• Title/Summary/Keyword: 체계적 위험

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The Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Design Flood in Mihochen basin based on the Representative Concentration Pathway Climate Change Scenario (RCP 기후변화시나리오를 이용한 기후변화가 미호천 유역의 설계홍수량에 미치는 영향평가)

  • Kim, Byung Sik;Ha, Sung Ryong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2013
  • Recently, Due to Climate change, extreme rainfall occurs frequently. In many preceding studies, Because of extreme hydrological events changes, it is expected that peak flood Magnitude and frequency of drainage infrastructures changes. However, at present, probability rainfall in the drainage facilities design is assumed to Stationary which are not effected from climate change and long-term fluctuation. In the future, flood control safety standard should be reconsidered about the valid viewpoint. In this paper, in order to assess impact of climate change on drainage system, Future climate change information has been extracted from RCP 8.5 Climate Change Scenario for IPCC AR5, then estimated the design rainfall for various durations at return periods. Finally, the design flood estimated through the HEC-HMS Model which is being widely used in the practices, estimated the effect of climate change on the Design Flood of Mihochen basin. The results suggested that the Design Flood increase by climate change. Due to this, the Flood risk of Mihochen basin can be identified to increase comparing the present status.

A Comparison Study of Foreign Nation's Risk Management Programs for Controlling Foodborne Pathogens (제외국 식중독균 위해관리 정책 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Kyung;Shin, Seong-Gyun;Kwak, No-Seong;Cho, Yoon-Hee;Kwak, Hyo-Sun;Park, Il-Kyu
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.6-15
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    • 2014
  • This study was performed to acquire the information on the foodborne pathogen risk management programs in a couple of developed countries by the expert meeting and searching the information on the web. The backgrounds, strategies and effects related to microbial hazards of the foodborne pathogen reduction programs in fresh produce (US), Escherichia coli O157:H7 in ground beef (US), Salmonella in chicken, pork and eggs (Denmark), and Vibrio parahaemolyticus in seafood (Japan) were investigated for case study. A comparison among the pathogen reduction programs was conducted to find advantages and disadvantages and implications of the policies to bring out implications of the programs. A model for foodborne pathogen reduction program was developed based on both the CODEX risk management scheme and the case studies as follows; 1) preliminary risk management activities, 2) planing a foodborne pathogen reduction program, 3) option identification and selection, 4) implementation (conducting the each stake-holders role and applying the intervention methods), 5) monitoring activities, 6) interim review, 7) continuation or amendment of implementation method by the interim review before achieving the goal, and 8) final review and additional cost-benefit analysis if necessary. This proposed model according to the role of the stake-holders can be used to conduct microbial risk management programs in Korea in the near future.

Reviewing geology and groundwater change in a fault zone caused by tunnel construction (터널공사에 의한 단층대 지역의 지질 및 지하수 변화 분석)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Lee, Chung-Mo;Lim, Woo-Ri;Yun, Sul-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.466-466
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    • 2017
  • 지하공간의 개발과 지하공간의 굴착으로 인한 지표수 및 지하수 시스템의 변화나 굴착면 주위의 지하수 유동 체계의 변화는 터널내로의 지하수 유입, 지표수 고갈을 가져온다. 또한 터널 상부의 지반에서 현지응력의 변화로 인한 지하수 유출은 지표침하, 하천수 및 계곡수 고갈을 발생시킬 수 있다. 그러나, 터널설계 시 비용 및 시간, 현장의 진입조건 등의 제약으로 상세한 지반조사의 실시가 이루어지지 않을 때가 있다. 또한, 터널 공사가 진행되는 중에는 공사기간과 공사비 때문에 별도의 지반조사를 하지 않는다. 그 대신에 터널 막장에서 실시하는 Face Mapping을 토대로 공사를 진행하며, 대규모 위험요소가 발견되지 않는 이상 별도의 비용과 시간을 투입하여 추가 지질 및 지반 조사를 실시하는 경우는 매우 드물다. 연구지역의 지질은 경상분지내 백악기 하양층군의 퇴적암류, 이를 관입/분출한 불국사화강암류 및 제3기 화산암류, 전기 에오세 연일층군에 대비되는 퇴적암류로 구성되어 있다. 이들을 피복하는 제4기 충적 퇴적층은 주로 단층곡과 동측 지괴의 선상지 및 하천을 따라 분포한다. 연구지역에는 폭 100 m 이상의 대규모 단층대가 발달하였으며 제4기 단층운동으로 인한 단층파쇄대가 존재한다. 퇴적암 분포지역에서는 반복층서가 관찰되며 소규모 단층, 단열, 변형띠 등이 연속적으로 발달해 있다. 본 연구에서는 터널공사에 의한 지하수 변화를 확인하기 위하여 현장추적자 시험과 수질분석 및 지하수 모델링을 실시하였다. 현장 수질 분석에 의한 지표수와 지하수 간의 수질의 차이를 보면, 알칼리도를 제외한 대부분의 수질 항목이 서로 유사성을 보인다. 전기전도도(EC), TDS, 알칼리도의 경우 지표수의 수원지에서 터널 내부로 유입이 일어나고 있다. 이는 터널 공사의 영향으로 판단되며, 현장에서 실시한 추적자 시험에서는 추적자의 이동 시간이 매우 빨라 지표 수원지로부터 지표수가 터널내부로 빠른 속도(10시간 이내)로 유입된다고 판단된다. 지하수 모델링 결과, 정상류 상태에서는 지하수가 북동쪽의 높은 고도에서 서남쪽의 낮은 고도로 흐르는 것으로 확인되며, 가뭄시에도 지하수 함양으로 지하수가 고갈되지는 않는 것으로 나타났다. 부정류 상태 모델링 결과, 일일 평균 $32.49m^3$의 지하수가 터널 내부로 유입되는 것으로 산정되었다. 이 양은 터널 내부뿐만 아니라 터널 공사 현장 주위로도 지하수 유출이 일어나고 있음을 지시한다.

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A Study on Maturity Model of Information Integration System (정보연계 시스템의 성숙도 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Hyodong;Lee, Ook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.570-578
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    • 2019
  • In this era of big data, a variety of government organizations are trying to create new added value via Information Integration. Therefore, several projects related to government agencies' information sharing have activated system connection/integration. The risk factors of system operation, however, have increased as the volume of Information Integration System grows. The interference in information sharing is predicted to affect the operation of the agencies, and the issue will grow even worse with massive impact on civil society when the agency operation is interrupted due to system failures in terms of infrastructure, software, data quality, and security. Diverse studies related to the maintenance of Information System have been conducted, but there is currently no evaluation framework for the operational system of Information Integration between various government agencies. In this respect, this study distinguishes each of the Information System components, Data, IT, People, Process, systematizes with Plan-Do-See, and finally presents a maturity model for Information Integration. Nine derived processes were analyzed through interview and questionnaires from Information Integration System officials, further suggesting maturity stage applying CMMI. This model allows diagnosis of the maturity level of an Information Integration System, and is expected to be utilized as resource for improving organizational processes.

A Study on the Urban Inundation Flooding Forecasting According to the Water Level Conditions (내수위 조건에 따른 도시내수침수 예보에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai-ho;Choo, Yean-moon;Jeon, Hae-seong;Gwon, Chang-heon;Lee, Jae-gyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2019
  • The frequency of natural disasters and the scale of damage are increasing due to the abnormal weather phenomenon occurring all over the world. As a result, as the hydrological aspect of the urban watershed changes, the increase in impervious area leads to serious domestic flood damage due to increased rainfall. In order to minimize the damage of life and property, domestic flooding prediction system is needed. In this study, we developed a flood nomogram capable of predicting flooding only by rainfall intensity and duration. This study suggests a method to set the internal water immersion alarm criterion by analyzing the characteristics of the flooding damage in the flooded area in the metropolitan area where flooding is highly possible and the risk of flooding is high. In addition, based on the manhole and the pipe, the water level was set as follows under the four conditions. 1) When manhole overflows, 2) when manhole is full, 3) when 70% of the pipe is reached, and 4) when 60% of the pipe is reached. Therefore, it can be used as a criterion and a predictive measure to cope with the pre-preparation before the flooding starts, through the rainfall that causes the flooding and the flooding damage.

Extracting Risk Factors and Analyzing AHP Importance for Planning Phase of Real Estate Development Projects in Myanmar (미얀마 부동산 개발형사업 기획단계의 리스크 요인 추출 및 AHP 중요도 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyong;Chung, Jaihoon;Yang, Jinkook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2021
  • Myanmar is an undeveloped country with high development value among Asian countries. Therefore, various countries including the U.S. are considering entering the market. In this respect, demand for real estate development project is forecast to grow on increased inflow of foreigners and Myanmar's economic growth. However, Myanmar is a high-risk country in terms of overseas companies, including national risk. In this study, we conducted an in-depth interview with experts (law, finance, technology, and local experts) after analyzing data on Myanmar to extract risk-causing factors. Through this, 106 risk factors were extracted, and the final risk classification system was established by conducting three-time groupings using the affinity diagramming. And the relative importance of each factor was presented using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technique. As a result, the country-related risk, the fund-related risk, and the pre-sale-related risk were highly important. The research results are expected to provide risk management standards to companies entering the Myanmar real estate development type project.

A Comparative Study on Policies of Elderly Abuse in the Long-Term Care Facilities on WHO, Main countries (장기요양시설내 노인학대 대응정책에 관한 연구: WHO 및 주요국의 정책 비교를 중심으로)

  • Moon, yongpil;Lee, hoyong
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.67-95
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    • 2017
  • This study compared policies of elderly abuse of long-term care facilities on WHO, Main countries for improvement of Korean policy. So, This study reviewed policies of elderly abuse of long-term care facilities on WHO, Main countries. So, This study reviewed risk factors that may increase the potential for abuse of an older person can be identified at individual level, care-woker levels, socio-cultural levels and facilities levels. The results of the study were as follows: First, The openness of long-term care facilities are emphasized on many countries. There are a need for a policy considerations such as policies of Ombudsman, Adult guardianship for visiting facilities, external monitoring. Second, There was a difference of facilities infrastructure and workers of treatment condition long-term care facilities each other countries. So It is important to improve facilities infrastructure and workers of treatment condition. Third, It is necessary to consider traits of elderly in long-term care facilities. Especially, it is required to manage dementia elderly and elderly on night time in long-term care facilities. Finally, implications and future directions of policies of elderly abuse of long-term care facilities were discussed based on the finding of the study.

Low-Flow Frequency Analysis and Drought Outlook in Water Districts Under Climate Change Scenarios : A Case Study of Gimcheon-si, Korea (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 용수구역 기반 소구역의 가뭄전망 및 갈수빈도해석 : 김천시 지역을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jieun;Lee, Baesung;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.14-26
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    • 2021
  • Increase of climate variability due to climate change has paved the way for regional drought monitoring and outlook. In particular, Gimcheon-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do, is suffering from frequent and periodic drought damage as the frequency and magnitude of drought are increasing due to climate change. For this reason, it is necessary to analyze drought characteristics for sub-districts based on water district and calculate the basic low-flow considering climate change. In this study, meteorological and hydrological drought outlook were carried out for 8 sub-districts considering the water supply system and regional characteristics of Gimcheon-si according to various climate change scenarios. In addition, the low-flow frequency analysis for the near future was also performed using the total amount of runoff and the low-flow. The overall results indicated that, meteorological droughts were found to be dangerous in the S0(1974~2019) period and hydrological droughts would be dangerous in the S2(2041~2070) period for RCP 4.5 and in S3(2071~2099) period for RCP 8.5. The results of low-flow frequency analysis indicated that future runoff would increase but drought magnitude and frequency would increase further. The results and methodology may be useful for preparing local governments' drought measures and design standards for local water resources facilities.

Spectrum Analysis and Detection of Ships Based on Aerial Hyperspectral Remote Sensing Experiments (항공 초분광 원격탐사 실험 기반 선박 스펙트럼 분석 및 탐지)

  • Jae-Jin Park;Kyung-Ae Park;Tae-Sung Kim;Moonjin Lee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.214-223
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    • 2024
  • The recent increase in maritime traffic and coastal leisure activities has led to a rise in various marine accidents. These incidents not only result in damage to human life and property but also pose a significant risk of marine pollution involving oil and hazardous and noxious substances (HNS) spills. Therefore, effective ship monitoring is crucial for preparing and for responding to marine accidents. This study conducted an aerial experiment utilizing hyperspectral remote sensing to develop a maritime ship monitoring system. Hyperspectral aerial measurements were carried out around Gungpyeong Port in the western coastal region of the Korean Peninsula, and spectral libraries were constructed for various ship decks. The spectral correlation similarity (SCS) technique was employed for ship detection, analyzing the spatial similarity distribution between hyperspectral images and ship spectra. As a result, 15 ships were detected in the hyperspectral images. The color of each ship's deck was classified based on the highest spectral similarity. The detected ships were verified by matching them with high-resolution digital mapping camera (DMC) images. This foundational study on the application of aerial hyperspectral sensors for maritime ship detection demonstrates their potential role in future remote sensing-based ship monitoring systems.

Beginning of the Meteorological Satellite: The First Meteorological Satellite TIROS (기상위성의 태동: 최초의 기상위성 TIROS)

  • Ahn, Myoung-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 2012
  • Recently released a top secret document explicitly shows that the early development plan for an earth observation satellite in the USA has a hidden and more important purpose for a concept of 'free space' than the scientific purpose. At that time, the hidden and secret concept imbedded within the early space development plan prevail other national policies of the USA government for purpose of the national security. Under these circumstances, it is quite reasonable to accept a possibility that the meteorological satellites which play a key role in the every area of meteorology and climatology was also born for the hidden purposes. Even it is so, it is quite amazing that the first meteorological satellite is launched in the USA despite of the facts that the major users of the meteorological satellites were not very enthusiastic with the meteorological satellite and the program was not started as a formal meteorological satellite project. This was only possible because of the external socio-political impact caused by the successful launch of the Russian Sputnik satellite and a few key policy developers who favored the meteorological satellite program. It is also interesting to note that the beginning of the first Korean meteorological satellite program was initiated by a similar socio-political influence occurred by the launch of a North Korean satellite.