• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.237-240
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• 2022

창업기업은 ICO나 크라우드펀딩 등을 통해 소액주주로부터 자금을 조달하여 캐즘(chasm)을 무사히 통과하게 되면 전문투자기관으로부터 시리즈 투자를 유치하게 된다. 이는 시리즈 단계에서는 창업기업의 불확실성을 줄여주는 전문투자기관이 필요한 반면, 사업의 불확실성이 더 높은 캐즘단계에서는 전문투자기관이 존재하지 않아도 소액투자자들의 모집이 가능하다는 역설이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 역설을 설명하기 위해 본 연구에서는 일반투자자들이 복권형투자(lottery-type investment)에 참여하고 있음을 가정하고, 이에 대한 이론적인 고찰을 시도하였다. 복권형투자는 수익률의 분포가 높은 양의 왜도를 가질 때 이론적으로 가능하다. 사실 경제현상에서 정규분포를 찾아보긴 어렵고 왜도가 높은 파레토분포가 더 일반적이다. 정규분포에 기초한 기존의 가격모델은 오히려 특수해라고 할 수 있다. 기대효용이론에 기초한 복권형투자 모형은 실증분석을 통해 파레토분포의 형상모수(𝛼) 값이 먼저 추정되어야 설계가 가능하다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.171-177
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• 2011

With the development of the actuarial and insurance industries, the distributions of the insurance payments data are deeply studied by many authors. It is known that theses types of distribution are very highly positively skewed and have a long thick upper tail such as Pareto or lognormal distribution. In 2005, Cooray and Ananda proposed a new model which is composed lognormal distribution and Pareto distribution. They said it as composite lognormal-Preto distribution. They showed that the proposed distribution was better fitted than lognormal or Pareto distribution. On the other hand many agreements about the insurance payment have some options for a trivially small payment or extremely large one because of the limits of total payment. Appling these cases, in this paper we consider the parameter estimation on the composite lognormal-Pareto distribution based on doubly censored samples.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.713-723
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• 2013

An objective Bayesian estimation procedure of the two-parameter Pareto distribution is presented under the reference prior and the noninformative prior. Bayesian estimators are obtained by Gibbs sampling. The steps to generate parameters in the Gibbs sampler are from the shape parameter of the gamma distribution and then the scale parameter by the adaptive rejection sampling algorism. A numerical study shows that the proposed objective Bayesian estimation outperforms other estimations in simulated bias and mean squared error.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2004.05a
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• pp.401-404
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• 2004

진화 알고리즘은 여러 개의 상충하는 목적을 갖는 다목적 최적화 문제를 해결하기에 적합한 방법이다. 특히, 파레토 지배관계에 기초하여 개체의 적합도를 평가하는 파레토 기반 진화알고리즘들은 그 성능에 있어서 우수한 평가를 받고 있다. 최근의 파레토 기반 진화알고리즘들은 전체 파레토 프론트에 균일하게 분포하는 해집합의 생성을 위해 개체들의 밀도를 개체의 적합도를 평가하기 위한 하나의 요소로 사용하고 있다. 그러나 밀도의 역할은 전체 진화과정에서 중요한 요소가 되기보다는 파레토 프론트에 어느 정도 수렴된 후, 개체의 균일 분포를 만들기 위해 사용된다. 본 논문에서 우리는 파레토 지배 순위와 밀도에 대한 적응적가중치를 이용한 다목적 최적화 진화알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안한 알고리즘은 진화 개체의 적합도를 평가하기위해 파레토 순위와 밀도에 대한 적응적 가중치를 적용하여 전체 진화과정에서 파레토 순위와 밀도가 전체 진화 개체집합의 상태를 고려하여 영향을 미치도록 하였다. 제안한 방법을 많은 지역해들을 포함하는 ZDT4문제에 적용한 결과 비교적 우수한 수렴 결과를 보였다.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.11B no.7 s.96
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• pp.841-848
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• 2004

Evolutionary a1gorithms are well-suited for multi-objective optimization problems involving several, often conflicting objectives. Pareto-based evolutionary algorithms, in particular, have shown better performance than other multi-objective evolutionary algorithms in comparison. However, generalized evolutionary multi-objective optimization algorithms have a weak point, in which the distribution of solutions are not uni-formly distributed onto Pareto optimal front. In this paper, we propose an evolutionary a1gorithm for multi-objective optimization which uses seed individuals in order to overcome weakness of algorithms Published. Seed individual means a solution which is not located in the crowded region on Pareto front. And the idea of our algorithm uses seed individuals for reproducing individuals for next generation. Thus, proposed a1go-rithm takes advantage of local searching effect because new individuals are produced near the seed individual with high probability, and is able to produce comparatively uniform distributed pareto optimal solutions. Simulation results on five testbed problems show that the proposed algo-rithm could produce uniform distributed solutions onto pareto optimal front, and is able to show better convergence compared to NSGA-II on all testbed problems except multi-modal problem.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.11B no.2
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• pp.213-220
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• 2004

Evolutionary algorithms are well-suited for multi-objective optimization problems involving several. often conflicting objective. Pareto-based evolutionary algorithms, in particular, have shown better performance than other multi-objective evolutionary algorithms in comparison. Recently, pareto-based evolutionary algorithms uses a density information in fitness assignment scheme for generating uniform distributed global pareto optimal front. However, the usage of density information is not Important elements in a whole evolution path but plays an auxiliary role in order to make uniform distribution. In this paper, we propose an evolutionary algorithms for multi-objective optimization which assigns the fitness using pareto dominance rank and density weighting, and thus pareto dominance rank and density have similar influence on the whole evolution path. Furthermore, the experimental results, which applied our method to the six multi-objective optimization problems, show that the proposed algorithms show more promising results.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.1069-1076
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• 2014

Rainfall weather patterns have changed due to global warming and sudden heavy rainfalls have become more frequent. Economic loss due to heavy rainfall has increased. We study the generalized Pareto distribution for modelling rainfall in Seoul based on data from 1973 to 2008. We use several priors including Jeffrey's noninformative prior and Gibbs sampling method to derive Bayesian posterior predictive distributions. The probability of heavy rainfall has increased over the last ten years based on estimated posterior predictive distribution.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.10-18
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• 2007

According to the recent growth of the internet commercialization and differentiated QoS(quality of service), statistical traffic modeling is necessary for forecasting and controlling future network capacity. This paper reviews tile essential components in web workloads. And I propose adjusted internet traffic modeling using heavy-tailed distributions and intervention techniques.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.249-249
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• 2017

본 연구는 신 국제무역이론(Meltzer, 2012, 2014, 2015)에 대한 실증분석을 목적으로 한다. 신국제무역이론은 기술혁신역량에 대한 이질적 기업분포가 국제무역에 미치는 영향을 중심으로 전개된다. 이 새로운 국제무역이론은 기술혁신분포형태가 국제무역효과를 결정한다는 핵심가정에서 출발하기 때문에 실증적으로 우리나라 제조 기업 기술혁신분포를 추정하고, 기술혁신분포형태 즉 우리나라 기업의 기술혁신과 기술모방분포에 대한 통계적으로 검증하여, 신 국제무역이론기반에 대한 적정성을 평가하였다. 본 분석결과를 바탕으로 기술정책 및 산업정책 방향을 간단하게 제언하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.1479-1494
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• 2015

Since the Markowitz's mean-variance framework for portfolio analysis, the topic of portfolio optimization has been an important topic in finance. Traditional approaches focus on maximizing the expected return of the portfolio while minimizing its variance, assuming that risky asset returns are normally distributed. The normality assumption however has widely been criticized as actual stock price distributions exhibit much heavier tails as well as asymmetry. To this extent, in this paper we employ the genetic algorithm to find the optimal portfolio under the Value-at-Risk (VaR) constraint, where the tail of risky assets are modeled with the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), the standard distribution for exceedances in extreme value theory. An empirical study using Korean stock prices shows that the performance of the proposed method is efficient and better than alternative methods.