• Title/Summary/Keyword: 파고추정

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Design Wave Period Estimation Using the Wave Height Information (파고 정보를 이용한 설계주기 추정)

  • Hong-Yeon Cho;Weon Mu Jeong;Ju Whan Kang;Gi-Seop Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.84-94
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    • 2023
  • The wave height and period regression curve is widely used to estimate the design wave period. In this study, the parameters of the curves are estimated, compared, and evaluated using the linear, robust linear, and nonlinear regression methods, respectively. The data used in the design wave height estimation are the annual maxima (AM) wave height and period data sets divided by typhoon and non-typhoon conditions, provided by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (2019). The estimation parameters show significant differences in the local coastal waters and the estimation methods. The estimation parameters based on the Suh et al. (2008, 2010) method show the apparent bias, under-estimation in the intercept (scale) parameter, and over-estimation in the slope (exponent) parameter, respectively.

A Comparative Study of Wave Height Estimation base on X-band Radar (X-band 레이더 기반 파고 추정 방법 비교 연구)

  • Yang, Young-Jun;Park, Jun-Soo;Park, Seung-Geun;Kwon, Sun-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.571-576
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a comparative study of wave height estimation method that was used for signal to noise ratio and shadowing ratio based on X-band marine radar. If the signal to noise ratio, and is widely used as a method for estimating an wave height, a new method is presented for shadowing ratio. In the case of radar images used in this study it is measuring the data from the coast of Ulsan Jujeon, compared with marine meteorological information from the Meteorological Agency measured a light beacon. We compared the measured data for about 34 days, the typhoon was measured, incluidng a period in the East Sea, and verify the results for various distribution of wave height. For estimate wave height using a shadowing ratio analysis, it does not require calibration and real-time advantages of this part, coming confirmed the possibility of the measurement, the cause detection error for radar image was caused due to determine.

Estimation of the Probable Wave Height considering Storm Surge in the Ocean near the Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소 인근 바다에서 폭풍해일을 고려한 가능 최대 파고 높이 추정)

  • Kim, Beom-Jin;Kim, Minkyu;Hahm, Daegi;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.211-211
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    • 2021
  • 최근에 기후변화로 인한 한반도에 내습하는 태풍에 빈도는 점차 증가하고 있다. 2020년도 8월 26일 태풍 '바비', 9월 2일 태풍 '마이삭', 9월 7일 태풍 '하이선'은 일주일 내의 간격으로 한반도를 내습하였다. 한반도에 내습한 태풍 중에서 마이삭과 하이선은 동쪽 해역을 지나가면서 강풍과 많은 강우를 초래하였다. 그 결과 특정 원전은 자동 가동중지가 발생되는 사태를 야기 시켰다. 본 연구에서는 원자력 발전소 인근 해역에서 폭풍해일에 의한 가능최대파고 높이를 추정함으로써 발전소 안전성에 대한 검토에 목적을 두고 있다. 이를 위해 첫 번째로 '2019 전국 심해 설계파 산출 보고서'를 바탕으로 원전 인근 해역 심해 설계파 지점에 대해 파고, 주기, 해상풍과 같은 변수들을 분석하였다. 그 결과를 바탕으로 100년부터 1000만년까지의 변수들을 예측하였다. 두 번째로 해도자료를 바탕으로 GIS를 통한 지형자료를 구축하였다. 구축된 지형자료를 바탕으로 SWAN 모델의 기초자료를 구성하였다. 세 번째로 추정된 변수들과 구축된 지형자료를 바탕으로 100년부터 1000만년까지의 시나리오별 SWAN 시뮬레이션을 통해서 원전 인근 해역에 대한 가능 최대 파고 높이를 분석하였다. 그 결과를 바탕으로 특정 원전인근 해역에서의 평균적인 파고 높이에 대한 재해도 곡선을 추정하고 제시하였다. 본 연구를 바탕으로 향후 확률론적인 분석 방법을 적용하여 불확실성을 고려한 재해도 곡선 추정 과정의 기초자료로 활용될 수 있다. 또한 EurOtop을 적용하여 파고 높이에 따른 원전부지의 Overtopping을 추정하고, 최종적으로 폭풍해일에 의한 원전부지의 2차원 침수해석의 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 이를 통해 홍수 방지 및 예방과 관련한 홍수저감 활동과 관련된 통제실 외부 시설물에 대한 수동 조작에 대한 안전성 평가가 이루어질 수 있겠다.

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A Statistical Method of Estimation of Extreme Sea Level (극한 파고 추정의 통계적 방법)

  • Gwon, Sun-Hong;Lee, Tae-Il;Jeon, Yeong-Gi
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 극한 파고를 추정하는 방법을 제시하였다. Type III분포에 근거해서 4가지의 방법들에 의해 분포 함수의 파라미터들을 추정하였다. 실제 자료와 추정된 분포 함수 값의 차이를 다항식을 도입하여 함으로써 그 오차를 줄였다. 이 방법들의 타당성을 보이기 위해 실제 해상의 자료들을 이용하여 분포 함수를 구하고 조우 주기들에 해당하는 극한 파고를 계산하여 보았다.

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Comparison of Methods for Estimating Extreme Significant Wave Height Using Satellite Altimeter and Ieodo Ocean Research Station Data (인공위성 고도계와 이어도 해양과학기지 관측 자료를 활용한 유의파고 극값 추정 기법 비교)

  • Woo, Hye-Jin;Park, Kyung-Ae;Byun, Do-Seung;Jeong, Kwang-Yeong;Lee, Eun-Il
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.524-535
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    • 2021
  • Rapid climate change and oceanic warming have increased the variability of oceanic wave heights over the past several decades. In addition, the extreme wave heights, such as the upper 1% (or 5%) wave heights, have increased more than the heights of the normal waves. This is true for waves both in global oceans as well as in local seas. Satellite altimeters have consistently observed significant wave heights (SWHs) since 1991, and sufficient SWH data have been accumulated to investigate 100-year return period SWH values based on statistical approaches. Satellite altimeter data were used to estimate the extreme SWHs at the Ieodo Ocean Research Station (IORS) for the period from 2005 to 2016. Two representative extreme value analysis (EVA) methods, the Initial Distribution Method (IDM) and Peak over Threshold (PoT) analysis, were applied for SWH measurements from satellite altimeter data and compared with the in situ measurements observed at the IORS. The 100-year return period SWH values estimated by IDM and PoT analysis using IORS measurements were 8.17 and 14.11 m, respectively, and those using satellite altimeter data were 9.21 and 16.49 m, respectively. When compared with the maximum value, the IDM method tended to underestimate the extreme SWH. This result suggests that the extreme SWHs could be reasonably estimated by the PoT method better than by the IDM method. The superiority of the PoT method was supported by the results of the in situ measurements at the IORS, which is affected by typhoons with extreme SWH events. It was also confirmed that the stability of the extreme SWH estimated using the PoT method may decline with a decrease in the quantity of the altimeter data used. Furthermore, this study discusses potential limitations in estimating extreme SWHs using satellite altimeter data, and emphasizes the importance of SWH measurements from the IORS as reference data in the East China Sea to verify satellite altimeter data.

Development of Wave Monitoring System using Precise Point Positioning (PPP 기반 항법 알고리즘을 이용한 파고 계측시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Song, Se Phil;Cho, Deuk Jae;Park, Sul Gee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1055-1062
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    • 2015
  • A GPS based wave height meter system is proposed in this paper. The proposed system uses a dual-frequency measurements, a precise GPS satellite information and a PPP-based navigation algorithm to estimate the position with high accuracy. This method does not need to receive corrections from the reference stations. Therefore, unlike RTK based wave meter, regardless of the distance to the reference stations, it is possible to estimate position with high accuracy. This system is very simple and accurate system, but accelerometer-based system requires the other sensors such as GPS. Because position error is accumulated in the accelerometer system and must be removed periodically for high accuracy. In order to get the measurements and test the proposed wave height meter system, a buoy equipped with the test platform is installed on the sea near by Jukbyeon habor in Uljin, Korea. Then, to evaluate the performance, compares built-in commercial wave height meter with proposed system.

Estimation of Significant Wave Heights from X-Band Radar Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 X-Band 레이다 유의파고 추정)

  • Park, Jaeseong;Ahn, Kyungmo;Oh, Chanyeong;Chang, Yeon S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 2020
  • Wave measurements using X-band radar have many advantages compared to other wave gauges including wave-rider buoy, P-u-v gauge and Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP), etc.. For example, radar system has no risk of loss/damage in bad weather conditions, low maintenance cost, and provides spatial distribution of waves from deep to shallow water. This paper presents new methods for estimating significant wave heights of X-band marine radar images using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). We compared the time series of estimated significant wave heights (Hs) using various estimation methods, such as signal-to-noise ratio (${\sqrt{SNR}}$), both and ${\sqrt{SNR}}$ the peak period (TP), and ANN with 3 parameters (${\sqrt{SNR}}$, TP, and Rval > k). The estimated significant wave heights of the X-band images were compared with wave measurement using ADCP(AWC: Acoustic Wave and Current Profiler) at Hujeong Beach, Uljin, Korea. Estimation of Hs using ANN with 3 parameters (${\sqrt{SNR}}$, TP, and Rval > k) yields best result.

On Statistical Properties of the Extreme Waves in Hong-do Sea Area During Typhoons (홍도 해역에서 태풍 중 극한파의 통계적 특성에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu Hwanajin;Kim Do Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, The statistical properties of ocean waves in the sea area of Hong-do, Korea are examined based on 1998-2002's wave data from a directional wave buoy. Wave data aquisition rate, mean wave heights, frequency of wave direction are summarized. Wave height and period scatter diagrams and n-year return period wave heights are estimated. Wave periods of maximum wave heights are also estimated. Large amplitude wave characteristics during the typhoon Prapiroon in 2000, Rusa in 2002 are also examined.

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Independence and Homogeneity Tests of the Annual Maxima Data used to Estimate the Design Wave Height (설계파고 추정에 사용한 연 최대 자료의 독립 및 분포 동질 검정)

  • Cho, Hong Yeon;Jeong, Weon Mu;Back, Jong Dai
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.26-38
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    • 2020
  • A statistical test was carried out on the IID (Independently and Identically Distributed) assumption of the AM (Annual Maxima) data used to estimate the design wave height. The test was divided into independence (randomness) test and homogeneity test, and each test was conducted on AM data of 210 and 310 stations in coastal and inner coastal grids in typhoon and non-typhoon (monsoon) conditions. As a result of the independence test, the rejection ratios of the test are in the range of 1.8~5.3% and 1.4~6.0% for the non-typhoon and typhoon data sets, respectively. On the other hand, in the distribution difference test of typhoon data and nontyphoon data, the same distribution hypothesis was found to be rejected in the range of 47~79% according to the test method for both coastal grid and inner coastal grid. Therefore, in estimating design wave height by extreme value analysis, the estimation process by dividing the typhoon and non-typhoon data is appropriate.

Probability Distribution of Nonlinear Random Wave Heights Using Maximum Entropy Method (최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용한 비선형 불규칙 파고의 확률분포함수)

  • 안경모
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.204-210
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the development of the probability density function applicable for wave heights (peak-to-trough excursions) in finite water depth including shallow water depth. The probability distribution applicable to wave heights of a non-Gaussian random process is derived based on the concept of the maximum entropy method. When wave heights are limited by breaking wave heights (or water depth) and only first and second moments of wave heights are given, the probability density function developed is closed form and expressed in terms of wave parameters such as $H_m$(mean wave height), $H_{rms}$(root-mean-square wave height), $H_b$(breaking wave height). When higher than third moment of wave heights are given, it is necessary to solve the system of nonlinear integral equations numerically using Newton-Raphson method to obtain the parameters of probability density function which is maximizing the entropy function. The probability density function thusly derived agrees very well with the histogram of wave heights in finite water depth obtained during storm. The probability density function of wave heights developed using maximum entropy method appears to be useful in estimating extreme values and statistical properties of wave heights for the design of coastal structures.

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