• Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.85-93
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• 2011

Previous existing vocabulary recognition programs calculate general vector values from a database, so they can not process phonemes that form during a search. And because they can not create a model for phoneme data, the accuracy of the Gaussian model can not secure. Therefore, in this paper, we recommend use of the Bhattacharyya distance measurement method based on the features of the phoneme-thus allowing us to improve the recognition rate by picking up accurate phonemes and minimizing recognition of similar and erroneous phonemes. We test the Gaussian model optimization through share continuous probability distribution, and we confirm the heighten recognition rate. The Bhattacharyya distance measurement method suggest in this paper reflect an average 1.9% improvement in performance compare to previous methods, and it has average 2.9% improvement based on reliability in recognition rate.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.374-381
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• 1995

For designing radio communication systems, radio-channel effects must be considered in order to obtain the desired communication quality, transmitting power, transmission speed and bit error rate. In radio channel, one of major factors that degrade communication quality is multipath fading between transmitting and receiving points. Therefore, a channel model which can describe fading effects correctly is requested. This paper deals with the composition of the channel simulator model that describes multipath fading effects and delay times which occur in the channel. For the performance analysis of the proposed model, trandmitting signal is used in the simulation. From simulation results, it can be shown that probability density function. level crossing rates and average fading-duration time distribution of the faded receive signal are very similar with theoretic values.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.343-343
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• 2012

미래 극한사상의 초과확률을 산정하기 위하여 저해상도의 전지구 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 그대로 사용하거나 이를 역학적 또는 통계적 방법으로 상세화한 고해상도 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 활용한다. 통계적 상세화는 전지구 또는 지역기후모델의 현재기후 모의 자료와 관측 자료와의 통계적 관계를 미래 예측자료에 적용하는 방법으로, 현재와 미래 기후의 시공간적 분포가 동일하다는 가정을 포함하고 있다. 반면 역학적 상세화 방법은 기후변화 강제력을 고려하는 지역기후모델을 이용하여 기후시스템의 역학 및 물리과정, 기후시스템간 의 상호작용, 기후변화의 비정상성 등을 고려할 수 있고, 변수간의 시공간적 상관성을 지구시스템의 물리 역학적 과정으로 해석할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 이에 국립기상연구소에서는 영국 기상청의 통합모델(UM)기반의 지역기후모델(HadGEM3)을 사용하여 50 km 및 12.5 km 격자 단위로 역학적 상세화(dynamic downscaling)를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 역학적 상세화로 생산된 HadGEM3-RA 자료를 이용하여 현재기후(1980-2005), 가까운 미래(2020-2049)와 21세기말(2070-2099)의 20년 빈도 강수량을 비교하였다. 연구결과, 남한에 걸쳐 현재기후에 비하여 미래에는 극한강수의 크기와 빈도가 전반적으로 증가하는 경향을 확인할 수 있었다. 20년에 한번씩 발생하였던 일 극한강수는 RCP8.5를 고려한 21세기말에는 약 4년에 한번씩 발생하리라 전망되었다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.37 no.7
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• pp.883-889
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• 2013

The distribution of a response usually depends on the distribution of a variable. When the distribution of a variable has two different modes, the response also follows a distribution with two different modes. In most reliability analysis methods, the number of modes is irrelevant, but not the type of distribution. However, in actual problems, because information is often provided with two or more modes, it is important to estimate the distributions with two or more modes. Recently, some reliability analysis methods have been suggested for bimodal distributions. In this paper, we review some methods such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and maximum entropy principle (MEP) and compare them with the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) using mathematical examples with two different modes.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.173-181
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• 2019

To estimate probabilistic distribution function from experimental data, kernel density estimation(KDE) is mostly used in cases when data is insufficient. The estimated distribution using KDE depends on bandwidth selectors that smoothen or overfit a kernel estimator to experimental data. In this study, various bandwidth selectors such as the Silverman's rule of thumb, rule using adaptive estimates, and oversmoothing rule, were compared for accuracy and conservativeness. For this, statistical simulations were carried out using assumed true models including unimodal and multimodal distributions, and, accuracies and conservativeness of estimating distribution functions were compared according to various data. In addition, it was verified how the estimated distributions using KDE with different bandwidth selectors affect reliability analysis results through simple reliability examples.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.13 no.7
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• pp.361-368
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• 2013

This research aims to offer the information required for demand increase on marketing strategy level by investigating Mudeungsan visitors' demographic characteristics and social economical variables. To accomplish this study, the proper analyzing model needs to be applied because a grave error of parameters will be led if regression model appropriate for analyzing the data of a continuous probability variable is applied, in case that dependent variable is a discrete random variable which have a discrete probability distribution. Therefore data analysis was performed with Poisson model. However, as the data was showing an overdispersion, parameter was estimated with the Binomial Poisson model able to cover the problem. As a result, some explanatory variables turned out to be significant such as visitor's age, occupation, preferred season to visit, type of company, five days working, and preferring type of tourism. Author could offer to the national park the information about characteristics of core market revealed and marketing strategy for it, based on those influential variables.

• Polymer(Korea)
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.513-519
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• 2011

Molecular simulations via the molecular dynamics method have been carried out to investigate the dynamic collision properties of penetrable-sphere model fluids. The collision frequencies, the mean free paths, the angle distributions of the hard-type reflection and the soft-type penetration, and the effective packing fractions are computed over a wide range of the packing fraction ${\phi}$ and the repulsive energy ${\varepsilon}^*$. The soft-type collisions are dominated for lower repulsive energy systems, while the hardtype collisions for higher repulsive energy systems. Very interestingly, the ratio of the soft-type (or, the hard-type) collision frequency to the total collision frequency is directly related with the Boltzmann factor of acceptance (or rejection) probabilities in the canonical ensemble Monte Carlo calculations. Such dynamic collision properties are shown to be restricted for highly repulsive and dense systems of ${\varepsilon}^*{\geqq}3.0 $and ${\phi}{\geqq}0.7$, indicating the cluster forming structures in the penetrable-sphere model.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.99-118
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• 2012

The aim of this study is to define a correlation between spatial distribution characteristics of FFG(Functional Feeding Groups) of aquatic insects and related environmental factors in the Geum River based on the theory of RCC(River Continuum Concept). For that objective we had used SMRA(Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis) method to analyze close relationship between the distribution of aquatic insects and the physical and chemical factors that may affect their inhabiting environment in the study area. And then, a probabilistic method named Frequency Ratio Model(FRM) and spatial analysis function of GIS were applied to produce a predictive distribution map of biota community considering their distribution characteristics according to the environmental factors as related variables. As a result of SMRA, the values of decision coefficient for factors of elevation, stream width, flow velocity, conductivity, temperature and percentage of sand showed higher than 0.5. Therefore these 6 environmental factors were considered as major factors that might affect the distribution characteristics of aquatic insects. Finally, we had calculated RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) between the predicted distribution map and prior survey database from other researches to verify the result of this study. The values of RMSE were calculated from 0.1892 to 0.4242 according to each FFG so we could find out a high reliability of this study. The results of this study might be used to develop a new estimation method for aquatic ecosystem with macro invertebrate community and also be used as preliminary data for conservation and restoration of stream habitats.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.635-642
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• 2014

In this paper, an efficient technique is developed to predict failure probability of three failure modes(case rupture, fracture and bolt breakage) related to solid rocket motor case due to the inner pressure during the mission flight. The overall procedure consists of the steps: 1) design parameters affecting the case failure are identified and their uncertainties are modelled by probability distribution, 2) combustion analysis in the interior of the case is carried out to obtain maximum expected operating pressure(MEOP), 3) stress and other structural performances are evaluated by finite element analysis(FEA), and 4) failure probabilities are calculated for the above mentioned failure modes. Axi-symmetric assumption for FEA is employed for simplification while contact between bolted joint is accounted for. Efficient procedure is developed to evaluate failure probability which consists of finding first an Most Probable Failure Point(MPP) using First-Order Reliability Method(FORM), next making a response surface model around the MPP using Latin Hypercube Sampling(LHS), and finally calculating failure probability by employing Importance Sampling.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.30 no.4
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• pp.369-379
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• 2016

It was confirmed that the extreme value distribution model applies to probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly the facility capacities using data of daily maximum inflow rate for 7 wastewater treatment plant. The result of applying the extreme value model, A, D, E wastewater treatment plant has a problem compared to B, C, F, G wastewater treatment plant. but all the wastewater treatment plant has a problem except C, F wastewater treatment plant based 80% of facility capacity. In conclusion, if you make a standard in statistical aspects probability exceeding more than once a day monthly can be 'exceed day is less than a few times annually' or 'probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly is less than what percent'.