• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2021

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A Study on the Model Specification for Supply-Demand Forecast of Hallabong Tangor in Korea (한라봉 수급전망 모형 개발 연구)

  • Ko, Seong-Bo;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.5163-5168
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study is to develop the supply-demand model(dynamic recursive simulation model) on the Hallabong tangor. In order to analyze the effects of alternative policy scenarios on the Hallabong tangor sector. Simulation runs were experimented for the period, 2011~2021, with three different scenarios. The major simulation results are as follows. The results of baseline show that in the year, 2021, acreage, production, price received by farm would be 2,051.5ha, 62,049.1 ton, 2,537.4 won per kg respectively. The results of scenario I (shipping control scenario) show that in the year, 2021, acreage, production, price received by farm would be 2,079.4ha, 62,984.9 ton, 2,836.3 won per kg respectively. The results of scenario II(the rate of economic growth 3.5%) show that in the year, 2021, acreage, production, price received by farm would be 2,039.5ha, 61,647.5 ton, 2,417.3 won per kg respectively. Finally, The results of scenario III(Survey of experts) show that in the year, 2021, acreage, production, price received by farm would be 2,053.7ha, 62,124.4 ton, 2,574.8 won per kg respectively. Therefore, economic recession can be a negative role in the industrial growth and price of Halabong tangor, but expansion of Hallabong tagor's export and processing can be a very positive role in the industrial growth and price of Halabong tangor.

Convergence Study on Koreans' Recognition of Funeral Culture Industry and Development Plan (한국인의 장례문화산업 인식과 개발 방안에 대한 융합 연구)

  • Song, Hyun-Dong;Kim, Moon-Joon;Jo, Gee-yong;Chang, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kwang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to present a plan to develop the funeral culture industry based on the results of a survey on the contents of funeral culture awareness, funeral culture industry development, and funeral culture education according to age groups. The survey in this study was researched by Gallup Korea, and the survey method was an online research using a structured questionnaire. The survey was conducted twice, from February 5, 2021 to February 8, 2021, and from February 18, 2021 to February 19, 2021. The effective subjects are 316, and the sampling method is allocated by sex and age. As a result of the study, cremation was preferred by all age groups, and the places where cremated remains were placed were high in the natural burials and ossuary hall. Although there are some differences by age groups, it was surveyed that generally, the elderly than the younger were less reluctant to sign up for condolence products, funerals in life, farewell trips, purchase farewell travel products, funeral insurance, and counsel with death-related experts. The results of this study are expected to contribute to interdisciplinary convergence research on the recognition and development of the funeral culture industry.

Spatio-temporal potential future drought prediction using machine learning for time series data forecast in Abomey-calavi (South of Benin)

  • Agossou, Amos;Kim, Do Yeon;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.268-268
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    • 2021
  • Groundwater resource is mostly used in Abomey-calavi (southern region of Benin) as main source of water for domestic, industrial, and agricultural activities. Groundwater intake across the region is not perfectly controlled by a network due to the presence of many private boreholes and traditional wells used by the population. After some decades, this important resource is becoming more and more vulnerable and needs more attention. For a better groundwater management in the region of Abomey-calavi, the present study attempts to predict a future probable groundwater drought using Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) for future groundwater level prediction. The RNN model was created in python using jupyter library. Six years monthly groundwater level data was used for the model calibration, two years data for the model test and the model was finaly used to predict two years future groundwater level (years 2020 and 2021). GRI was calculated for 9 wells across the area from 2012 to 2021. The GRI value in dry season (by the end of March) showed groundwater drought for the first time during the study period in 2014 as severe and moderate; from 2015 to 2021 it shows only moderate drought. The rainy season in years 2020 and 2021 is relatively wet and near normal. GRI showed no drought in rainy season during the study period but an important diminution of groundwater level between 2012 and 2021. The Pearson's correlation coefficient calculated between GRI and rainfall from 2005 to 2020 (using only three wells with times series long period data) proved that the groundwater drought mostly observed in dry season is not mainly caused by rainfall scarcity (correlation values between -0.113 and -0.083), but this could be the consequence of an overexploitation of the resource which caused the important spatial and temporal diminution observed from 2012 to 2021.

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Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on routine immunization services in a tertiary care hospital of Rajasthan, India

  • Madhvi Dhamania;Kusum Gaur
    • Clinical and Experimental Vaccine Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.313-318
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Globally, 25 million children were either unvaccinated or under-vaccinated in year 2021. Among them, India had the highest number of children unvaccinated. Studies have shown impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on routine health-care services. Present study aimed to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on utilization of routine immunization services during years 2020 and 2021 in tertiary-care facility. Materials and Methods: Record based descriptive analytic study was conducted at pediatric tertiary-care hospital, Jaipur. Data of children vaccinated as per the National Immunization Schedule for the period January 2019 to December 2021 were retrieved from the immunization records. Doses administered were assessed as a proxy measure of vaccine coverage. The vaccination trends of 2020 and 2021 were compared assuming base year 2019. Unpaired t-test of significance and Pearson correlation was used for correlation analysis. Results: There was significant drop in the vaccine counts after emergence of COVID-19 pandemic. In year 2020 and 2021, mean monthly vaccine count was 2,190±715.1 and 2,305±393.2, respectively, in which maximum drop was in April 2020 (-79.12%) and May 2021 (-57.16%) when it was compared with matched month of base year. There was negative correlation between percent change in vaccine count and COVID-19 cases in 2020 (r=-0.057, p=0.861) and 2021 (r=-0.827, p=0.001) as compared to year 2019. Conclusion: Study concludes that there was a significant gap in utilization of routine immunization services during the COVID-19 pandemic. This necessitates planning and management of routine immunization services in-case of future pandemics to avoid resurgence of vaccine-preventable diseases in the Rajasthan.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Young-old and Old-old Injured Patients in Korea: Focusing on 2021 Discharge Injury Statistics (2004~2021) (우리나라 전·후기 노인 손상환자 특성분석: 2021 퇴원손상통계(2004~2021년) 자료를 중심으로)

  • Jongsuk LEE
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzed data from the Korea National Hospital Discharge In-depth Injury Survey (KNHDIS) (2004~2021) and found that for the young-old with disabilities, the location of injury was roads and main roads, the activity at the time of injury was daily life, the mechanism of injury was falling and the type of transportation accident was collision with passenger cars. In the old-old, the characteristics by type of injury were fractures, the intentionality of the injury was unintentional, the place of injury was residence, the activity at the time of injury was daily life, the mechanism of injury was falling and the type of transportation accident was pedestrian. In conclusion, the old-old were more likely to suffer injuries at home and in daily life than the young-old with disabilities, and old-old injured patients were more active than the old-old, resulting in higher falls and transportation accidents and older seniors were more likely to have pedestrian accidents. Based on the information collected from the young-old and old-old, it is believed that efforts to prevent damage that consider the characteristics of the elderly are necessary.