• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최소자승 예측오차

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An Improved Calibration Method for the COCOMO II Post-Architecture Model

  • Yoon, Myoung-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2000
  • To date many software engineering cost models have been developed to predict cost, schedule, and effort of the software under development. The COCOMO Ⅱ is well- suited for the new software development life cycle such as non-sequential and rapid- development processes. The traditional regression approach based on the least square criterion is the most commonly used technique for empirical calibration in the COCOMO Ⅱ model. It has a few assumptions frequently violated by software engineering data sets. The source data is also generally imprecise in reporting size effort, and cost-driver ratings, particularly across different organizations. And that the outlier for the source data is a peculiarity and indicates a data point. To cope with difficulties, in this paper, we propose a new regression method for calibrating COCOMO Ⅱ post-architecture model based on the minimum relative error(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the data in the empirical calibration. As the experimental results, It is evident that our proposed calibration method MRE was shown to be superior to the traditional regression approach for model calibration, as illustrated by the values obtained for standard deviation(^σ), and prediction at level LPRED(L) measures.

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Depth Video Coding Method for Spherical Object (구형 객체의 깊이 영상 부호화 방법)

  • Kwon, Soon-Kak;Lee, Dong-Seok;Park, Yoo-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose a method of depth video coding to find the closest sphere through the depth information when the spherical object is captured. We find the closest sphere to the captured spherical object using method of least squares in each block. Then, we estimate the depth value through the found sphere and encode the depth video through difference between the measured depth values and the estimated depth values. Also, we encode factors of the estimated sphere with encoded pixels within the block. The proposed method improves the coding efficiency up to 81% compared to the conventional DPCM method.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

A Comparison of Calibration Methods for the COCOMO II Post-Architecture Model (COCOMOII의 후구조 모델에 대한 캘리브레이션 방법 비교)

  • Yoon, Myoung-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2000
  • The COCOMO Ⅱ model is well-suited for the new software development life cycle such as non-sequential and rapid-development processes. The traditional regression approach based on the least square criterion is the most commonly used technique for empirical calibration in the COCOMO Ⅱ model. But it has a few assumptions frequently violated by software engineering data sets. It is true that the source data is also generally imprecise in reporting size, effort, and cost-driver ratings, particularly across different organizations. And that the outlier for the source data is a peculiarity and indicates a data pint To cope with difficulties, in this paper, we propose a new regression method for calibrating COCOMO Ⅱ post-architecture model based on the minimum relative erro(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the data in the empirical calibration. As the experimental results, It is evident that our proposed calibration method MRE was shown to be superior to the traditional regression approach for model calibration, as illustrated by the values obtained for standard deviation(^σ), and prediction at level L PRED(L) measures.

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Parameter Estimation & Validation of Volume-delay Function based on Traffic Survey Data (교통조사를 통한 도로통행비용함수 구축 및 검증)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeong;Chu, Sang-Ho;Gang, Min-Gu;Heo, Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2010
  • VDF(volume-delay function) is one of the most important factor to improve the reliability of traffic demand estimation because it is for estimation of link travel time based on the traffic volume variation. Because VDF of link except for freeway is applied as the parameter of BPR(bureau of public road) of U.S., it causes to deteriorate the accuracy of traffic demand estimation. The purpose of this paper is to establish new parameter of VDF based on the real-surveyed traffic data in order to improve the problem of the existing VDF. We suggest the reclassification of road hierarchy, the approach of traffic survey, the estimating method of VDF parameter, and the improvements of new VDF application. The new VDF allows us to estimate more realistic traffic situation in parts of demand, travel time and path between origin-destination.

Development of Measuring Technique for Milk Composition by Using Visible-Near Infrared Spectroscopy (가시광선-근적외선 분광법을 이용한 유성분 측정 기술 개발)

  • Choi, Chang-Hyun;Yun, Hyun-Woong;Kim, Yong-Joo
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study was to develop models for the predict of the milk properties (fat, protein, SNF, lactose, MUN) of unhomogenized milk using the visible and near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic technique. A total of 180 milk samples were collected from dairy farms. To determine optimal measurement temperature, the temperatures of the milk samples were kept at three levels ($5^{\circ}C$, $20^{\circ}C$, and $40^{\circ}C$). A spectrophotometer was used to measure the reflectance spectra of the milk samples. Multilinear-regression (MLR) models with stepwise method were developed for the selection of the optimal wavelength. The preprocessing methods were used to minimize the spectroscopic noise, and the partial-least-square (PLS) models were developed to prediction of the milk properties of the unhomogenized milk. The PLS results showed that there was a good correlation between the predicted and measured milk properties of the samples at $40^{\circ}C$ and at 400~2,500 nm. The optimal-wavelength range of fat and protein were 1,600~1,800 nm, and normalization improved the prediction performance. The SNF and lactose were optimized at 1,600~1,900 nm, and the MUN at 600~800 nm. The best preprocessing method for SNF, lactose, and MUN turned out to be smoothing, MSC, and second derivative. The Correlation coefficients between the predicted and measured fat, protein, SNF, lactose, and MUN were 0.98, 0.90, 0.82, 0.75, and 0.61, respectively. The study results indicate that the models can be used to assess milk quality.

Variey Discrimination of Sorghum-Sudangrass Hybrids Seed Using near Infrared Spectroscopy (근적외선분광법을 이용한 수수×수단그라스 교잡종 종자의 품종 판별)

  • Lee, Ki-Won;Song, Yowook;Kim, Ji Hye;Rahman, Md Atikur;Oh, Mirae;Park, Hyung Soo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.259-264
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility of discrimination 12 different cultivar of sorghum × sudangrass hybrid (Sorghum genus) seed through near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS). The amount of samples for develop to the best discriminant equation was 360. Whole samples were applied different three spectra range (visible, NIR and full range) within 680-2500 nm wavelength and the spectrastar 2500 Near near infrared was used to measure spectra. The calibration equation for discriminant analysis was developed partial least square (PLS) regression and discrimination equation (DE) analysis. The PLS discriminant analysis model for three spectra range developed with mathematic pretreatment 1,8,8,1 successfully discriminated 12 different sorghum genus. External validation indicated that all samples were discriminated correctly. The whole discriminant accuracy shown 82 ~ 100 % in NIR full range spectra. The results demonstrated the usefulness of NIRS combined with chemometrics as a rapid method for discrimination of sorghum × sudangrass hybrid cultivar through seed.

The study of nondestructive method for measuring the acidity of the recent record paper in Hanji by using FT-NIR spectroscopy and Integrating sphere (푸리에 변환 근적외선 분광분석기(FT-NIR)와 적분구를 이용한 근대 한지 기록물의 산성도 비파괴 평가방법에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Yong-Min;Park, Soung-Be;Kim, Chan-Bong;Lee, Seong-Uk;Cho, Won-Bo;Kim, Hyo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of study has to analyze with non destructive method for researching the tool that could be measured with the status of record written on Hanji speedily. Because the original record should be destructed for analyzing with previous method in the case of the paper record, it was to develop the tool based on non destructive method for overcoming such limit. The study was used with FT NIR (Fourier transform NIR) for analyzing the Hanji for being written and preserved. The FT NIR spectrometer that of NIR spectrometer has the better performance of precision and accuracy than dispersive NIR spectrometer was used. Also the wavelength of FT-NIR was measured with 12,500 to 4,000 $cm^{-1}$, and the integrating sphere as diffuse reflectance type was used for analyzing Hanji. The moisture and acidity (pH) of chemical factors as quality evaluated factor of Hanji was studied for the correlation of NIR spectrum. And then The NIR spectrum was pretreated for showing the coefficients of optimum correlation. MSC and First derivative of Savitzky - Golay was used as pretreated method, and the coefficients of optimum correlation were shown by PLSR(Partial least square regression). And the coefficients of optimum correlation were calculated by PLSR(Partial least square regression). The correlation coefficients of acidity had 0.92 on NIR spectra without pretreatment. Also the SEP of acidity was 0.24. And then The NIR spectra with pretreatment would have more good correlation coefficients ($R^2=0.98$) and more good SEP(=019) on acidity. Therefore the data of correlation coefficients ($R^2$) and SEP with pretreatment was shown to be superior. And NIR spectra data of first derivative had best linearity on the correlation coefficients ($R^2=0.99$) and also SEP(=0.45) was superior. Therefore the correlation coefficients and SEP of first derivative had better than those of NIR spectra of no pretreatment. As such result, it was possible to evaluate the record status of Hanji speedily with integrated sphere and NIR analyzer as non destructive method.

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On the Modification of a Classical Higher-order Shear Deformation Theory to Improve the Stress Prediction of Laminated Composite Plates (적층평판의 응력해석 향상을 위한 고전적 고차전단변형이론의 개선)

  • Kim, Jun-Sik;Han, Jang-Woo;Cho, Maeng-Hyo
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, an systematic approach is presented, in which the mixed variational theorem is employed to incorporate independent transverse shear stresses into a classical higher-order shear deformation theory(HSDT). The HSDT displacement field is taken to amplify the benefits of using a classical shear deformation theory such as simple and straightforward calculation and numerical efficiency. Those independent transverse shear stresses are taken from the fifth-order polynomial-based zig-zag theory where the fourth-order transverse shear strains can be obtained. The classical displacement field and independent transverse shear stresses are systematically blended via the mixed variational theorem. Resulting strain energy expressions are named as an enhanced higher-order shear deformation theory via mixed variational theorem(EHSDTM). The EHSDTM possess the same computational advantage as the classical HSDT while allowing for improved through-the-thickness stress and displacement variations via the post-processing procedure. Displacement and stress distributions obtained herein are compared to those of the classical HSDT, three-dimensional elasticity, and available data in literature.

Measurements on the Propagation Path Loss Exponent at Maritime VHF Channel Using Single Carrier Signal (단일 반송파를 이용한 해상 VHF 채널의 전파 경로 감쇠 지수 측정)

  • Kim, Seung-Geun;Kim, Sea-Moon;Yun, Changho;Lim, Yong-Kon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.1450-1456
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    • 2015
  • The received signal strengths according to the propagation distance between a transmitting shore station with a 53 m antenna hight and a receiving ship station with about 6m antenna hight from 700 m upto about 20 km are measured at ship's moving velocity of $5{\pm}1m/s$ using a single carrier signal at 150.0625MHz. In this paper, the path loss exponents at the propagation distance from 700 m to 20km are estimated via minimum-mean-square-error method using the measurements of the received signal strength, and the mean of the estimated path loss exponent become 3.79. The estimated propagation path loss exponents is similar to that calculated based on the field-strength values from 2 km to 20 km in Annex 2 of ITU-R P.1546-4, which is measuring results at maritime VHF at 100 MHz carrier frequency. Therefore, the estimated propagation path loss exponent shall be used as the expected path loss exponents for summer in costal area of South Sea of Korea.