• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최적화 모형

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Uncertainty Assessment of Single Event Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Bayesian Model (Bayesian 모형을 이용한 단일사상 강우-유출 모형의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Lee, Jong-Seok;Na, Bong-Kil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.505-516
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    • 2012
  • The study applies a hydrologic simulation model, HEC-1 developed by Hydrologic Engineering Center to Daecheong dam watershed for modeling hourly inflows of Daecheong dam. Although the HEC-1 model provides an automatic optimization technique for some of the parameters, the built-in optimization model is not sufficient in estimating reliable parameters. In particular, the optimization model often fails to estimate the parameters when a large number of parameters exist. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to develop Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation based HEC-1 model (BHEC-1). The Clark IUH method for transformation of precipitation excess to runoff and the soil conservation service runoff curve method for abstractions were used in Bayesian Monte Carlo simulation. Simulations of runoff at the Daecheong station in the HEC-1 model under Bayesian optimization scheme allow the posterior probability distributions of the hydrograph thus providing uncertainties in rainfall-runoff process. The proposed model showed a powerful performance in terms of estimating model parameters and deriving full uncertainties so that the model can be applied to various hydrologic problems such as frequency curve derivation, dam risk analysis and climate change study.

Signal Optimization Model Reflecting Alternative Use of Lanes for Left/Through Traffic at A Signalized Intersection (차로공동이용화를 위한 신호최적화모형 개발 연구)

  • 신언교;홍성표;김동녕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.75-88
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    • 2001
  • Signal optimization model for alternative use of lanes at a signalized intersection with an stop-line added backward was presented in this paper. The simulation results shot-ed that the traffic fed from the stop-line passed the intersection in each specified phasing interval for left and through traffic. The experimental results indicated that the proposed model was much superior to traditional signal optimization methodology in reducing delay, fuel consumption, and disutility index for delay and stops. The effects for reducing delay were greater than those for doing fuel consumption and disutility index due to the added stop-line. The proposed model is expected to alleviate traffic congestion at intersections, both which have no left turn pocket, and which have large left turn volume. The model is recommended to adapted for intersections spaced long among them with no near driveway.

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A Network Optimization Model for Strategic Itinerary Planning of Cruise Fleet (크루즈 선대의 운항일정계획을 위한 네트워크 최적화 모형)

  • Cho, Seong-Cheol;Won, You-kyung;Kim, Jung-Hyeon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2012
  • In spite of today's rapid growth of world cruise industry, little academic attention has yet been given to the decision making problems for cruise operations. This research deals with strategic cruise itinerary planning that any cruise company should face. Increasing demands for international itineraries and redeployments of cruise ships are adding complexity to the itinerary planning. A slight modification of the conventional PERT/CPM network is adopted. to cope with this complexity systematically. By this, the concept of candidate itinerary network is suggested for each cruise ship. To integrate these candidate itinerary networks for each ship in a single framework, an integer programming model has been developed to find the optimal itinerary planning for any fleet of cruise ships. A numerical example, based on real cruise itinerary practices, is tested to validate and interpret the model.

Development and application of hydro-economic optimal water allocation and management model (수자원-경제 통합 물 배분 최적화 모형의 개발 및 적용)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Choi, Sijung;Kang, Doosun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.10
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 2019
  • The optimal water allocation pursues a reliable and economic supply of water resources to meet various interests in socio-economic-environmental aspects. The global water shortage has intensified due to climate change and population growth with limited water resources. Thus, the water management scheme has shifted to improve water use efficiency by proper demand management and water allocation planning. Here, a hydro-economic water allocation model, called WAMM (Water Allocation and Management Model) is introduced. The WAMM is equipped with an improved linear programming algorithm for optimal water allocation and estimates economic value of water supply as an objective of water

Predictive Optimization Adjusted With Pseudo Data From A Missing Data Imputation Technique (결측 데이터 보정법에 의한 의사 데이터로 조정된 예측 최적화 방법)

  • Kim, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.200-209
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    • 2019
  • When forecasting future values, a model estimated after minimizing training errors can yield test errors higher than the training errors. This result is the over-fitting problem caused by an increase in model complexity when the model is focused only on a given dataset. Some regularization and resampling methods have been introduced to reduce test errors by alleviating this problem but have been designed for use with only a given dataset. In this paper, we propose a new optimization approach to reduce test errors by transforming a test error minimization problem into a training error minimization problem. To carry out this transformation, we needed additional data for the given dataset, termed pseudo data. To make proper use of pseudo data, we used three types of missing data imputation techniques. As an optimization tool, we chose the least squares method and combined it with an extra pseudo data instance. Furthermore, we present the numerical results supporting our proposed approach, which resulted in less test errors than the ordinary least squares method.

An Optimization Model for Assignment of Freight Trains to Transshipment Tracks and Allocation of Containers to Freight Trains (화물열차 작업선배정 및 열차조성을 위한 수리모형 및 해법)

  • Kim, Kyung-Min;Kim, Dong-Hee;Park, Bum-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.535-540
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    • 2010
  • We present an optimization model for how to assign the freight trains to transshipment tracks and allocate the containers to the freight trains in a rail container terminal. We formulate this problem as a multi-criteria integer programming to minimize the makespan of job schedule and simultaneously to maximize the loading throughput, i.e. the number of containers to be disposed per day. We also apply our model to the instance obtained from the real-world data of the Uiwang Inner Container Depot. From the experiments, we can see an improvement of approximately 6% in makespan, which means that our model can contribute to the improvement of the disposal capacity of containers without additional expansion of facilities.

Optimal Determination of the Parameters Representative of a Basin in the Horton's Infiltration Model (유역을 대표하는 Horton 침투 모형내 매개변수의 최적 결정)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.11 s.172
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    • pp.977-984
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    • 2006
  • The parameters in the Horton's model which has well known as typical infiltration model were determined by the use of the optimization technique. It was assumed the initial infiltration capacity in this model was related to the antecedent precipitation per 10 days with linear combination. And both the parameters of the ultimate infiltration capacity and the decay factor were determined uniquely on a basin. Thus the optimal model's parameters representative to a basin were obtained and the Horton's infiltration equations by rainstorm events were determined. The data of ten rainstorm events for this study were observed at the Jeonjeokbigyo station located at the Selmacheon experimental basin that was $8.5km^2$ wide in the Imjin river.

A study on hyperparameters optimization of LSTM model for improving flood level prediction accuracy (하천 홍수위 예측 정확도 개선을 위한 LSTM 모형의 하이퍼파라미터 최적화 연구)

  • Jaewon Jung;Sooyoung Kim;Hyung-Jun Kim;Kwang Seok Yoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.415-415
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    • 2023
  • 홍수는 일반적으로 많은 피해와 인명 손실을 초래하는 자연재해 중 하나로, 홍수위 예측은 이를 방지하고 대처하는 데 중요한 역할을 한다. 최근 기계학습 기술을 이용하여 홍수위 예측 모델을 개발하고자 하는 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 특히, LSTM(long short-term memory) 모형은 시계열 예측에 대해 검증된 모형으로 홍수위 예측 연구에도 활발하게 적용되고 있다. 하지만 기계학습 모델의 학습 성능은 하이퍼파라미터의 값에 영향을 크게 받을 수 있으며, 특히 집중호우로 인해 수위가 급변하는 경우에는 과거 시계열 자료에 영향을 받는 LSTM 모형의 예측 성능이 오히려 낮게 나타날 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 홍수위 예측시 LSTM 모형의 예측 성능을 향상시킬 수 있는 세부 하이퍼파라미터 값을 분석하여 최적의 하이퍼파라미터 조합을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위해 하이퍼파라미터 조정을 위한 자동화 도구인 W&B(Weights&Bias)의 Sweep 기능을 적용하고자 한다. 본 연구를 통해 LSTM 모형을 적용한 홍수위 예측의 정확도를 향상시키는 데에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Optimization of water intake scheduling based on linear programming (선형계획법을 이용한 정수장 취수계획 최적화)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Lee, Indoe;Kang, Doosun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.565-573
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    • 2019
  • An optimization model of water intake planning is developed based on a linear programming (LP) for the intelligent water purification plant operation system. The proposed optimization model minimizes the water treatment costs of raw water purification by considering a time-delay of treatment process and hourly electricity tariff, which is subject to various operation constraints, such as water intake limit, storage tank capacity, and water demand forecasts. For demonstration, the developed model is applied to H water purification center. Here, we have tested three optimization strategies and the results are compared and analyzed in economic and safety aspects. The optimization model is expected to be used as a decision support tool for optimal water intake scheduling of domestic water purification centers.