• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.419-442
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• 2020

The majority of the natural gas demand in South Korea is mainly determined by the heating demand. Accordingly, there is a distinct seasonality in which the gas demand increases in winter and decreases in summer. Moreover, the degree of sensitiveness to temperature on gas demand has changed over time. This study firstly introduces changing temperature response function (TRF) to capture effects of changing seasonality. The temperature effect (TE), estimated by integrating temperature response function with daily temperature density, represents for the amount of gas demand change due to variation of temperature distribution. Also, this study presents an innovative way in forecasting daily temperature density by employing functional principal component analysis based on daily max/min temperature forecasts for the five big cities in Korea. The forecast errors of the temperature density and gas demand are decreased by 50% and 80% respectively if we use the proposed forecasted density rather than the average daily temperature density.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.56-63
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• 2016

In this study, we introduce a design of Fuzzy RBFNNs-based digit recognition system using the incremental-PCA in order to recognize the handwritten digits. The Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a widely-adopted dimensional reduction algorithm, but it needs high computing overhead for feature extraction in case of using high dimensional images or a large amount of training data. To alleviate such problem, the incremental-PCA is proposed for the computationally efficient processing as well as the incremental learning of high dimensional data in the feature extraction stage. The architecture of Fuzzy Radial Basis Function Neural Networks (RBFNN) consists of three functional modules such as condition, conclusion, and inference part. In the condition part, the input space is partitioned with the use of fuzzy clustering realized by means of the Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) algorithm. Also, it is used instead of gaussian function to consider the characteristic of input data. In the conclusion part, connection weights are used as the extended diverse types in polynomial expression such as constant, linear, quadratic and modified quadratic. Experimental results conducted on the benchmarking MNIST handwritten digit database demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed digit recognition system when compared with other studies.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.247-253
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• 2007

Determination of crack depth in filed using the self-calibrating surface wane transmission measurement and the cutting frequency in the transmission function (TRF) is very difficult due to variations of the measurement conditions. In this study, it is proposed to use the measured full TRF as a feature for crack depth assessment. A Principal component analysis (PCA) is employed to generate a basis of the measured TRFs for various crack cases. The measured TRFs are represented by their projections onto the most significant principal components. Then artificial neural networks (NNs) using the PCA-compressed TRFs is applied to assess the crack in concrete. Experimental study is carried out for five different crack cases to investigate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Results reveal that the proposed method can be effectively used for the crack depth assessment of concrete structures.

• Journal of agriculture & life science
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.1-8
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• 2012

This study is a precedent study for deriving transfer function model between growing stock and forest management policies. Its goal is to solve the multicollinearity between forest works inducing growing stock changes through principal component analysis using annual time series data from 1997 to 2008. As the results, the total explanatory power showed 91.4% on the summarized 3 principal components. They were renamed 'good forest management' 'pest & insets management' 'forest fires' for conceptualization on the derived each component.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.20-20
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• 2017

최근 기후변화 영향에 따라 전 세계적으로 인명피해 및 재산피해를 유발하는 자연재난이 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 그로 인한 자연재해의 규모가 점점 더 커지고 있다. 실제로 우리나라에서도 지난 1994 년에서 2013 년까지 지난 20 년간 자연재해에 의한 피해액은 12조 3천억 원으로 집계되었으며, 이 중 강우와 태풍에 의한 피해가 85 % 이고, 대설에 의한 피해는 약 13 % 로 자연재해 중 대부분의 피해는 강우 및 태풍에서 발생하지만, 폭설에 의한 피해도 적지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 이에 따라, 정확한 예측을 위해 신뢰도 높은 자료 구축을 통한 대설피해 예측에 관한 연구가 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구에서는 대설피해액 예측을 위해 우리나라의 63개 기상 관측소에서 관측한 적설심 자료 및 기상관측 자료와 사회 경제 자료 총 11개를 대설피해 예측을 위한 입력변수로 선정하고, 이를 기상관측소가 속한 도시의 면적에 따라 3개의 지역으로 구분하였다. 주성분분석을 활용하여 선정된 입력변수들을 4개의 주성분으로 구분하고, 인공신경망 및 다중선형 회귀 모형을 구성하여 각 지역별 대설피해 예측의 오차를 분석하였다. 적용결과, 인공신경망 모형을 이용한 대설피해 예측의 수정결정계수는 22.8 %~48.2 %를 나타냈고, 다중선형회귀 모형의 수정결정 계수는 9.2 %~39.7% 로 나타났다. 그러므로 인공신경망 모형이 다중회귀 모형보다 선택된 입력자료를 활용하여 대설피해를 예측하는 목적으로 조금 더 우수한 결과를 나타내었다. 향후 자료를 보완 및 모형의 고도화를 통해 보다 정확한 대설피해 예측 함수 개발이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.773-794
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• 2021

Prediction of vehicle traffic volume is very important in planning municipal administration. It may help promote social and economic interests and also prevent traffic congestion costs. Traffic volume as a time-varying trajectory is considered as functional data. In this paper we study three functional regression models that can be used to predict an unseen trajectory of traffic volume based on already observed trajectories. We apply the methods to highway tollgate traffic volume data collected at some tollgates in Seoul, Chuncheon and Gangneung. We compare the prediction errors of the three models to find the best one for each of the three tollgate traffic volumes.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.47-53
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• 2004

This paper proposes an algerian for determining robot location using appearance-based paradigm. First, this algorithm compresses the image set using Principal Component Analysis(PCA) to obtain a low-dimensional subspace, called the eigenspace, and it makes a manifold that represent a continuous-appearance function. Neural network is employed to estimate the location of the mobile robot from the coefficients of the eigenspace. Then, Kalman filtering scheme is used for the fine estimation of the robot location. The algorithm has been implemented and tested on a mobile robot system. It is shown that the robot location is estimated accurately in several trials.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.25-31
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• 2011

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a well-known method for dimensionality reduction and feature extraction. Although PCA has been applied in many areas successfully, it is sensitive to outliers due to the use of sum-square-error. Several variants of PCA have been proposed to resolve the noise sensitivity and, among the variants, improved robust fuzzy PCA (RF-PCA2) demonstrated promising results. RF-PCA2, however, still can fall into a local optimum due to equal initial membership values for all data points. Another reason comes from the fact that RF-PCA2 is based on sum-square-error although fuzzy memberships are incorporated. In this paper, a variant of RF-PCA2 called RF-PCA3 is proposed. The proposed algorithm is based on the objective function of RF-PCA2. RF-PCA3 augments RF-PCA2 with the objective function of PCA and initial membership calculation using data distribution, which make RF-PCA3 to have more chance to converge on a better solution than that of RF-PCA2. RF-PCA3 outperforms RF-PCA2, which is demonstrated by experimental results.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.3 no.6
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• pp.215-218
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• 2014

In hashing-based methods for approximate nearest neighbors(ANN) search, by mapping data points to k-bit binary codes, nearest neighbors are searched in a binary embedding space. In this paper, we present a hashing method using a PCA-based clustering method, Principal Direction Divisive Partitioning(PDDP). PDDP is a clustering method which repeatedly partitions the cluster with the largest variance into two clusters by using the first principal direction. The proposed hashing method utilizes the first principal direction as a projective direction for binary coding. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method is competitive compared with other hashing methods.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.11B no.4
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• pp.485-490
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• 2004

In data representation, the clustering performs a grouping process which combines given data into some similar clusters. The various similarity measures have been used in many researches. But, the validity of clustering results is subjective and ambiguous, because of difficulty and shortage about objective criterion of clustering. The fuzzy clustering provides a good method for subjective clustering problems. It performs clustering through the similarity matrix which has fuzzy membership value for assigning each object. In this paper, for objective fuzzy clustering, the clustering algorithm which joins principal components analysis as a dimension reduction model with bayesian learning as a statistical learning theory. For performance evaluation of proposed algorithm, Iris and Glass identification data from UCI Machine Learning repository are used. The experimental results shows a happy outcome of proposed model.