• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행시간추정

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An Estimation of Generalized Cost for Transit Assignment (대중교통 통행배정을 위한 일반화비용 추정)

  • Son, Sang-Hun;Choe, Gi-Ju;Yu, Jeong-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.2 s.95
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2007
  • This paper addressed the issue of a generalized cost model for transit assignment. The model composed of walk time, waiting time (including transfer waiting time), line-haul time, transfer walk time, and fare. The weights of each component were supposed to be calculated using the stated preference (SP) data, which were collected prudently in order to reflect reality. The marginal rate of substitution and wage rate were applied to calculate the weights. The results showed that the weight of walking time per in-vehicle travel time (IVTT) was 1.507, the weight of waiting time (per IVTT) was 1.749, that of transfer time (per IVTT) was 1.474, and that of fare (per IVTT) was 1.476 for trips between inner-city areas in Seoul. Weights for each component were identified as 1.871, 1.967, 1.015, and 0.857, respectively, for trips between Seoul and Gyeonggi. Statistical significance existed between two cases and each variable was also statistically significant. Transit assignment using the relative weights estimated in this study was implemented to analyze the travel index in a macroscopic and quantitative basis. The results showed that average total travel times were 30.23 minutes and 63.29 minutes and average generalized costs were 2,510 won and 3,880 won for trips between inner-city areas in Seoul and between Seoul and Gyeonggi, respectively.

Optical Flow Based Vehicle Counting and Speed Estimation in CCTV Videos (Optical Flow 기반 CCTV 영상에서의 차량 통행량 및 통행 속도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jihae;Shin, Dokyung;Kim, Jaekyung;Kwon, Cheolhee;Byun, Hyeran
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.448-461
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a vehicle counting and speed estimation method for traffic situation analysis in road CCTV videos. The proposed method removes a distortion in the images using Inverse perspective Mapping, and obtains specific region for vehicle counting and speed estimation using lane detection algorithm. Then, we can obtain vehicle counting and speed estimation results from using optical flow at specific region. The proposed method achieves stable accuracy of 88.94% from several CCTV images by regional groups and it totally applied at 106,993 frames, about 3 hours video.

Estimating Travel Demand by Using a Spatial-Temporal Activity Presence-Based Approach (시.공간 활동인구 추정에 의한 통행수요 예측)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2008
  • The conventional four-step travel demand model is still widely used as the state-of-practice in most transportation planning agencies even though it does not provide reliable estimates of travel demand. In order to improve the accuracy of travel demand estimation, implementing an alternative approach would be critical as much as acquiring reliable socioeconomic and travel data. Recently, the role of travel demand model is diverse to satisfy the needs of microscopic analysis regarding various policies of travel demand management and traffic operations. In this context, the activity-based approach for travel demand estimation is introduced and a case study of developing a spatial-temporal activity presence-based approach that estimates travel demand through forecasting number of people present at certain place and time is accomplished. Results show that the spatial-temporal activity presence-based approach provides reliable estimates of both number of people present and trips actually people made. It is expected that the proposed approach will provide better estimates and be used in not only long-term transport plans but short-term transport impact studies with respect to various transport policies. Finally, in order to introduce the spatial-temporal activity presence-based approach, the data such as activity-based travel diary and land use based on geographic information system are essential.

Calculating Social Benefit in Travel Time Considering Seasonal and Daily Variation in Traffic Pattern (계절별 요일별 교통패턴 변동을 반영한 연통행시간 편익산출)

  • Han, Khun-Soo;Baek, Seung-Kirl;Kim, Ik-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2004
  • 교통정책을 평가하기 위해 기본적으로 요구되는 Data 중 가장 근본이 되는 것이 OD이다. 기존의 교통정책을 평가함에 있어서 일반적으로 사용되고 있는 OD는 AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) OD이다. 계절별 평일/주말 교통량의 분산이 매우 크다는 것은 기존 조사나 연구로 익히 알려진 사실이며, 또한 사회 경제적인 여건의 변화 및 주 5일제 근무제의 시행 등으로 여가통행의 비중이 높아짐에 따라 평일과 주말의 교통량의 분산은 더욱 커질 것으로 예상된다. 따라서 교통정책을 평가하는 방법도 AADT OD의 일률적인 적용이 아닌 교통량의 계절별 평일/주말의 분산을 적용시킨 OD를 가지고 교통정책을 평가하는 방법이 교통정책을 결정함에 있어 오류를 범할 가능성을 적게 될 것으로 예상된다. 기존 연구에서는 이러한 교통량의 분산의 보정을 지점교통량에 한정하여 보정하고 있어 실질적인 네트워크 분석에 적용하기에는 무리가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 관측된 TCS Data를 이용하여 계절별 평일/주말의 OD 교통 패턴을 분석하여 계절별 평일/주말의 OD 교통패턴을 반영할 수 있는 보정계수를 산출하고 산출된 보정계수에 따라 AADT OD를 보정하여 네트워크 분석의 기초 자료를 구축하였다. 수정된 OD 교통량의 검증을 위하여 기존의 AADT OD의 인구당 통행발생비율과 계절별 평일/주말 OD의 통행발생량을 비교하였다. 그 결과 소수점 두 자리수에서 오차가 발생하여 비교적 합리적인 OD가 추정되었다. 또한 기존의 AADT OD를 이용하여 정책 결정을 할 때의 오류 가능성을 보이기 위하여 각 계절별 평일/주말 OD 교통량과 기존의 AADT OD를 입력 자료로 각각의 네트워크 분석 후 총통행시간의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 정책 결정에 영향을 미칠 수 있을 정도의 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

Multi-Level Models for Activity Participation and Travel Behaviors (다수준 모형을 이용한 활동참여와 통행행태 분석)

  • 최연숙;정진혁;김성호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, multilevel models are adopted to identify interactions among household members in trip making behaviors. The multilevel approach is a proper methodology to handle samples, which are extracted from a hierarchical structure universe. PSTP dataset is used in developing models and understand proportion of variations among individuals and household. The results of this study show that for activity participation and travel behavior household level variance is more than 1/4 of person level variance and therefore not negligible. The results confirm the importance of multilevel model in travel behavior analysis.

Travel Demand Estimation using Traffic Counts on the Large Scale Network (대규모교통망에서 관측교통량기반 통행수요추정)

  • 김종형;이승재;조범철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2001
  • 대부분의 관측교통량기반 수요추정기법은 소규모 및 중규모 교통망 등의 상대적으로 규모가 작은 교통망에서 기본적으로 가정된 수요를 가지고 얻은 추정O/D를 기본O/D와 비교하여 그 추정의 정확성이 어느 정도인가를 오차분석법 등을 이용하여 비교.분석하는 것이 그 주요한 분석방향이라고 할 수 있었다. 이러한 접근법은 실제 현실에서는 알 수 없는 참O/D나 참관측교통량을 가정하고 제시된 모형을 면밀히 관찰하여 모형의 장단점이 무엇인지를 파악하거나 타모형과의 비교.분석을 용이하게 하고자 할 때 많이 이용된다. 그러나 이러한 가정된 교통망이나 참O/D(true O/D) 등은 모형의 적용가능성을 살필 경우에 이용 가능한 방법이라고 할 수 있지만, 참O/D를 알지 못하는 현실상황(대규모 교통망)에서는 추정O/D의 신뢰성을 평가하기란 매우 힘든 작업이거나 거의 불가능한 일이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 보완하고자 본 연구에서는 서울시의 1996년도 교통센서스 자료를 이용하여 가정된 수요가 아닌 실제적이고 현실적인 자료를 가지고 대규모 교통망에서 이용될 수 있는 모형을 살펴보았다. 연구방법은 대규모 교통망에 기존의 단일차종기반모형과 본 연구에서 제시한 다차종(multiclass)기반모형을 적용하여 추정된 O/D에 TLFD(Trip Length Frequency Distribution)개념을 이용하여 추정된 O/D의 신뢰성을 평가하고자 하였다. 또한, $R^2$를 이용하여 모형 적용 전후의 관측교통량과 배분교통량을 비교하여 추정력을 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 단일차종기반모형보다는 차종간 혼잡효과 및 노선선택비율을 차종별로 감안할 수 있는 다차종기반모형이 대규모교통망에서는 보다 적절한 결과를 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다.

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Development of a Pedestrian Accident Exposure Estimation Modelconsidering Walking Conflicts (보행상충을 고려한 보행사고 노출 추정 모형 개발)

  • Iljoon Chang;Nam ju Kwon;Se-young Ahn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.54-63
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    • 2023
  • Pedestrian traffic needs to be accurately quantified to predict effectively pedestrian traffic accidents, however, pedestrian traffic is more difficult to measure than vehicle traffic. In this study, we suggest the time-and cost-effective application of mobile closed-circuit television (CCTV) using a smartphone as an alternative that can collect and analyze real-time data with little. In the present investigation, the pedestrian-vehicle conflict that can develop into an accident was defined as the pedestrian accident exposure. After installing mobile CCTV in 40 sections of Dongseong-ro, Daegu, the pedestrian accident exposure was estimated through negative binomial regression analysis using the collected data. The results of the analysis showed statistically significant changes in the pedestrian accident exposure variables. Based on the present results, a pedestrian accident exposure estimation model was developed which can be used in sections where pedestrian accidents may occur.

A Case Study on the Emission Impact of Land Use Changes using Activity-BAsed Traveler Analyzer (ABATA) System (활동기반 통행자분석시스템(ABATA)을 이용한 토지이용변화에 따른 차량 배기가스 배출영향 사례 분석)

  • Eom, Jin Ki;Lee, Kwang-Sub
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2023
  • Activity-based modeling systems have increasingly been developed to address the limitations of widely used traditional four-step transportation demand forecasting models. Accordingly, this paper introduces the Activity-BAsed Traveler Analyzer (ABATA) system. This system consists of multiple components, including an hourly total population estimator, activity profile constructor, hourly activity population estimator, spatial activity population estimator, and origin/destination estimator. To demonstrate the proposed system, the emission impact of land use changes in the 5-1 block Sejong smart city is evaluated as a case study. The results indicate that the land use with the scenario of work facility dispersed plan produced more emissions than the scenario of work facility centralized plan due to the longer travel distance. The proposed ABATA system is expected to provide a valuable tool for simulating the impacts of future changes in population, activity schedules, and land use on activity populations and travel demands.