• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최적기준법

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A Study on Water Demand Forecasting Methods Applicable to Developing Country (개발도상국에 적용 가능한 물수요 예측 방법 연구)

  • Sung-Uk Kim;Kye-Won Jun;Wan-Seop Pi;Jong-Ho Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2023
  • Many developing countries face challenges in estimating long-term discharge due to the lack of hydrological data for water supply planning, making it difficult to establish a rational water supply plan for decision-making on water distribution. The study area, the Bandung region in Indonesia, is experiencing rapid urbanization and population concentration, leading to a severe shortage of freshwater. The absence of water reservoir prediction methods has resulted in a water supply rate of approximately 20%. In this study, we aimed to propose an approach for predicting water reservoirs in developing countries by analyzing water safety and potential water supply using the MODSIM (Modified SIMYLD) network model. To assess the suitability of the MODSIM model, we applied the unit hydrograph method to calculate long-term discharge based on 19 years of discharge data (2002-2020) from the Pataruman observation station. The analysis confirmed alignment with the existing monthly optimal operation curve. The analysis of power plant capacity revealed a difference of approximately 0.30% to 0.50%, and the water intake safety at the Pataruman point showed 1.64% for Q95% flow and 0.47% for Q355 flow higher. Operational efficiency, compared to the existing reservoir optimal operation curve, was measured at around 1%, confirming the potential of using the MODSIM network model for water supply evaluation and the need for water supply facilities.

Direct Determination of Tellurium in Simulated Nuclear Spent Fuels by Hydride Generation-Inductively Coupled Plasma Atomic Emission Spectrometry (수소화물 생성-유도결합플라스마 원자방출분광법을 이용한 모의사용후 핵연료 중의 텔루르 분석)

  • Choi, Kwang Soon;Lee, Chang Heon;Han, Sun Ho;Joe, Kih Soo;Kim, Won Ho
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.781-788
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    • 2000
  • Tellurium in simulated nuclear spent fuels (SIMFUEL) has been determined by hydride generation-inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometry (HG-ICP-AES). Parameters such as concentrations of HCl and $NaBH_4$, flow rate of HCl and $NaBH_4$ were optimized and then the effects of U, Mo, Pd, Rh and Ru on the Te intensity were investigated. A thiourea as a masking agent was used to eliminate or minimize such interferences specially caused by palladium. Tellurium was measured by HG-ICP-AES and ICP-MS after separation of tellurium from SIMFUEL with cation exchange chromatography. The relative deviation between direct measurement and separation method was less than 6% based on the data by ICP-MS.

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An Analytic Hierarchy Process based Decision Support System for Selecting Foundation Practice (계층분석법 기반의 기초공법 선정 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Lee, Chung-Hyun;Jeong, Keun-Chae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2012
  • It is one of the most important decision making problems to select the adequate foundation practice for the downtown construction project. However the foundation practice has not been selected systematically yet by considering various construction field conditions in many projects. The foundation practice is often informally selected on the basis of only past experiences and skilled engineer's opinion. For making the selection process systematically, in this study, we propose a decision support system (DSS) for selecting foundation practices based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Preference Function (PF). In the proposed DSS, the AHP is used for making the selection process more reasonable and the PF is used for considering the decision maker's preference. To validate the proposed DSS, we apply the proposed DSS to the pre-performed construction projects. The application results show that the proposed DSS gives the same foundation practices with the implemented foundation practices that the skilled foundation engineers select after carefully analyzing construction field conditions. The proposed DSS can be used as a useful tool for making decisions to select the foundation practice in the construction fields.

Optimal Water Intake Scheduling for Water Treatment based on Linear Programming Method (선형계획법을 이용한 정수장 취수계획 최적화 방안의 적용성 분석)

  • Lee, Indoe;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.402-402
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화에 따른 용수사용량의 계절별 변화가 나타나고 있다. 따라서, 효율적인 용수 관리에 대한 관심은 배수지 및 송수 시스템의 운영을 넘어 정수장의 운영에서도 그 변화가 나타나고 있다. 수질관리 측면에 다소 집중되었던 정수장 운영의 중요도는 수량을 함께 관리하는 방향으로 변화할 것으로 전망되며, 따라서 취수 단계에서부터 용수 공급의 전 과정을 고려하는 지능형 정수장 관리시스템이 주목받고 있다. 상수도 공급을 위한 정수장의 운영은 크게 원수의 취수 및 도수, 정수처리, 정수된 용수의 저장, 배수 및 급수의 과정으로 구분할 수 있다. 이때, 원수의 취수와 도수, 정수처리 과정에는 상대적으로 긴 시간이 소요되므로, 정수장의 운영 관리자는 이러한 지연시간을 감안해서 배수지의 상태를 예측하여 취수계획을 결정해야 한다. 한편, 정수장 시설을 운영하기 위해서는 전력이 소모되며, 산업전력 단가는 시간대별 변동폭이 큰 것으로 알려져 있다. 따라서, 정수장의 효율적인 운영을 위해서는 용수의 수요예측과 배수지 수위변동, 취수 및 정수설비의 규모 등을 고려하는 동시에, 전력 단가가 낮은 시간대에 설비를 집중적으로 운영할 수 있는 계획을 수립해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 선형계획법(Linear Programming, LP)을 이용하여, 수요예측을 바탕으로 장기취수계획을 수립하기 위한 방안을 세 가지로 구분하였으며, 각각의 장단점을 다음과 같이 예상하였다. 1) 24시간 간격으로 시간당 취수계획을 수립하는 최적화 방안, 2) 24시간의 시간당 취수계획을 1시간 간격으로 수립하는 실시간 최적화 방안, 3) 전체 모의기간 동안의 시간당 취수계획을 한번에 수립하는 최적화 방안. 24시간 간격 최적화는 수립 및 적용이 간단한 반면, 실시간 수요변화를 고려할 수 없어 단위시간(24시간) 후반부의 최적화 효율이 떨어지는 단점이 있다. 1시간 간격의 실시간 최적화는 수요변화를 가장 정확히 반영하는 반면, 최적화 수행 횟수가 증가하는 단점이 있다. 전체 모의기간 최적화는 장기 수요예측을 고려한 탄력적 취수계획을 수립하는 반면, 수요예측의 불확실성에 따른 오차 발생위험이 크다. 본 연구에서는 국내 H 정수장을 대상으로 각각의 최적 취수계획 수립 방안을 정수장 운영의 안정성, 탄력성, 경제성 등을 기준으로 비교, 분석하였다.

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Optimization of Organosolv Pretreatment of Waste Wood for Lignin Extraction (폐목재로부터 리그닌 추출을 위한 Organosolv 전처리공정의 최적화)

  • Lee, Hyunsu;Kim, Young Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.39 no.10
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    • pp.568-574
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to optimize experimental conditions (time ($X_1$) (ranging of 26.36 - 93.64 min), concentration of sulfuric acid ($X_2$) (ranging of 0-2.5%) and temperature ($X_3$) (ranging of $136.4-203.6^{\circ}C$) for an organosolv pretreatment process to extract lignin from waste wood. The resulting quadratic model equation using RSM (response surface methodology) represented y (lignin yield) = $-79.89+0.91X_1+9.8X_2-2.54{\times}10^{-3}X_1{^2}-2.11X_2{^2}$. The $R^2$ (coefficient of determination) value of 0.8531 for a model indicates this model has statistically significant predictors at the 10% levels. The predictive results optimized by quadratic model produced a lignin yield of 12.46 g/100 g of dry wood under conditions of $178.2^{\circ}C$ and 2.32% $H_2SO_4$. The lignin yield was more affected by the acid catalyst concentrations than the reaction temperature, but the reaction time was not an influential factor for improving lignin extraction from waste wood in this organosolv pretreatment. According to ANOVA (analysis of variance), the significance probability (p-value) of model was smaller than 0.001 and simulation of obtained model equations showed a good reproducibility based on actual organosolv tests under optimal conditions.

Optimal Design of Breakwater Caisson Considering Expected Total Construction Cost and Allowable Sliding Distance (기대 총 건설비 및 허용 활동량을 고려한 방파제 케이슨의 최적설계)

  • Kim Kyung-Suk;Suh Kyung-Duck
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.280-293
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a model to calculate the expected total construction cost has been developed by combining a model to calculate the sliding distance of a caisson of a vertical breakwater and a model to calculate the rehabilitation cost of a caisson. The optimal cross-section of a caisson of a vertical breakwater is defined as the cross-section that requires a minimum expected total construction cost within the allowable limit of caisson sliding. Two allowable limits are considered: 0.1 m of the expected sliding distance during the lifetime of the breakwater and 0.1 of the probability that the cumulative sliding distance during the lifetime of the breakwater is greater than 0.3 m. A discount rate has also been introduced to convert the future rehabilitation cost to the present value. The introduction of the discount rate reduces the expected total construction cost for the caissons designed for shorter return periods due to frequent rehabilitations. The present design method requires a smaller cross-section than the conventional deterministic method in shallow water depths, enabling us to design a caisson more economically. On the other hand, the above-mentioned allowable limits of caisson sliding show similar results for smaller water depths, while, for larger depths, the former requires a larger cross-section than the latter.

A Study on the GIS-based Deterministic MCDA Techniques for Evaluating the Flood Damage Reduction Alternatives (확정론적 다중의사결정기법을 이용한 최적 홍수저감대책 선정 기법 연구)

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.12
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    • pp.1015-1029
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    • 2011
  • Conventional MCDA techniques have been used in the field of water resources in the past. A GIS can offer an effective spatial data-handling tool that can enhance water resources modeling through interfaces with sophisticated models. However, GIS systems have a limited capability as far as the analysis of the value structure is concerned. The MCDA techniques provide the tools for aggregating the geographical data and the decision maker's preferences into a one-dimensional value for analyzing alternative decisions. In other words, the MCDA allows multiple criteria to be used in deciding upon the best alternatives. The combination of GIS and MCDA capabilities is of critical importance in spatial multi-criteria analysis. The advantage of having spatial data is that it allows the consideration of the unique characteristics at every point. The purpose of this study is to identify, review, and evaluate the performance of a number of conventional MCDA techniques for integration with GIS. Even though there are a number of techniques which have been applied in many fields, this study will only consider the techniques that have been applied in floodplain decision-making problems. Two different methods for multi-criteria evaluation were selected to be integrated with GIS. These two algorithms are Compromise Programming (CP), Spatial Compromise Programming (SCP). The target region for a demonstration application of the methodology was the Suyoung River Basin in Korea.

Development of Decision Support System for the Design of Steel Frame Structure (강 프레임 구조물 설계를 위한 의사 결정 지원 시스템의 개발)

  • Choi, Byoung Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2007
  • Structural design, like other complex decision problems, involves many trade-offs among competing criteria. Although mathematical programming models are becoming increasingly realistic, they often have design limitations, that is, there are often relevant issues that cannot be easily captured. From the understanding of these limitations, a decision-support system is developed that can generate some useful alternatives as well as a single optimum value in the optimization of steel frame structures. The alternatives produced using this system are "good" with respect to modeled objectives, and yet are "different," and are often better, with respect to interesting objectives not present in the model. In this study, we created a decision-support system for designing the most cost-effective moment-resisting steel frame structures for resisting lateral loads without compromising overall stability. The proposed approach considers the cost of steel products and the cost of connections within the design process. This system makes use of an optimization formulation, which was modified to generate alternatives of optimum value, which is the result of the trade-off between the number of moment connections and total cost. This trade-off was achieved by reducing the number of moment connections and rearranging them, using the combination of analysis based on the LRFD code and optimization scheme based on genetic algorithms. To evaluate the usefulness of this system, the alternatives were examined with respect to various design aspects.

An Algorithm for Optimized Accuracy Calculation of Hull Block Assembly (선박 블록 조립 후 최적 정도 계산을 위한 알고리즘 연구)

  • Noh, Jac-Kyou
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.552-560
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, an optimization algorithm for the block assembly accuracy control assessment is proposed with consideration for the current block assembly process and accuracy control procedure used in the shipbuilding site. The objective function of the proposed algorithm consists of root mean square error of the distances between design and measured data of the other control points with respect to a specific point of the whole control points. The control points are divided into two groups: points on the control line and the other points. The grouped data are used as criteria for determining the combination of 6 degrees of freedom in the registration process when constituting constraints and calculating objective function. The optimization algorithm is developed by using combination of the sampling method and the point to point relation based modified ICP algorithm which has an allowable error check procedure that makes sure that error between design and measured point is under allowable error. According to the results from the application of the proposed algorithm with the design and measured data of two blocks data which are verified and validated by an expert in the shipbuilding site, it implies that the choice of whole control points as target points for the accuracy calculation shows better results than that of the control points on the control line as target points for the accuracy of the calculation and the best optimized result can be acquired from the accuracy calculation with a fixed point on the control line as the reference point of the registration.

Traffic Forecasting Model Selection of Artificial Neural Network Using Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC(AKaike's Information Criterion)을 이용한 교통량 예측 모형)

  • Kang, Weon-Eui;Baik, Nam-Cheol;Yoon, Hye-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.155-159
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    • 2004
  • Recently, there are many trials about Artificial neural networks : ANNs structure and studying method of researches for forecasting traffic volume. ANNs have a powerful capabilities of recognizing pattern with a flexible non-linear model. However, ANNs have some overfitting problems in dealing with a lot of parameters because of its non-linear problems. This research deals with the application of a variety of model selection criterion for cancellation of the overfitting problems. Especially, this aims at analyzing which the selecting model cancels the overfitting problems and guarantees the transferability from time measure. Results in this study are as follow. First, the model which is selecting in sample does not guarantees the best capabilities of out-of-sample. So to speak, the best model in sample is no relationship with the capabilities of out-of-sample like many existing researches. Second, in stability of model selecting criterion, AIC3, AICC, BIC are available but AIC4 has a large variation comparing with the best model. In time-series analysis and forecasting, we need more quantitable data analysis and another time-series analysis because uncertainty of a model can have an effect on correlation between in-sample and out-of-sample.