• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자타당성

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Fuzzy Logic Based Modeling of an Incident Detection Algorithm (퍼지이론을 이용한 유고감지 알고리즘)

  • 이시복
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.137-155
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    • 1996
  • 본 논문은 다이아몬드 인터체인지에서의 유고감지모형 개발을 위해 퍼지이론을 응용한 연구를 문서화 한 것이다. 지금까지의 교차로와 일반도로(고속도로가 아닌)에서의 유고감지에 관한 연구는 초기에 불과하다. 기존의 알고리즘들은 필요한 데이터 보존의 어 려움과 유고감지의 특성과 관련된 기술적 어려움을 효과적으로 극복하지 못하고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 다이아몬드 인터체인지에서의 유고감지를 위한 새로운 모형을 개발하는데 있다. 이 연구를 통하여 개발된 유고감지 모형은 차량차단 유고(lane-blocking incidents) 를 감지하는데, 감지의 범위는 차량차단 유고의 경향이 교통 장황에 특정한 패턴을 형성 하고 그에 따른 신호제어전략의 조정이 요구될 때에 국한된다. 이 모형은 전통적인 통계 치를 이용한 유고감지감 고유의 문제를 해결하며, 보다 정확하고 신뢰성 있는 유고감지를 위해 다양한 교통변수를 이용하여 전체적인 유고의 경향을 포착한다. 또한 이 모형은 실 시간 교통대응 다이아몬드 인터체인지 신호제어 시스템 (real-time traffic adaptive diamond interchange control system)의 구성요소로써 사용되며, 그리고 더 큰 교차로 시스템에의 상용을 위하여 확장이 용역하도록 설계되었다. 본 연구를 통해 개발된 프로 토타입(prototype) 유고감지 모형은 실제의 다이아몬드 인터체인지에 적용되어, 감지율, 오보율, 평감지시간의 세 달로써 성능이 평가되었다. 모형의 성능평가 결과는 무적이었으 며, 퍼지이론은 유고감지에 효과적인 접근방법임을 확인할 수 있었다.투자의 타당성을 실증적으로 보여 주고 있다.산정 절차 정립에 엇갈림 알고리즘을 활용하는 방안을 제시하였다.자함수를 추정한 뒤 이를 이용해 업종, 기업규모, 상품유형별로 적합한 모델(Fixed Effects Model)을 결정하고, 각각에 해당하는 통계모형을 구축하였다. 이 결과 (1) 업종 및 기업규모별로 그룹간에 유의한 특성이 발견되었으며, (2) R&D 및 광고투자는 기업의 시장성과를 설명하는 중요한 변수이나, (3) R&D 투자의 경우는 광고에 비해 불확실성이 존재하는 것으로 나타났고, (4) 수리모형에서 도출된 한계원리가 통계모형에서도 유효한 것으로 드러났다.등을 토대로 한 10대 산업을 육성하기 위하여 과학기술부는 기술수요조사를 바탕으로 49개 주요기술을 도출하여, 과학기술 일류 국가 실현, 국민소득 2만불 달성이라는 국가적 슬로건을 내걸고 “차세대 성장동력” 창출을 위한 범정부차원의 기획과 연구비의 집중투자를 추진하고 있다.달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한

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Economic Feasibility Analysis of Marine Ecosystem Restoration Technology Program (해양생태계 복원기술개발 사업의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Ju;Paik, Sang-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government is considering implementation of the marine ecosystem restoration technology program (MERTP) to analyze the current status of the marine ecosystems and causes for the ecosystem deterioration as well as to eventually establish a master strategic plan for restoring ecosystem functions and preventing ecosystem functional loss. In order to determine likelihood of successful implementation, it is essential to perform an analysis of the economic feasibility of the program. The present study assessed economic feasibility of the MERTP. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation (CV) method is used. In particular, dichotomous choice (DC) format is employed as a method of eliciting willingness-to-pay (WTP) response to incentive-compatible mechanisms. The study also employed the spike model to deal with zero WTP responses from the DC CV survey. This survey of 1,000 randomly selected households in accordance with the guidelines provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (USA) was carried out nationwide in 2013. And, the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about their WTP for implementing the MERTP. The results showed that the annual mean WTP was estimated to be 5,414 won per household. Consequently, the annual benefit from the MERTP would be about 98.6 billion won for the next five years. Economic feasibility assessment utilizing the MERTP investment cost and expansion cost of the value provided that net present value, benefit/cost ratio, and internal rate of return are 337.8 billion won, 5.20, and 65.9 %, respectively, which are bigger than 0, 1.0, and 5.5 %, and that the MERTP passes the cost-benefit analysis.

Increasing Hosting Capacity in KEPCO Distribution Feeders (배전선로의 분산 전원 상시 연계용량 기준 상향 타당성 연구)

  • Cho, Sung-Soo;Sim, JunBo;Lim, Hyeon-Ok;Kim, HyeonJin;Kim, Seong-Man;Ju, Sang-Do;Song, JongHyup
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.311-321
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    • 2019
  • With Korean Government's Renewable energy 3020 plan and 8th Basic plan for long-term power supply, renewable energy industries in Korea are active and catching attention from many relevant industry's relations. Especially with Interconnection guarantee policy established in Oct, 2016, DERs interconnection delay due to lack of allowable distribution hosting capacity is happening and reduction of reinforcement cost for distribution system where 70 % of DERs in South Korea are installed became one of important issues of KEPCO. Therefore, KEPCO needed to extract reasonable solutions to increase feasible hosting capacity of distribution feeders in order to reduce reinforcement cost under the condition of no matter in distribution system operation. This paper proposes feasible hosting capacity of distribution feeders that can be adopted and the status of DER installation in distribution system, PV output data, minimum load in distribution feeders as well as capacity of distribution lines have been investigated and analyzed in proof of the proposal.

Economic Impact Analysis on High-yield Groundwater Development R&D Project in Jeju (제주도 청정 대용량 지하수개발 연구사업의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Ahn, Eun-Young;Kim, Seong-Yong
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2009
  • For economic impact analysis on a R&D project of high-yield groundwater development in Jeju conducted by KIGAM from 2004 to 2007, benefit/cost ratio(BCR), net present value(NPV), and internal rate of return(IRR) were calculated by contingent valuation method(CVM), production function analysis, domestic water market analysis and technology factor analysis. Measurable direct impact parameters among the major outputs of this R&D project consisted the estimation 4 high-yield and high mineral groundwater reserve in Jeju. Annual use of the reserve by piped water and bottled water was estimated as 12.23 million ton and its monetary value was calculated as 293.4 million dollar in 2006 year value applied of 5.5% discount rate. Economic impact of this R&D project in NPV of year 2006, with applying a discount rate of 5.5%, was identified and estimated as 13.66 million dollar in NPV, 4.05 points in BCR, and 22.74% in IRR, respectively. Additional early launch benefit was 5.58 million dollar. Even increased of the 1% discount rate, NPV of this R&D project was also positive as 12.18 million dollar and BCR was 3.71.

An Evaluation Scheme on Feasibility in Public Sector for 3D Geo-Spatial Information - Focusing on Production of Digital Mapping (3차원 공간정보의 공공부문 사업성 평가 방안 - 2차원 수치지도 제작 업무를 대상으로)

  • Joo, Yong Jin;Kim, Kang Soo;Hahm, Chang Hahk
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2012
  • In order to carry out efficient investment and successful business in national geo-spatial industry, economic assessment on the field of 3D geo-information has recently emerged as a serious issue. Therefore, this study is intended to offer cost-effective evaluation scheme which are proper for 3D geo-spatial information, especially focusing on development of orthophoto and DEM. The study is organized as follows. The first section clarifies preliminary rules for feasibility by defining target work and category in order to estimate benefit. Then, this paper will be limited to consideration of production of digital mapping for target business which is expected to create high value and its benefit from cost reduction is suggested. Drawing from the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) methods, this study comprehensively described final result and implication to examine business value. Consequently, this study can suggest economical evaluation methods on 3D geo-spatial information industry, which takes up a considerable part of immaterial benefit and has difficulties in economic assessment and estimation. preventing a variety of errors in system operation in advance.

Decision Methodology for LNG Plant FEED Evaluation using Analytic Hierarchy Process (LNG 플랜트 프로젝트의 기본설계 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hwa;Cho, Dae-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2016
  • In this study, evaluation method for LNG plant FEED is suggested and its validity is confirmed using a well-known decision making technique of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). It is a pairwise comparison technique which can be used when multiple options must be considered for a single decision making problem. In order to develop an objective decision methodology, various decision parameters, sub-parameters as well as the concept of scale of assessment were introduced, and its consistency among these parameters was also checked by calculating the consistency index (C.I.). The methodology suggested in this article will contribute in evaluation of LNG plant FEED with less bias and subjectivity associated with the decision making procedure.

An Analysis of the Professional's Cognition Regarding the Plant Factory Feasibility (식물공장 사업타당성에 관한 전문가 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Eun;Cha, WoonCheol
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2015
  • Plant factory was started in Europe in the 1960. Thanks to the development of seeds science, nutrient study, environment control technology and automated systems, it has developed into the form of full artificial light system. In recent years, productivity of plant factory has increased with the convergence of ICT. An interest in plant factory has increased with several outstanding achievements. However, the plant factory industry is still stuck at an introductory stage and government investment has been reduced. In order to verify the feasibility of the plant factory, we conducted a survey targeting experts in politics, R&D and business field. We analyze the feasibility of investment in plant factory and strategies to enhance the competitiveness of plant factory.

An Empirical Study on Appraisal Indices' Discrimination Significance for Technology Financing: Focusing on KOTEC's Business Feasibility Appraisal Indices (기술금융 평가지표의 판별유의성에 관한 실증연구 : 기술보증기금의 기술사업성 평가지표를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Yong Hoon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate meaningful relationship between technology appraisal indices and SMEs' financial performances for their continuous growth. The empirical data for this study were based on the technology appraisal results of Korea Technology Finance Corporation(KOTEC) and the financial data of the following 2 years 0f 3,688 SMEs. The meaningful differences between SMEs with superb financial performances and the others, by using t-test analysis, statistically were verified in 25 indices(75.8%) out of total 33 indices. All of five independent variables, namely CEO's capability, technology manpower, R&D intensiveness, market competitiveness and investment feasibility, were verified to have a positive effect on business feasibility respectively and business feasibility also has a positive influence on financial performance, such as sales growth, labor productivity and financial stability.

An Empirical Study on the Effects of Top Management Leadership for Big Data Success (빅데이터 성공에 최고경영층 리더십이 미치는 영향: 실증연구)

  • Park, Sohyun;Koo, Bonjae;Lee, Kukhie
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2016
  • Previous studies on the success factors of big data implementation have called for future research and further examination of the top management leadership's impact. This research proposes and empirically tests three hypotheses, including how top management leadership can directly affect big data investment, how it can mediate the causal relationship between big data investment and idea usefulness, and how it can mediate the relationship between idea usefulness and business utilization. Based on the data collected from 108 big data users in Korean companies, we determined that all three hypotheses are statistically significant. By shedding light on top management leadership and its characteristics, we can provide better suggestions on what needs to be done to ensure the success of big data.

Analyzing the Uncertainty of Traffic Link Flow, and Estimation of the Interval Link Flow using Korea Transport Data Base (기종점 통행량 변화에 따른 링크 교통량 추정의 불확실성에 관한 연구 (국가교통DB를 이용한 구간 링크 교통량 추정을 중심으로))

  • Kim, Gang-Su;Kim, Jin-Seok;Jo, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzed the uncertainty of the forecasted link traffic flow, and estimated of the interval link flow using Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) to consider those risks into the feasibility study. In the paper, the uncertainty was analyzed according to the stochastic variation of the KTDB origin-destination traffic. It was found that the uncertainty of the entire network traffic forecasts was 15.4% in average,. when the stochastic variation of the KTDB was considered. The results showed that the more congested the roads were, the bigger the uncertainty of forecasted link traffic flow were found. In particular, we estimated the variance of the forecasted traffic flow, and suggested interval estimates of the forecasted traffic flow instead of point estimates which were presented in the common feasibility studies. These results are expected to contribute the quantitative evaluation of uncertain road investment projects and to provide valuable information to the decision makers for the transport investment.