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Quantification of Climate Change Vulnerability Index for Extreme Weather - Focused on Typhoon case - (기후변화에 따른 극한기상의 취약성 지수 정량화 연구 - 태풍을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hee;Nam, Ki-Pyo;Lee, Jong-Jae
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.190-203
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    • 2015
  • VRI(Vulnerability-Resilience Index), which is defined as a function of 3 variables: climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, has been quantified for the case of Typhoon which is one of the extreme weathers that will become more serious as climate change proceeds. Because VRI is only indicating the relative importance of vulnerability between regions, the VRI quantification is prerequisite for the effective adaptation policy for climate in Korea. For this purpose, damage statistics such as amount of damage, occurrence frequency, and major damaged districts caused by Typhoon over the past 20 years, has been employed. According to the VRI definition, we first calculated VRI over every district in the case of both with and without weighting factors of climate exposure proxy variables. For the quantitative estimation of weighting factors, we calculated correlation coefficients (R) for each of the proxy variables against damage statistics of Typhoon, and then used R as weighting factors of proxy variables. The results without applying weighting factors indicates some biases between VRI and damage statistics in some regions, but most of biases has been improved by applying weighting factors. Finally, due to the relations between VRI and damage statistics, we are able to quantify VRI expressed as a unit of KRW, showing that VRI=1 is approximately corresponding to 500 hundred million KRW. This methodology of VRI quantification employed in this study, can be also practically applied to the number of future climate scenario studies over Korea.

Supply-Demand Forecasting of Principal Engineers in Construction Industry Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 건설 특급기술자 수급전망)

  • Kim, Sung-Tae;Lee, Hyun-Soo;An, Sun-Ju;Ryu, Han-Guk;Park, Moon-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2007
  • By prosperous condition of construction economy in the early 90s in Korea, the government needed a lot of the qualified professional engineers (PE) to manage the construction site. In order to meet the high demand of P.E., Government has established the admitted engineer systems(AES) in 1995 that give the authority of principal engineers to the admitted engineers who do not take the written examination but have equivalent working experience. Since 2000, professional $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ shortage has been resolved. however, the opposite situation, which is serious over-supply of construction engineers has occurred. Thus, Government announced that would abolish the admitted engineer systems as recognized the existent admitted engineers(about 1,000,000 persons) from 2007. However, Professional Engineers Institution has strongly insisted that Government should not recognize existent admitted engineers. From this point of view, it is critical to make the supply-demand forecast systems as a derivative approach of System Dynamics also, that is useful in comparing the argument between Government and Professional Engineers Institution. This paper describes about principal $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ supply change by admitted engineer system abrogation and suggests the idea to regulate the supply and demand with the improvement of the regal system.

Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on Groundwater recharge, Baseflow and Sediment in Steep Sloping Watershed (미래 기후변화에 따른 급경사지 유역에서의 지하수 함양, 기저유출 및 토양유실 평가)

  • Lee, Ji Min;Jung, Younghun;Park, Younshik;Kang, Hyunwoo;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2014
  • Climate change has caused detrimental phenomena such as heavy rainfall which could aggravate soil erosion. Accordingly, it is needed to evaluate the groundwater recharge, baseflow, and soil erosion for the efficient management of water resources and quality. In this study, future climate change scenarios were applied to the H aean-myeon watershed which is a steep sloping watershed in South Korea to analyze groundwater recharge, baseflow, sediment. Also, the variation of groundwater recharge, baseflow, sediment was analyzed according to the change of slope (5 %). Simulated periods were divided into three terms (2013 ~ 2040 years, 2041 ~ 2070 years, 2071 ~ 2100 years). As a result of this study, average groundwater recharge and baseflow increased by 50 %, 42 %, and sediment decreased by 72 %, respectively. In these regards, the suggested method will positively contribute to hydro-ecosystem and reduction of muddy water at a steep sloping watershed.

Development of Augmented Reality(AR)-based Tourism Contents using Local Cultural Resources (지역 문화유산을 활용한 증강현실 기반 관광 콘텐츠 개발)

  • Lee, Jongwook;Park, Hyun-Ah;Park, Kang-Ah
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.122-130
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    • 2018
  • As smart tourism is gaining more attention, there are increasing attempts to make use of augmented reality(AR) in tourism industry. However, existing AR-based tourism contents are only limited to the 'designated' cultural heritage, overlooking the value of undesignated cultural heritage lost in the past few decades of development era. This hinders expanding the scope of tourism contents and leads to the production of banal and similar contents. Given that, our study has developed tourism contents based on , an AR-based mobile application that enables participants to virtually visit the historical sites lost in the development era. The Chungmuro area, which the app is named after, is unique in character. The area has been famous for movie making for over 30 years until the '90s. It is abundant with movie-related cultural resources such as theaters and print shops, which makes the place where people wants to feel the glorious past. Through the app, participants are able to walk along the historic trail and take pictures at five virtual historic spots, among many others. We also examined participants' level of satisfaction and overall tourism experience. By taking the result into account, we hope that the AR-based tourism contents will increase in the future.

Digital Modulation Types Recognition using HOS and WT in Multipath Fading Environments (다중경로 페이딩 환경에서 HOS와 WT을 이용한 디지털 변조형태 인식)

  • Park, Cheol-Sun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the robust hybrid modulation type classifier which use both HOS and WT key features and can recognize 10 digitally modulated signals without a priori information in multipath fading channel conditions is proposed. The proposed classifier developed using data taken field measurements in various propagation model (i,e., rural area, small town and urban area) for real world scenarios. The 9 channel data are used for supervised training and the 6 channel data are used for testing among total 15 channel data(i.e., holdout-like method). The Proposed classifier is based on HOS key features because they are relatively robust to signal distortion in AWGN and multipath environments, and combined WT key features for classifying MQAM(M=16, 64, 256) signals which are difficult to classify without equalization scheme such as AMA(Alphabet Matched Algorithm) or MMA(Multi-modulus Algorithm. To investigate the performance of proposed classifier, these selected key features are applied in SVM(Support Vector Machine) which is known to having good capability of classifying because of mapping input space to hyperspace for margin maximization. The Pcc(Probability of correct classification) of the proposed classifier shows higher than those of classifiers using only HOS or WT key features in both training channels and testing channels. Especially, the Pccs of MQAM 3re almost perfect in various SNR levels.

Advanced Lane Change Assist System for Automatic Vehicle Control in Merging Sections : An algorithm for Optimal Lane Change Start Point Positioning (고속도로 합류구간 첨단 차로변경 보조 시스템 개발 : 최적 차로변경 시작 지점 Positioning 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Jeong, Jin-han;You, Sung-Hyun;Park, Janhg-Hyon;Young, Jhang-Kyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 2015
  • A lane change maneuver which has a high driver cognitive workload and skills sometimes leads to severe traffic accidents. In this study, the Advanced Lane Change Assist System (ALCAS) was developed to assist with the automatic lane changes in merging sections which is mainly based on an automatic control algorithm for detecting an available gap, determining the Optimal Lane Change Start Point (OLCSP) in various traffic conditions, and positioning the merging vehicle at the OLCSP safely by longitudinal automatic controlling. The analysis of lane change behavior and modeling of fundamental lane change feature were performed for determining the default parameters and the boundary conditions of the algorithm. The algorithm was composed of six steps with closed-loop. In order to confirm the algorithm performance, numerical scenario tests were performed in various surrounding vehicles conditions. Moreover, feasibility of the developed system was verified in microscopic traffic simulation(VISSIM 5.3 version). The results showed that merging vehicles using the system had a tendency to find the OLCSP readily and precisely, so improved merging performance was observed when the system was applied. The system is also effective even during increases in vehicle volume of the mainline.

A Study on Competitiveness and GHG Mitigation Effect of IGCC and Carbon Capture Technology According to Carbon Tax Change (탄소세 변화에 따른 IGCC와 이산화탄소 저감기술 진입경쟁력 및 온실가스 저감효과 분석)

  • Jeon, Young-Shin;Kim, Young-Chang;Kim, Hyung-Taek
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2008
  • After the Kyoto Protocol has been ratified in Feb. 16 2005, the developed countries which is involved in Annex-1 have tried to mitigate GHG to the reduction objective. To accomplish this objective, EU developed EU-ETS, CDM project, and so on. Korea has faced pressure to be a member of Annex-1, because Korea and Mexico are only non-Annex-1 countries in the OECD nations. In this study, we simulated power plant expansion plan and calculated $CO_2$ emission with changing Carbon Tax. Especially, we focused on the competitiveness of IGCC and carbon capture technology. In our result, even though carbon tax rise, nuclear power plant does not always increase, it increase up to minimum load. LNG combined cycle power plants substitute the coal fired power plants. If there are many alternatives like IGCC, these substitute a coal fired power plant and we can reduce more $CO_2$ and save mitigation cost.

Estimating Forest Site Productivity and Productive Areas of Quercus acutissima and Quercus mongolica Using Environmental Variables (환경요인에 의한 상수리나무와 신갈나무의 임지생산력 및 적지 추정)

  • Shin, Man-Yong;Sung, Joo-Han;Chun, Jung-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to estimate forest site productivity and productive areas of Quercus acutissima and Quercus mongolica using environmental factors including climatic variables. Using the data set from digital forest site map and forest climatic map, a total of 42 environmental variables were regressed on site index for developing the best site index equations for Quercus acutissima and Quercus mongolica. Five to six environmental factors by species were selected as independent variables in the best site index equations. For the site index equations, three evaluation statistics (i.e., mean difference, standard deviation of difference, and standard error of difference) were applied to the test data set for the validation of the results, The site index equations fitted well to the test data set with relatively low bias and variation. As a result, it was concluded that the site index equations by species were well capable of estimating site quality. Finally, based on the site index equations, the productive areas by species were estimated by applying GIS technique to the digital forest maps. In addition, the distribution of productive areas by species was illustrated.

A Study on the Evacuation Risk of Simultaneous Fires from Exterior (외장재에 의한 동시다발적인 화재의 피난위험성에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Se-Hong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2012
  • In order to study on the evacuation risk when connate fires caused by vertical fire spread of the exterior occurs, the egress simulations based on the relevant scenarios has carried out. As a result of it, ASET (permitted evacuation time) was reached in between 550 to 650 seconds in entire floors after vertical smoke spread from fire of combustible exteriors. In particular, ASET was 358 seconds in the first floor, 490 seconds in the six floor and 473 seconds in the tenth floor. In addition, five floors of all levels, the 1st floor, the 6th floor and the 28th floor ~30th floor, show RSET (minimum evacuation time) which is bigger than ASET as evacuation risk. This result presents occupants in high rise buildings with more than 15 floors might not be able to egress of them using staircases due to huge population attempting to evacuate simultaneously. Particularly, 699 people in the upper levels by smoke from the first floor are having difficulty escaping this building since ASET on the first floor adjacent to the ignition point was 358 seconds which is relatively reached fast. Considering a prevention method of the fire and smoke spread, architects have to use non-combustible exterior in the building's facade to be required as an active fire protection system.

Message Interoperability in e-Logistics System (e-Logistics시스템의 메시지 상호운용성)

  • Seo Sungbo;Lee Young Joon;Hwang Jaegak;Ryu Keun Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.436-450
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    • 2005
  • Existing B2B, B2C computer systems and applications that executed business trans-actions were the client- server based architecture which consists of heterogeneous hardware and software including personal computers and mainframes. Due to the active boom of electronic business, integration and compatibility of exchanged data, applications and hardwares have emerged as hot issue. This paper designs and implements a message transport system and a document transformation system in order to solve the interoperability problem of integrated logistics system in e-Business when doing electronic business. Message transport system integrated ebMS 2.0 which is standard business message exchange format of ebXML, the international standard electronic commerce framework, and JMS of J2EE enable to ensure reliable messaging. The document transformation system could convert non-standard XML documents into standard XML documents and provide the web services after integrating message system. Using suggested business scenario and various test data, our message oriented system preyed to be interoperable and stable. We participated ebXML messaging interoperability test organized by ebXML Asia Committee ITG in oder to evaluate and certify the suitability for message system.