• Title/Summary/Keyword: 패널 회귀분석모형

Search Result 157, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

A Study on Determinants of the Elderly's Self-employment Exits - Focusing on why they exit from their owned business (중고령층 자영업 이탈 요인 분석: 자영업 이탈 이유를 중심으로)

  • Moon, Sanggyun;Park, Sae Jung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.43 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-31
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the determinants of self-employment exits among the middle-aged and senior adults. For the analysis, we used KLoSA(Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing) data from the first(2006) to the sixth(2016) and vocational data, which is a retrospective data surveyed in 2007. Among the reasons for exiting the self-employment, we find that the group that went out of their businesses due to management difficulties were more likely to have economic difficulties after the exit. Therefore, we analyzed the determinants of self-employment exits considering the exit reason due to management difficulties. The analysis model used a competing risk regression model that defined the only exit due to management difficulties as failures. As a result, the significance of gender, age, and education variables, which were well known as determinants of exiting the self-employment, disappeared. On the other hand, we find that the prior experience in the same industry tended to lower the risk of exiting the self-employment. To summarize the results, we suggest that we need some ways to help the middle-aged and senior adults who start their own businesses without any experience in the same industry to prevent them from failures.

  • PDF

Factor Analysis of Seaborne Trade Volume Affecting on The World Economy (품목별 해상 물동량이 세계 경제에 미치는 영향 요인분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu;Park, Ju-Dong
    • Korea Trade Review
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.277-296
    • /
    • 2017
  • More than 95% of imports and exports in the World are being transported by vessels. In other words, marine transportation accounts for a large portion of share in the world trade. The purpose of this study is to analyze factors of seaborne trade volume according to items affecting on the world economy. This study conducted a linear regression analysis between seaborne trade volume and the world economy (world GDP) to estimate the correlation between them. Panel data analysis and random effects model analysis have been applied to examine the effect of seaborne trade volume. For this study, the seaborne trade volume is categorized into 10 items, and estimated how much global GDP will be affected when the trade volume changes. In addition, the granger causality test was conducted to verify the relationship between seaborne trade volume and the world GDP. As a result, seaborne trade volume and the world GDP were mutually influenced each other. However, seaborne trade volume affects the world economy more significantly. The items affecting world economic growth include petroleum products, crude oil, chemical products, and so on. The estimated value of the coefficients of petroleum products, crude oil and chemical products were 1.014, 1.013 and 1.010, respectively. The estimated value 1.014 of petroleum products means that the growth rate is 1.014 times higher than the current world GDP growth rate when the seaborne trade volume of petroleum products increased by one unit Lastly, this study examines the seaborne trade volume of 10 categories and then verifies whether the growth rate of world GDP will increase when the volume of seaborne trade increased. This study is expected to provide policy-makers with useful information about formulating policies related to international trade.

  • PDF

The Factors Affecting the Marital Duration (결혼지속에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Baeg-Eui;Park, Eun-Joo;Park, Hyun-Jung;Bahk, Jin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
    • /
    • v.61 no.3
    • /
    • pp.307-328
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study aims to investigate the patterns and causes of the marital duration. Data used for this study are ten waves of Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(KLIPS) in 1998~2007, in which the final sample consists of 2,397 households. The Life-table method is used for describing the overall patterns of marital duration by birth-cohorts and different education groups, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model is used to identify significant factors on the marital duration. The results show that among the all respondents, the 0.79% has divorced or separated within five years after marriage, 2.12% within 10 years, and 5.84% within 20 years, respectively. In addition, the Cox regression results show that the marital duration is significantly affected by the birth-cohorts of respondents and their spouses, education level, earning of spouses, co-residence with parents, and household income. This implies that the hazard rate of marital disruption is higher for younger cohorts, individuals with lower education and economic status, persons living with parents-in-law, compared to their counterparts. Thus, it is necessary to implement social welfare policies applicable for these persons.

  • PDF

Influence of tuition and scholarship on the stop-out rate: An empirical analysis using panel regression model (등록금 및 장학금이 대학생 휴학률에 미치는 영향: 패널회귀모형을 이용한 실증분석)

  • Yang, Hoseok;Choi, Jae-Seok;Han, Jun-Tae;Jeong, Jina
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.631-638
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this paper, we configured the panel data of four years using the information of Higher Education In Korea (2010~2013) and studied the influence of tuition and scholarships on the stop-out rate of national university and private university separately through a panel analysis. Three models are implemented considering various variables suck as faculty-student ratios, employment rate, per pupil expenditure, average tuition, and per pupil scholarship. This study showed that the lower net tuition and the higher per pupil off-campus scholarship lowered the stop-out rate at national universities and the lower tuition and the higher per pupil scholarship lowered the stop-out rate at private universities.

High Suicidal Risk Group of Elderly: Identification of Causal Factors and Development of Predictive Model (자살 고위험군 노인: 원인 파악 및 예측 모델 개발)

  • Gayeon Park;Woosik Shin;Hee-Woong Kim
    • Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.59-81
    • /
    • 2023
  • Elderly suicide problem has become worse in South Korea. With a rapid aging of the population, the trend of suicide among the elderly is expected to accelerate, preventing elderly suicide has been considered an important societal problem. Thus, we aim to investigate various factors that explain suicidal ideation and to develop a predictive model for suicidal ideation in the context of elderly people in South Korea. To this end, this study contributes to addressing the elderly suicide problem. By using seven-year panel data from the Korea Welfare Panel Survey, we extract various potential causal factors for elderly suicidal ideation based on interpersonal theory of suicide and social disorganization theory. Then a panel logit model was employed to assess the impacts of potential factors on suicidal ideation and deep learning and machine learning algorithms were used to develop a predictive model for suicidal ideation of elderly people. The results of our study provide practical implications for preventing elderly suicide by identifying causal factors of suicidal ideation and a high suicidal risk group of the elderly. This study sheds light on synergy of mixed methodology and provides various academic implications.

Value Evaluation Model for Korean Professional Baseball Players (한국프로야구선수의 가치평가모형)

  • Oh, Taeyeon;Lee, Young Hoon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.113-139
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to establish evaluation model that can explain marginal effects of baseball players of Korean Baseball Organization (KBO) on their team winnings in terms of productivity. We proposed econometric model with using variables that are provided from official homepage of KBO to overcome the complexity of mainly used productivity index: wins above replacement (WAR). Also, compare to the previous studies such as Scully(1974) or Krautmann(1999) that using limited indices of baseball stats, this study included 61 indices that are provided from official homepage of KBO. We estimated regression based WAR(RBWAR) by conducting panel regression with each team's statistics data of 2002 to 2014. As a results, RBWAR shows 0.869 correlation coefficient for batters and 0.882 for pitchers with WAR in 2014 that can be concluded that two indices shows similar results. From the results of estimation, we analyze the relationship between productivity and actual contract of free agent players in 2015 and it showed that teams have contracted reasonably.

  • PDF

Analysis of the Relationships among Energy, Economic Growth and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Using Metropolitan City/Province Level Data (광역시·도별 자료를 이용한 에너지, 경제성장, 온실가스 배출 간의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Jaeseok;Lee, Keun-Dae;Yu, Bok-Keun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.503-533
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the relationships among the energy consumption, renewable energy production, real gross regional domestic product(GRDP), and greenhouse gas(GHG) emissions. It uses the metropolitan city and province level data for Korea from 2010 to 2018, employing a panal vector autoregressive(VAR) model. We find that an increase in energy consumption has a limited impact on boosting renewable energy production or gross regional domestic product, while it leads to an increase in greenhouse gas emissions. A rise in renewable energy production can increase gross regional domestic product, but it has no meaningful effects on energy consumption and the reduction of green house gas emissions. Our finding indicates that it is crucial to expand the supply of renewable energy as well as to decrease energy consumption in order to achieve the goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reaching economic growth.

Longitudinal Relationship between Negative Parenting Attitudes Perceived by Adolescents, Self-Esteem, and Life Satisfaction: Application of the Autoregressive Cross-Lagged Model (청소년이 인식한 부모의 부정적 양육태도와 자아존중감, 삶의 만족도 간의 종단적 관계: 자기회귀교차지연모형의 적용)

  • Lee, Seoyeon
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.49-65
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study aims to examine the mutual influences of negative parenting attitudes, self-esteem, and life satisfaction perceived by adolescent children through longitudinal perspective. Data from the first to third years of the panel of the first year middle school students were used among the 2018 data of the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey (KCYPS) of the Korea Youth Policy Institute. The longitudinal correlation was analyzed by applying the autoregressive cross-lagged model which can determine the direction of longitudinal causality between variables. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the negative parenting attitudes, self-esteem, and life satisfaction perceived by adolescents had a positive effect on the negative parenting attitude perception, self-esteem, and life satisfaction at later times, respectively. In addition, the higher the negative parenting attitude at the previous point was, the lower the self-esteem or life satisfaction afterward. The higher the life satisfaction, the lower the negative parenting attitude of the parents, and the higher the self-esteem. Recognition of negative parenting attitudes of parents lowered the self-esteem of adolescents, whereas the cross-delay coefficient from self-esteem to negative parenting attitude perception was not significant. Through these results, the longitudinal relationship between negative parenting attitude perception of adolescence, self-esteem, and life satisfaction was confirmed and efforts to form positive self-esteem and improve life satisfaction were discussed.

Autoregressive Cross-lagged Effects Between the Experience of Bullying and Victimization: Multigroup Analysis by Gender (학교폭력 가해경험과 피해경험의 종단관계 검증: 자기회귀교차지연 모형을 통한 성별 간 다집단 분석)

  • Jisu Park;Yoonsun Han
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-27
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the persistent and dynamic association between bullying and victimization. Gender differences in patterns of school bullying was hypothesized based on the literature. Analysis were based on waves 3-6 of the Korea Children and Youth Panel Survey, a nationally representative data of primary and secondary school students in South Korea (N = 1,881). Autoregressive cross-lagged model was employed to identify the reciprocal association between bullying and victimization in longitudinal data. As hypothesized, regardless of gender, lagged effects were statistically significant between each time points such that current bullying caused future bullying and current victimization led to future victimization. However, there was no cross-lagged effects of current victimization on future bullying nor current perpetration on future victimization for both male and female youth. Findings from this study may have implications for designing policies against school bulling. Not only is short-term intervention for handling immediate psycho-social maladjustment important, but so are long-term plans that prevent youth from falling into continued perpetration and victimization in the system of school bullying.

An Empirical Study on the Determinants of Ownership Structure of Listed Companies in Korea : Evidence from Panel Data (우리나라 상장기업의 소유구조 결정요인에 관한 실증적 연구 : 패널자료로부터의 근거)

  • Lee, Hae-Young;Lee, Jae-Choon
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-72
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purposes of this paper are to build theoretical and empirically testable model to identify determining factors of ownership structure, and to analyze this model empirically using th Korea Stock Exchange panel data, and to test the impact of opening the stock market on the determinants of ownership structure. The determining factors of ownership structure identified in this paper include debt ratio, dividend, asset characteristics, profitability, growth business risk, size, institutional investors and chaebol-non chaebol dummy variable. Empirical panel estimation test reveals that this model can explain about $9\sim11%$ of the cross sectional variance in the equity ratio of large shareholders. The reasons that this model has too explanatory power are that some variables were measured with errors, and that there were some omitted variables in tested model. The regression results on the model variables ar generally in line with predictions. But the coefficient estimates on size is never significant. And it appears that the exogenous variable which explains opening the stock market has positive effect on the determinants of ownership structure.

  • PDF