• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계적 소양

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Extraction of Primary Factors Influencing Dam Operation Using Factor Analysis (요인분석 통계기법을 이용한 댐 운영에 대한 영향 요인 추출)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Jung, Chan-Yong;Lee, Gwang-Man
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.10
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    • pp.769-781
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    • 2007
  • Factor analysis has been usually employed in reducing quantity of data and summarizing information on a system or phenomenon. In this analysis methodology, variables are grouped into several factors by consideration of statistic characteristics, and the results are used for dropping variables which have lower weight than others. In this study, factor analysis was applied for extracting primary factors influencing multi-dam system operation in the Han River basin, where there are two multi-purpose dams such as Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam, and water has been supplied by integrating two dams in water use season. In order to fulfill factor analysis, first the variables related to two dams operation were gathered and divided into five groups (Soyanggang Dam: inflow, hydropower product, storage management, storage, and operation results of the past; Chungju Dam: inflow, hydropower product, water demand, storage, and operation results of the past). And then, considering statistic properties, in the gathered variables, some variables were chosen and grouped into five factors; hydrological condition, dam operation of the past, dam operation at normal season, water demand, and downstream dam operation. In order to check the appropriateness and applicability of factors, a multiple regression equation was newly constructed using factors as description variables, and those factors were compared with terms of objective function used in operation water resources optimally in a river basin. Reviewing the results through two check processes, it was revealed that the suggested approach provided satisfactory results. And, it was expected for extracted primary factors to be useful for making dam operation schedule considering the future situation and previous results.

Evaluation of conceptual rainfall-runoff models for different flow regimes and development of ensemble model (개념적 강우유출 모형의 유량구간별 적합성 평가 및 앙상블 모델 구축)

  • Yu, Jae-Ung;Park, Moon-Hyung;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.105-119
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    • 2021
  • An increase in the frequency and intensity of both floods and droughts has been recently observed due to an increase in climate variability. Especially, land-use change associated with industrial structure and urbanization has led to an imbalance between water supply and demand, acting as a constraint in water resource management. Accurate rainfall-runoff analysis plays a critical role in evaluating water availability in the water budget analysis. This study aimed to explore various continuous rainfall-runoff models over the Soyanggang dam watershed. Moreover, the ensemble modeling framework combining multiple models was introduced to present scenarios on streamflow considering uncertainties. In the ensemble modeling framework, rainfall-runoff models with fewer parameters are generally preferred for effective regionalization. In this study, more than 40 continuous rainfall-runoff models were applied to the Soyanggang dam watershed, and nine rainfall-runoff models were primarily selected using different goodness-of-fit measures. This study confirmed that the ensemble model showed better performance than the individual model over different flow regimes.

An analysis of satisfaction index on computer education of university using kernel machine (커널머신을 이용한 대학의 컴퓨터교육 만족도 분석)

  • Pi, Su-Young;Park, Hye-Jung;Ryu, Kyung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.921-929
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    • 2011
  • In Information age, the academic liberal art Computer education course set up goals for promoting computer literacy and for developing the ability to cope actively with in Information Society and for improving productivity and competition among nations. In this paper, we analyze on discovering of decisive property and satisfaction index to have a influence on computer education on university students. As a preprocessing method, the proposed method select optimum property using correlation feature selection of machine learning tool based on Java and then we use multiclass least square support vector machine based on statistical learning theory. After applying that compare with multiclass support vector machine and multiclass least square support vector machine, we can see the fact that the proposed method have a excellent result like multiclass support vector machine in analysis of the academic liberal art computer education satisfaction index data.

Utilization assessment of meteorological drought outlook information based on long-term weather forecast data (장기예보자료 기반 기상학적 가뭄전망정보의 활용성 평가)

  • So, Jae-Min;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.40-40
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    • 2017
  • 최근 2014년 마른장마의 영향으로 중부 지방에 가뭄이 발생하였으며, 장마철 강수부족은 2015년까지 영향을 미친바 있다. 이로 인해 소양강 댐은 역대 최저수위를 기록하였으며, 일부 지역에서는 제한급수, 농업용수 부족 등의 피해가 발생하였다. 일반적으로 가뭄은 발생순서에 따라 기상학적, 농업적, 수문학적 가뭄 등으로 분류하고 있다 (Wilhite and Grantz, 1985). 기상학적 가뭄은 농업 및 수문학적 가뭄에 영향을 미치는 가뭄의 시작 단계를 의미하며, 가뭄을 판단하는데 있어 중요한 요소라 할 수 있다. 기상학적 가뭄을 정량적으로 판단하기 위해 SPI, PDSI, PN 등이 활용되고 있으며, 특히 강수량 기반의 SPI는 계산과정이 쉽고, 다양한 지속시간(3, 6, 9, 12개월 등)에 따라 가뭄을 객관적으로 판단할 수 있어 가장 활발하게 이용되고 있다(Mckee et al., 1993). 최근 기상청은 대기와 해양-해빙 모델을 접합한 GloSea5의 장기예보자료를 활용하여 월 내지 계절 가뭄전망을 위한 기상학적 가뭄지수를 현업에 활용하고 있다. 다만 국내에서는 주로 단기가뭄(1~3개월)이 빈번하게 발생함에 따라 짧은 예보선행시간을 갖는 가뭄전망에 대한 평가에 집중되어 왔다. 2014, 15년에는 이례적으로 2년 연속 가뭄이 지속된바 있으며, 장기가뭄(3개월 이상)에 대한 전망정보의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 장기예보자료 기반의 기상학적 가뭄전망정보를 산정하고, 2015년 가뭄을 대상으로 활용성을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 ASOS 59개 지점의 관측강수량, GloSea5의 미래예측(Foreacst) 및 과거재현(Hindcast) 자료를 활용하였으며, 다양한 지속시간(3, 6, 9, 12개월)에 대한 SPI를 산정하였다. 또한 예보선행시간(1~6개월)에 따른 SPI와 관측자료 기반의 SPI 간의 통계적 분석(상관계수, 평균제곱근오차)을 수행하여 전망정보의 정확도를 평가하였다.

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The Effects of Middle School Mathematical Statistics Area and Python Programming STEAM Instruction on Problem Solving Ability and Curriculum Interest (중학교 수학 통계 영역과 파이썬(Python) 프로그래밍 융합수업이 문제해결력과 교과 흥미도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Do-Young;Chung, Jong-In
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.336-344
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    • 2019
  • The Ministry of Education (2015) announced the "2015 Revised Curriculum for Elementary and Secondary Schools" and announced that SW (Software) training for elementary and junior high school students to develop Computational Thinking will be gradually introduced from 2018. In addition, 'problem solving' and 'programming' have become important areas. Furthermore, the ability to analyze and utilize big data is becoming more emphasized. We developed and applied the statistical - Python programming convergence curriculum based on the idea that convergence education combining information and mathematics, programming and statistical literacy is needed according to current trends. Before and after the experiment, problem solving ability test and programming / mathematical interest test were conducted and compared with the corresponding sample t-test. According to the analysis results, there were significant differences in the pre- and post-test on problem solving ability, programming interest and mathematical interest at the significance level of 0.05.

An Study on the Correlation between Sound Characteristics and Sasang Constitution by CSL (CSL을 통한 음향특성과 사상체질간의 상관성 연구)

  • Shin, Mi-ran;Kim, Dal-lae
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.137-157
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to help classifying Sasang Constitution through correlation with sound characteristic. This study was done it under the suppose that Sasang Constitution has correlation with sound spectrogram. The following result were obtained about correlation between sound spectrogram and Sasang Constitution by comparison and analysis 1. Soeumin answered his voice low tone, smooth and quiet in the survey. Soyangin answered his voice high, clear, fast and speaking random. Taeumin answered his voice low, thick and muddy. 2. Taeyangin was significantly slow compared with the others in the time of reading composition. Taeyangin was significantly slow compared with the others in Formant frequency 1. Taeyangin was significantly discriminated from Soeumin in Formant frequency 5. Taeyangin was significantly low compared with the others in Bandwidth 2. Soeumln was significantly low compared with Taeyangin in Pitch Maximum and Pitch Maximum-Pitch Minimum. Taeyangin was significantly high compared with the others in Energy mean. 3. In list of specification, the discrimination rate was higher than that by lists of 13 in the results of Multi-dimensional 4-class minimum-distance. The discrimination rate of three disposition except Soyangin was higher than that of four disposition in the results of One way ANOVA and Analysis of dis crimination in SPSS/PC+. In CART, the estimate rate of Sasang Constitution discrimination was higher than any other method. It is considered that there is a correlation between sound spectrogram and Sasang constitution according to the results. And method of Sasang constitution classification through sound spectrogram analysis can be one method as assistant for the objectification of Sasang constitution classification.

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A CLINICAL STUDY OF THE TYPE OF DISEASE AND SYMPTOM ACCORDING TO SASANG CONSTITUTION CLASSIFICATION (체질진단분류(體質診斷分類)에 따른 질병(疾病) 및 증상유형(症狀類型)에 관한 임상적(臨床的) 연구(硏究) II (문진표를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Young-woo;Kim, jing-weon
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.119-135
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    • 1999
  • The object of this study is 196 patients who had been treated in the Oriental Medical Hospital at Dong Eui Medical Center during 33 months from January 1996,3 to June 1998,11. We proceeded the judgment of Sasang Constitution by 'Questionnaire of Sasang Constitution Classification(I)' and 'Questionnaire of Sasang Constitution Classification II(QSCCII)'. The following conclusion were made in comparison with Sasang Constitution and Questionnaire about disease and style of symptoms. 1. The subject of "increase of the weight of a body(gain weight), sweatier, the body swelled out, a lame pain, more like fat food, more like salty food", has significant differences in sasang constitution classification. The frequency of Taeeum group is more than that of Soeum group and Soyang group. 2. The subject of "the complextion is bas, uncomfortable feeling in the throat, insomnia, loss of appetite, apt to be fatigued easily, gastralgia what is not connected with food, diarrhea, headache, menorrhalgia, less like fat food, more like fresh food", has significant differences in sasang constitution classification. The frequency of Soeum group is more than that of Taeeum group and Soyang group. 3. It has not significant differences, but the frequency of Soyang group is more than that of Taeeum group and Soeum group in the subject of "the cough in the disease of the respiratory organs, hypomotility of the joint in the disease of the musculo-skeletal systems, menoxenia like menorrhagia and menostaxia and itching sensation of genitals in the disease of the gynecological organs, itching or boil in the dermatological disease", and fewer in the cardio-vascular disease, urinary disease and hematic disease. The frequency of Soeum group is more than that of Taeeum group and Soyang group in the subject of "the general disease of the digestive organs, uncomfortable feeling or pain of the throat in the disease of the respiratory organs, the general hematic disease, numbness or pain of the musculo-skeletal disease, psychical disease in the psychoneurotical disease, menorrhalgia, a lump of the breasts, leukorrhea in the gynecological disease, eruption or urticaria in the dermatological disease, the general visual and auditory disease". The frequency of Taeeum group is more than that of Soyang group and Soeum group in the subject of "a hoarseness in the disease of the respiratory organs, A lame pain of the musculo-skeletal disease, neurotical disease in the psychoneurotical disease, eruption or urticaria in the dermatological disease", and fewer in the the gynecological disease.

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Development of Data-Driven Science Inquiry Model and Strategy for Cultivating Knowledge-Information-Processing Competency (지식정보처리역량 함양을 위한 데이터 기반 과학탐구 모형 개발)

  • Son, Mihyun;Jeong, Daehong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.657-670
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    • 2020
  • The knowledge-information-processing competency is the most essential competency in a knowledge-information-based society and is the most fundamental competency in the new problem-solving ability. Data-driven science inquiry, which emphasizes how to find and solve problems using vast amounts of data and information, is a way to cultivate the problem-solving ability in a knowledge-information-based society. Therefore, this study aims to develop a teaching-learning model and strategy for data-driven science inquiry and to verify the validity of the model in terms of knowledge information processing competency. This study is developmental research. Based on literature, the initial model and strategy were developed, and the final model and teaching strategy were completed by securing external validity through on-site application and internal validity through expert advice. The development principle of the inquiry model is the literature study on science inquiry, data science, and a statistical problem-solving model based on resource-based learning theory, which is known to be effective for the knowledge-information-processing competency and critical thinking. This model is titled "Exploratory Scientific Data Analysis" The model consisted of selecting tools, collecting and analyzing data, finding problems and exploring problems. The teaching strategy is composed of seven principles necessary for each stage of the model, and is divided into instructional strategies and guidelines for environment composition. The development of the ESDA inquiry model and teaching strategy is not easy to generalize to the whole school level because the sample was not large, and research was qualitative. While this study has a limitation that a quantitative study over large number of students could not be carried out, it has significance that practical model and strategy was developed by approaching the knowledge-information-processing competency with respect of science inquiry.

Bayesian parameter estimation of Clark unit hydrograph using multiple rainfall-runoff data (다중 강우유출자료를 이용한 Clark 단위도의 Bayesian 매개변수 추정)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Duk-Soon;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.383-393
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    • 2020
  • The main objective of this study is to provide a robust model for estimating parameters of the Clark unit hydrograph (UH) using the observed rainfall-runoff data in the Soyangang dam basin. In general, HEC-1 and HEC-HMS models, developed by the Hydrologic Engineering Center, have been widely used to optimize the parameters in Korea. However, these models are heavily reliant on the objective function and sample size during the optimization process. Moreover, the optimization process is carried out on the basis of single rainfall-runoff data, and the process is repeated for other events. Their averaged values over different parameter sets are usually used for practical purposes, leading to difficulties in the accurate simulation of discharge. In this sense, this paper proposed a hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating parameters of the Clark UH model. The proposed model clearly showed better performance in terms of Bayesian inference criterion (BIC). Furthermore, the result of this study reveals that the proposed model can also be applied to different hydrologic fields such as dam design and design flood estimation, including parameter estimation for the probable maximum flood (PMF).

Korean High School Students' Understanding of the Concept of Correlation (우리나라 고등학생들의 상관관계 이해도 조사)

  • No, A Ra;Yoo, Yun Joo
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.467-490
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    • 2013
  • Correlation is a basic statistical concept which is necessary for understanding the relationship between two variables when they change values. In the middle school curriculum of Korea, only informal definition of correlation is taught with two-way data representations such as scatter plots and contingency tables. In this study, we investigated Korean high school students' understanding of correlation using a test consisting of 35 items about interpretation of scatter plot, contingency table, and text in realistic situation. 216 students from a high school in Seoul took the test for 20 minutes. From the results, we could observe the following: First, students did not have right criteria for determining the strength of correlation presented in scatter plots. Most of students could determine if there is correlation/no correlation and if the correlation is positive/negative by seeing the data presented in scatter plots. However, they did not judge by the closeness to the regression line but rather judged by the closeness between data points. Second, when statements about comparing the strength of correlation in the context of real life situation were given in text, the students had difficulty in understanding the distribution-related characteristic of the bi-variate data. Students had difficulty in figuring out the local distribution characteristic of data, which cannot be guessed merely based on the expression 'The correlation is strong' without statistical knowledge of correlation. Third, a large number of students could not judge the association between two variabels using conditional proportions when qualitative data are given in 2-by-2 tables. They made judgement by the absolute cell count and when the marginal sum of two categories are different for explanatory variable they thought the association could not be determined. From these results, we concluded that educational measures are required in order to remove such misconceptions and to improve understanding of correlation. Considering that the current mathematics curriculum does not cover the concept of correlation, we need to improve the curriculum as well.

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