• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.10 no.3
• /
• pp.123-134
• /
• 2006

In this study ship collision risk analysis is performed to determine the design vessel for collision impact analysis of the maritime bridge. Method II which is a probability based analysis procedure is used to select the design vessel for collision impact from the risk analysis results. The analysis procedure, an iterative process in which a computed annual frequency of collapse(AF) is compared to the acceptance criterion, includes allocation method of acceptance criterion of annual frequency of bridge component collapse. The AF allocation by weights seems to be more reasonable than the pylon concentration allocation method because this AF allocation takes the design parameter characteristics quantitatively into consideration although the pylon concentration allocation method brings more economical results when the overestimated design collision strength of piers compared to the strength of pylon is moderately modified. From the assessment of ship collision risk for each bridge pier exposed to ship collision, a representative design vessel for all bridge components is selected. The design vessel size varies much from each other in the same bridge structure depending upon the vessel traffic characteristics.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
• /
• v.23 no.3
• /
• pp.115-135
• /
• 2015

In the technological cycle model, a technological discontinuity leads to the inception of industry evolution. Before the emergence of de facto standard, it is defined as era of ferment, while era of incremental change is defined after the emergence. In the era of ferment, market and product have high uncertainties, but the competition becomes fiercer in the era of incremental change. Hence, new or revised managerial strategies are required before and after the de facto standard. However, our understanding is limited. In this study, we explore determinants of firm survival after the emergence of de facto standard. We test these using 6650 product/year observations from 1983 to 2002. The results reveal that entry before the emergence of de facto standard, and the number of product in the market will increase exit rate. However, the number of company will reduce exit rate. Our findings illustrate distinctive characteristics of the industry after the emergence of de facto standard. We'll discuss academic and political implications in the last section of this paper.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
• /
• 2010.06c
• /
• pp.380-384
• /
• 2010

기후온난화, 국지성 호우 및 대규모 태풍으로 인한 피해가 증대되면서 사회 경제적 손실 또한 날로 증가하고 있어 재해로 인한 피해 발생가능성을 효율적으로 예측하는 모델을 통한 선제적 대응이 필요하다. 재난 재해의 위험성 분석 방법은 주로 확률 통계기법을 기반으로 하는 연구가 주류를 이루었으나, 본 논문에서는 포착된 현상의 데이터를 이용해 그 데이터를 지배하는 경험적 규칙성을 학습하고 획득하는데 다른 기법보다 탁월한 성능을 가진 신경망 모델을 적용하여 자연재해 피해예측 모델을 연구하였다. 1991년부터 2005년 사이에 우리나라에서 발생한 자연재해의 피해자료와 기상개황 자료를 이용하여 지역별 자연재해로 인한 피해를 예측하는 신경망 모델은 우리나라 232개 행정구역에 대하여 누적강우량과 최대풍속, 그리고 재해사상 발생 5일 이내의 선행강우량을 입력변수로 하고 총 피해액을 출력변수로 한다. 또한 학습을 통한 최적의 해를 찾기 위해 신경망의 매개변수 학습률, 모멘텀, 편의값을 유전자알고리즘으로 결정하여 학습을 수행 하였다.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
• /
• v.29 no.5
• /
• pp.1179-1189
• /
• 2019

Cyber security evaluation is a series of processes that estimate the level of risk of assets and systems through asset analysis, threat analysis and vulnerability analysis and apply appropriate security measures. In order to prepare for increasing cyber attacks, systematic cyber security evaluation is required. Various indicators for measuring cyber security level such as CWSS and CVSS have been developed, but the quantitative method to apply appropriate security measures according to the risk priority through the standardized security evaluation result is insufficient. It is needed that an Scoring system taking into consideration the characteristics of the target assets, the applied environment, and the impact on the assets. In this paper, we propose a quantitative risk assessment model based on the analysis of existing cyber security scoring system and a method for quantification of assessment factors to apply to the established model. The level of qualitative attribute elements required for cyber security evaluation is expressed as a value through security requirement weight by AHP, threat influence, and vulnerability element applying probability. It is expected that the standardized cyber security evaluation system will be established by supplementing the limitations of the quantitative method of applying the statistical data through the proposed method.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
• /
• v.49 no.2
• /
• pp.7-12
• /
• 2012

Recently the medical field to efficiently process the vast amounts of information to decision trees, neural networks, Bayesian Networks, including the application method of various data mining techniques are investigated. In addition, the basic personal information or patient history, family history, in addition to information such as MRI, HRCT images and additional information to collect and leverage in the diagnosis of disease, improved diagnostic accuracy is to promote a common status. But in real world situations that affect the results much because of the variable exists for a particular data mining techniques to obtain information through the enemy can be seen fairly limited. Medical images were taken as well as a minor can not give a positive impact on the diagnosis, but the proportion increased subjective judgments by the automated system is to deal with difficult issues. As a result of a complex reality, the situation is more advantageous to deal with the relative probability of the multivariate model based on Bayesian network, or TAN in the K2 search algorithm improves due to expansion model has been proposed. At this point, depending on the type of search algorithm applied significantly influenced the performance characteristics of the extended Bayesian network, the performance and suitability of each technique for evaluation of the facts is required. In this paper, we extend the Bayesian network for diagnosis of diseases using the same data were carried out, K2, TAN and changes in search algorithms such as classification accuracy was measured. In the 10-fold cross-validation experiment was performed to compare the performance evaluation based on the analysis and the onset of high-risk classification for patients with HRCT images could be possible to identify high-risk data.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
• /
• v.7 no.2 s.19
• /
• pp.33-41
• /
• 2003

There exists high hazard when transporting LPG as well as using, storing, and producing. For small scale LPG consumer, retailers deliver LPG to customers via a truck loading many LPG cylinders. Suppose there occurred a accident during LPG cylinder transfer, this could result in serious damages to the life and properties in the near or neighbor of the accident spot. In this regard, we made a quantitative risk analysis to estimate the possible damages and the probability through the identification of accidents causes and the simulation of the possible scenario. In this study, we made the Excel & Visual Basic computer program to perform quantitative LPG accident analysis. The simulation showed the following results. In case of UVCE(Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosion), the effect within l0m of the accident spot showed very severe structural damages and even the accident can break the window glasses of the area of 150 m apart from accident spot. In case of TNT corresponding probit analysis, after 10 minutes LPG leaking, $75\%$ window glasses of 40 m distance was expected to be broken. And $16\%$ frames of 20m distance, $10\%$ frames of 40m distance was expected to be collapsed.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.18 no.1
• /
• pp.10-18
• /
• 2022

Purpose: For smooth performance of flood analysis due to heavy rain disasters at energy storage facilities in the Incheon area, field surveys, observational surveys, and pre-established reports and drawings were analyzed. Through the field survey, the characteristics of pipelines and rivers that have not been identified so far were investigated, and based on this, the input data of the SWMM model selected for inundation analysis was constructed. Method: In order to determine the critical duration through the probability flood analysis according to the calculation of the probability rainfall intensity by recurrence period and duration, it is necessary to calculate the probability rainfall intensity for an arbitrary duration by frequency, so the research results of the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs were utilized. Result: Based on this, the probability of rainfall by frequency and duration was extracted, the critical duration was determined through flood analysis, and the rainfall amount suggested in the disaster prevention performance target was applied to enable site safety review. Conclusion: The critical duration of the base was found to be a relatively short duration of 30 minutes due to the very gentle slope of the watershed. In general, if the critical duration is less than 30 minutes, even if flooding occurs, the scale of inundation is not large.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
• /
• 2023.11a
• /
• pp.73-74
• /
• 2023

본 논문에서는 음향센서를 기반으로 한 지하시설물 화재 위험감지 방법을 제안하였다. 음향센서는 진동이나 광센서처럼 접촉식이 아니기 때문에 결로가 발생하고 있는 취약구간에 설치하여 보다 효율적으로 활용이 가능하고 지하시설물 내부에 설치된 기기나 장비들과 상호작용하거나 간섭하지 않기 때문에 안전하게 관리가 가능하다. 이러한 특징으로 지하 시설물에서 내 통행이 불편하여 관리하기 힘든 구간이나 결로가 많아 화재안전에 주의가 필요한 곳에 설치하여 전기스파크 발생 감지를통해 재난이 발생하기 이전 화재위험을 감지하는 방법론 중 하나가 될 수 있다. 제안하는 방법은 음향 센서를 통해 지하공동구 안에서 발생하는 소리들을 수집하고 일정한 길이의 시간 단위 프레임들로 분할한 후 분석하여 전기스파크의 특징 벡터를 도출한다. 전기스파크 감지 모델로는 전기스파크 신호의 지역적 특성을 포착할 수 있도록 2D-CNN 구조를 사용하며 모델에서 출력된 전기 스파크 발생 예측확률을 분할된 단위 프레임 따라 계산하여 융합한다. 이로 인해 높은 정확도의 전기스파크 감지 정밀도를 얻을 수 있으며, 이는 전기 스파크에 의한 화재 이벤트 감지 있어서 효과적인 센싱 기술임을 알 수 있다.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
• /
• v.15 no.3
• /
• pp.207-221
• /
• 2020

This study conducted a meta-analysis on the effects of innovation, risk-taking, and enterprising on entrepreneurship. From 2013 to 2020, 392 papers, which were judged as quantitative research from doctoral and master thesis, and academic journals published in Korea were selected as research subjects. 28 duplicates of thesis and thesis are excluded. A total of 52 papers were finally selected, excluding 312 papers that were insufficient to be used as research data because there were no statistical values such as correlation coefficients. For the 52 selected papers, the homogeneity of the variables was first verified. As a result of the homogeneity test, the innovativeness, risk-taking, initiative, and entrepreneurship education all showed great effects on heterogeneity, and the average effect size was analyzed by random effect model. The average effect size analyzed was 0.38 ~ 0.49, and all four variables showed moderate average effect size. As a result of analyzing the average effect size by forest plot, all showed proper results. From the results of funnel plot analysis of entrepreneurship education, published errors were confirmed asymmetric. Research data on entrepreneurship education shows that it cannot represent the whole. It is a structural equation model with entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial intention as a parameter. Iinnovation and risk-taking have an impact on entrepreneurship by taking entrepreneurship education as a parameter. Initiative had an effect on the entrepreneurial intention a business, regardless of entrepreneurship education. In a number of studies, university entrepreneurship education has had an impact on the entrepreneurial intention. It should be changed to entrepreneurship education that combines theory and practice. Entrepreneurship education should be transformed into continuous and field-oriented education.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
• /
• v.16 no.1
• /
• pp.17-27
• /
• 2015

Recently, Korean government has tried out to set up earthquake hazards prevention system. In the system, several geotechnical hazard maps including liquefaction hazard map and landslide hazard map for the whole country have drawn to consider the domestic seismic characteristics. To draw the macro liquefaction hazard map, big data of site investigations in metropolitan areas and provincial areas has to be verified for its application. In this research, we carried out site response analyses using 522 borehole site investigation data in S city during a desirable earthquake. The soil classification was separately compared to shear wave velocity considering the uncertainty of site investigation data. Probability distribution and statistical analysis for the results of site response analyses was applied to the feasibility study. Finally, we suggest a new site amplification coefficient, hereby presented with the similar results of liquefaction hazard mapping using the calculated liquefaction potential index by the site response analyses. Above-mentioned study will be expected to help to follow research and draw liquefaction hazard map in moderate seismic region.