• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률 모델

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Basic Data Analysis of the Quality Control for Patient Safety in Department of Radiation Oncologyat Yeungnam University Hospital (영남대학교병원의 환자안전을 위한 정도관리의 기초자료 분석)

  • Oh, Se An;Kim, Sung Kyu;Yea, Ji Woon;Kang, Min Kyu;Lee, Joon Ha;Lee, Rena
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.112-117
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    • 2015
  • In order to establish the quality control on patient safety following the guideline presented by American Association of Physicists in Medicine (AAPM) TG-100 committee, we aim to analyze the modes based on errors occurred during treatment of patients at the radiation oncology department at Yeungnam University Hospital and establish a quality control guideline for patient safety when patient-centered radiation treatment is conducted. We aim to analyze the errors that can occur during radiation treatment at the radiation department, and assess the frequency of error, the severity of error affecting patients, and probability of proceeding without noticing error, with scores. The places where errors can take place were divided into CT simulation treatment room, treatment planning room, and treatment room for the analysis. In CT simulation treatment room, an error from using the immobilization device showed the highest Risk Priority Number (RPN) value of 60, and an error from simulation treatment information input showed the lowest of 6. In treatment planning room, an error from selecting the radiation dose calculation model showed the highest RPN value of 168, and an error of patient treatment start date showed the lowest of 36. In treatment room, a Table Bar error showed the highest RPN value of 252, a weight change error showed 190, and a Pillow error showed the lowest of 24.

Seismic Evaluation of Steel Moment Frame Buildings based on Different Response Modification Factors and Fundamental Periods (반응수정계수와 주기의 영향에 대한 철골모멘트저항골조 건물의 내진성능평가)

  • Shin, Ji-Wook;Lee, Ki-Hak;Lee, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2008
  • This study was performed to evaluate the effect of Response modification factors (R-factor) in 3-, 9- and 20- story steel Moment Resisting Frame (MRF) buildings. Each structure was designed using a R-factor of 8, as tabulated in the 2000 International Building Code provision (IBC 2000) and Korea Building Code (KBC) 2008. In order to evaluate the maximum and minimum performance expected for such structures, an upper bound and lower bound design were adopted for each model. Next, each analytical model was designed using different R-factors (8, 9, 10, 11, 12) and four different structural periods with the original fundamental period. For a detailed case study, a total of 150 analytical models were subjected to 20 ground motions representing a hazard level with a 2% probability of being exceeded in 50 years. In order to evaluate the performance of the structures, static push-over and non-linear time history analysis (NTHA) were performed, and displacement ductility demand was investigated to consider the ductility capacity of the structures. The results show that the dynamic behaviors for the 3- and 9-story buildings are relatively stable and conservative, while the 20-story buildings show a large displacement ductility demand due to dynamic instability factors. (e.g. P-delta effect and high mode effect)

Fingerprint Segmentation and Ridge Orientation Estimation with a Mobile Camera for Fingerprint Recognition (모바일 카메라를 이용한 지문인식을 위한 지문영역 추출 및 융선방향 추출 알고리즘)

  • Lee Chulhan;Lee Sanghoon;Kim Jaihie;Kim Sung-Jae
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2005
  • Fingerprint segmentation and ridge orientation estimation algorithms with images from a mobile camera are proposed. The fingerprint images from a mobile camera are quite different from those from conventional sensor, called touch based sensor such as optical, capacitive, and thermal. For example, the images from a mobile camera are colored and the backgrounds or non-finger regions are very erratic depending on how the image capture time and place. Also the contrast between ridge and valley of a mobile camera image are lower than that of touch based sensor image. To segment fingerprint region, we first detect the initial region using color information and texture information. The LUT (Look Up Table) is used to model the color distribution of fingerprint images using manually segmented images and frequency information is extracted to discriminate between in focused fingerprint regions and out of focused background regions. With the detected initial region, the region growing algerian is executed to segment final fingerprint region. In fingerprint orientation estimation, the problem of gradient based method is very sensitive to outlier that occurred by scar and camera noise. To solve this problem, we propose a robust regression method that removes the outlier iteratively and effectively. In the experiments, we evaluated the result of the proposed fingerprint segmentation algerian using 600 manually segmented images and compared the orientation algorithms in terms of recognition accuracy.

Speaker-Independent Korean Digit Recognition Using HCNN with Weighted Distance Measure (가중 거리 개념이 도입된 HCNN을 이용한 화자 독립 숫자음 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 김도석;이수영
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.1422-1432
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    • 1993
  • Nonlinear mapping function of the HCNN( Hidden Control Neural Network ) can change over time to model the temporal variability of a speech signal by combining the nonlinear prediction of conventional neural networks with the segmentation capability of HMM. We have two things in this paper. first, we showed that the performance of the HCNN is better than that of HMM. Second, the HCNN with its prediction error measure given by weighted distance is proposed to use suitable distance measure for the HCNN, and then we showed that the superiority of the proposed system for speaker-independent speech recognition tasks. Weighted distance considers the differences between the variances of each component of the feature vector extraced from the speech data. Speaker-independent Korean digit recognition experiment showed that the recognition rate of 95%was obtained for the HCNN with Euclidean distance. This result is 1.28% higher than HMM, and shows that the HCNN which models the dynamical system is superior to HMM which is based on the statistical restrictions. And we obtained 97.35% for the HCNN with weighted distance, which is 2.35% better than the HCNN with Euclidean distance. The reason why the HCNN with weighted distance shows better performance is as follows : it reduces the variations of the recognition error rate over different speakers by increasing the recognition rate for the speakers who have many misclassified utterances. So we can conclude that the HCNN with weighted distance is more suit-able for speaker-independent speech recognition tasks.

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A development of Bayesian Copula model for a bivariate drought frequency analysis (이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 위한 Bayesian Copula 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jin-Guk;Cho, Young-Hyun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.745-758
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    • 2017
  • The copula-based models have been successfully applied to hydrological modeling including drought frequency analysis and time series modeling. However, uncertainty estimation associated with the parameters of these model is not often properly addressed. In these context, the main purposes of this study are to develop the Bayesian inference scheme for bivariate copula functions. The main applications considered are two-fold: First, this study developed and tested an approach to copula model parameter estimation within a Bayesian framework for drought frequency analysis. The proposed modeling scheme was shown to correctly estimate model parameters and detect the underlying dependence structure of the assumed copula functions in the synthetic dataset. The model was then used to estimate the joint return period of the recent 2013~2015 drought events in the Han River watershed. The joint return period of the drought duration and drought severity was above 100 years for many of stations. The results obtained in the validation process showed that the proposed model could effectively reproduce the underlying distribution of observed extreme rainfalls as well as explicitly account for parameter uncertainty in the bivariate drought frequency analysis.

Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 일강우량의 지역빈도해석)

  • Song, Chang Woo;Kim, Yon Soo;Kang, Na Rae;Lee, Dong Ryul;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • Global warming and climate change have influence on abnormal weather pattern and the rainstorm has a localized and intensive tendency in Korea. IPCC(2007) also reported the rainstorm and typhoon will be more and more stronger due to temperature increase during the 21st century. Flood Estimation Handbook(Institute of Hydrology, 1999) published in United Kingdom, in the case that the data period is shorter than return period, recommends the regional frequency analysis rather than point frequency analysis. This study uses Regional Climate Model(RCM) of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) for obtaining the rainfall and for performing the regional frequency analysis. We used the rainfall data from 58 stations managed by KMA and used L-moment algorithm suggested by Hosking and wallis(1993) for the regional frequency analysis considering the climate change. As the results, in most stations, the rainfall amounts in frequencies have an increasing tendency except for some stations. According to the A1B scenario, design rainfall is increased by 7~10% compared with the reference period(1970-2010).

Computation of Maximum Edible Time using Monitoring Data of Staphylococcus aureus in Kimbap and Food MicroModel (Food $MicroModel^\circledR$과 황색포도상구균의 모니터링 자료를 활용한 시중 유통 김밥의 최대섭취유효시간 산정)

  • 이효민;이근영;윤은경;김현정;강윤숙;이동하;박종석;이순호;우건조
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2004
  • The prevention of infectious disease from contaminated foods is very important in public health. Quantitative microbial risk assessment has been used in advance countries to achieve the safety of public health against hazardous microbial causing contaminated foods. This study was conducted to estimate maximum edible time without producing enterotoxin from Staphylococcus aureus in Kimbap selling at different domestic store using Food MicroModel and monitoring data and to compute maximum edible time by temperature with 99th percentile safety probability based on only restaurant data. For estimating maximum edible time, model operation conditions like reaching time at 2 ${\times}$ 10$^{7}$ , which enterotoxin was known as producing point from S. aureus, temperature of 28∼3$0^{\circ}C$, pH 5.2, NaCl 0.22%, aw(water activity) 0.99, and intaking one serving size of 171g in Kimbap were considered. Estimated maximum edible times by regarding outdoor temperature in summer were 3.9∼4.6 hrs in restaurant, 6.7∼7.9 hrs in department store and 7.4∼8.7 hrs in convenient store. Based on restaurant data, estimated maximum edible times with 99th percentile safety probability by temperature were 1.9 hrs in 3$0^{\circ}C$ and 17.7 hrs in 15$^{\circ}C$.

Seismic Fragility Evaluation of Inverted T-type Wall with a Backfill Slope Considering Site Conditions (사면 경사도가 있는 뒷채움토와 지반특성을 고려한 역T형 옹벽의 지진시 취약도 평가)

  • Seo, Hwanwoo;Kim, Byungmin;Park, Duhee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.533-541
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    • 2021
  • Retaining walls have been used to prevent slope failure through resistance of earth pressure in railway, road, nuclear power plant, dam, and river infrastructure. To calculate dynamic earth pressure and determine the characteristics for seismic behavior, many researchers have analyzed the nonlinear response of ground and structure based on various numerical analyses (FLAC, PLAXIS, ABAQUS etc). In addition, seismic fragility evaluation is performed to ensure safety against earthquakes for structures. In this study, we used the FLAC2D program to understand the seismic response of the inverted T-type wall with a backfill slope, and evaluated seismic fragility based on relative horizontal displacements of the wall. Nonlinear site response analysis was performed for each site (S2 and S4) using the seven ground motions to calculate various seismic loadings reflecting site characteristics. The numerical model was validated based on other numerical models, experiment results, and generalized formula for dynamic active earth pressure. We also determined the damage state and damage index based on the height of retaining wall, and developed the seismic fragility curves. The damage probabilities of the retaining wall for the S4 site were computed to be larger than those for the S2 site.

Flow-Induced Noise Prediction for Submarines (잠수함 형상의 유동소음 해석기법 연구)

  • Yeo, Sang-Jae;Hong, Suk-Yoon;Song, Jee-Hun;Kwon, Hyun-Wung;Seol, Hanshin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.930-938
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    • 2018
  • Underwater noise radiated from submarines is directly related to the probability of being detected by the sonar of an enemy vessel. Therefore, minimizing the noise of a submarine is essential for improving survival outcomes. For modern submarines, as the speed and size of a submarine increase and noise reduction technology is developed, interest in flow noise around the hull has been increasing. In this study, a noise analysis technique was developed to predict flow noise generated around a submarine shape considering the free surface effect. When a submarine is operated near a free surface, turbulence-induced noise due to the turbulence of the flow and bubble noise from breaking waves arise. First, to analyze the flow around a submarine, VOF-based incompressible two-phase flow analysis was performed to derive flow field data and the shape of the free surface around the submarine. Turbulence-induced noise was analyzed by applying permeable FW-H, which is an acoustic analogy technique. Bubble noise was derived through a noise model for breaking waves based on the turbulent kinetic energy distribution results obtained from the CFD results. The analysis method developed was verified by comparison with experimental results for a submarine model measured in a Large Cavitation Tunnel (LCT).

Proposal and Analysis of Primality and Safe Primality test using Sieve of Euler (오일러체를 적용한 소수와 안전소수의 생성법 제안과 분석)

  • Jo, Hosung;Lee, Jiho;Park, Heejin
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.438-447
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    • 2019
  • As the IoT-based hyper-connected society grows, public-key cryptosystem such as RSA is frequently used for encryption, authentication, and digital signature. Public-key cryptosystem use very large (safe) prime numbers to ensure security against malicious attacks. Even though the performance of the device has greatly improved, the generation of a large (safe)prime is time-consuming or memory-intensive. In this paper, we propose ET-MR and ET-MR-MR using Euler sieve so it runs faster while using less memory. We present a running time prediction model by probabilistic analysis and compare time and memory of our method with conventional methods. Experimental results show that the difference between the expected running time and the measured running time is less than 4%. In addition, the fastest running time of ET-MR is 36% faster than that of TD-MR, 8.5% faster than that of DT-MR and the fastest running time of ET-MR-MR is 65.3% faster than that of TD-MR-MR and similar to that of DT-MR-MR. When k=12,381, the memory usage of ET-MR is 2.7 times more than that of DT-MR but 98.5% less than that of TD-MR and when k=65,536, the memory usage of ET-MR-MR is 98.48% less than that of TD-MR-MR and 92.8% less than that of DT-MR-MR.