• Title/Summary/Keyword: 항만 물동량

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The Efficiency of Container Terminals in Busan and Gwangyang Port (부산항과 광양항의 컨테이너 터미널의 효율성)

  • Mo, Su-Won;Lee, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.139-149
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    • 2010
  • This paper analyses the relative efficiency of 13 container terminals based on the data for the period 2003-8 to offer a fresh perspective. There has been abundant empirical research undertaken on the technical efficiency of Busan and Gwangyang port. Most studies have focused on the use of parametric and non-parametric techniques to analyse overall technical efficiency. Here, the framework assumes that terminals use two input to produce one output; the former includes container yard and container crane and the latter container volume. Jarque-Bera indicates that three variables are not normally distributed and the positive skewness shows that all the variables have long right tails. This means there are many small-scaled container terminals. This paper also employs heteroscedastic Tobit model to show the effect of the explanatory variables on the container terminal efficiencies. The Tobit model shows that both container yard and container cranes have positive effect on the container terminal efficiency, but container yard has a higher impact on the efficiency than the container crane.

A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasting Performance of Coal and Iron Ore in Gwangyang Port Using Stepwise Regression and Artificial Neural Network Model (단계적 회귀분석과 인공신경망 모형을 이용한 광양항 석탄·철광석 물동량 예측력 비교 분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Ho;Nam, Hyung-Sik;Ryu, Ki-Jin;Ryoo, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2020
  • It is very important to forecast freight volume accurately to establish major port policies and future operation plans. Thus, related studies are being conducted because of this importance. In this paper, stepwise regression analysis and artificial neural network model were analyzed to compare the predictive power of each model on Gwangyang Port, the largest domestic port for coal and iron ore transportation. Data of a total of 121 months J anuary 2009-J anuary 2019 were used. Factors affecting coal and iron ore trade volume were selected and classified into supply-related factors and market/economy-related factors. In the stepwise regression analysis, the tonnage of ships entering the port, coal price, and dollar exchange rate were selected as the final variables in case of the Gwangyang Port coal volume forecasting model. In the iron ore volume forecasting model, the tonnage of ships entering the port and the price of iron ore were selected as the final variables. In the analysis using the artificial neural network model, trial-and-error method that various Hyper-parameters affecting the performance of the model were selected to identify the most optimal model used. The analysis results showed that the artificial neural network model had better predictive performance than the stepwise regression analysis. The model which showed the most excellent performance was the Gwangyang Port Coal Volume Forecasting Artificial Neural Network Model. In comparing forecasted values by various predictive models and actually measured values, the artificial neural network model showed closer values to the actual highest point and the lowest point than the stepwise regression analysis.

A Study on Analysis of Container Liner Service Routes Pattern Using Social Network Analysis : Focused on Busan Port (사회연결망 분석을 이용한 컨테이너 정기선 항로 패턴 분석에 관한 연구 : 부산항을 중심으로)

  • Ryu, Ki-Jin;Nam, Hyung-Sik;Jo, Sang-Ho;Ryoo, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2018
  • The port industry is an important national industry which significantly affects Korea's imports and exports which are centered on economic structure. For instance, the Port of Busan, which handles 75% of domestic container freight volume, is expected to become increasingly critical for container liner routes. For this reason, there have been continued efforts to expand freight service to attract international freight volume. This study analyzes the structural characteristics of the port network connected to the Port of Busan by analyzing the pattern of the container liner route from 2012 to 2016 by using social network analysis. According to the Port of Busan's liner route network, the port with the highest degree of centrality, closeness centrality, and betweenness centrality was found to be the Port of Singapore. The comparison of Busan's annual container handling rank by countries and the port center network analysis of Port of Busan rank was found to be different. As a result, it was established that China's East Port, which occupies a high percentage of the volume of cargo handled by Port of Busan, is not a hub port of Busan when viewed on the Busan's container terminal liner network. In addition, even if the number of Port of Busan container liner service increases, it is estimated that the vessels to be added to the fleet will be limited to small to medium sized, or that Busan port has characteristic of a feeder port for the Port of Singapore, according to the network.

An Analysis of Transshipment Competitiveness of Container Cargoes in Incheon New Port (인천신항의 환적경쟁력 분석에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Woo-Chul;Yeo, Gi-Tae;Yang, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.20-42
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    • 2010
  • This study is aimed at evaluating transshipment competitiveness of Incheon New Port which will open in 2013. For this reason, we used Conjoint Analysis(CA) for a methodology of this research as CA had been frequently adopted for empirical analysis of new container terminal in previous studies. We have provided the questionnaires to the stake holders of the port such as experts in Port Authority(PA), logistics companies, and terminal operators. The result showed that transshipment competitiveness of Incheon New Port was subordinate to transshipment costs and port costs of Busan and Shanghai. Overall, we hope this study could help draw up the policies on a New Port that will attract transshipment cargoes and set up marketing plan for an early settlement.

A Study on Succeeding Together-Busan North & New Port (부산 북항-신항 연계발전 방안)

  • Song, Gye-Eui
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.313-331
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    • 2011
  • Due to have been more keen in East-North Asia Hub Port competition, to be accelerated Busan New Port development, and to result to supply excess position, Busan port has been confronted by many problems. Also, as facilities of North Port is old, it is impossible to secure 16m depth of water at North Port, and North Port redevelopment is being, container traffic of North Port is accelerated to shift at New Port. Therefore, it. is time to seek for connection growth plan of succeeding together-Busan North & New Port as soon as possible. Connection growth plan of succeeding together-Busan North & New Port is focused, as follows. First, it is required to set up model for connection growth plan of succeeding together-Busan North & New Port. It is valid to specialize for ULCC, to promote to global port at New Port, and it is effective to focus on feeder service and general cargo handling, and to include most space to North Port redevelopment. Second, through port function reorganization, it is required to create a synergy by port function clustering. Third, through effective connection traffic network expansion for moving T/S cargo effectively, it is required to develop Busan Port for T/S cargo-focused port. Fourth, it is required to develop port hinterland logistics zone for creating container traffic through connection development of New Port-BJFEZ. Finally, it is required to build SCM system for creating container traffic among shipper, carrier, freight forwarder and related institution.

A Study on Stabilizing Container Terminal Market in Busan Port (부산항 항만하역시장 안정화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Ryoo, Dong-Keun;Choi, Jin-Yi;Kim, Tae-Goun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.895-904
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    • 2012
  • Today, the competition for hub-port is getting fierce and the shipping liners have enjoyed the increased bargaining power over the terminal operators through the mergers & acquisitions (M&A) and strategic alliances. This result leads the competition among terminal operators to attract liner companies and cargoes in their terminals. In demand side, however, there is a limited container cargo volume to handle because of a steady growth of cargo traffic. While, in supply side, continuous development of port terminals increased more competition among ports or terminals for cargoes. In particular the terminal operating market of Busan port is distorted because of the cargo competition between Busan North-port and Newport. The main purpose of this study is to suggest the stabilization measures of container terminal operating market in Busan port through analysis of the terminal operation market structures and market survey analysis method. For stabilizing the container terminal market, this study suggests the improvement of the legal and institutional system such as improvement in determining and reporting system of stevedoring tariff, establishment of fair competition rules etc., the introduction of port pooling system and adoption of volume-linked terminal lease system with cargo volume ceiling system for each terminal operator.

China Effect and Sea/Air Intermodal Transport in Korea (중국효과와 해상/항공 복합운송)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.25-40
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    • 2007
  • The sea/air intermodal transport is a time-saving and cost-saving transport for cargo shipments. In reaction to a recent growth of high value-added products in China, the volume of sea/air intermodal transport in Korean airport has been increasing continuously. This paper treats the situation, the system, and the possibility of sea/air intermodal transport, which are emerging as an alternative to solve the logistics problem related to the increase of international air cargo demand in China. Also, several strategies are considered to develope Korea into intermodal transport hub including the value added logistics activity which will secure the demand of sea/air intermodal transport.

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Comparative Analysis of Export Behaviors of Pyeongtaek-Dangjin Port and Daesan Port (평택.당진항과 대산항의 수출행태의 비교분석)

  • Mo, Soowon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates the export behavior of port of Pyeongtaek-Dangjin and Daesan. The monthly data cover the period from January 2002 to December 2012. This paper tests whether the exchange rate and the industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that Daesan port is faster than Pyeongtaek-Dangjin in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium. This paper finds that the exchange rate coefficient of Daesan port is higher than that of Pyeongtaek-Dangjin port, while the industrial production coefficient of the former is much smaller than that of the latter. The industrial production coefficient is, however, much higher than the exchange rate coefficient in both ports. The rolling regression shows that the influence of exchange rate and industrial production tends to increase in Pyeongtaek-Dangjin port but tends to decrease in Daesan. The impulse response functions indicate that export volumes respond much greater to the positive shocks in industrial production than in exchange rate, and the exchange rate shock decays very fast, while the industrial production shock lasts very long.

A Study on Application of ARIMA and Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting of Port Traffic (항만물동량 예측력 제고를 위한 ARIMA 및 인공신경망모형들의 비교 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-Hoon;Jeong, Su-Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2011
  • The accuracy of forecasting is remarkably important to reduce total cost or to increase customer services, so it has been studied by many researchers. In this paper, the artificial neural network (ANN), one of the most popular nonlinear forecasting methods, is compared with autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) model through performing a prediction of container traffic. It uses a hybrid methodology that combines both the linear ARIAM and the nonlinear ANN model to improve forecasting performance. Also, it compares the methodology with other models in performance for prediction. In designing network structure, this work specially applies the genetic algorithm which is known as the effectively optimal algorithm in the huge and complex sample space. It includes the time delayed neural network (TDNN) as well as multi-layer perceptron (MLP) which is the most popular neural network model. Experimental results indicate that both ANN and Hybrid models outperform ARIMA model.

A Study on the Revitalization of Container Cargoes in Donghae Port Using IPA Technique (IPA기법을 활용한 동해항 컨테이너 활성화 강화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Young-il;Nam, Tae-Hyun;Ma, Hye-Min;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.275-289
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    • 2018
  • It is necessary to develop a bridgehead port for trading with northern countries to promote trade through the East Sea because the East Sea Rim economic bloc around the Northeast Asia including South Korea, China, Russia, Japan, and North Korea has a high growth potential in the future. Therefore, this study aims to suggest a strategic direction to enhance the competitiveness of Donghae Port through reinforcement of container cargoes by conducting Importance-Performance Analysis (IPA) for stakeholders of Donghae Port. The analysis results suggest that it is necessary to improve the five evaluation factors: attractiveness of container and bulk volumes, appropriate ratio of export/import container quantities, frequency of vessel entry and diversity of sea routes, convenience of complex linked transportation, and competitiveness of cargo handling equipment. The implications of this study are as follows. First, it is necessary to continuously research the current status of container and bulk cargo volumes of the port and ways to increase the absolute cargo volume. Second, we need to consider realistic alternatives to improve the ratio of export/import container quantities. Third, in terms of network, we should establish a service improvement plan to increase the frequency of port calls and the diversity of sea routes. Furthermore, incentives should be provided to increase the trade volume of Donghae Port through strengthened complex linked transportation function. Finally, it is urgently necessary to provide investment support for container handling equipment as an essential requirement for the activation of the container cargoes in Donghae Port.