• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.23 no.7
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• pp.1755-1763
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• 1998

The rain attenuatio of a radio channel above 10 GHz can have impact on the availability of the radio channel. The severity of the rain impairments increases with frequency and varies with regional location. This paper presents an estimation method for rain attenuation for millimeter-wave propagation in domestic environments. the dropsize distribution is assumed to be exponential, and the measurement data in the various countries which are simlar to the domestic environments are compared with the theoretical one by varying the dropsize distribution. A rain-rate conversion model which can convert .tau.-minutes rain-rate data to 1-minute rain-rate data for domestic environments is also discussed. Using the converted domestic rain-rate data, probabilty distributions of rain attenuation are computed.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.547-554
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• 2016

This study considered how to estimate the deterioration rate of the track quality index, which represents track geometric irregularity. Most existing studies have used a simple linear regression and regarded the slope of the regression equation as the progress rate. In this paper, we present a Bayesian approach to estimate the track irregularity progress. This Bayesian approach has many advantages, among which the biggest is that it can formally include the prior distribution of parameters which can be derived from historic data or from expert experiences; then, the rate can be expressed as a probability distribution. We investigated the possibility of applying the Bayesian method to the estimation of the deterioration rate by comparing our bayesian approach to the conventional linear regression approach.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.368-368
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• 2021

기후 변화로 인한 극한사상의 크기와 빈도 변화를 예측하는 것은 수공 인프라 설계에 있어 주된 관심사 중 하나이다. 보통 극한사상에 대한 강도, 빈도, 지속시간에 대한 정보가 필요하며, 이는 일반적으로 IDF(Intensity-Duration-Frequency) 곡선으로부터 추출된다. 최근 CMIP(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) 6단계에서 새로운 이산화탄소 배출 시나리오와 업데이트된 기후모델을 이용하여 미래의 기후에 대한 예측 시계열을 발표했으므로, 미래 기후 변화 시나리오를 기반으로 IDF 곡선을 새로 추정하고 미래 기간의 변화를 평가할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국의 40개 지역에 대해 일단위 자료를 시단위로 축소(downscaling)한 후, 확률론적 일기생성기(stochastic weather generator)를 이용하여 30년 시단위 시계열을 100개의 앙상블로 생성하였다. 생성된 시계열로부터 연최대강수량 시계열을 재구성하여 GEV 분포와 gumbel 분포에 적용하였다. 적합도 검정(Anderson-Darling(AD) 검정 및 Kolmogorov-Smirnov(KS) 검정)을 수행하였으며, 과거 자료를 기반으로 생성된 IDF 곡선과 비교 검증하였다. CMIP5의 기후변화 자료를 사용한 결과와 CMIP6 기후변화의 결과를 비교하였으며, 본 연구의 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) 향후 강우 강도는 증가할 것이며 강우 강도의 증가는 말기에 현저하게 관찰될 것이다. (2) 시간별 강우 강도의 미래 변화가 일단위 강우 강도보다 더 크다. (3) 강우 강도의 불확실성을 정량화하기 위해 앙상블을 사용해야 한다. (4) 강우 강도의 미래 변화에 대한 공간적인 경향이 확인된다. 시단위 시계열 앙상블을 생성하여 추정된 IDF 곡선에 대한 정보는 기후 변화의 영향을 평가하고 적절한 적응 및 대응 전략을 개발하는 데 도움이 될 것이다.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.69-87
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• 2014

This paper suggests a conditional simulation framework based on multiple data transformations for geostatistical simulation of compositional data. First, log-ratio transformation is applied to original compositional data in order to apply conventional statistical methodologies. As for the next transformations that follow, minimum/maximum autocorrelation factors (MAF) and indicator transformations are sequentially applied. MAF transformation is applied to generate independent new variables and as a result, an independent simulation of individual variables can be applied. Indicator transformation is also applied to non-parametric conditional cumulative distribution function modeling of variables that do not follow multi-Gaussian random function models. Finally, inverse transformations are applied in the reverse order of those transformations that are applied. A case study with surface sediment compositions in tidal flats is carried out to illustrate the applicability of the presented simulation framework. All simulation results satisfied the constraints of compositional data and reproduced well the statistical characteristics of the sample data. Through surface sediment classification based on multiple simulation results of compositions, the probabilistic evaluation of classification results was possible, an evaluation unavailable in a conventional kriging approach. Therefore, it is expected that the presented simulation framework can be effectively applied to geostatistical simulation of various compositional data.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.42-47
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• 2003

This paper proposes the method to generate new test data using the sample shift of the start frame for SPRT(sequential probability ratio test) in speaker verification. The SPRT method is a effective algorithm that can reduce the test computational complexity. However, in making the decision procedure, SPRT can be executed on the assumption that the input samples are usually to be i.i.d. (Independent and Identically Distributed) samples from a probability density function (pdf), also it's not suitable method to apply for the short utterance. The proposed method can achieve SPRT regardless of the utterance length of the test data because it is method to generate the new test data through the sample shift of start frame. Also, the correlation property of data to be considered in the SPRT method can be effectively removed by employing the principal component analysis. Experimental results show that the proposed method increased the computational complexity of data for sample shift a little, but it has a good performance result more than a conventional method above the average 0.7% in EER (equal error rate).

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.199-208
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• 2008

Prediction the performance of pavement provides proper information to an agency on decision-making process; especially evaluating the pavement performance and prioritizing the work plan. To date, there are a number of approaches to predict the future deterioration of pavements. However, there are some limitation to proper prediction of the pavement service life. In this paper, pavement performance model and pavement condition prediction model are developed in order to improve pavement condition prediction method. The prediction model of pavement condition through the regression analysis of real pavement condition is based on the probability distribution of pavement condition, which set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50%, by condition of the pavement and traffic volume. The pavement prediction model presented from the behavior of individual pavement condition which are set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50% of probability distribution. The performance of the prediction model is evaluated from analyzing the average, standard deviation of HPCI, and the percentage of HPCI which is lower than 3.0 of comparable section. In this paper, we will suggest the more rational method to determine the future pavement conditions, including the probabilistic duration and deterministic modeling methods regarding the impact of traffic volume, age, and the type of the pavement.

• Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.562-571
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• 2003

A series of factors such as sampling, pretreatment measurement, volume estimation which induces uncertainty of the calculated radioactivity in liquid effluent released from a nuclear power plant were analyzed. It is innately impossible to estimate exact error of the calculated radioactivity, since most of the input parameters are determined by a single measurement and true value of the released radioactivity cannot be known. In this paper, a systematic model to calculate uncertainty of the released liquid radioactivity was developed based upon the guidance report published by the ISO in 1993, and the model was applied to a set of hypothetical batch release conditions. As a result, the Priority of each input parameter was turned out to be (1) wastewater volume, (2) sample volume, and (3) measured radioactivity of the sample. In addition, probability distribution of the released radioactivity was simulated by Monte Carlo method combining the probability distribution of each input parameter It was shown that the radioactivity released to the environment, which has been reported as a single value, has a certain form of probability distribution.

• Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.107-112
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• 2003

Probabilistic exposure assessment has been recognized as an important tool in microbial risk assessment, because of obtained the desired results to characterize of variability and uncertainty associated with the microbial hazards. In addition, it will be provided much more actuality information than the point-estimate approaches. In this study, we present methodology using mathematical probability distribution in exposure assessment and estimating of contamination level of Listeria monocytogenes in meat and meat products as a case study. The result of estimation contaminatin level was mean ($50^{th}$ percentile) -4.08 Log CFU/g minimum ($5^{th}$ percentile) -4.88 Log CFU/g, maximum ($95^{th}$ percentile) -3.56 Log CFU/g.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.37 no.6A
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• pp.438-449
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• 2012

This paper presents new CRC-p codes for VHF band maritime wireless communication system based on performance analysis of various CRC codes. For this purpose, we firstly describe the method of determination of undetected error probability and minimum Hamming distance according to variation of CRC codeword length. By using the fact that the dual code of cyclic Hamming code and primitive BCH code become maximum length codes, we present an algorithm for computation of undetected error probability and minimum Hamming distance where the concept of simple hardware that is consisted of linear feedback shift register is utilized to compute the weight distribution of CRC codes. We also present construction of transmit data frame of VHF band maritime wireless communication system and specification of major communication parameters. Finally, new optimal CRC-p codes are presented based on the simulation results of undetected error probability and minimum Hamming distance using the various generator polynomials of CRC codes, and their performances are evaluated with simulation results of bit error rate based on the Rician maritime channel model and ${\pi}$/4-DQPSK modulator.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.26 no.11A
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• pp.1946-1956
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• 2001

In this paper, we propose a novel 2-D partial matching algorithm based on model-based stochastic analysis of feature correspondences in a relation vector space, which is quite robust to shape variations as well as invariant to geometric transformations. We represent an object using the ARG (Attributed Relational Graph) model with features of a set of relation vectors. In addition, we statistically model the partial occlusion or noise as the distortion of the relation vector distribution in the relation vector space. Our partial matching algorithm consists of two-phases. First, a finite number of candidate sets areselected by using logical constraint embedding local and structural consistency Second, the feature loss detection is done iteratively by error detection and voting scheme thorough the error analysis of relation vector space. Experimental results on real images demonstrate that the proposed algorithm is quite robust to noise and localize target objects correctly even inseverely noisy and occluded scenes.