• Title/Summary/Keyword: 탄력적 교통수요

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A Numerical Analysis of Land Use-Transportation Model as a Form of Analytical Tool (수치해석적 토지이용-교통모형의 이론연구 도구화: 교통수요의 내생화를 중심으로)

  • Yu, Sang-Gyun;Rhee, Hyok-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2013
  • The land use-transportation models typically have complicated model structure that is good for empirical execution but bad for theoretical probe. This complexity makes it very difficult to derive the first-order conditions for system optimization in tractable forms. Yu and Rhee (2011) and Rhee (2012) show how to simplify the derivative of the model's objective function with respect to policy variables in the computable general equilibrium model of land use and transportation. However, the travel demand in their model was fixed. This drawback fundamentally limits the applicability of their methodology in the planning field. We relax this restriction. Once this is done, we can employ the methodology developed in analyzing the impacts of various types of policy instruments in the models where land market is treated endogenously and transportation network is embedded.

Development of Optimal Number of Bus-stops Estimation Model Based on On-Off Patterns of Passengers (버스승객의 승하차 패턴을 고려한 최적 정류장 수 산정 모형 개발)

  • Gang, Ju-Ran;Go, Seung-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.1 s.87
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2006
  • At present, Korean many cities depend on subjective judgements of experts to estimate the number of bus-stops and inter-stop space. To get reliable results by using more objective procedure, we search for old studies and models, but they don't concern alighting demands and a random demand distributions. Our study recognize and overcome these limitation. We devide the demand into boarding and alighting demands, and define the model that can estimate flexibly optimal number of bus-stop and inter-stop space on each segment by the demand distribution. Also we apply this new model to a simple example route having various demand distributions As a result, the number of bus-stop on each segment can be estimate flexibly in proportion to boarding or alighting demand by using this model.

Estimation of Air Travel Demand Models and Elasticities for Jeju-Mainland Domestic Routes (제주-내륙 간 국내선 항공여객수요모형 및 탄력성의 추정)

  • Baek, Seung-Han;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2008
  • Jeju-Mainland demand for air passenger is variated by the season because most of the demands stem from the leisure travel. This research is to estimate the econometrics demand models(A simple time series model and the partial adjustment model) and elasticities of each models for the Jeju-Mainland domestic routes air travel market using the time series aggregate data between the year 1996 and 2005. As the result of estimating, income elasticity was evaluated to be elastic(1.55) and fare elasticity was inelastic(-0.49${\sim}$-0.59) for A simple time series models. In the partial adjustment model's case, income elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic(0.51) in short-run whereas it was evaluated to be elastic(1.88) in long-run. Fare elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic in short-run(high-demand season: -0.13, slack season: -0.20) and long-run(high-demand season: -0.48, slack season: -0.72).

A Simulation Model for Evaluating Demand Responsive Transit: Real-Time Shared-Taxi Application (수요대응형 교통수단 시뮬레이션 방안: Real-Time Shared-Taxi 적용예시)

  • Jung, Jae-Young
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2012
  • Demand Responsive Transit (DRT) services are becoming necessary as part of not only alternative transportation means for elderly and mobility impaired passengers, but also sustainable and flexible transportation options in urban area due to the development of communication technologies and Location Based Services (LBS). It is difficult to investigate the system performance regarding vehicle operational schemes and vehicle routing algorithms due to the lack of commercial software to support door-to-door vehicle simulation for larger area. This study proposes a simulation framework to evaluate innovative and flexible transit systems focusing on various vehicle routing algorithms, which describes data-type requirements for simulating door-to-door service on demand. A simulation framework is applied to compare two vehicle dispatch algorithms, Nearest Vehicle Dispatch (NVD) and Insertion Heuristic (IH) for real-time shared-taxi service in Seoul. System productivity and efficiency of the shared-taxi service are investigated, comparing to the conventional taxi system.

Relation between Highway Improvement and Induced Travel Demand, and Estimate the Demand Elasticity (A Seoul Metropolitan Area Case) (도로환경개선과 집합적 개념의 유발통행수요와의 관련성 규명 및 수요탄력성 추정(수도권을 중심으로))

  • Lee, Gyu-Jin;Choe, Gi-Ju;Sim, Sang-U;Kim, Sang-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.4 s.90
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2006
  • The purpose or this paper is to investigate the relationship between highway improvement and Induced Travel Demand(ITD) focusing on the Seoul metropolitan area data. In addition, authors tried to estimate basic unit of demand elasticity focusing on zone and trip purpose which can be applied for the ITD forecasting. The results are based on the 2002 Metropolitan Household Transportation Survey Data, where the demand elasticity (DE) is -0.582 in Seoul, -0.597 in Incheon and -0.559 in Gyounggi province, respectively. This study revealed part of the relationship between highway improvement and ITD for metropolitan region and provided the framework for yielding real estimated values by applying the concept of demand elasticity in terms of the relationship by using regional and long-term data. We expect that the basic unit of demand elasticity focusing on zone and trip purpose can be applied for the ITD forecasting to analyze the whole demand exactly The estimated DE's for age group and day of week can also be used for Proper transportation management and transport Policy making. Some limitations have also been discussed.

A Development of Optimal Bus Headway and Fleet Size Model (버스의 최적운행시격 및 보유대수 모형 개발)

  • 고승영;고종섭
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 1998
  • 버스운행시격은 주어진 고정된 승객수요와 버스운행시간에 대해 최적의 버스운행시격을 결정하고, 이러한 운행시격을 요일과 시간대에 관계없이 그대로 유지하는 것이 일반적이다. 여기에 첨두시와 비첨두시의 운행시격으로 구분하여 결정하기도 한다. 그러나 실제 버스운행시간과 승객수요는 요일별 시간대별로 변화하고 이에 맞는 운행시격으로 조정하지 못함에 따라 버스운영의 비효율성을 초래하기 쉽다. 본 연구의 목적은 요일별, 시간대별로 변화하는 시내버스의 승객수요 및 버스운행 소요시간을 변수로 하여 운영자비용과 이용자비용의 합으로 본 총교통비용 모형을 수립하고, 요일별, 시간대별 최적의 버스운행시격을 구하는데 있다. 또한 최적의 버스보유대수를 구하고, 이에 따른 운행시격 조정 방법을 제안하였다. 또한 서울시에서 운행되고 있는 시내버스 노선 1개에 대한 사례연구를 통해 요일별, 시간대 별로 버스운행시격을 탄력적으로 조정함에 따라, 총교통비용을 상당히 절감할 수 있음을 입증하였고, 버스보유대수의 최적화도 유사한 결과를 나타내었다.

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Estimating Elasticities of Car Travel Demand Using Pseudo-Panel Data (가상패널자료를 이용한 승용차 통행수요 탄력성 추정 연구)

  • Han, Sang-Yong;Lee, Jai-Min;Kim, Tae-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.7-20
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to construct pseudo-panel data set and estimate price and income elasticities of car travel demand, using 1995-2007 household income and expenditure survey data, in order to provide quantitative information for analyzing related policy effects in the transport sector. We categorized household survey data into 14 cohorts based on the birth year of the household head. As the result, a total of 133 pseudo-panel data sets was created for estimating price and income elasticities of car travel demand. Especially, price and income elasticities of car travel demand were separately estimated both short-term and long-term. We analyzed the panel model considering fixed effect within cohorts, using explanatory variables such as previous year's fuel consumption, real household income after tax, education level of the household head, the number of children under five, and the share of household type averaged by cohorts. As results, the short-term and long-term price elasticities of car travel demand were calculated as 0.2974-0.4280 and 0.4087-0.6275, respectively. Similarly, the short-term and long-term income elasticities were calculated as 0.3364-0.6281 and 0.7098, respectively.

고객만족도 향상을 위한 맞춤형 관제운영방안

  • Hong, Seok-In;Jo, Han-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.141-143
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    • 2011
  • 해상교통관제서비스는 그 수요자인 항해자들의 요구사항을 만족시키는 것이 최우선 과제이다. 본 연구에서는 인청항 VTS를 이용하는 선박들을 대상으로 관제서비스 이용자 만족도 조사를 실시한 결과를 중점적으로 분석하였다. 우선 선박통항량과 항행안전정보 제공의 상관관계를 분석하였고, 그 중 유용한 정보에 어떤 것들이 있는지 알아보았다. 이러한 분석을 토대로 선박 통항량 폭주 시 효율적인 관제서비스를 제공하기 위해서는 관제사의 탄력적 배치 및 고객의 요구에 부응하는 맞춤형 관제정보제공 체제를 구축하여야 한다는 결론을 도출하였다.

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Parameter Estimation and Validation of a Multinomial Logit Model for the Prediction of Mode Shift as a Result of TDM Schemes in Seoul (교통수요관리정책의 효과분석을 위한 다항로짓모형의 적용 - 서울시 사례 -)

  • 황기연;김익기;이우철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구의 목적은 '96년말 서울시에서 실시한 가구통행조사를 이용하여 서울시 수단선택모형을 구축하고 그 예측결과를 남산 혼잡통행료 전후저사자료와 비교하여 보다 구체적으로 그 정확성을 검증한 뒤 향후 서울시 교통수요관리 방안의 시행에 따른 수단선택변화 예측의 기본 모형으로 활용하는데 있다. 5가지의 대안모형의 분석결과 통행비용변수(승용차의 경유 주차요금포함)와 총통행시간변수(OVTT와 IVTT의 합), 승용차, 지하철, 택시상수로 구성된 모형이 최적모형으로 분석되었다. 이모형에 의한 시간가치는 9,395원, 승용차의 비용탄력성은-0.6767로서 기존 연구결과의 범위 내에 속한 것으로 나타났다. 최적모형을 이용하여 승용차통행비용이 증가한 경우를 모사분석결과 남산1,3호 터널 혼잡통행료 징수효과와 유사하게 승용차 분담율이 13% 가까이 감소한 것으로 나타나서 모형의 현실적합성도 비교적 높은 것으로 판명되었다. 향후 본 연구에서 선정된 최적수단선택모형을 통행배정모형과 결합하여 다양한 교통수요관리 방안에 따른 효과를 예측하는데 활용하면 서울과 같은 대도시의 단기적 교통관리의 수준을 한 단계 높이는데 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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Budget Estimation Problem for Capacity Enhancement based on Various Performance Criteria (다중 평가지표에 기반한 도로용량 증대 소요예산 추정)

  • Kim, Ju-Young;Lee, Sang-Min;Cho, Chong-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.175-184
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    • 2008
  • Uncertainties are unavoidable in engineering applications. In this paper we propose an alpha reliable multi-variable network design problem under demand uncertainty. In order to decide the optimal capacity enhancement, three performance measures based on 3E(Efficiency, Equity, and Environmental) are considered. The objective is to minimize the total budget required to satisfy alpha reliability constraint of total travel time, equity ratio, and total emission, while considering the route choice behavior of network users. The problem is formulated as the chance-constrained model for application of alpha confidence level and solved as a lexicographic optimization problem to consider the multi-variable. A simulation-based genetic algorithm procedure is developed to solve this complex network design problem(NDP). A simple numerical example ispresented to illustrate the features of the proposed NDP model.