• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최대우도추정량

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변량추출비 관리도에서 이상원인 발생 시점의 추정

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Park, Chang-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2003
  • 이 논문에서는 Samuel, Pignatiello와 Calvin(1998)이 제안한 ${\overline{X}}$ 관리도에서 이상원인 발생시점에 대한 최대우도추정량에 기초하여 변량표본크기(VSS) ${\overline{X}}$ 관리도를 수행하는 경우에 사용할 수 있는 최대우도추정량을 제안한다. 또한 제안된 최대우도추정량을 이용하여 이상원인 발생 시점에 대한 신뢰구간을 설정하였다.

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Comparison of Step-Wise and Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimations on Cell Probabilities of Contingency Table (단계별로 얻어진 이차원 분할표의 모수 추정을 위한 정확최대우도추정법과 단계별추출추정법의 비교)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Kang, Kee-Hoon;Jeung, Seok-O;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2010
  • In multinomial scheme with step-wise sampling, maximum likelihood estimates of multinomial probabilities are improved when some frequencies are merged. In this study, for cell probabilities in a I by J independent contingency tables, exact MLE and step-wise estimation methods are applied and the results are compared using MSE and Bias.

Comparisons of the Performance with Bayes Estimator and MLE for Control Charts Based on Geometric Distribution (기하분포에 기초한 관리도에서 베이즈추정량과 최대우도추정량 사용의 성능 비교)

  • Hong, Hwiju;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.907-920
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    • 2015
  • Charts based on geometric distribution are effective to monitor the proportion of nonconforming items in high-quality processes where the in-control proportion nonconforming is low. The implementation of this chart is often based on the assumption that in-control proportion nonconforming is known or accurately estimated. However, accurate parameter estimation is very difficult and may require a larger sample size than that available in practice for high-quality process where the proportion of nonconforming items is very small. An inaccurate estimate of the parameter can result in estimated control limits that cause unreliability in the monitoring process. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often used to estimate in-control proportion nonconforming. In this paper, we recommend a Bayes estimator for the in-control proportion nonconforming to incorporate practitioner knowledge and avoid estimation issues when no nonconforming items are observed in the Phase I sample. The effects of parameter estimation on the geometric chart and the geometric CUSUM chart are considered when the MLE and the Bayes estimator are used. The results show that chart performance with estimated control limits based on the Bayes estimator is generally better than that based on the MLE.

Sparse Matrix Computation in Mixed Effects Model (희소행렬 계산과 혼합모형의 추론)

  • Son, Won;Park, Yong-Tae;Kim, Yu Kyeong;Lim, Johan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we study an approximate procedure to evaluate a penalized maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a mixed effects model. The procedure approximates the Hessian matrix of the penalized MLE with a structured sparse matrix or an arrowhead type matrix to speed its computation. In this paper, we numerically investigate the gain in computation time as well as approximation error from the considered approximation procedure.

희박다항분포확률에 대한 국소최대우도 추정량

  • Baek, Jang-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2002
  • $p=(p_{}1,p_{2},{\cdots},p_{k})^{T}$의 확률벡터를 가진 다항분포로부터 관측된 칸 돗수(cell frequency) 벡터가 $N=(N_{1},N_{2},{\cdots},N_{k})^{T}$이며 ${\sum}{\limits}_{j=1}^{k}N_{j}=n$이라 하자. 총돗수 n이 칸의 총갯수 k에 비하여 상대적으로 매우 작을 때 이러한 이산형 자료를 희박다항분포자료(sparse multinomial data)라 한다. 이러한 희박다항분포자료의 칸들이 순서화 되어 있을 때 우리는 i번째 칸의 확률 $p_{i}$를 돗수 추정량 $N_{j}/n$ 들을 평활함으로써 추정 할 수 있다. Aerts, et al.(1997)과 Baek(1998) 등에 의해 제안된 국소최소제곱기준에 근거한 국소다항커널추정량은 희박점근일치성의 좋은 성질을 가짐에도 불구하고 확률추정지가 음수값을 가질 수 있는 단점을 내포하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 국소최대우도 기준에 근거한 새로운 커널추정량을 제안하고, 그것의 점근적 성질을 연구하였다.

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Analysis of the Frailty Model with Many Ties (동측치가 많은 FRAILTY 모형의 분석)

  • Kim Yongdai;Park Jin-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2005
  • Most of the previously proposed methods for the frailty model do not work well when there are many tied observations. This is partly because the empirical likelihood used is not suitable for tied observations. In this paper, we propose a new method for the frailty model with many ties. The proposed method obtains the posterior distribution of the parameters using the binomial form empirical likelihood and Bayesian bootstrap. The proposed method yields stable results and is computationally fast. To compare the proposed method with the maximum marginal likelihood approach, we do simulations.

An Estimation of Parameters in Weibull Distribution Using Least Squares Method under Random Censoring Model (임의 중단모형에서 최소제곱법을 이용한 와이블분포의 모수 추정)

  • Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 1996
  • In this parer, under random censorship model, an estimation of scale and shape parameters in Weibull lifetime model is considered. Based on nonparametric estimator of survival function, the least square method is proposed. The proposed estimation method is simple and the performance of the proposed estimator is as efficient as maximum likelihood estimators. An example is presented, using field winding data. Simulation studies are performed to compare the performaces of the proposed estimator and maximum likelihood estimator.

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A Bayes Linear Estimator for Multi-proprotions Randomized Response Model (무관질문형 다지확률응답모형에서의 베이즈 선형추정량에 관한 연구)

  • 박진우
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 1993
  • A Bayesian approach is suggested to the multi-proportions randomized response model. O'Hagan's (1987) Bayes linear estimator is extended to the inference of unrelated question-type randomized response model. Also some numerical comparisons are provided to show the performance of the Bayes linear estimator under the Dirichlet prior.

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Parameter estimation for exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring (지수 분포를 따르는 점진 제1종 구간 중도절단표본에서 모수 추정)

  • Shin, Hye-Jung;Lee, Kwang-Ho;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduce a method of parameter estimation of progressive Type I interval censored sample and progressive type II censored sample. We propose a new parameter estimation method, that is converting the data which obtained by progressive type I interval censored, those data be used to estimate of the parameter in progressive type II censored sample. We used exponential distribution with unknown scale parameter, the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter calculates from the two methods. A simulation is conducted to compare two kinds of methods, it is found that the proposed method obtains a better estimate than progressive Type I interval censoring method in terms of mean square error.

Threshold estimation for the composite lognormal-GPD models (로그-정규분포와 파레토 합성 분포의 임계점 추정)

  • Kim, Bobae;Noh, Jisuk;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.807-822
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    • 2016
  • The composite lognormal-GPD models (LN-GPD) enjoys both merits from log-normality for the body of distribution and GPD for the thick tailedness of the observation. However, in the estimation perspective, LN-GPD model performs poorly due to numerical instability. Therefore, a two-stage procedure, that estimates threshold first then estimates other parameters later, is a natural method to consider. This paper considers five nonparametric threshold estimation methods widely used in extreme value theory and compares their performance in LN-GPD parameter estimation. A simulation study reveals that simultaneous maximum likelihood estimation performs good in threshold estimation, but very poor in tail index estimation. However, the nonparametric method performs good in tail index estimation, but introduced bias in threshold estimation. Our method is illustrated to the service time of an Israel bank call center and shows that the LN-GPD model fits better than LN or GPD model alone.