• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률론적 설계법

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Random Vibration Analysis of Nonlinear Stochastic System under Earthquake Using Statistical Method (지진하중을 받는 비선헝 추계적 시스템의 불규칙진동해석)

  • Moon, Byung-Young;Kang, Gyung-Ju;Kang, Beom-Soo
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2001
  • Industrial machines are sometimes exposed to the danger of earthquake. In the design of a mechanical system, this factor should be accounted for from the viewpoint of reliability to analyze a complex nonlinear structure system under random excitation is proposed. First, the actual random excitation, such as earthquake, is approximated to the corresponding Gaussian process for the statistical analysis. The modal equations of overall system are expanded sequentially. Then, the perturbed equations are synthesized into the overall system and solved in probabilistic way. Several statistical properties of a random process that are of interest in random vibration are evaluated in each substructure. Comparing with the results of the numerical simulation proved the efficiency of the proposed method.

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A Study on Reliability Design of Fracture Mechanics Method Using FEM (유한요소법을 이용한 파괴 역학적 방법의 신뢰성설계기술에 관한 연구)

  • Baik, Seung-Yeb;Lee, Bong-Gu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.4398-4404
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    • 2015
  • Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structural material for dynamic machine structures, These kinds structures used stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by using the gas welding, For fatigue design of gas welded joints such as various type joint. It is necessary to obtain design information on stress distribution at the weldment as well as fatigue strength of gas welded joints. Thus in this paper, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were obtained by fatigue tests. and, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were rearranged in the ${\Delta}{\sigma}-N_f$ relation with the hot spot stresses at the gas welded joints. Using these results, the accelerated life test(ALT) is conducted. From the experiment results, an life prediction model is derived and factors are estimated. So it is intended to obtain the useful information for the fatigue lifetime of welded joints and data analysis by statistic reliability method, to save time and cost, and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

Reliability-based Design Method of Concrete Armour Units with Structural Stability (구조적 안정성을 고려한 콘크리트 피복재의 신뢰성 설계)

  • Lee Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 2004
  • A method for the determination of concrete armor unit weights with hydraulic stability and structural stability may be formulated in this paper. The hydraulic stability is analyzed by using Hudson's formula, the structural stability is also studied by evaluation of maximum flexural tensile stresses in armor unit induced by the impact loads and by comparison of those with the tensile resistance strength directly. The applicable criteria for concrete armor units can be represented as a function of design wave heights with return period, armor weights, and tensile strengths for the practical uses. In addition, reliability analyses for two failure modes are carried out to take into account some uncertainties. Finally, a series system for two-failure mode analysis can be made up straightforwardly, by which the optimal weights of armor units can be estimated with the various relative breakages, given the specific target probability of failure under the concepts of reliability-based design method.

An Optimal Filter Design for System Identification with GA (GA를 이용한 시스템 동정용 필터계수 최적화)

  • Song, Young-Jun;Kong, Seong-Gon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07g
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    • pp.2833-2835
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    • 1999
  • 이 논문에서는 임의의 시스템 동정에 사용되는 적응필터의 계수를 최적화시키는 방법으로 광범위하게 사용되어지고 있는 기존의 적응 알고리즘인 Least Mean Square(LMS)방법과 최근들어 다양한 최적화 문제에 응용되고 있는 유전자 알고리즘(GA)을 합성한 하이브리드 형태의 적응 알고리즘을 사용한다. 이 알고리즘은 TIR 필터를 설계하는데 있어, 경사하강법의 개념을 사용함으로써 야기되는 지역 수렴문제의 단점을 보완하기 위해, 미분과 같은 결정론적인 규칙없이 단지 확률적인 연산자만으로 진행하는 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한다. 그리고 유전자 알고리즘에 있어서 확률적인 연산을 사용함으로써 발생하는 많은 계산량과 느린 수렴속도 문제를 LMS의 경사하강법을 이용하여 보완한다. 이처럼 유전자 알고리즘이 지닌 장점과 LMS 알고리즘이 갖는 장점을 이용하여 각 알고리즘이 지니는 단점을 서로 보완함으로써 알고리즘의 성능을 향상시키고 이 향상된 알고리즘을 이용하여 최적 필터계수를 찾는다 이렇게 얻은 필터계수값을 이용하여 적응 필터의 성능을 확인 평가한다.

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Reliability Assessment for Corroded Pipelines by Separable Monte Carlo Method (Separable Monte Carlo 방법을 적용한 부식배관 신뢰도평가)

  • Lee, Jin-Han;Jo, Young-Do;Kim, Lae Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2015
  • A deterministic stress-based methodology has traditionally been applied in pipeline design. Meanwhile, reliability based design and assessment (RBDA) methodology has been extensively applied in offshore or nuclear structures. Lately, the release of ISO standard on reliability based limit state methods for pipelines ISO16708 indicates that the RBDA methodology is one of the newest directions of natural gas pipeline design method. This paper presents a case study of the RBDA procedure for predicting the time-dependent failure probability of pipelines with corrosion defects, where separable Monte Carlo (SMC) method is applied in the reliability estimation for corroded pipeline instead of traditional, crude Monte Carlo(CMC) Method. The result shows the SMC method take advantage of improving accuracy in reliability calculation.

Reliability Analysis on Stability of Armor Units for Foundation Mound of Composite Breakwaters (혼성제 기초 마운드의 피복재 안정성에 대한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Cheol-Eung Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2023
  • Probabilistic and deterministic analyses are implemented for the armor units of rubble foundation mound of composite breakwaters which is needed to protect the upright section against the scour of foundation mounds. By a little modification and incorporation of the previous empirical formulas that has commonly been applied to design the armor units of foundation mound, a new type formula of stability number has been suggested which is capable of taking into account slopes of foundation mounds, damage ratios of armor units, and incident wave numbers. The new proposed formula becomes mathematically identical with the previous empirical formula under the same conditions used in the developing process. Deterministic design have first been carried out to evaluate the minimum weights of armor units for several conditions associated with a typical section of composite breakwater. When the slopes of foundation mound become steepening and the incident wave numbers are increasing, the bigger armor units more than those from the previous empirical formula should be required. The opposite trends however are shown if the damage ratios is much more allowed. Meanwhile, the reliability analysis, which is one of probabilistic models, has been performed in order to quantitatively verify how the armor unit resulted from the deterministic design is stable. It has been confirmed that 1.2% of annual encounter probability of failure has been evaluated under the condition of 1% damage ratio of armor units for the design wave of 50 years return period. By additionally calculating the influence factors of the related random variables on the failure probability due to those uncertainties, it has been found that Hudson's stability coefficient, significant wave height, and water depth above foundation mound have sequentially been given the impacts on failure regardless of the incident wave angles. Finally, sensitivity analysis has been interpreted with respect to the variations of random variables which are implicitly involved in the formula of stability number for armor units of foundation mound. Then, the probability of failure have been rapidly decreased as the water depth above foundation mound are deepening. However, it has been shown that the probability of failure have been increased according as the berm width of foundation mound are widening and wave periods become shortening.

Development and Evaluation of Information Extraction Module for Postal Address Information (우편주소정보 추출모듈 개발 및 평가)

  • Shin, Hyunkyung;Kim, Hyunseok
    • Journal of Creative Information Culture
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we have developed and evaluated an information extracting module based on the named entity recognition technique. For the given purpose in this paper, the module was designed to apply to the problem dealing with extraction of postal address information from arbitrary documents without any prior knowledge on the document layout. From the perspective of information technique practice, our approach can be said as a probabilistic n-gram (bi- or tri-gram) method which is a generalized technique compared with a uni-gram based keyword matching. It is the main difference between our approach and the conventional methods adopted in natural language processing that applying sentence detection, tokenization, and POS tagging recursively rather than applying the models sequentially. The test results with approximately two thousands documents are presented at this paper.

Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Coastal Structures using LHS-based Reliability Analysis Method (LHS기반 신뢰성해석 기법을 이용한 해안구조물의 확률론적 위험도평가)

  • Huh, Jung-Won;Jung, Hong-Woo;Ahn, Jin-Hee;An, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2015
  • An efficient and practical reliability evaluation method is proposed for the coastal structures in this paper. It is capable of evaluating reliability of real complicated coastal structures considering uncertainties in various sources of design parameters, such as wave and current loads, resistance-related design variables including Young's modulus and compressive strength of the reinforced concrete, soil parameters, and boundary conditions. It is developed by intelligently integrating the Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and the finite element method (FEM). The LHS-based MCS is used to significantly reduce the computational effort by limiting the number of simulation cycles required for the reliability evaluation. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method were verified using a caisson-type breakwater structure in the numerical example.

Study on Soft Conversion from ASD to RBD Code in Larch (국산 낙엽송 부재에 대한 ASD에서 RBD로의 코드 전환에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chun-Young;Kim, Ho-Ki;Lee, Jun-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2004
  • Currently, structural design of wood structure has been based on ASD (Allowable Structural Design) in Korea. However, the results from this method was known as greater than real value because variations of materials and various conditions were not considered sufficiently. So the study about the design method with probabilistic approach is being performed to overcome this problem. And the standard design method of RBD (Reliability Based Design) has been established and applied. In this study, to apply this method on the domestic wood, the distribution property of the lumber and Glulam was analyzed from the previous report and the basis of the standardized design method was established as soft conversion method from allowable stress used in ASD into reference resistance used in RBD. And through the additional study about the sample size as a important factor to effect on soft conversion, condition to be required in more accurate conversion was evaluated.

Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors for Armor Units of Coastal Structures (피복재의 부분안전계수 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.336-344
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    • 2007
  • A method is developed to evaluate partial safety factors for armor units, by which uncertainties of random variables in reliability function as well as wave height distribution with service periods could take into account straightforwardly. It is found that partial safety factors for resistance and wave height are correctly increased with improving target levels on failure of coastal structures at the same return and service periods. Therefore, it nay be possible to determine design variables through the same processes as those of deterministic method by using the partial safety factors for resistance and wave height evaluated in this paper, since uncertainties of random variables and the effects of service periods and target probability failure are directly considered in the processes of evaluation of partial safety factors.