• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최소제곱오차 추정

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Design-Based Properties of Least Square Estimators of Panel Regression Coefficients Based on Complex Panel Data (복합패널 데이터에 기초한 최소제곱 패널회귀추정량의 설계기반 성질)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2010
  • We investigated design-based properties of the ordinary least square estimator(OLSE) and the weighted least square estimator(WLSE) in a panel regression model. Given a complex data we derive the magnitude of the design-based bias of two estimators and show that the bias of WLSE is smaller than that of OLSE. We also conducted a simulation study using Korean welfare panel data in order to compare design-based properties of two estimators numerically. In the study we found the followings. First, the relative bias of OLSE is nearly two times larger than that of WLSE and the bias ratio of OLSE is greater than that of WLSE. Also the relative bias of OLSE remains steady but that of WLSE becomes smaller as the sample size increases. Next, both the variance and mean square error(MSE) of two estimators decrease when the sample size increases. Also there is a tendency that the proportion of squared bias in MSE of OLSE increases as the sample size increase, but that of WLSE decreases. Finally, the variance of OLSE is smaller than that of WLSE in almost all cases and the MSE of OLSE is smaller in many cases. However, the number of cases of larger MSE of OLSE increases when the sample size increases.

Design-based Properties of Least Square Estimators in Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 회귀계수 추정량의 설계기반 성질)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we investigate design-based properties of both the ordinary least square estimator and the weighted least square estimator for regression coefficients in panel regression model. We derive formulas of approximate bias, variance and mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator after linearization of least square estimators. Also we compare their magnitudes each other numerically through a simulation study. We consider a three years data of Korean Welfare Panel Study as a finite population and take household income as a dependent variable and choose 7 exploratory variables related household as independent variables in panel regression model. Then we calculate approximate bias, variance, mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator based on several sample sizes from 50 to 1,000 by 50. Through the simulation study we found some tendencies as follows. First, the mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is getting larger than the variance of the weighted least square estimator as sample sizes increase. Next, the magnitude of mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is depending on the magnitude of the bias of the estimator, which is large when the bias is large. Finally, with regard to approximate variance, variances of the ordinary least square estimator are smaller than those of the weighted least square estimator in many cases in the simulation.

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Propagation Factor Based Elevation Estimation Algorithm Selection Method in Multipath Situation (다중경로 상황에서의 전파 인자 기반 고각 추정 알고리즘 선택기법)

  • Daihyun Kwon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.172-177
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    • 2024
  • This paper presents a method to overcome the problem of increasing elevation estimation error when estimating elevation in a multipath situation with radar. A multipath situation means that radar reception signals reflected from the same target come from multiple paths. In non-multipath, the monopulse method is accurate. For the opposite case, the least square error method is accurate. In multipath situation and when the elevation angle is very low, a singular occurs where the least square error estimate diverges. This singular was identified based on the propagation factor, and monopulse and least square error estimation methods were selectively used. As a result, we succeeded in increasing the accuracy of elevation estimation. MATLAB simulations were performed to verify the method proposed in this paper.

Minimum Chi-square estimation and the bootstrap (최소카이제곱추정과 붓스트랩)

  • 정한영;이기원;구자용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.269-277
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    • 1994
  • Bootstrap approximation is compared with ordinary asymptotic method in the context of minimum chi-square estimation through application in a real problem. Fixed interval search method is shown to be superior over a random interval search method or Newton-Raphson method. All the procedures are implemented by S-Plus functions.

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Approximate Variance of Least Square Estimators for Regression Coefficient under Inclusion Probability Proportional to Size Sampling (포함확률비례추출에서 회귀계수 최소제곱추정량의 근사분산)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2012
  • This paper deals with the bias and variance of regression coefficient estimators in a finite population. We derive approximate formulas for the bias, variance and mean square error of two estimators when we select a fixed-size inclusion probability proportional to the size sample and then estimate regression coefficients by the ordinary least square estimator as well as the weighted least square estimator based on the selected sample data. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the comparison of the two estimators in terms of variance and mean square error are suggested. In addition, a simple example is introduced to numerically compare the variance and mean square error of the two estimators.

Estimation for the Exponential ARMA Model (지수혼합 시계열 모형의 추정)

  • Won Kyung Kim;In Kyu Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 1994
  • The Yule-Walker estimator and the approximate conditional least squares estimator of the parameter of the EARMA(1, 1) model are obtained. These two estimators are compared by simulation study. It is shown that the approximate conditional least squares estimator is better in the sense of the mean square error than the Yul-Walker estimator.

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Time series analysis for Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases: HAR-TP-T model approach (한국 COVID-19 확진자 수에 대한 시계열 분석: HAR-TP-T 모형 접근법)

  • Yu, SeongMin;Hwang, Eunju
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.239-254
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    • 2021
  • This paper studies time series analysis with estimation and forecasting for Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases, based on the approach of a heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with two-piece t (TP-T) distributed errors. We consider HAR-TP-T time series models and suggest a step-by-step method to estimate HAR coefficients as well as TP-T distribution parameters. In our proposed step-by-step estimation, the ordinary least squares method is utilized to estimate the HAR coefficients while the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method is adopted to estimate the TP-T error parameters. A simulation study on the step-by-step method is conducted and it shows a good performance. For the empirical analysis on the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases, estimates in the HAR-TP-T models of order p = 2, 3, 4 are computed along with a couple of selected lags, which include the optimal lags chosen by minimizing the mean squares errors of the models. The estimation results by our proposed method and the solely MLE are compared with some criteria rules. Our proposed step-by-step method outperforms the MLE in two aspects: mean squares error of the HAR model and mean squares difference between the TP-T residuals and their densities. Moreover, forecasting for the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases is discussed with the optimally selected HAR-TP-T model. Mean absolute percentage error of one-step ahead out-of-sample forecasts is evaluated as 0.0953% in the proposed model. We conclude that our proposed HAR-TP-T time series model with optimally selected lags and its step-by-step estimation provide an accurate forecasting performance for the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases.

Closed-form Nonlinear Least-Squares Source Localization from Time-Difference of Arrival Measurements in Planar Space (평면공간에서 다중 센서간 도달 시간차를 이용한 해석적인 최소제곱오차 음원 위치 추정 방법)

  • Shin, Dong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.694-699
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    • 2011
  • A closed-form technique is presented for estimating a single source location from a set of noisy time delay measurements between distributed sensors. The localization formula is derived from nonlinear least squares minimization over the unknowns of target range and bearing in polar coordinates. Computer simulation results are provided for the purpose of performance analysis. Constrained least squares minimization method with prior source location information is also discussed.

Estimation Techniques for Three-Dimensional Target Location Based on Linear Least Squared Error Algorithm (선형 최소제곱오차 알고리즘을 응용한 3차원 표적 위치 추정 기법)

  • Han, Jeong Jae;Jung, Yoonhwan;Noh, Sanguk;Park, So Ryoung;Kang, Dokeun;Choi, Wonkyu
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.715-722
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, by applying the linear least squared error algorithm, we derive an estimation technique for three dimensional target location when a number of radars are used in detecting a target. The proposed technique is then enhanced by combining GPS information and by assigning variable weights to information sources. The enhanced performance of proposed techniques is confirmed via simulation. It is also observed from simulation results that the performance is robust to the uncertainty of information.

A Comparison of Robust Parameter Estimations for Autoregressive Models (자기회귀모형에서의 로버스트한 모수 추정방법들에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we study several parameter estimation methods used for autoregressive processes and compare them in view of forecasting. The least square estimation, least absolute deviation estimation, robust estimation are compared through Monte Carlo simulations.

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