• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.903-910
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• 2011

The research was carried out in order to find climate factors which determine the distribution of Machilus thunbergii, and the potential habitats under the current climate and three climate change scenario by using classification tree (CT) model. Four climate factors; the minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC), the warmth index (WI), summer precipitation (PRS), and winter precipition (PRW) : were used as independent variables for the model. The model of distribution for Machilus thunbergii (Mth-model) constructed by CT analysis showed that minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC) is a major climate factor in determining the distribution of M. thunbergii. The area above the $-3.3^{\circ}C$ of TMC revealed high occurrence probability of the M. thunbergii. Potential habitats was predicted $9,326km^2$ under the current climate and $61,074{\sim}67,402km^2$(South Korea: $58,419{\sim}61,137km^2$, North Korea: $2,655{\sim}6,542km^2$) under the three climate change scenarios (CCCMA-A2, CSIRO-A2, HADCM3-A2). The Potential habitats was to predicted increase by 51~56%(South Korea: 49~51%, North Korea: 2~5%) under the three climate change scenarios. The potential expand of M. thunbergii habitats has been expected that it is competitive with warm-temperate deciduous broadleaf forest. M. thunbergii is evaluated as the indicator of climate change in Korea and it is necessary for M. thunbergii to monitor of potential habitats.

• Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.711-723
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• 2013

The objectives of this study were to access climate change by global warming in Korea, and to investigate its effects on production efficiency of lactating dairy cows. Two regions, Daegu and Daekwanryung, were selected to represent a warm and a cold area, respectively. Time-series analyses on meteorological records for 25 years (from January 1, 1988 to December 31, 2012) revealed significant and different climate changes in two regions. In the warm area there has been a significant (P<0.05) increase in low temperature during the summer, which can cause heat stress to the animal. On the other hand, a decrease in low temperature during the winter was observed in the cold region (P<0.01), and cold stress in winter can thus be an issue in this region. Simulations using a model integrated the Korean feeding standard for dairy cattle and the environmental effect module of Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System, indicated that a reduction in feed efficiency can be a problem during the winter in the cold region while during the summer in the warm area. We conclude that the effect of climate change by global warming varies in different areas in Korea and a region-specific management strategy should be developed in order to maintain productivity, health and welfare of lactating dairy cows.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.291-302
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• 2017

The research was carried out in order to find climate factors which determine the distribution of Eurya japonica, and the potential habitats (PHs) under the current climate and climate change scenario by using species distribution models (SDMs). Four climate factors; the warmth index (WI), the minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC), summer precipitation (PRS), and winter precipitaion (PRW) : were used as independent variables for the model. Seventeen general circulation models under RCP (Representative concentration pathway) 8.5 scenarios were used as future climate scenarios for the 2050s (2040~2069) and 2080s (2070~2099). Highly accurate SDMs were obtained for E. japonica. The model of distribution for E. japonica constructed by SDMs showed that minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC) is a major climate factor in determining the distribution of E. japonica. The area above the $-5.7^{\circ}C$ of TMC revealed high occurrence probability of the E. japonica. Future PHs for E. japonica were projected to increase respectively by 2.5 times, 3.4 times of current PHs under 2050s and 2080s. It is expected that the potential of E. japonica habitats is expanded gradually. E. japonica is applicable as indicator species for monitoring in the Korean Peninsula. E. japonica is necessary to be monitored of potential habitats.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.209-215
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• 2007

To improve the accuracy of frost warning system for pear orchard in a complex terrain in Naju area, the daily minimum temperature forecasted by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) was interpolated using a regional climate model based on topoclimatic estimation and optimum scale interpolation from 2004 to 2005. Based on the validation experiments done for three pear orchards in the spring of 2004, the results showed a good agreement between the observed and predicted values, resulting in improved predictability compared to the forecast from Korea Meteorological Administration. The differences between the observed and the predicted temperatures were $-2.1{\sim}2.7^{\circ}C$ (on average $-0.4^{\circ}C$) in the valley, $-1.6{\sim}2.7^{\circ}C$ (on average $-0.4^{\circ}C$) in the riverside and $-1.1{\sim}3.5^{\circ}C$ (on average $0.6^{\circ}C$) in the hills. Notably, the errors have been reduced significantly for the valley and riverside areas that are more affected by the cold air drainage and more susceptible to frost damage than hills.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.198-205
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• 2015

Impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystems range from changes in physiological processes of aquatic organisms to species distribution. In this study, MaxEnt that has high prediction power without nonoccurrence data was used to simulate fish distribution changes in the Geum river watershed according to climate change. The fish distribution in 2050 and 2100 was predicted with RCP 8.5 climate change scenario using fish occurrence data (a total of 47 species, including 17 endemic species) from 2007 to 2009 at 134 survey points and 9 environmental variables (monthly lowest, highest and average air temperature, monthly precipitation, monthly lowest, highest and average water temperature, altitude and slope). The fitness of MaxEnt modeling was successful with the area under the relative operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.798, and environmental variables that showed a high level of prediction were as follows: altitude, monthly average precipitation and monthly lowest water temperature. As climate change proceeds until 2100, the probability of occurrence for Odontobutis interrupta and Acheilognathus yamatsuatea (endemic species) decreases whereas the probability of occurrence for Microphysogobio yaluensis and Lepomis macrochirus (exotic species) increases. In particular, five fish species (Gnathopogon strigatus, Misgurnus mizolepis, Erythroculter erythropterus, A. yamatsuatea and A. koreensis) were expected to become extinct in the Geum river watershed in 2100. In addition, the species rich area was expected to move to the northern part of the Geum river watershed. These findings suggest that water temperature increase caused by climate change may disturb the aquatic ecosystem of Geum river watershed significantly.

• Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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• 2003.09a
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• pp.77-81
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• 2003

지구온난화에 따른 "춥지 않은 겨울" 현상 속에서도 온대과수의 동해발생 건수는 오히려 증가하는 기현상이 보고되고 있다 (원예연구소, 2003). 휴면중인 과수는 내동성이 매우 크지만 겨울에서 봄으로 이행하면서 점차 약해진다. 내동성이 매우 큰 사과 품종 Haralson의 경우 한 겨울에 -50도에서도 생존이 가능하지만 봄에는 치사온도가 -8도로 급상승하는데 (Faust, 1989), 그 이유는 혹한에 적응해온 추운 지역 토착품종들은 생육기간을 확보하기 위해 기온이 상승하면 바로 휴면을 깨고 생장을 시작하는 습성을 갖고 있기 때문이다.(중략) 때문이다.(중략)

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.66-74
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• 2010

This study was carried out to investigate the optimum condition for sap exudation of Acer mono Max. tree in a site of Mt. Baekun, Kwangyang city, Korea. Amount of sap exudation, air temperature, relative air humidity and tree diameter at breast height (DBH) were monitored for the period of January 5 through March 28, 2008, and correlation analysis of several factors affecting on sap exudation was carried out. As the diameter of Acer mono at breast height increased, the amount of sap was linearly proportional. Sap exudation initiated at February 18, and occurred intensively in the period of February 28 through March 10, resulting in 84% of total sap amount by volume. During sap exudation, the minimum temperature was averaged at $-2.4{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ and the maximum at $6.0{\pm}1.8^{\circ}C$, while there was no sap exudation whenever temperature was below or above $0^{\circ}C$ all the day long. The maximum temperature, range of temperature and the maximum, minimum and mean humidities in air were significant factors affecting on amount of sap. The maximum air temperature had the highest correlation coefficient with 0.768 (P < 0.01) and was also considered as the principal factor by partial-correlation analysis. These results showed that sap exudation required daily air-temperature fluctuation from below to above $0^{\circ}C$, and the amount of sap was strongly dependent on the highest daily-temperature and DBH of tree.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.209-221
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• 2015

Temperature is one of the most important factors affecting crop growth. The diurnal cycle of the scale factor [Tsc] for air temperature and the surface temperature of crop leaf and soil could be estimated by the following equation : $[Tsc]=0.5{\times}sin(X+C)+0.5$. The daily air temperature (E[Ti]) according to the E&E time [X] can be estimated by following equation using average (Tavg), maximum (Tm) and minimum (Tn) temperature : $E[Ti]=Tn+(Tm-Tn){\times}[0.5{\times}sin\;\{X+(9.646Tavg+703.65)\}+0.5]$. The crop leaf temperature in 24th June 2014 was high as the order of red pepper without mulching > red pepper with mulching > soybean under drought > soybean with irrigation > Chinese cabbage. The case in estimating crop leaf surface temperature using air temperature and soil surface temperature was lower in the deviation compared to the case using air temperature for Chinese cabbage and red pepper. These results can be utilized for the crop models as input data with estimation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.868-872
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• 2012

유역의 유입 및 유출은 강수에 의해 발생하며 여러 가지 기후 조건과 토지 상태의 영향을 받는다. SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형은 이러한 여러 가지 복잡한 기후 조건과 토지 상태를 반영하며, 장기간 입력 자료에 따른 유출량을 산출할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 시험유역을 안동댐 유역으로 선정하였으며, SWAT 모형을 이용하여 10년(2000년 ~ 2010년) 동안의 유출량을 산정하였고 이를 안동댐의 실측 유입량과 비교 분석하였다. ArcSWAT을 이용하여 분석하였고 입력 자료는 SWAT의 분석단위인 HRU(Hydrologic Response Unit)를 산정하기 위한 정밀 토양도 및 토지피복도와 기상입력 자료인 강우 및 최고기온, 최저기온, 습도, 풍속, 일사량 등을 사용하였다. 강우관측소는 안동댐 유역의 고선, 남회룡, 도천, 미질, 석동, 석포, 석현, 의촌, 재산, 황지를 선정하였고, 일사량관측소는 안동, 대관령, 포항을 선정하였으며, 기온, 습도, 풍속관측소는 안동, 봉화, 태백, 영주를 선정하였다. 또한 기상입력자료 중 결측값은 역거리 자승법을 이용하여 보완하였다. SWAT 모형은 유출량 계산 시 여러 가지 다양한 매개변수가 사용되며, 이러한 매개변수들의 검 보정을 통하여 실제 유역의 특성과 하천 흐름특성을 반영할 수 있다. 본 연구의 시험유역인 안동댐유역은 산림과 초지가 많은 지역이기 때문에 식물에 의해 차단되는 강우에 관한 매개변수와 지하로 침투되는 강우량에 관한 매개변수 등을 보정하여 실제 유역특성을 반영하였다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 과정을 통해 안동댐 유역의 10년 동안의 일 유출량을 산정한 결과, 홍수기의 첨두유량 및 첨두시간에는 실측자료와 약간의 차이가 있었지만 전체적으로 실측자료와 매우 유사한 유출량을 산정하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.382-382
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• 2023

기존의 GRM(Grid based rainfall-Runoff Model)에서는 강우-유출 사상에 대한 유출 모의를 주요 대상으로 하였다. 본 연구에서는 GRM 모형에서 연속형 모의가 가능하도록 차단, 증발산, 융설을 모의할 수 있는 모듈을 개발하였다. 차단은 LAI의 연최댓값과 해당월의 값의 비율을 이용해서 계산하며, 증발산은 Blaney-Criddle, Hamon, Hargreaves, Priestly-Taylor 방법을 적용하였다. 융설은 Anderson에 의해서 제안된 방법을 적용하였다. 연속형 모의를 위한 모델 매개변수 설정 인터페이스를 추가하였으며, 기온, 일사량, 일조시간 등의 기상자료를 입력할 수 있게 하고, 계산된 각 수문성분을 출력할 수 있도록 GRM 모형의 입력과 출력 모듈을 개선하였다. 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 개선된 모형을 적용하였다. 공간자료의 해상도는 500m × 500m로 구축하였으며, 수문학적 지형정보와 토양도, 토지피복도를 구축하였다. 기상자료를 강수량, 일최고 기온, 일최저 기온, 일조시간, 일사량을 적용하였다. 증발산은 Hargreaves 방법을 이용하여 모의하였다. 모의 기간은 2001년 ~ 2018년이며, 이 중 2004년까지의 4년은 모델 warming up 기간으로 하고, 적합도 평가는 2005년 ~ 2018년의 모의결과를 이용하였다. 충주댐 유입량 모의결과를 관측값과 비교하였을 때 Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient(NSE) 0.84, 상관계수 0.92, 총용적 오차는 0.26%를 나타내어 관측유입량을 잘 재현하였다. 그러므로 본 연구에서 개발된 차단, 증발산, 융설 모의 기법은 적절히 구현된 것으로 판단되며, GRM을 이용한 연속형 모의가 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 향후 연구에서는 좀 더 다양한 유역에 대해 GRM을 이용한 연속형 유출모의 결과를 평가할 필요가 있다.