• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균연간비용

Search Result 66, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

The High Cost of Fear (리포트 - 공포의 값비싼 대가)

  • Shellenberger, Michael
    • Nuclear industry
    • /
    • v.37 no.9
    • /
    • pp.58-90
    • /
    • 2017
  • '공포의 값비싼 대가(The High Cost of Fear)'는 공개된 자료 중 동료 평가를 마친 최신의 자료와 간단한 계산 방법을 통해 한국의 탈원전 정책이 가져올 경제적, 환경적 영향을 분석한 보고서이다. 우리는 탈원전 정책이 다음과 같은 영향을 미칠 것으로 예측한다. ${\cdot}$천연가스 구매에만 최소 매년 100억 달러의 비용이 들 것이다. 이는 한국 평균임금인 연소득 29,125달러를 받는 일자리 343,000개에 해당하는 금액이다. ${\cdot}$비용의 대부분은 연료 수입에 사용될 것이며, 한국의 무역 수지가 악화될 것이다. ${\cdot}$한국의 부족한 재생에너지 자원을 고려할 때, 상당한 양의 화석 연료를 추가로 사용하게 될 것이다. ${\cdot}$LNG 발전소가 석탄 발전소를 대체하지 못하고 원자력발전소를 대체하면서 대기 오염으로 인한 조기 사망자 수가 증가할 것이다. ${\cdot}$한국의 전도유망한 원전 수출 산업이 아예 붕괴되거나 큰 타격을 입을 것이다. ${\cdot}$평균적 미국 자동차의 연간 주행거리를 기준으로 150만대에서 270만대의 미국 자동차가 배출하는 배기가스의 양만큼 연간 탄소 배출이 증가할 것이고, 한국은 파리기후협정에서 약속한 탄소 배출 감축 목표를 달성할 수 없게 된다. 본 보고서는 현재 계획된 탈원전 정책의 역사적 사회적 배경을 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 도출하였다. ${\cdot}$'그린피스(Greenpeace)', '지구의 친구들(Friends for the Earth)' 등 막대한 자금 지원을 받는 해외 환경단체들은 탈원전 거짓 정보의 근원이며, 이들은 저렴하고 풍부한 에너지라는 개념을 반대한다. ${\cdot}$후쿠시마 원전 사고와 그 여파의 주된 원인은 일본 원자력산업계의 오만과 원자력에 대한 과장된 집단 공포이다. ${\cdot}$반핵 진영의 논리에는 산업계와 정부에 대한 불신과 원자력, 방사선에 대한 몰이해가 반영되어 있다. ${\cdot}$반핵 진영은 후쿠시마 사고를 2014년 한수원 납품 비리 사태의 심각성을 과장하는 데 사용하고 있다. 2014년의 비리 사태는 한국 원자력 규제기관의 독립성을 증명했으며, 2016년의 경주 지진은 2011년 후쿠시마에서 쓰나미와 노심 용융을 초래한 동일본 대지진의 1/350,000의 크기밖에 되지 않는다. 본 보고서는 한국과 타국가의 반핵 운동이 주는 교훈을 다음과 같이 정리하였다. ${\cdot}$어떠한 국가도 에너지 자원 최빈국인 프랑스나 한국 같은 국가조차도 탈원전 '전쟁'에서 자유롭지 않으며, 이는 전 세계적으로 원자력산업이 쇠퇴하는 원인이다. ${\cdot}$원자력산업계, 정부, IAEA 등은 한국과 세계 여러 국가에서- 문화적, 제도적, 재정적 원인으로 원자력산업의 보호와 확대라는 목표를 달성할 수 없다. ${\cdot}$원자력산업을 구하기 위해서는 새로운 비전과 새로운 제도, 그리고 새로운 리더십이 필요하다. ${\cdot}$원자력의 근원적이고 혁신적인 비전 원자력 인본주의(atomic humanism)에 대한 재조명이 필요하다. ${\cdot}$원자력을 지키고 대중과 소통하기 위해 과학 연구단체, 대학교, 사단법인, NGO 등의 새로운 기관들을 후원해야 한다. ${\cdot}$공포를 조장하는 반원전 세력에 맞서 공포를 극복해야 하고, 대중의 공포를 극복해왔던 다른 기술들의 사례에서 교훈을 얻어야 한다.

  • PDF

Separation of Runoff Components using Digital Filter Method and Non-point Source Load Estimation (Digital Filter 기법을 이용한 유출성분 분리 및 비점오염부하량 산정)

  • Cho, Young-Sik;Lee, Heung-Soo;Jung, Yong-Rak;Choi, Jung-Kyu;Chung, Se-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.2069-2073
    • /
    • 2007
  • 효과적인 저수지 수질관리 대책을 수립하기 위해서는 상류 유역으로부터 오염원의 유출특성에 대한 정확한 이해가 필요하다. 강우시 대부분 유입하는 비점오염원은 실측에 많은 비용과 시간이 소요되어 부하량 산정에 어려움이 있어 전체 부하량에서 차지하는 기여도를 파악하는데 어려움이 있었다. 본 연구의 목적은 Digital Filter 기법을 이용하여 댐 유입량 수문곡선으로부터 유출성분을 분리하고, 강우시 유출하는 비점오염부하량을 산정하는 방법을 개발하는데 있다. 연구대상지역은 대청호를 선택하였다. 유출성분별 오염부하량을 정량화하기 위해 댐 유입량을 각각 지표유출, 중간유출 및 기저유출 성분으로 분리하고, 강우시 지표유출과 중간유출을 합하여 비점오염원 부하량(직접유출)으로 산정하였다. 유출성분별 일별 부하량은 실측된 유량 및 수질자료로부터 유도된 유량-부하량의 상관관계식을 적용하였다. 연구결과 대청호 유입량의 유출성분비는 각각 지표유출 49.2%, 중간유출 25.5% 및 기저유출 25.4%로 산정되었다. 2001년 옥천지점에서 유출성분분리 결과, 총 유출량 중 기저유출, 지표유출, 중간유출의 비가 각각 35.1%, 39.5%, 25.5%로 산정되었고, 청성지점은 각각 39.7%, 36.1%, 24.2%로 나타났다. $2001{\sim}2005$년까지 유출 성분별 비점오염원 부하량을 산정한 결과, 대청호에 비점오염원 부하량 기여율의 범위(평균값)는 각각 BOD $65.2{\sim}88.0%$(평균 83.5%), COD $68.1{\sim}$ 89.3%(평균 86.8%), T-N $60.4{\sim}88.6%$(평균 84.2%), 그리고 T-P $77.7{\sim}96.6%$(평균 94.3%)로 산정되었다. 이러한 결과는 대청호로 유입하는 유기물과 영양염류 연간 부하량의 80% 이상이 강우-유출과 함께 유입하는 것을 의미하며, 저수지 수질관리를 위해서는 유역차원의 비점오염원 관리가 시급함을 시사한다.

  • PDF

An Analysis of Velocity Patterns and Improvement Effect after Application of Domestic Roundabout Design Guidelines (Focusing on Busan Metropolitan City) (국내 회전교차로 설계지침 적용에 따른 속도패턴과 개선효과 분석 - 부산광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Chang-Sik;Choi, Yang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.305-316
    • /
    • 2013
  • To find out if modern roundabout is still effective under drivers behavior and driving conditions in Busan Metropolitan City, the effects before and after introduction of roundabout were analyzed. According to analysis on velocity profile at roundabout, velocity deviation decreased, and average vehicle speed was close to design speed. As a result, it has been confirmed that most roundabouts were properly built. In terms of traffic operation, average vehicle speed improved by 87.2% when a traffic intersection was replaced by a roundabout. therefore, it has been found out that the introduction of roundabout has a positive effect on increasing vehicle speed by reducing traffic congestion. In addition, annual benefits expected from the replacement from a traffic intersection to a roundabout were KRW 872 million as follows; KRW 410 million in traffic communication, KRW 39 million in transportation safety, KRW 255 million in energy saving, KRW 95 million in reduction of air pollution and KRW 73 million in reduction of traffic signal installation cost. In other words, if 10% (193 spots) of all traffic intersections (1,926 spots in total) in Busan City are replaced by roundabouts, the municipal authority would be able to save about KRW 168.3 billion. According to analysis on the benefits expected from the installation of roundabouts compared to the investment cost for traffic intersections, about KRW 679 million could be saved per roundabout. Considering 10% of all traffic intersections in the City of Busan, about KRW 131 billion could be saved annually. The traffic accidents in roundabout usually occur because drivers aren't aware of right-of-way rules. Once the right-of-way rules settle, the number of traffic accidents would significantly decrease. In addition, it is urgent to promote education and campaign for drivers, pedestrians and bikers on the roundabout.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of Marine Ecosystem Restoration Technology Program (해양생태계 복원기술개발 사업의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Ju;Paik, Sang-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.130-142
    • /
    • 2014
  • The Korean government is considering implementation of the marine ecosystem restoration technology program (MERTP) to analyze the current status of the marine ecosystems and causes for the ecosystem deterioration as well as to eventually establish a master strategic plan for restoring ecosystem functions and preventing ecosystem functional loss. In order to determine likelihood of successful implementation, it is essential to perform an analysis of the economic feasibility of the program. The present study assessed economic feasibility of the MERTP. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation (CV) method is used. In particular, dichotomous choice (DC) format is employed as a method of eliciting willingness-to-pay (WTP) response to incentive-compatible mechanisms. The study also employed the spike model to deal with zero WTP responses from the DC CV survey. This survey of 1,000 randomly selected households in accordance with the guidelines provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (USA) was carried out nationwide in 2013. And, the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about their WTP for implementing the MERTP. The results showed that the annual mean WTP was estimated to be 5,414 won per household. Consequently, the annual benefit from the MERTP would be about 98.6 billion won for the next five years. Economic feasibility assessment utilizing the MERTP investment cost and expansion cost of the value provided that net present value, benefit/cost ratio, and internal rate of return are 337.8 billion won, 5.20, and 65.9 %, respectively, which are bigger than 0, 1.0, and 5.5 %, and that the MERTP passes the cost-benefit analysis.

Comprehensive Analysis of Major Factors Associated with the Performance of Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plant for Energy-saving (에너지 소모를 고려한 역삼투 해수담수화 플랜트 주요 성능인자 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Lee, Kyung-Hyuk;Lim, Jae-Lim
    • Membrane Journal
    • /
    • v.29 no.6
    • /
    • pp.314-322
    • /
    • 2019
  • A worsened drought in Chungnam province of Korea due to climate change and increasing water demand at Daesan industrial complex have motivated the 100,000 ㎥/d seawater desalination project. In this study, therefore, the comprehensive analysis of parameters affecting the reverse osmosis (RO) performance was conducted. Under the various conditions of feedwater salinity and temperature in Daesan, energy consumption was calculated as 2.39 ± 0.13 kWh/㎥. The decrease in membrane flux and recovery rate positively impacted annual operation cost. The average total dissolved solids (TDS) of the permeate and energy consumption with highly permeable membrane according to the membrane manufacturer were 3.84 mg/L and 2.22 ± 0.13 kWh/㎥, respectively. In addition, energy saving up to 0.29 kWh/㎥ or cost reduction of membrane module up to 15.6% is expected by changing the RO configuration from full two pass to partial or split partial two pass.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of Developing Marine Environmental Risk Assessment and Management Technology (해양환경 위해성 평가 및 관리 기술개발사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Park, Sun-Young;Nam, Jung-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.20-40
    • /
    • 2013
  • A project of developing marine environmental risk assesment and management technology was proposed to improve the level of marine environmental management research. This paper attempts to measure the non-market benefits of the project. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is used. In particular, recently proposed one and one-half bounded model is applied. The model can reduce the potential for response bias comparing to the double bounded model while maintaining much of its efficiency. Moreover, in order to deal with zero WTP observations, a spike model is adjusted for our data. A survey of randomly selected 600 households was implemented and the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about how they would be willing to pay for implementing the project. Respondents overall accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount (2,663 won), on average, per household per year. The aggregate value of the project in the nation amounts to approximately 46.3 billion won per year. The figure 2.16 of cost-benefit ratio shows that economic validity of this technical development.

  • PDF

An Analysis on the Construction of Energy Exchange Network to Recover Waste Heat Energy in Pohang Steel Industrial Complex (포항철강산업단지 내부 폐열 회수를 위한 에너지 교환망 구축 방안 분석)

  • Lee, Gwang-Goo;Jung, In-Gyung;Chun, Hee-Dong
    • Clean Technology
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.406-411
    • /
    • 2011
  • A detailed database of waste heat is built to propose energy exchange networks to recover waste energy in Pohang Steel Industrial Complex. A visualized technique is used to figure out the status of waste heat energy and to suggest potential energy exchange networks. Several energy networks are proposed in terms of temperature level, the amount of available energy, distance, and construction cost. A simple economical assessment is applied to the energy exchange networks which have higher economic potential. Their average payback period is estimated to be 2.8 years. The total amount of energy saving by constructing the proposed energy exchange networks is 4,778 TOE per year. It corresponds to 11,160 ton $CO_2$ reduction with the assumption that the recycled waste energy replaces the use of LNG in energy-demanding companies.

A Study on the Characteristics of Skin Beauty Franchise System -Focusing on the comparison of cases between Korea and the United States- (피부미용 프랜차이즈 시스템의 특성 분석 연구 -한국과 미국의 사례 비교를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.688-696
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study compared the current status, opening costs, and service of skin beauty franchises in Korea and the U.S. with the aim of providing data for skin beauty franchises. The main items in both countries include facial and body care, with 54 mean value in Korea, which is smaller than 361 mean value in the U.S. The U.S. franchise fee is about 1.5 times higher than that in Korea, and franchisees pay royalties of 20-60(ten thousand KRW) per month in Korea and 5-6 percent of annual sales in the U.S., as well as submit a net worth requirement and cash requirement. There are many spa services in the U.S. which creates differences in cost from Korea. and for the education, the cost was set in Korea while the time in the U.S. Every franchise offered facial and body care services. In addition, most Korean franchises run bridal care services, while in the U.S., waxing, men's treatment, hot stone, and spa services are offered. These differences are the result of differences in climate and race between the two countries, as well as differences in perception regarding the socio-cultural atmosphere, skin beauty, and openness.

A Study on the Damage Cost Estimation Model for Personal Information Leakage in Korea (개인정보유출 피해 비용 산출 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Gyoo Gun;Liu, Mei Na;Lee, Jung Mi
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.215-227
    • /
    • 2018
  • As Korea is rapidly becoming an IT powerhouse in the short term, various side effects such as cyber violence, personal information leakage and cyber terrorism are emerging as new social problems. Especially, the seriousness of leakage of personal information, which is the basis of safe cyber life, has been highlighted all over the world. In this regard, it is necessary to estimate the amount of the damage cost due to the leakage of personal information. In this study, we propose four evaluation methods to calculate the cost of damages due to personal information leakage according to average real transactions value, personally recognized value, compensation amount basis, and comparison to similar countries. We analyzed data from 2007 to 2016 to collect personal information leakage cases for 10 years and estimated the cost of damages. The number of cases used in the estimation is 65, and the total number of personal information leakage is about 430 million. The estimated cost of personal information leakage in 2016 was estimated to be at least KRW 7.4 billion, up to KRW 220 billion, and the 10 year average was estimated at from KRW 10.7 billion to KRW 307 billion per year. Also, we could find out the singularity that the estimated damage due to personal information leakage increases every three years. In the future, this study will be able to provide an index that can measure the damage cost caused by the leakage of personal information more accurately, and it can be used as an index of measures to reduce the damage cost due to personal information leakage.

The Effect of Energy Efficiency Investment on Industry's Productivity Growth (에너지효율화 투자의 산업생산성 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Myunghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.291-308
    • /
    • 2011
  • The success of a target of 'low-carbon green growth' depends on whether installing energy-saving capital would result in an increase in industry's productivity growth. Defining total factor productivity from a dual cost function, this paper estimates the contribution of energy efficiency investment to productivity growth by analyzing the sources of growth of productivity index for the primary metal industries. Empirical results show that, on average, energy efficiency investment increased the annual rate of productivity growth by 1.16 percentage points over th period 1982~2006. In addition, The scale effect positively affected the contribution of energy efficiency investment on productivity growth.

  • PDF