• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.66 no.12
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• pp.1799-1803
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• 2017

This paper introduces the prediction methods of windstorm advisory using GP nonlinear compensation and SVM. The existing special report prediction is not specialized for strong wind, such as windstorm, because it is based on the wide range of predicted values for wind speed from low to high. In order to improve the performance of strong wind reporting prediction, a method that can efficiently classify boundaries of strong wind is necessary. First, evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique is applied to obtain more accurate values of prediction for wind speed using UM data. Based on the prediction wind speed, the windstorm advisory is determined. Second, SVM method is applied to classify directly using the data of UM predictors and windstorm advisory. Above two methods are compared to evaluate of the performances for the windstorm data in Jeju Island in South Korea. The data of 2007-2009, 2011 year is used for training, and 2012 year is used for test.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2019.11a
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• pp.22-23
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• 2019

관제장비 기술의 발전으로 표출정보의 증가으로 관제사의 관리선박들은 급증하였지만, 수집된 고품질의 정보들을 어떻게 활용하여 관제사에게 관제 편의성을 제공할 시스템은 발전되지 않았다. 유사기관 운영시스템 사례를 벤치마킹하여, 기존 정보수집 중심 VTS시스템에서 기상특보 자동발송 시스템, VTS시스템과 V-Pass시스템 결합, 조난신호 표출시스템 등 관제사 중심(편의) 시스템을 예를 들어 제안함으로써 새로운 VTS시스템으로의 패러다임 변화를 하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.64-65
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• 2022

내항성능 해석 기반의 선박 해양활동지수에 관한 연구는 연근해에서 활동하는 30톤이하 선박에 대해 해양기상신호표지 정보 및 내항성능 해석 정보를 이용해서 선박의 안전한 해양활동 대책을 연구하는 것이다. 해양사고는 매년 증가 추세에 있으며 특히, 연근해 활동 소형선박의 사고가 해양사고의 많은 부분을 차지하고 있고 이러한 선박은 복원성 승인 및 유지 제외 선박(길이 24m 미만)으로 대부분으로 건조 시부터 폐선 시까지 해양활동에 대한 안전대책이 부족하여 사고로 인한 사망, 실종 등 인명손실이 많이 발생하고 있다. 선박의 해양활동에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 해양기상정보는 여러 기관별 목적에 맞게 수집되고 있으나 활용도가 떨어지고 실제 기상과 다를 수 있으며 지역 및 지형에 따라서도 기상여건이 상이하므로 현지 실시간 기상정보를 활용한 선박에 대한 적극적인 안전한 해양활동 정보 지원이 필요하다. 이 연구에서는 파고와 풍속 및 선박의 내항성능 해석 정보를 이용하여 30톤이하 선박에 대한 안전한 해양활동 대책을 강화하고자 함이다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.579-581
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• 2023

에너지바우처 사업은 해마다 지원 예산의 규모를 증액하고 대상 가구원 특성 기준을 추가하는 등 지속적인 노력에도 불구하고 현재 에너지바우처 사용률은 전국 평균 약 81.8%로 여전히 목표치에는 못 미치는 상황이다. 본 논문에서는 2015년 최초 시행 이후부터 누적된 에너지바우처의 데이터와 에너지연료비(유가 정보, 지역 난방비 등), 기상청의 개방된 기상자료(기상특보, 예보), 한전의 실시간 전력 소비데이터 등 타 정보를 결합하여 인공지능 기반 데이터 분석으로 에너지바우처 사용률을 높여 사용률 저조 원인을 분석하고 이를 기반으로 위험 가구에 대한 사전 탐지와 관리를 위한 시스템을 제안한다. 향후, 제안 시스템의 현실적인 운영을 위해서는 사용률과 연관된 다양한 변수에 대한 분석과 시스템 성능평가가 필요하다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.389-395
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• 2014

This technical note describes about the base stages of technology implementation for establishing "Early Warning System for Weather Hazard Management in Climate-smart Agriculture" to national onsite service. First of all, a special weather report service at catchment was represented sequential risk of 810 units of catchment by spatial statistical methods to existing 150 counties units special weather report released in KMA. The second, chronic hazard alarm service based on daily data of 76 Synoptic stations was monitor about 810 Catchment of mid-long term lapse weather and represented as a relative risk index chronic hazard risk of this time in preparation for the climatological normal conditions in the same period. Finally, we establish the foundation for delivering individually calculated field specific in hazard risk about volunteer farmer of early warning service demonstration area in seomjin downstream watershed. These three types of information were built a near real-time map service on the VWORLD background map of Ministry of Land as superposed layers nationwide catchment and demonstration areas within the farm unit weather hazard.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.37-51
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• 2017

Despite the improvement in accuracy of heavy rain forecasting, socioeconomic costs due to heavy rain hazards continue to increase. This is due to a lack of understanding of the effects of weather. In this study, the risk of heavy rain hazard was analyzed using the concepts of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure, which are key concepts of impact forecast presented by WMO. The potential impacts were constructed by the exposure and vulnerability variables, and the hazard index was calculated by selecting three variables according to the criteria of heavy rain warning. Weights of the potential impact index were calculated by using PCA and hazard index was calculated by applying the same weight. Correlation analysis between the potential impact index and damages showed a high correlation and it was confirmed that the potential impact index appropriately reflects the actual damage pattern. The heavy rain hazard risk was estimated by using the risk matrix consisting of the heavy rain potential impact index and the hazard index. This study provides a basis for the impacts analysis study for weather warning with spatial/temporal variation and it can be used as a useful data to establish the local heavy rain hazard prevention measures.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.9
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• pp.657-668
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• 2022

With the occurrence of localized heavy rain while river flow has increased, both flow and rainfall cause riverside flood damages. As the degree of damage varies according to the level of social and economic impact, it is required to secure sufficient forecast lead time for flood response in areas with high population and asset density. In this study, the author established a flood risk matrix using ensemble rainfall runoff modeling and evaluated its applicability in order to increase the damage reduction effect by securing the time required for flood response. The flood risk matrix constructs the flood damage impact level (X-axis) using flood damage data and predicts the likelihood of flood occurrence (Y-axis) according to the result of ensemble rainfall runoff modeling using LENS rainfall data and as well as probabilistic forecasting. Therefore, the author introduced a method for determining the impact level of flood damage using historical flood damage data and quantitative flood damage assessment methods. It was compared with the existing flood warning data and the damage situation at the flood warning points in the Taehwa River Basin and the Hyeongsan River Basin in the Nakdong River Region. As a result, the analysis showed that it was possible to predict the time and degree of flood risk from up to three days in advance. Hence, it will be helpful for damage reduction activities by securing the lead time for flood response.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.4
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• pp.267-278
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• 2022

Recently Flood damage volume has increased as heavy rain has frequently occurred. Especially urban areas are a vulnerability to flooding damage because of densely concentrated population and property. A local government is preparing to mitigate flood damage through the heavy rain warning issued by Korea Meteorological Administration. This warning classification is identical for a national scale. However, Seoul has 25 administrative districts with different regional characteristics such as climate, topography, disaster prevention state, and flood damage severity. This study considered the regional characteristics of 25 administrative districts to analyze the flood vulnerability using entropy weight and Euclidean distance. The rainfall classification was derived based on probability rainfall and flood damage rainfall that occurred in the past. The result shows the step 2 and step 4 of rainfall classification was not significantly different from the heavy rain classification of the Korea Meteorological Administration. The flood vulnerability is high with high climate exposure and low adaptability to climate change, and the rainfall classification is low in the northern region of Seoul. It is possible to preemptively respond to floods in the northern region of Seoul based on relatively low rainfall classification. In the future, we plan to review the applicability of rainfall forecast data using the rainfall classification of results from this study. These results will contribute to research for preemptive flood response measures.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.350-357
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• 2023

Marine accidents frequently occur due to the unreasonable operation of ships excluded from ship departure control during marine special weather warnings within smooth water areas. Coastal wave buoys installed in smooth water areas are major reference indicators for ship departure control and can be seen as being directly connected to the safety of ships navigating smooth water areas and the coast. In this study, the location appropriateness of currently operating coastal wave buoys and additional installation in the smooth water areas were assessed by analyzing coastal marine accidents over the past 30 years (1991-2020), the main wind direction and wind speed of each major trading port, and the GICOMS ship track data in 2018. The study results showed that an additional coastal wave buoy should be installed at each of the major trading ports(Inchon Port, Pohang Port, Ulsan Port, and Busan Port) and that the location of the coastal wave buoy needs to be moved in the case of Busan Port. Based on various data analysis in this study, the suggestion for an additional installation and movement of the coastal wave buoy presented in this study is expected to contribute to improving the reliability of ship departure control and resolving safety blind spots.

• Atmosphere
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.377-384
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• 2017

The effective management of call centers under special circumstances is critical to improve customer satisfaction. In order to effectively respond to call center counseling demand, this paper aims to identify factors having the greatest impact on the number of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) call center counseling. To do so, we propose to combine call center data with severe weather announcement data and investigate how the severe weather announcement affects the number of KMA call center counseling. A time lag analysis is conducted and it is found that the severe weather announcement takes about an hour to be reflected in the number of KMA call center counseling. Based on the result of the time lag analysis, we conduct a comparative analysis according to time and season using the data collected from 1 January 2012, to 29 June 2016. The results show that the number of KMA call center counseling increases at lunchtime and decreases during nighttime, and the average rate of change in call center counseling demand tends to be larger under the severe weather announcement. For the comparative analysis according to the season, there are significant differences in the effect of severe weather announcement on the number of KMA call center counseling in spring, fall and winter.