.H.;Choi, J.L.;Yoo, T.K.;Kwon, M.K.;Kim, D.W.
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2012
  • Hemorrhagic shock is a common cause of death in emergency rooms. Early diagnosis of hemorrhagic shock makes it possible for physicians to treat patients successfully. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to select an optimal survival prediction model using physiological parameters for the two analyzed periods: two and five minutes before and after the bleeding end. We obtained heart rates, mean arterial pressures, respiration rates and temperatures from 45 rats. These physiological parameters were used for the training and testing data sets of survival prediction models using an artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM). We applied a 5-fold cross validation method to avoid over-fitting and to select the optimal survival prediction model. In conclusion, SVM model showed slightly better accuracy than ANN model for survival prediction during the entire analysis period.

A Study on Exploration of the Recommended Model of Decision Tree to Predict a Hard-to-Measure Mesurement in Anthropometric Survey (인체측정조사에서 측정곤란부위 예측을 위한 의사결정나무 추천 모형 탐지에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, J.H.;Kim, S.K.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.923-935
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to explore a recommended model of decision tree to predict a hard-to-measure measurement in anthropometric survey. We carry out an experiment on cross validation study to obtain a recommened model of decision tree. We use three split rules of decision tree, those are CHAID, Exhaustive CHAID, and CART. CART result is the best one in real world data.

Development of Machine Learning Ensemble Model using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능을 활용한 기계학습 앙상블 모델 개발)

  • Lee, K.W.;Won, Y.J.;Song, Y.B.;Cho, K.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.211-217
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    • 2021
  • To predict mechanical properties of secondary hardening martensitic steels, a machine learning ensemble model was established. Based on ANN(Artificial Neural Network) architecture, some kinds of methods was considered to optimize the model. In particular, interaction features, which can reflect interactions between chemical compositions and processing conditions of real alloy system, was considered by means of feature engineering, and then K-Fold cross validation coupled with bagging ensemble were investigated to reduce R2_score and a factor indicating average learning errors owing to biased experimental database.

Prediction of concrete compressive strength using non-destructive test results

  • Erdal, Hamit;Erdal, Mursel;Simsek, Osman;Erdal, Halil Ibrahim
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.407-417
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    • 2018
  • Concrete which is a composite material is one of the most important construction materials. Compressive strength is a commonly used parameter for the assessment of concrete quality. Accurate prediction of concrete compressive strength is an important issue. In this study, we utilized an experimental procedure for the assessment of concrete quality. Firstly, the concrete mix was prepared according to C 20 type concrete, and slump of fresh concrete was about 20 cm. After the placement of fresh concrete to formworks, compaction was achieved using a vibrating screed. After 28 day period, a total of 100 core samples having 75 mm diameter were extracted. On the core samples pulse velocity determination tests and compressive strength tests were performed. Besides, Windsor probe penetration tests and Schmidt hammer tests were also performed. After setting up the data set, twelve artificial intelligence (AI) models compared for predicting the concrete compressive strength. These models can be divided into three categories (i) Functions (i.e., Linear Regression, Simple Linear Regression, Multilayer Perceptron, Support Vector Regression), (ii) Lazy-Learning Algorithms (i.e., IBk Linear NN Search, KStar, Locally Weighted Learning) (iii) Tree-Based Learning Algorithms (i.e., Decision Stump, Model Trees Regression, Random Forest, Random Tree, Reduced Error Pruning Tree). Four evaluation processes, four validation implements (i.e., 10-fold cross validation, 5-fold cross validation, 10% split sample validation & 20% split sample validation) are used to examine the performance of predictive models. This study shows that machine learning regression techniques are promising tools for predicting compressive strength of concrete.

Computational Detection of Prokaryotic Core Promoters in Genomic Sequences

  • Kim Ki-Bong;Sim Jeong Seop
    • Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.411-416
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    • 2005
  • The high-throughput sequencing of microbial genomes has resulted in the relatively rapid accumulation of an enormous amount of genomic sequence data. In this context, the problem posed by the detection of promoters in genomic DNA sequences via computational methods has attracted considerable research attention in recent years. This paper addresses the development of a predictive model, known as the dependence decomposition weight matrix model (DDWMM), which was designed to detect the core promoter region, including the -10 region and the transcription start sites (TSSs), in prokaryotic genomic DNA sequences. This is an issue of some importance with regard to genome annotation efforts. Our predictive model captures the most significant dependencies between positions (allowing for non­adjacent as well as adjacent dependencies) via the maximal dependence decomposition (MDD) procedure, which iteratively decomposes data sets into subsets, based on the significant dependence between positions in the promoter region to be modeled. Such dependencies may be intimately related to biological and structural concerns, since promoter elements are present in a variety of combinations, which are separated by various distances. In this respect, the DDWMM may prove to be appropriate with regard to the detection of core promoter regions and TSSs in long microbial genomic contigs. In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of our predictive model, we applied 10-fold cross-validation experiments on the 607 experimentally-verified promoter sequences, which evidenced good performance in terms of sensitivity.

Prediction of movie audience numbers using hybrid model combining GLS and Bass models (GLS와 Bass 모형을 결합한 하이브리드 모형을 이용한 영화 관객 수 예측)

  • Kim, Bokyung;Lim, Changwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.447-461
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    • 2018
  • Domestic film industry sales are increasing every year. Theaters are the primary sales channels for movies and the number of audiences using the theater affects additional selling rights. Therefore, the number of audiences using the theater is an important factor directly linked to movie industry sales. In this paper we consider a hybrid model that combines a multiple linear regression model and the Bass model to predict the audience numbers for a specific day. By combining the two models, the predictive value of the regression analysis was corrected to that of the Bass model. In the analysis, three films with different release dates were used. All subset regression method is used to generate all possible combinations and 5-fold cross validation to estimate the model 5 times. In this case, the predicted value is obtained from the model with the smallest root mean square error and then combined with the predicted value of the Bass model to obtain the final predicted value. With the existence of past data, it was confirmed that the weight of the Bass model increases and the compensation is added to the predicted value.

Vulnerability Assessment for Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) in the Schools of the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea: Part II - Vulnerability Assessment for PM2.5 in the Schools (인공지능을 이용한 수도권 학교 미세먼지 취약성 평가: Part II - 학교 미세먼지 범주화)

  • Son, Sanghun;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_2
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    • pp.1891-1900
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    • 2021
  • Fine particulate matter (FPM; diameter ≤ 2.5 ㎛) is frequently found in metropolitan areas due to activities associated with rapid urbanization and population growth. Many adolescents spend a substantial amount of time at school where, for various reasons, FPM generated outdoors may flow into indoor areas. The aims of this study were to estimate FPM concentrations and categorize types of FPM in schools. Meteorological and chemical variables as well as satellite-based aerosol optical depth were analyzed as input data in a random forest model, which applied 10-fold cross validation and a grid-search method, to estimate school FPM concentrations, with four statistical indicators used to evaluate accuracy. Loose and strict standards were established to categorize types of FPM in schools. Under the former classification scheme, FPM in most schools was classified as type 2 or 3, whereas under strict standards, school FPM was mostly classified as type 3 or 4.