• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추종모형

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A Study on Traffic Impact Assessment Method using Microscopic Simulation Model (미시적 교통류 시뮬레이션을 활용한 교통영향평가 분석기법 개선방안)

  • Shin, Dae-Sup;Lee, Seon-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2008
  • Traffic flow which is prescribed under previous traffic effect/access act is analyzed by traffic volume, V/C, mean speed on road and LOS on the intersection. These indexes based on analytical method can not consider stochastic characteristics of traffic flow. Moreover it is hard to analyze traffic flow visually in whole traffic effect area because only individual road and intersections are targeted. In this study, it is devised to show traffic flow analysis method within traffic effect area visually applying microscopic-simulation by car-following theory, and then based on this, effect analyze ways are studied according to space range plan, improvement measure establishment and etc. To execute this study, effect area is set up using V/C, and the change of traffic current around development area is analyzed using microscopic-simulation program.

Development of Fuzzy Travel Time Estimator for Interrupted Traffic Flow (단속류 퍼지 통행시간 추정기의 개발)

  • 오기도;김영찬
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2000
  • Two fuzzy travel time estimators for interrupted traffic flow were developed based on field survey data and simulation data 7hat is collected from DETSIM, which is microscopic traffic simulation model that car-following theory is applied. One is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Time using Occupancy and Spot speed) and the other is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Speed using Volume and Occupancy). Fuzzy logic controller was applied to the estimators to deal with non-linear relationship between traffic variables and travel time. According to results of simulation and field survey. estimation of travel time can be modeled by using percent occupancy better than any other traffic variables. Detector location from storyline and signal timing Plan of intersection are affected to estimate travel time. With a few findings, the estimator was constructed and its performance was tested for observed travel time data and simulated data. FETTOS which needs signal timing plan and detector location estimates travel time with accurate better than FETSVO does. However. FETSVO has excellent transferability because the estimator needs set of input data only; volume and time mean speed.

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Development of Capacity Models Based on the Travel Characteristics at Roundabout (회전교차로의 통행특성에 근거한 용량 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Tae Young;Beak, Tae Hun;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.651-661
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    • 2014
  • Recently, many studies have been undertaken regarding the of introduction at roundabout in Korea. The studies related to roundabout capacity, however, is insufficient. Thus, the goal of this study is to develop a capacity model based on real data. The main results are as follows. First, roundabout capacity in Korea was analyzed using HCM capacity model based on critical gap and following time estimated by Probit model. Entry capacity in Korea was evaluated to be similar to that of the U.S in the case of low circulating flow($Q_c$), but higher in the case of high circulating flow($Q_c$). Second, the basic capacity models in Korea were newly developed based on real traffic data. Third, models that consider geometric structure were developed based on the basic models. Finally, all of the developed models mentioned above were analyzed to be statistically significant.

A Review of Roundabout Capacity Model (회전교차로 용량분석 방법에 대한 고찰)

  • An, Hong Ki;Kim, Dong Sun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2021
  • Roundabouts have been spreading out all over the world quickly with their attractions including capacity enhancement, safety increase and pollutant emission decrease. The history of Korean roundabout has already been 10 years. However, due to the accumulation of unclear right of way and insufficient data, the advantages of the roundabout are not fully utilized so far. Moreover, there are some differences in the capacity model of roundabouts compared to overseas capacity models. In addition, most research tend to concentrate in evaluation of roundabout performance using computer software. This paper, therefore, investigated overseas typical roundabout capacity models; empirical model and gap acceptance model, and then KHCM 2013 was compared to SIDRA model and USHCM 2010 model. It is expected that this paper will assist and guide practitioners in analyzing and estimating roundabout capacity more precise.

A Study on Data-driven Modeling Employing Stratification-related Physical Variables for Reservoir Water Quality Prediction (취수원 수질예측을 위한 성층 물리변수 활용 데이터 기반 모델링 연구)

  • Hyeon June Jang;Ji Young Jung;Kyung Won Joo;Choong Sung Yi;Sung Hoon Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.143-143
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    • 2023
  • 최근 대청댐('17), 평림댐('19) 등 광역 취수원에서 망간의 먹는 물 수질기준(0.05mg/L 이하) 초과 사례가 발생되어, 다수의 민원이 제기되는 등 취수원의 망간 관리 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 특히, 동절기 전도(Turn-over)시기에 고농도 망간이 발생되는 경우가 많은데, 현재 정수장에서는 망간을 처리하기 위해 유입구간에 필터를 설치하고 주기적으로 교체하는 방식으로 처리하고 있다. 그러나 단기간에 고농도 망간 다량 유입 시 처리용량의 한계 등 정수장에서의 공정관리가 어려워지므로 사전 예측에 의한 대응 체계 고도화가 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구는 광역취수원인 주암댐을 대상으로 망간 예측의 정확도 향상 및 예측기간 확대를 위해 다양한 머신러닝 기법들을 적용하여 비교 분석하였으며, 독립변수 및 초매개변수 최적화를 진행하여 모형의 정확도를 개선하였다. 머신러닝 모형은 수심별 탁도, 저수위, pH, 수온, 전기전도도, DO, 클로로필-a, 기상, 수문 자료 등의 독립변수와 화순정수장에 유입된 망간 농도를 종속변수로 각 변수에 해당하는 실측치를 학습데이터로 사용하였다. 그리고 데이터기반 모형의 정확도를 개선하기 위해서 성층의 수준을 판별하는 지표로서 PEA(Potential Energy Anomaly)를 도입하여 데이터 분석에 활용하고자 하였다. 분석 결과, 망간 유입률은 계절 주기에 따라 농도가 달라지는 것을 확인하였고 동절기 전도시점과 하절기 장마기간 난류생성 시기에 저층의 고농도 망간이 유입이 되는 것을 분석하였다. 또한, 두 시기의 망간 농도의 변화 패턴이 상이하므로 예측 모델은 각 계절별로 구축해 학습을 진행함으로써 예측의 정확도를 향상할 수 있었다. 다양한 머신러닝 모델을 구축하여 성능 비교를 진행한 결과, 동절기에는 Gradient Boosting Machine, 하절기에는 eXtreme Gradient Boosting의 기법이 우수하여 추론 모델로 활용하고자 하였다. 선정 모델을 통한 단기 수질예측 결과, 전도현상 발생 시기에 대한 추종 및 예측력이 기존의 데이터 모형만 적용했을 경우대비 약 15% 이상 예측 효율이 향상된 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 머신러닝 모델을 활용한 망간 농도 예측으로 정수장의 신속한 대응 체계 마련을 지원하고, 수처리 공정의 효율성을 높이는 데 기여할 것으로 기대되며, 후속 연구로 과거 시계열 자료 활용 및 물리모형과의 연결 등을 통해 모델의 신뢰성을 제고 할 계획이다.

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Asymptotical Shock Wave Model for Acceleration Flow

  • Cho, Seongkil
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2013
  • Shock wave model describes the propagation speed of kinematic waves in traffic flow. It was first presented by Lighthill and Whitham and has been deployed to solve many traffic problems. A recent paper pointed out that there are some traffic situations in which shock waves are not observable in the field, whereas the model predicts the existence of waves. The paper attempted to identify how such a counterintuitive conclusion results from the L-W model, and resolved the problem by deriving a new asymptotical shock wave model. Although the asymptotical model successfully eliminated the paradox of the L-W model, the validation of the new model is confined within the realm of the deceleration flow situation since the model was derived under such constraint. The purpose of this paper is to derive the remaining counter asymptotical shock wave model for acceleration traffic flow. For this, the vehicle trajectories in a time-space diagram modified to accommodate the continuously increased speed at every instant in such a way that the relationship between the spacing from the preceding vehicle and the speed of the following vehicle strictly follows Greenshield's model. To verify the validity of the suggested model, it was initially implemented to a constant flow where no shock wave exists, and the results showed that there exists no imaginary shock wave in a homogeneous flow. Numerical applications of the new model showed that the shock wave speeds of the asymptotical model for the acceleration flow tend to lean far toward the forward direction consistently. This means that the asymptotical models performs in a systematically different way for acceleration and for declaration flows. Since the output difference among the models is so distinct and systematic, further study on identifying which model is more applicable to an empirical site is recommended.

Development of a Traffic Simulator for Evaluatiing the Traffic Management and Information System (교통관리 및 정보제공시스템 평가를 위한 모의실험모형에 관한 연구)

  • 정경옥
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 2003.02a
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문은 ATMS와 ATIS에서 요구되는 교통관리 및 정보제공의 효과분석을 위해, 운전자의 주행 및 경로선택 의사결정과 교통제어에 대한 반응등 운전자 행태를 모의실험에 반영함으로써 교통시스템의 실시간 특성을 모사할 수 있는 모형을 구축하고 이를 기반으로 하는 미시적 교통 모의실험기를 개발하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 본 연구에서는 운전자, 차량, 교통망, 검지 및 신호시스템, 교통정보제공시스템 등을 교통시스템의 주요 구성요소로 설정하였으며 운전자 및 차량특성, 차두시간분포와 차량발생모형, 차량주행모형, 차로변경 및 간격수락모형, 경로선택모형을 주모의실험모형을 구성하는 부모형으로 결정하였다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 각각의 부모형들에 대한 최근의 연구결과들을 검토하고, 현실모사 능력과 함께 다른 부모형들과의 연계, 모의실험기의 구현상에서의 적합성 등을 고려하여 적정모형의 선정 및 수정, 새로운 부모형의 구축을 수행하였다. 구축된 부모형을 통합하여 교통모의실험기를 개발하였으며 구축된 모형의 타당성 및 적용성 검토를 위해 현장자료 및 가상자료를 이용한 검증을 수행하였다. 검증결과 모형의 목적인 교통제어 및 정보제공등의 시스템 대안의 평가에 이용 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 본 논문의 연구결과는 교통제어 및 정보제공전략 대안의 평가뿐만 아니라 차량추종 및 차로변경 등의 미시적 교통모형 연구, 동적기종점 통행량 추정, 동적통행배정의 연구에도 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 논문의 연구모형은 현단계에서는 현실의 모사 및 분석을 위한 도구보다는 새로운 대안들간의 비교평가를 위한 도구로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 이에 따라 현실모사의 정확도를 확보하기 위한 검증 및 개선이 필요할 것이며, 각 부모형들에 대한 계속적인 연구와 새롭게 발표되는 연구결과를 수용한 지속적인 개발이 필요할 것이다.유기적인 연계에 있음을 밝히고 있다. 건설을 위한 정책적 시사점과 동북아 연구개발정보 Portal 및 APEC APGrid 연구망 등의 구체적인 정보인프라 구축방안을 도출하였다.술 주기를 도출하고, 산업 내 평균 권리 청구 항목 수를 이용하여 각 산업의 기술 범위를 비교하였다. 각각의 동적 분석을 통해 시간에 따른 변화 양상이 관찰하였고, ANOVA 분석을 이용하여 통계적 유의성을 검증하였다. 본 연구는 현재의 기술 패러다임 내에서 Pavitt이 제시한 산업 분류의 근거를 보충 설명하였고 특허 정보를 이용하여 기술혁신의 산업별 유형에 대한 폭넓은 분석방법을 제시하였다.별 시간대별 효과분석을 통하여 정책의 시행여부가 결정되어야 할 것이다. 한편, 화물전용차선의 설치로 인한 물류비용의 절감을 보다 효과적으로 달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과 정압주입시험에서도 확인된다.. It was resulted from increase of weight of single cocoon. "Manta"2.5ppm produced 22.2kg of cocoon. It is equal to 9%

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Submarine Free Running Model Development and Basic Performance Analysis (수중함 자유항주모형 개발 및 기본 성능 분석)

  • Jooho Lee;Seonhong Kim;Jihwan Shin;Jinhyeong Ahn
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.60 no.4
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    • pp.256-265
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    • 2023
  • This paper describes the results of the development of the submarine Free Running Model (FRM). First, the goal of development was set based on the test conditions and the test environment, and the system was obtained accordingly. The target submarine, Joubert BB2 submarine, was selected with a scale of 18.35 in accordance with the development goal. In order to conduct a submarine FRM test underwater, where communication is impossible, the FRM must operate at least semi-autonomously. For this purpose, an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) based underwater integrated navigation system and control system using a sailplane and an X-shaped sternplane were designed respectively. In addition, a ballast system was designed to enable the model to float to the water surface in case of an emergency. To verify its propulsion, navigation, and control performance, the FRM tests were conducted in both indoor and outdoor basins. As a result, the relationship between propeller RPM and vehicle speed was derived, and it was confirmed that the navigation and control performance met the target value.

Development of a Micro-Simulator Prototype for Evaluating Adaptive Signal Control Strategies (교통대응 신호제어전략의 평가를 위한 미시적 시뮬레이터의 원형 개발)

  • 이영인;김이래
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.143-160
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    • 2001
  • Micro-simulation models have been recognized as an efficient assessment tool in developing traffic signal control technologies. In this paper a prototype of a microscopic simulation model which can be applied to evaluate the performance of traffic-adaptive signal control strategies was developed. In the simulation process, space-based arrays were appled to estimate parameters of car following and lane changing models. Two levels of link types, a micro-type and macro-type links, were also embodied in the simulation process. The proposed model was tested on a test network consists of 9 intersections. The performance of the proposed model was evaluated in link by link comparisons with the results of NETSIM. The results show that the proposed model could appropriately simulate traffic flows of the test network. The model also produces traffic adaptive signal timings, cycle lengths and green times for turning movements, based on the detector data. It implies that the optimization process of the model produces reasonable signal timings for the test network on the cycle basis.

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Development of the Risk Evaluation Model for Rear End Collision on the Basis of Microscopic Driving Behaviors (미시적 주행행태를 반영한 후미추돌위험 평가모형 개발)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Park, Chang-Ho;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Kho, Seung-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2004
  • A model and a measure which can evaluate the risk of rear end collision are developed. Most traffic accidents involve multiple causes such as the human factor, the vehicle factor, and the highway element at any given time. Thus, these factors should be considered in analyzing the risk of an accident and in developing safety models. Although most risky situations and accidents on the roads result from the poor response of a driver to various stimuli, many researchers have modeled the risk or accident by analyzing only the stimuli without considering the response of a driver. Hence, the reliabilities of those models turned out to be low. Thus in developing the model behaviors of a driver, such as reaction time and deceleration rate, are considered. In the past, most studies tried to analyze the relationships between a risk and an accident directly but they, due to the difficulty of finding out the directional relationships between these factors, developed a model by considering these factors, developed a model by considering indirect factors such as volume, speed, etc. However, if the relationships between risk and accidents are looked into in detail, it can be seen that they are linked by the behaviors of a driver, and depending on drivers the risk as it is on the road-vehicle system may be ignored or call drivers' attention. Therefore, an accident depends on how a driver handles risk, so that the more related risk to and accident occurrence is not the risk itself but the risk responded by a driver. Thus, in this study, the behaviors of a driver are considered in the model and to reflect these behaviors three concepts related to accidents are introduced. And safe stopping distance and accident occurrence probability were used for better understanding and for more reliable modeling of the risk. The index which can represent the risk is also developed based on measures used in evaluating noise level, and for the risk comparison between various situations, the equivalent risk level, considering the intensity and duration time, is developed by means of the weighted average. Validation is performed with field surveys on the expressway of Seoul, and the test vehicle was made to collect the traffic flow data, such as deceleration rate, speed and spacing. Based on this data, the risk by section, lane and traffic flow conditions are evaluated and compared with the accident data and traffic conditions. The evaluated risk level corresponds closely to the patterns of actual traffic conditions and counts of accident. The model and the method developed in this study can be applied to various fields, such as safety test of traffic flow, establishment of operation & management strategy for reliable traffic flow, and the safety test for the control algorithm in the advanced safety vehicles and many others.