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http://dx.doi.org/10.17663/JWR.2013.15.1.125

Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall Under Climate Change  

Song, Chang Woo (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha university)
Kim, Yon Soo (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha university)
Kang, Na Rae (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha university)
Lee, Dong Ryul (Water Resources Research Division, Korea Institute of Construction Technology)
Kim, Hung Soo (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha university)
Publication Information
Journal of Wetlands Research / v.15, no.1, 2013 , pp. 125-137 More about this Journal
Abstract
Global warming and climate change have influence on abnormal weather pattern and the rainstorm has a localized and intensive tendency in Korea. IPCC(2007) also reported the rainstorm and typhoon will be more and more stronger due to temperature increase during the 21st century. Flood Estimation Handbook(Institute of Hydrology, 1999) published in United Kingdom, in the case that the data period is shorter than return period, recommends the regional frequency analysis rather than point frequency analysis. This study uses Regional Climate Model(RCM) of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) for obtaining the rainfall and for performing the regional frequency analysis. We used the rainfall data from 58 stations managed by KMA and used L-moment algorithm suggested by Hosking and wallis(1993) for the regional frequency analysis considering the climate change. As the results, in most stations, the rainfall amounts in frequencies have an increasing tendency except for some stations. According to the A1B scenario, design rainfall is increased by 7~10% compared with the reference period(1970-2010).
Keywords
Climate Change; Climate Indices; KMA-RegCM3(Regional Climate Model); Regional Frequency Analysis;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
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