• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행시간추정

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Social Cost Comparison of Air-Quality based on Various Traffic Assignment Frameworks (교통량 배정 방법에 따른 대기질의 사회적 비용 비교분석)

  • Lee, Kyu Jin;Choi, Keechoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.1087-1094
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    • 2013
  • This study aims at enhancing the objective estimation of social cost of air quality due to mobile emission. More specifically, it examines the difference between the daily oriented and hourly oriented estimation results of social air quality cost and draws implications from the comparative analysis. The result indicates that the social cost of air quality differs up to approximately 24 times depending on the analysis time period. Moneywise, the difference between daily and hourly assignments amounts to the average of 653.5 billion won whereas only 1% of error occurred in the estimation result based on peak and nonpeak based hourly assignment. This study reaffirms the need for time-based travel demand management for emission reduction, and confirms the feasibility of emission estimation by travel demand forecasting method over the conventional method employed by the CAPSS.

Combined Filtering Model Using Voting Rule and Median Absolute Deviation for Travel Time Estimation (통행시간 추정을 위한 Voting Rule과 중위절대편차법 기반의 복합 필터링 모형)

  • Jeong, Youngje;Park, Hyun Suk;Kim, Byung Hwa;Kim, Youngchan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.10-21
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    • 2013
  • This study suggested combined filtering model to eliminate outlier travel time data in transportation information system, and it was based on Median Absolute Deviation and Voting Rule. This model applied Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) method to follow normal distribution as first filtering process. After that, Voting rule is applied to eliminate remaining outlier travel time data after Median Absolute Deviation. In Voting Rule, travel time samples are judged as outliers according to travel-time difference between sample data and mean data. Elimination or not of outliers are determined using a majority rule. In case study of national highway No. 3, combined filtering model selectively eliminated outliers only and could improve accuracy of estimated travel time.

A Route Choice Model with Considering Fuel Cost by Travel Distance (통행거리에 따른 유류비를 반영한 경로선택모형 개발)

  • Park, Bora;Lee, Jaeyoung;Choi, Keechoo;Song, Pilyong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.599-604
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the value of travel time was estimated with reflecting the fuel cost according to travel distance. The main objective of this study is whether the addition of the fuel cost as a factor for route choice behavior is appropriate or not, through the stated preference survey. The route choice model was developed using SP survey technique with the consideration of level difference and the value of travel time, toll and fuel costs. Consequently, the fuel cost is identified as a main factor like travel time and toll cost in choosing routes from drivers' viewpoints. Nevertheless, since toll costs are recognized as out-of-pocket expenses whereas fuel costs as periodical expenses, it seems drivers are more sensitive to toll than fuel costs.

Study on Temporal Comparison Analysis of Factors to Affect Travel Time Budget: A Case for Seoul (통행시간예산에 미치는 요인의 시계열적 비교·분석 연구: 서울시를 사례로)

  • Lee, Hyangsook;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.180-191
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes factors that affect average daily travel time budgets, using the Time Use Survey data from 1999 to 2014 in Seoul. We first developed multivariate regression models for travel time from each year, considering demographic and socio-economic variables as well as non-home activity time. The model results showed that household and personal characteristics and non-home activities significantly affect travel time, and their effects are different over time. In addition, we developed seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models for time allocation for non-home activity and travel, considering their correlations, and explanatory variables were compared over time. Overall, demographic and socio-economic variables significantly affect travel time as well as non-home activity time.

A Study of Travel Time Prediction using K-Nearest Neighborhood Method (K 최대근접이웃 방법을 이용한 통행시간 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Lim, Sung-Han;Lee, Hyang-Mi;Park, Seong-Lyong;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.835-845
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    • 2013
  • Travel-time is considered the most typical and preferred traffic information for intelligent transportation systems(ITS). This paper proposes a real-time travel-time prediction method for a national highway. In this paper, the K-nearest neighbor(KNN) method is used for travel time prediction. The KNN method (a nonparametric method) is appropriate for a real-time traffic management system because the method needs no additional assumptions or parameter calibration. The performances of various models are compared based on mean absolute percentage error(MAPE) and coefficient of variation(CV). In real application, the analysis of real traffic data collected from Korean national highways indicates that the proposed model outperforms other prediction models such as the historical average model and the Kalman filter model. It is expected to improve travel-time reliability by flexibly using travel-time from the proposed model with travel-time from the interval detectors.

Dynamic Travel Time Prediction Using AVI Data (AVI 자료를 이용한 동적 통행시간 예측)

  • Jang, Jin-Hwan;Baik, Nam-Cheol;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Byun, Sang-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2004
  • This paper develops a dynamic travel time prediction model for ATIS in a national highway. While there have been many research on travel time prediction, none of them is for national highway in Korea. The study uses AVI data installed on the national highway No.1 with 10km interval for travel time prediction model, and probe vehicle data for evaluating the model. The study area has many access points, so there are many outlying observations in the raw AVI data. Therefore, this study uses the algorithm proposed by the author for removing the outliers, and then Kalman filtering algorithm is applied for the travel time prediction. The prediction model is performed for 5, 10, 15 and 30 minute-aggregating interval and the results are $0.061{\sim}0.066$ for 5, 10 and 15 interval and 0.078 for 30 minute one with a little low performance as MAREs.

Estimating Potential Impact of Bike Lane Implementation (Case study of Seoul Metropolitan City) (자전거전용차로 설치에 따른 기대효과 추정 (서울시 사례를 중심으로))

  • Sin, Hui-Cheol;Hwang, Gi-Yeon;Jo, Yong-Hak;Jeong, Seong-Yeop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2010
  • Environmental issues resulting from climate change and energy crises have become global issues, and cycling has gained greater popularity for sustainable transportation. Though many cities are trying to build bicycle roads, it is not easy to implement bicycle roads because there is little available space for bicycle facilities. Therefore, road diets have become more popular in Korea. However, there has been no intensive research to date of their impacts. The purpose of this research is to evaluate the effects of road diets and construction of bike lanes. Every benefit, including energy benefit, environmental benefit, and health benefit is considered, while only time savings benefit has been considered in previous studies. The benefit analysis for the Seoul metropolitan area as a case study shows that road diets have a (1) time saving benefit for only five percent of the mode share and (2) enough total benefit even if bicycle mode share is less than two percent.

A Volume-Delay Function Parameter Estimation and Validation for Traffic Assignment (도로 통행지체함수의 파라미터 추정 및 검증)

  • Lim, Yong-Taek;Kang, Min-Gu;Choo, Sang-Ho;Lee, Sang-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2008
  • A volume-delay function(VDF) has been used to describe the relation between traffic volumes and delay experienced by travelers on the roads traveling from origin to destination, which has been usually adopted in traffic assignment. For the purpose of more precise description of traffic pattern, we have to estimate the parameters of VDF in advance. This paper presents a methodology for estimating the parameters, which combined with golden section method. By using the method we have estimated the parameters with real data based on KTDB(2006), and validated them. Compared to the existing values of the parameters, newly estimated values are found to be closer to real world.

A Study for Optimized Detecter Location Considering the Traffic Characteristics in National Highway (일반국도 통행특성을 고려한 지점검지기의 적정설치지점 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Byeon, Sang-Cheol;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • This study deals with the optimized detector location considering the traffic characteristics in National Highway. Although there ave many construction works for ITS in National Highway, there is not specific criteria for detector location which can effect the accuracy of traffic information. This study. therefore. aims to Provide the optimized detector location criteria which can represent the traffic characteristics of National Highway. It collects traffic factors of study area by GPS Probe-car and defector, and Presents the optimized detector location by the correlation analysis between spot-speed and link-travel-time. The main results of this study are as followings ; First, the correlation between the spot-speed and link-travel-time Presents the opposite bell shape of the graph (U-type owe) which is increased it?on the upstream then, declined through some unspecified Point of the link. Second, the optimized detector location usually distributes around midstream of link, even though it does not have a consistency. Third, therefore, the optimized detector location generally should be located between $55{\sim}60%$ of total link length. Forth. high level of vertical slope is one of the most important factors of detector location, so it should be excluded for determination of optimized detector location. Finally, expecting that the results of this study would improve the accuracy of travel time estimation and forecasting.

A Study on Improving Reliability of Benefit Estimation Based on User Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Results (이용자 균형 통행배정 결과를 이용한 편익추정의 안정성 제고방안 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeong;Son, Ui-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2007
  • When estimating the benefits from an investment project in the transportation sector, errors caused by many factors may exist. This study focuses on user equilibrium traffic assignment methods and stopping criteria. According to previous studies, when using a user equilibrium assignment model, the benefits of travel time savings can be effected by the relative gap value. As the stopping criteria decreases, the time needed for traffic assignment increases, so that lowering the criteria cannot be the best solution. Therefore, an effort is necessary to reduce this change rate and thus improve reliability. This paper considers three methods: reducing the links subject to benefit calculation, extracting sub-area O/D tables and networks, and applying the mean value of successive traffic assignment results. The results of the analysis show that the method using the mean value of five results is more proper than the other methods. Using the sub-area analysis method, if the study area is small the benefits of a project might be over- or under-estimated. This paper used a nationwide O/D table and network at peak time as a case study. The resulting patterns can differ according to basic data to be used in analysis. So further analysis using the data from metropolitan areas are needed.