• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.211-222
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• 2020

This study suggested a method calculating the influence of effluent discharge from Saemangeum sluice-gates using the particle tracking model. For 2017, we presented the seasonal effects of effluent discharge as probability spatial distributions and compared with the results of the water age, one of the indicators of transport time scale. The influence of sluice-gates effluent discharge increases radially around Sinshi or Gaseok gates, which are expected to be biased toward the south in winter and north in summer due to the effect of seasonal winds. Although the results of the prediction are limited to the 2017 situation, the method of calculating the influence of sluice-gates effluent discharge using the Lagrangian particle tracking model can be used to predict the future of the around Saemangeum.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.38 no.11
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• pp.1067-1074
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• 2010

In this study, RBDO(Reliability Based Design Optimization) was performed for a supersonic double-wedge inlet. By considering uncertainty of design with given design space, the pressure recovery was transformed into the probabilistic constraint while the inlet drag was considered as a deterministic objective function. To save computational analysis cost and to search good design space, Latin-Hypercube design of experiment and the Kriging model were incorporated and then RBDO was performed. Monte-Carlo simulation was performed to verify the accuracy of AFORM(Advanced First Order Reliability Method). It was found that AFORM result agreed very well with the Monte-Carlo simulation result. The system reliability was guaranteed by considering uncertainty of the design variables. In case of considering diverse uncertainty of system design, RBDO was found to be useful.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.14 no.11
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• pp.233-240
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• 2016

Information system development projects, have a mechanism for many of the costs generated by a variety of risk factors. In general, the probability that the software project of the information system is carried out successfully in the delivery time is very low. This prediction of a formal cost is needed as the most important factor since it can prevent the project from being failed. However, objectivity of most of the project scale calculation during the calculation criteria is insufficient. Further, it is the actual situation that the management of the base line is not properly made during the project. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a model to calculate the number of steps it takes to develop on the basis of a methodology in an attempt to overcome the limitation of being unpractical in the early stage of the information system development project. It is expected to be a tool to estimate the effort and cost required by the information system development business through these convergence proposals model.

• Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.13-25
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• 2007

목 적 : 흡연에 따른 건강적 피해가 많이 알려져 있음에도 불구하고 특히 여성 및 청소년 계층의 흡연이 증가하고 있으며 폐암 사망자수는 급격히 늘어나고 있는 상황이다. 완전한 금연이 실패하는 주요 이유는 담배의 중독성에서 비롯되며 금단현상을 극복하지 못해 일어나는 것으로 알려져 있다. 흡연의 중독성은 담배 주요성분 중의 하나인 니코틴(nicotine)에 의해 유발되며 따라서 모든 금연 요법 및 금연 치료보조제 들은 이 니코틴 작용을 어떻게 효과적으로 억제 또는 대체하느냐에 초점을 맞추고 있다. 최근 금연치료 요법으로 한방 침이 주목 받고 있으며 본 논문을 통해 한방 침의 금연효과에 대한 신경학적 기전을 고찰하고자 한다. 방 법 : 금연을 돕는 전형적인 보조 치료제 및 치료법이 몇 종류 개발되어 사용 중에 있으며 대표적으로 니코틴 대체 요법(nicotine replacement therapy, NRT)이나 항우울제로 사용되는 bupropion 등을 들 수 있다. 이 치료 방법들은 뇌의 도파민계 신경전달 체계에 영향을 미쳐 금연 효과를 발휘하게 되는데 실질적인 금연성공확률은 그리 높지 않은 것으로 알려져 있다 따라서 침의 자극에 대한 도파민계 신경전달 조절효과를 중심으로 고찰함으로써 침의 금연효과에 대한 의과학적 기전을 설명하고자 하였다. 결 과 : 침자극은 우수한 금연효과를 가져올 수 있는 치료법으로 기존의 금연 치료요법 및 치료제 들을 보완할 수 있는 보다 확실한 치료요법 중의 하나이며 특히 금연 후에 오는 금단현상을 효과적으로 완화시키는 작용을 한다. 그리고 이 같은 효과는 부분적으로 도파민계를 비롯한 신경전달계를 조절함으로써 가능한 것으로 판단된다. 결 론 : 본 논문을 통해 니코틴에 의한 금단현상의 신경학적 기전과 금연과 관련된 신경전달체계에 대한 침자극의 효능에 대해 고찰하였으며 기존의 금연보조치료법을 대체할 수 있는 우수한 의학적 치료법으로써의 침치료법을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.9
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• pp.813-826
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• 2018

Recently, weather radar system has been widely used for effectively monitoring near real-time weather conditions. The radar rainfall estimates are generally relies on the Z-R equation that is an indirect approximation of the empirical relationship. In this regards, the bias in the radar rainfall estimates can be affected by spatial-temporal variations in the radar profile. This study evaluates the uncertainty of the Z-R relationship while considering the rainfall types in the process of estimating the parameters of the Z-R equation in the context of stochastic approach. The radar rainfall estimates based on the Bayesian inference technique appears to be effective in terms of reduction in bias for a given season. The derived Z-R equation using Bayesian model enables us to better represent the hydrological process in the rainfall-runoff model and provide a more reliable forecast.

• Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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• v.31 no.12
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• pp.1569-1580
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• 2004

One commonly used approach to deal with uncertainty is Bayesian network which represents joint probability distributions of domain. There are some attempts to team the structure of Bayesian networks automatically and recently many researchers design structures of Bayesian network using evolutionary algorithm. However, most of them use the only one fittest solution in the last generation. Because it is difficult to combine all the important factors into a single evaluation function, the best solution is often biased and less adaptive. In this paper, we present a method of generating diverse Bayesian network structures through fitness sharing and combining them by Bayesian method for adaptive inference. In order to evaluate performance, we conduct experiments on learning Bayesian networks with artificially generated data from ASIA and ALARM networks. According to the experiments with diverse conditions, the proposed method provides with better robustness and adaptation for handling uncertainty.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.779-779
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• 2012

수자원의 개발은 세계적으로 경제, 사회적 발전에 중요한 역할을 해왔으며, 특히 하천은 그 발전의 원동력이 되어 왔다. 하지만 우리나라의 경우, 급속한 산업화와 도시화로 인해 치수에 집중된 개발을 해왔기 때문에, 하천의 환경 생태적 기능은 중요시되지 않아왔다. 최근에서야 하천의 환경적 기능의 제고를 위한 연구의 필요성이 대두되고, 하천생태계의 서식공간을 가능한 한 자연상태로 보전하고자 하는 노력이 늘어나면서, 생태계를 고려한 하천유지유량(생태유량) 산정에 관한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 위와 같이 생태유량을 산정하는 방법으로는 유지유량증분법이 가장 널리 이용되고 있으며, 이를 위해서는 각 어종별 서식처적합도지수를 구축하여야 한다. 이는 수생 서식처 모델링에 사용되는 물리적 인자에 대한 정량적 지수이다. 국내의 경우도, 수계별 어류조사를 수행하고 있으나 대부분이 출현어종분류 및 출현율 등에 국한되어 있어 물리적 인자를 도출하기 어려운 실정이고, 장기간 실측자료의 부족으로 대부분 전문가의 판단에 의존하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 객관적인 서식처 적합도지수의 부재는 생태유량 산정에 있어 큰 어려움을 준다. 본 연구에서는 이런 부족한 국내의 서식처 적합도지수에 객관성을 부여하고, 좀 더 표준화된 방법론을 제시하기 위해 장기간의 현장모니터링 자료를 이용하여 전문가의 주관적인 판단이 배제된 추계학적 방법을 이용한 서식처 적합도 지수를 산정하고, 이를 이용해 적절한 생태유량을 구하는 방법을 제안하고자 한다. 본 연구에서 사용된 자료는 2007-2010년, 'Ecoriver21사업단'의 '생태유량 산정 및 확보기술개발' 과제에서 한국수자원공사가 수행한 현장모니터링 자료이다. 자료 수집 대상지역은 한강과 금강 수계이며 41개 어종에 대한 자료가 수집되었으나 그 중 다른 어종에 비해 상대적으로 많은 현장 데이터가 존재하고, 본 모니터링에서도 한강과 금강 두 수계에서 모두 우점종으로 나타난 피라미를 이용하여 새로운 서식처 적합도 지수 산정 방법의 제안 및 기존 방법에 의한 지수와 비교하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.103-111
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• 2003

This study proposes methodology deterimining a basic pedestrian crossing capacity that plays a critical role in the installation of pedestrian signal at the crosswalks. The methodology is based on the pattern of vehicle arrived at the crosswalks. Erlang distribuion is used as headway distribution that can cover the various levels of flow rate. Models using Erlang distribution are represented by Erlang parameter (K) of 1, 2, or 3 at 2-, 4-, or 6-lane roadway in both directions. In addition, this study considered the only type of road with a pedestrian refuge area in the median that is used to wait for the allowable gap provided by the flow of another direction. As a result, the pedestrian capacity decreases as flow rate increases and Erlang parameter increases for the road with the pedestrian refuge. This study develops the models to determine the pedestrian capacity under a variety of flow rates and the outcomes of this study could be used as the criteria for the determination of the installation of pedestrian signal or for the provision of pedestrian refuge in the median of road.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.53-60
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• 2018

In particular, the investigation of tendons in PSC Box Girder Bridge should be done in a systematic way. It is important to identify preventative maintenance activities that should be carried out in order to analyze the risk factors by type of representative tensions and to reduce risks in the long term. However, in the current maintenance system, various methodologies for investigating and repairing tensions have been studied, but it is difficult to investigate precisely tensions. Therefore, to apply the risk assessment for screening of tensions to the domestic PSC Box Bridge, we presented a risk matrix evaluation index that is consistent with the state assessment and maintenance system.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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• v.53 no.2
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• pp.62-69
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• 2016

This paper proposes to select Measure of Performance(MOP) for object attainment in the counterfire operation and deduce the reasonable combination of blue force's hitting resources satisfying MOP's optimal value and regression equation for the object achievement time. Also, in the study-methodological perspective, a series of procedures for drawing the regression equation from the real world is presented. Firstly the model was made by simplifying the weapon-system information of red force and blue force, then the time for object attainment was derived from its simulation. Simulating the model for the counterfire operation was divided into three phases-detection, decision and hitting. The probability method by applying the random numbers were used for detection, fixed constant numbers for decision and hitting. The simulation was repeatedly performed to get the minimum time for the object attainment against the fixed enemy, and it was estimated as the optimal value of simulation. From this result, the optimum combination of blue force's weapon system against the red force and finally, the regression equation were obtained by using the response surface analyzing method in MINITAB. Thereafter this equation was completely verified by using 'the 2-sample t-test.' As a result, the regression equation is suitable.