• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최종예상공사비

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A Validation on Estimate at Completion Evaluation Methods of EVMS (EVMS에서 최종예상공사비(EAC) 평가방법에 관한 검증)

  • Park Eun-Jin;Kim Soo-Yong;Hwang Hyo-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.405-410
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    • 2002
  • Earned Value Management System(EVMS) has been institutionalized as an advanced management technique of construction project lately. And its research has been in the active progress in order to utilize the earned value concept as a project management tool for construction project ordered by both government and private sector. However it is necessary to test and prove the EVMS's adaptability to our construction environment by EVMS's several of operations before its introduction. Project forecasting phase of EVMS is the Estimate at Completion by utilizing earned value data. So, the purpose of this study is to propose EAC evaluation method for evaluation the accuracy of the EAC and encouraging cost realism, and to test for proving the validity of the evaluation methods through hypothesis testing.

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Rehabilitation with the Green Method for the Huge Pipeline Using a Dry-Type Equipment (녹색공법을 이용한 대형 수도관 갱생)

  • Kim, Young-Ju;Choi, Byoung-Seub;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Hong, Dae-Sung;An, Hyo-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.282-286
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    • 2009
  • 1979년 준공된 수도권 광역상수도 1단계 시설은 상당한 노후화가 진행되었을 것으로 예상되며, 또한 향후 한강하류권 용수공급계획이 예정되어 있어 내부부식 및 관로손상부 개량의 시급성이 제기되었다. 이에 따라 직경 2,800${\sim}$800mm의 초대구경 도수관 53.9km의 개량을 위한 사업이 추진되었으며 시공성, 환경성, 경제성 등의 여러 항목에 대한 검토 결과 신개념 녹색공법인 비굴착식 건식일체형 공법이 최종 선정되었다. 그동안 기존관 개량공사에서 주로 사용되었던 굴착공법이 굴착에 따른 공기지연, 소음 분진 악취 등의 환경오염, 전구간 굴착에 따른 공사비 증가 등 많은 문제점을 안고 있는 것에 반해, 동사업에서 채택된 비굴착공법은 관로내에서 작업이 이루어지므로 공기단축, 환경오염 최소화에 따른 민원발생 최소화, 작업구만 굴착함에서 오는 공사비 절감 등 상대적으로 훨씬 우수한 것으로 평가된다. 동공법에 따르면 관내부 갱생공사는 '배수 및 잔류토사 제거'${\to}$'관내건조'${\to}$'표면처리'${\to}$'프라이머도장'${\to}$'본도장'의 순으로 진행된다. 일체형 장비에 의한 이와 같은 초대형관의 자동화시공은 세계에서 처음 적용되는 것이다.

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Cost Performance Evaluation Framework through Analysis of Unstructured Construction Supervision Documents using Binomial Logistic Regression (비정형 공사감리문서 정보와 이항 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 건축 현장 비용성과 평가 프레임워크 개발)

  • Kim, Chang-Won;Song, Taegeun;Lee, Kiseok;Yoo, Wi Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2024
  • This research explores the potential of leveraging unstructured data from construction supervision documents, which contain detailed inspection insights from independent third-party monitors of building construction processes. With the evolution of analytical methodologies, such unstructured data has been recognized as a valuable source of information, offering diverse insights. The study introduces a framework designed to assess cost performance by applying advanced analytical methods to the unstructured data found in final construction supervision reports. Specifically, key phrases were identified using text mining and social network analysis techniques, and these phrases were then analyzed through binomial logistic regression to assess cost performance. The study found that predictions of cost performance based on unstructured data from supervision documents achieved an accuracy rate of approximately 73%. The findings of this research are anticipated to serve as a foundational resource for analyzing various forms of unstructured data generated within the construction sector in future projects.

Economic Evaluation of ATES Heat Pump System (ATES 열펌프 시스템의 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Namtae;Choi, Jong Min
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.199-199
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    • 2011
  • ATES(Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage) 열펌프 시스템은 기존의 다양한 열원 적용 시스템 대비 효율이 우수한 것으로 알려져 유럽과 미국에서 건물 냉난방 시스템으로 적용되고 있다. 특히, ATES 시스템은 기존의 냉난방 시스템 대비 경제성이 우수한 것으로 알려져 있으나 국내에서는 이에 대한 연구 결과는 전무한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 ATES 열펌프 시스템의 실증 성능 결과를 분석하였으며, LNG 보일러와 에어컨을 사용하는 기존의 냉난방 시스템을 비교시스템으로 ATES 열펌프 시스템의 경제성 평가를 수행하였다. ATES 시스템의 연간 실증 성능 실험결과 ATES 시스템은 외기온도와 무관하게 연중 안정적인 성능을 나타내었다. 경제성 평가시에 생애주기법(Life Cycle Cost)을 적용하여 ATES 열펌프 시스템의 설치 및 운전에 필요한 총 소요비용을 산정하고, 이 결과를 바탕으로 투자회수기간법을 통해 ATES 시스템의 투자회수 기간을 산정하였다. 생애주기법 적용 시에 현재가치법을 사용하였으며, 현재가치법은 수명주기에 발생하는 모든 투자비용과 절감액을 일정한 시점을 기준으로 등가환산하는 방법을 의미한다. 현재가치법에 사용되는 현재가치는 초기비용과 현재가치계수의 곱으로 나타나는데, 여기에서 현재가치계수는 임의의 이자율로 일정기간 동안 정기적인 할부금액이 적립될 때의 현재금액을 구하기 위해 사용하는 계수를 의미한다. 전기와 LNG는 각각 2009년 7월의 (주)한국전력공사와 (주)한국가스공사의 고시요금을 적용하였다. 본 시스템은 실증 설비용량인 20RT를 대상 건물로 가정하였고, 초기투자비는 크게 공사비와 냉난방 설비 구입비로 구성되어 있으며, 기본적인 물가지표는 (사)한국물가정보(KPI)의 고시 데이터를 참조하였다. 각 시스템의 초기투자비는 ATES 시스템이 비교대상 기존 냉난방 시스템 대비 5.7배 높게 나타났다. 일일 8시간 사용기준으로 계절별 전력요금을 고려한 연간운전 비용은 ATES 시스템이 기존 시스템 대비 냉난방 시에 각각 77%와 16%를 나타내어 운전비용이 연간 절감되었고, 난방 운전 시 절감 비율이 냉방시보다 크게 나타났다. 두 시스템에 대한 생애주기비용을 산정하기 위하여 에어컨과 보일러의 기존시스템과 ATES 시스템의 가용연수를 모두 20년으로 설정하였고, 유지보수 비용은 초기투자비용의 2%로 설정하고, 할인율은 은행 예금이자를 기준으로 5%로 설정하였다. 전기와 LNG의 요금 상승률은 (사)한국물가정보를 바탕으로 각각 2%와 8%로 가정하였다. 이러한 조건에서 생애주기법을 이용한 경제성평가는 ATES 시스템의 경우 생애운전비용이 초기투자비용보다 작게 나타났으며, 기존 냉난방 시스템은 생애운전비용이 초기투자비용에 비하여 높게 나타났다. 본 연구 대상 ATES 열펌프 시스템의 실증 성능 데이터와 기존 문헌으로부터 얻은 냉난방 시스템의 성능 결과를 이용하여 생애주기 비용을 적용한 결과 ATES 시스템의 기존 시스템 대비 투자회수 기간은 6.62년으로 나타났다. 특히, 본 연구에서는 ATES 시스템이 국내 최초로 적용됨에 따라 스크린 등의 부품을 다소 고가의 제품으로 시스템에 적용하였으므로 ATES 시스템의 신뢰성과 안정성이 확보되면 초기 투자비 감소가 가능할 것으로 예상되며, 기존 시스템 대비 투자회수 기간은 더욱 감소될 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

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Development of Estimation System for Housing Remodeling Cost through Influence Analysis by Design Elements (설계요소별 영향분석을 통한 공동주택 리모델링 공사비개산견적 산출 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Jun;Cha, Heesung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2018
  • In As urban apartment are aging, the necessity of reconstruction or remodeling to extend the life of buildings is increasing. In such a case, a co-housing association is formed to implement decisions on reconstruction or remodeling projects. At this time, the most important thing for the co-housing association is the business feasibility based on the input of the construction cost.In the case of reconstruction, it is possible to estimate the construction cost by using the accumulated construction cost data, and then evaluate the feasibility using the construction cost. However, in case of remodeling, it is difficult to calculate the accurate construction cost because the number of accumulated construction cost data is small. In addition, non-specialist clients often require estimates of various design factors, often negatively impacting the accuracy of estimates and the duration of estimates. Therefore, in this study, proposed method to reflect the opinion of the owner who is a non-expert, as a design element, and a method of calculating the expected construction cost according to the design element, and constructed this system so that it can be easily used by the non-specialist owner. In order to clearly reflect the requirements of the non-specialist owner in the estimates, extracts the design elements from the existing remodeling cases, classify them, and suggest a plan for the client to choose. In order to reflect the design factors to the estimates, the existing apartment house remodeling cases were investigated and the design factors were extracted to have a large effect on the construction cost. Finally, developed system based on MS Excel so that the above contents can be easily used by a non-specialist client. In order to verify the accuracy of the proposed estimate in this study, verified the accuracy of 80% of the results by substituting the case of remodeling quotations and obtained a positive result from the questionnaire survey to examine the ease of use of the non-specialist customer. In this study, propose an estimate estimation method using four cases. If the remodeling cases are accumulated continuously, the expected effect of this study will be higher.

Enhancement of Desulfurization System Efficiency in 1,000 MW Coal-Fired Power Plants (1,000 MW 석탄화력발전소 대기환경오염물질 제거효율 향상을 위한 탈황설비 성능개선)

  • Lee, Young-Su;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2021
  • Recently, air environmental issues such as fine dust have rapidly emerged as national issues, and intensive environmental regulations are being applied to coal-fired power plants. This study introduces the case of improving the performance of desulfurization facilities for removing sulfur oxides and dust, which are the main air pollutant emitters of coal-fired power plants, and conducted four case studies to improve the performance of 1,000 MW power plants currently in operation and carried out construction. Liquid ratio was increased by remodeling the absorption tower of desulfurization facilities, and vaporization reaction was promoted by increasing the flow rate of oxidized air. In addition, the gas heater leakage rate was improved to improve the efficiency of final desulfurization facilities. It is expected that performance improvement work considering harmony with existing facilities will satisfy the regulations(25ppm of sulfur oxides, 5mg/Sm3) that will be applied from 2023, and can be referred to other thermal power plants for review and application.

Time Series Analysis and Forecast for Labor Cost of Actual Cost Data (시계열분석을 통한 실적공사비의 노무비 분석 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seok;Lee, Eun-Young;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2013
  • Since 2004, the government decided to gradually introduce Actual Cost Data into cost estimate for improving problems of below-cost tendering and to reflect fair market price through competition and carry contract efficiently. However, there are many concerns that Actual Cost Data has not reflected real market price, even that has contributed to reduce the government's budget. General construction firm's burden for labor cost is imputed to specialty contractors and eventually it becomes construction worker's burden. Therefore, realization of Actual Cost Data is very important factor to settle this system. To understand realization level and make short term forecast, this paper drew construction group of which labor cost constitutes more than 95% of direct cost, and compares their Actual Cost Data with relevant skilled workers's unit wage and predicts using time series analysis. The bid price which is not be reflected market price accelerates work environment changes and leads to directly affect such as late disbursement of wages, bankruptcy to workers. Therefore this paper is expected to be used to the preliminary data for solving the problem and establishing improvement of Actual Cost Data.

A Study on the Development of the Cash-Flow Forecasting Model in Apartment Business factoring tn Housing Payment Collection Pattern and Payment Condition for Construction Expences (분양대금 납부패턴과 공사대금 지급방식 변화를 고려한 공동주택사업의 현금흐름 예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Soon-Young;Kim Kyoon-Tai;Han Choong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2001
  • Since the financial crisis broke out, liquidity has become the critical issue in housing construction industry. In order to secure liquidity, it is prerequisite to precisely forecast cash flow. However, construction companies have failed to come up with a systematic process to manage and forecast cash flow. Until now, companies have solely relied on the prediction of profits and losses, which is carried out as they review business feasibility. To obtain more accurate cash flow forecast model, practical pattern of payments should be taken into account. In this theory, basic model that analyzes practical housing payment collection pattern resulting from prepayments and arrears is described. This model is to complement conventional cash flow forecast scheme in the phase of business feasibility review. Analysis result on final losses in cash that occur as a result of prepayment and arrears is considered in this model. Additionally, in the estimation of construction cost in the phase of business feasibility review, real construction prices instead of official prices are applied to enhance accuracy of cash outflow forecast. The proportion of payment made by a bill and changes in payment date caused by rescheduling of a bill are also factored in to estimate cash outflow. This model would contribute to achieving accurate cash flow forecast that better reflect real situation and to enhancing efficiency in capital management by giving a clear picture with regard to the demand and supply timing of capital.

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