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Prediction of the interest spread using VAR model (벡터자기회귀모형에 의한 금리스프레드의 예측)

  • Kim, Junhong;Jin, Dalae;Lee, Jisun;Kim, Suji;Son, Young Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1093-1102
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we predicted the interest spread using the VAR (vector autoregressive) model. Variables used in the VAR model were selected among 56 domestic and foreign macroeconomic time series through crosscorrelation and Granger causality test. The performance of the VAR model was compared with the univariate time series model, AR (autoregressive) model, in view of MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) and RMSE (root mean square error) of forecasts for the last twelve months.

The estimation of winning rate in Korean professional baseball league (한국 프로야구의 승률 추정)

  • Kim, Soon-Kwi;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.653-661
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we provide a suitable optimal exponent in the generalized Pythagorean theorem and propose to use the logistic model & the probit model to estimate the winning rate in Korean professional baseball league. Under a criterion of root-mean-square-error (RMSE), the efficiencies of the proposed models have been compared with those of the Pythagorean theorem. We use the team historic win-loss records of Korean professional baseball league from 1982 to the first half of 2015, and the proposed methods show slight outperformances over the generalized Pythagorean method under the criterion of RMSE.

Performance Analysis of Various Forward Solvers in Electrical Impedance Tomography (전기 임피던스 단층촬영 기법에서 여러 정문제 해법들에 대한 성능 비교분석)

  • Kim, Bong Seok;Kim, Kyung Youn
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.407-414
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    • 2015
  • Electrical impedance tomography is an imaging technique to reconstruct the internal conductivity distribution based on applied small currents and measured voltages through an array of electrodes attached on the boundary of a domain of interest. In this paper, an analytical solver with complete electrode model is derived and the analytical voltage data are calculated. Moreover, the voltage data are also computed with existing numerical solvers such as finite element method and boundary element method. The forward solutions using homogeneous and inhomogeneous conditions are compared with phantom experiments through the root mean square errors.

Flow Velocity and Mass Measurement Sensor of Constant Temperature Type (정온도형 유속 및 유량 측정센서)

  • Park, Se-Kwang;Kim, Hyoung-Pyo
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 1992
  • A constant temperature type of flow sensor using a solid state micromachining technology was developed for measuring the velocity of gas or liquid. It was designed to detect only the heat convection related to flow velocity. Other heat transfer terms and common mode interferences are canceled by differentiating both reference and exposed flow sensor. It employs the principle that the change of current through the sensing element can be used to measure the flow velocity. An experimental study of the behavior on this flow sensor was performed in a narrow tube(diameter : 8mm) for city water. The relation between power consumption of the flow sensor and square-root of flow velocity is almost linear in the low velocity range(0-200 cm/sec).

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Cu Via-Filling Characteristics with Rotating-Speed Variation of the Rotating Disc Electrode for Chip-stack-package Applications (칩 스택 패키지에 적용을 위한 Rotating Disc Electrode의 회전속도에 따른 Cu Via Filling 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Kwang-Yong;Oh, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2007
  • For chip-stack package applications, Cu filling characteristics into trench vias of $75{\sim}10\;{\mu}m$ width and 3 mm length were investigated with variations of the electroplating current density and the speed of a rotating disc electrode (RDE). Cu filling characteristics into trench vias were improved with increasing the RDE speed. There was a Nernst relationship between half width of trench vias of Cu filling ratio higher than 95% and the minimum RDE speed, and the half width of trenches with 95% Cu filling ratio was linearly proportional to the reciprocal of root of the minimum RED speed.

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Radical Polymerization of Methyl Methacrylate with Tricaprylmethylammonium Chloride (Tricaprylmethylammonium Chloride에 의한 Methyl Methacrylate의 라디칼 중합)

  • Park, Sang-Wook;Moon, Jin-Bok;Ha, Yoo-Su;Kim, Jong-Hyeon
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.300-307
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    • 1993
  • The phase-transfer polymerization of methyl methacrylate with tricaprylmethylammonium chloride-$Na_2S_2O_4-CCl_4$ initiator system was investigated in an aqueous-organic two-phase system. The observed rates of polymerization were compared with those obtained from the polymerization mechanism proposed with a cyclic phase-transfer initiation step. The rate of polymerization was found to be proportional to the concentration of $Q^+$ and square root of ${S_2O_4}^{-2}$ in the aqueous solution and the feed quantity of $CCl_4$ and MMA.

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진공증착법으로 제작한 $AgGaSe_2$ 박막의 구조 및 광학적 특성

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Yun, Eun-Jeong;Han, Dong-Heon;Park, Chang-Yeong;Lee, Jong-Deok;Kim, Geon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2011.08a
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    • pp.276-276
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    • 2011
  • 진공증착법으로 ITO (indium-tin-oxide) 기판 위에 $AgGaSe_2$ 박막을 성장시켜 그 구조와 광학적 특성을 조사하였다. X-선 회절 분석에 의하여 살창상수는 a=5.97 ${\AA}$와 c=10.88 ${\AA}$이고, 황동광(chalcopyrite) 구조를 하고 있었으며, 그 성장 방향은 (112)방향으로 선택 성장됨을 알 수 있었다. 증착된 박막과 200~400$^{\circ}C$로 열처리한 박막의 실온에서 측정한 광학적인 에너지 띠 간격은 2.02 eV에서 2.28 eV까지 변하였다. 또한 열린회로로 구성되어 있는 시료의 표면에 광 펄스를 주입하여 표면에서 형성된 전하들의 거동을 광유기 방전 특성(PIDC) 방법을 이용하여 조사하였다. 초기전위 V0로 형성된 시료의 양단을 주행하는 운반자 농도, 전류밀도 및 전기장 효과를 관찰하여 운반자의 주행시간, 이동도 그리고 전하운반자 농도를 계산한 결과는 각각 42 ${\mu}s$~81 ${\mu}s$, $1.9{\times}10^{-1}\;cm^2/Vs$~$5.7{\times}10^{-2}\;cm^2/Vs$ 그리고 약 $6.0{\times}10^{17}/cm^3$~$2.0{\times}10^{18}/cm^3$이었으며, p-형 전도를 나타내었다. 원자 힘 현미경 실험으로 제곱평균제곱근 거칠기와 입계크기를 조사하였으며, X-선 광전자 분광실험으로 원소들의 결합상태를 관찰하였다.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques(l ) - On the method of L-moments- (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정(II) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among applied distributions. Regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the legions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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History of Fan Ji and Yi Ji (번적과 익적의 역사)

  • Hong, Sung-Sa;Hong, Young-Hee;Chang, Hye-Won
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2005
  • In Chinese Mathematics, Jia Xian(要憲) introduced Zeng cheng kai fang fa(增乘開方法) to get approximations of solutions of Polynomial equations which is a generalization of square roots and cube roots in Jiu zhang suan shu. The synthetic divisions in Zeng cheng kai fang fa give ise to two concepts of Fan il(飜積) and Yi il(益積) which were extensively used in Chosun Dynasty Mathematics. We first study their history in China and Chosun Dynasty and then investigate the historical fact that Chosun mathematicians Nam Byung Gil(南秉吉) and Lee Sang Hyuk(李尙爀) obtained the sufficient conditions for Fan il and Yi il for quadratic equations and proved them in the middle of 19th century.

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LSTM-based Particulate Matter prediction for efficient road scattering dust removal path proposal (효율적인 도로 비산먼지 제거 경로 제안을 위한 LSTM 기반 미세먼지 예측)

  • Lim, DongJin;Kim, Taehong;Lee, Ryong;Jung, Hanmin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.1258-1261
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    • 2017
  • 1급 발암물질인 미세먼지 중 44.3%를 차지하고 있는 도로 비산먼지는 효과적인 미세먼지 농도 저감 대책의 방안 중 하나이다. 도로 비산먼지 제거는 일반적으로 특수 차량을 이용, 정해진 경로와 주기에 따라 운행된다. 이러한 운행방식은 도로의 오염 현황에 따른 효과적 경로 선정 및 운영이 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 도로 비산먼지 제거의 효율적인 경로 제안을 위해 대구지역에 분포된 KISTI 이동형 도시센싱 테스트베드에서 수집되는 고해상도의 실시간 지역별 오염 현황 데이터를 활용하여 실시간 오염도를 분석하고, LSTM(LONG SHORT-TERM MEMORY) 알고리즘을 활용하여 미래의 미세먼지 농도를 예측하였다. 기존 연구와 달리 지역별 상황을 고려한 데이터를 사용하여 선형 회귀 분석을 수행하였다. 실험 결과, 시간 속성을 고려한 LSTM이 MLP 보다 평균 제곱근 오차 값이 경우에 따라 최대 30% 더 작음을 확인했다. 본 연구를 기반으로 고해상도 사물 데이터 기반 예측 연구의 가능성을 보였으며, 미세먼지 예측 결과를 활용 유연하고 효과적인 도로 청소차량의 운행 경로를 설정에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.