• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• v.13 no.3_4
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• pp.95-104
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• 1998

INTRODUCTION : Arsenic is a ubiquitous element present in various compounds throughout the earth's crust. The use of arsenic compounds increased greatly during the 18th and 19th centuries, including its use in pigments and dyes, as a preservative of animal hides, in glass manufacture, agricultural pesticides, and various pharmaceutical substances. The causal association between human arsenic exposure, usually in the form of inorganic compounds containing trivalent arsenite (As$^{III}$) or pentavalent arsenate (As$^V$), and various forms of human cancer has been known for many years.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.359-398
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• 2017

Uncertainty is central to energy and climate policy. A growing number of literature show that almost all components of energy and climate models are, to some extent, uncertain and that the effect of uncertainty on the model outputs, in turn policy recommendations, is significantly large. Most existing energy and climate-economy models developed and used in Korea, however, do not take uncertainty into account explicitly. Rather, many models conduct a deterministic analysis or do a simple (limited) sensitivity analysis. In order to help social planners to make more robust decisions (across various plausible situations) on energy and climate change issues, an uncertainty analysis should be conducted. As a first step, this paper reviews the theory of decision making under uncertainty and the method for addressing uncertainty of existing probabilistic energy and climate-economy models. In addition, the paper proposes a strategy to apply an uncertainty analysis to energy and climate-economy models used in Korea. Applying the uncertainty analysis techniques, this paper revises the FUND model and investigates the impacts of climate change in Korea.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.3-24
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• 2012

Many ecosystems in Korea are currently managed by government organizations. Thus, public managers' decision-making has great influence on the management of ecosystems in Korea, and their decision-making could influence the matter of whether the ecosystems of Korea are managed effectively. This paper regards the goal of management of ecosystems as securing the sustainablilty of target ecosystems, and investigates public managers' decision-making and their psychological attitude on the management of ecosystems. Basically, managerial activities on ecosystems have uncertainties and usually public managers utilize the knowledge of law, science, intergovernmental relations, and local governance as their references for decision-making. To elucidate public managers' managerial decision-making on ecosystems, this paper adopts some psychological theories in explaining the judgment of human beings under uncertainties. Effective ecosystem management by public managers can be judged by how public managers adopt and utilize all of the above mentioned four kinds of knowledge on ecosystem management. An important factor in order to let them utilize the four kinds of knowledge is policy support. Therefore, as conclusion, this paper recommends some relevant policy measures that can support the ecosystem management of public managers.

• Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.141-145
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• 2008

Due to the uncertainties resulting from cost projection, evaluation over long term period, and adequacy of applied discount rate, the economic assessment for back-end fuel cycle is different from each organizations or individuals. In this paper, the features and limitations of some noticeable economic evaluations were investigated and analysed to contribute for the public participation and back-end fuel cycle policy related researches. As a result of analysis, we found that the reprocess and recycling is more economical than direct disposal option, but the result includes high uncertainty that depends on the input parameters.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.66-88
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• 2009

This paper studies optimal discretionary monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty in the housing sector. In particular, we allow two possible regimes regarding the evolution of housing price inflation and the effects of housing price inflation on the aggregate demand. Estimation results with the US data confirm the presence of two distinctive regimes, one 'normal' and the other more akin to the housing price 'bubble' state. The optimal policy is 'asymmetric' in that the optimal responses in the 'normal' regime require the central bank to lean against the wind to inflationary pressure from CPI and housing inflation, while the central bank is recommended to accommodate it in the other regime.

• 전기의세계
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.27-35
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• 1991

전원개발계획은 단독으로 결정되는 것이 아니라 국가경제운용정책 및 에너지 정책과 더불어 전력회사의 요금정책, 부하관리, 재무계획, 전원입지, 송전계통계획 등과 연계되어 결정되어야 한다. 기존의 전원개발계획은 주어진 수요예측안을 이용하여 수요를 기준신뢰도 범위내에서 최소비용으로 만족시킬 수 있도록 전원설비투자를 결정하는 것이었으나 향후로는 부하관리정책을 포함한 수급계획(supply-demand planning)의 수립기법, 미래 수용와 연료 가격등 경제요인의 불확실성 및 환경규제 등의 요인을 감안한 전략계획기법(strategic planning) 그리고 재무계획 등 관련계획 업무를 포함하는 종합계획 모형(corporate planning model)의 구축에 대한 방안을 강구해야 할 것이다.

• Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.158-169
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• 2007

지금까지 인터넷 망의 공개성과 중립성이 콘텐츠와 응용 서비스의 활력과 발전을 가져온 것이 사실이지만, 기술적 측면에서 보면 차별화의 행위 중에는 유익한 면과 시장에 해가 되는 양면성을 지니고 있다. 망중립성 규제의 내용과 범위에 따라 이해관계자의 대응방향을 모의상황을 통해 추정해보고, 정책의 방향을 모색해보는 것은 중요한 의미를 가진다. 모의상황 설정에서 초점을 둔 것은 규제정책의 범위에 따른 상호 거래관계, 혁신기회, 거래비용, 도입비용 등의 동태이다. 결론은 기술의 빠른 발전에 의한 미래의 불확실성이 완벽한 망중립성을 주장하는 것을 어렵게 한다. 한편, 차별화(discrimination)와 차등화(differentiation)의 경제적 의미는 다르지만, 망중립성 규제의 옹호론자들은 두 가지 모두 차별화의 범주에 넣어 규제하려 한다. 이러한 시각의 차이는 논쟁을 핵심으로부터 벗어나게 하는 원인이 되고 있다. 망사업자의 차별화를 제한함에 있어 정책의 올바른 방향은 차별화의 행위가 갖는 유용한 면과 위해한 면의 균형을 이루는 것이 핵심 과제이다.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.165-175
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• 2023

As the reduction of information exposure threats by organization insiders contributes to achieving information security(IS) goals, organizations are establishing strict IS policies applicable to insiders and increasing investment in IS systems. However, since IS incidents cause damage to an organization even by malicious information exposure by one person, psychological support for strengthening IS compliance behavior by insiders. This study aims to confirm how the uncertain organizational environment related to IS affects individual IS-related behavior. We surveyed insiders of organizations operating IS policies and tested the hypothesis using 440 samples. As a result, IS technology and communication uncertainty reduced IS voice behavior through IS prospective anxiety, and individuals' susceptibility to information influence moderated the relationship between IS technology, communication, and prospective anxiety and IS voice behavior. Our results suggest the necessity and direction of supplementing the uncertain IS environment in practice.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.142-142
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• 2001

재고 관리 정책은 크게 정기 점검 재고 정책과 연속 점검 재고 정책의 두 가지로 구분할 수 있다. 정기 점검 재고 정책에는 (R, Q), (R, S), (R, s, S) 등의 재고 정책이 있으며, 연속 재고 점검정책에는 (s, Q), (s, S) 등의 재고 정책이 연구되어 왔다. 공급망 관리는 하나의 기업이 아닌 관련된 모든 기업을 대상으로 하는 기법이며, 급변하는 기업 환경에 적극적으로 대응하고자 많은 기업들이 관심을 기울이고 있는 분야이다. 그리고 공급망 관리의 최종 목적은 고객의 만족도를 최대화시키는 것이다. 일반적으로 재고량과 고객의 만족도는 서로 상반되는 양상을 보인다. 따라서 각 기업에게 있어서 적절한 재고 정책의 수립은 매우 중요한 일이다. 그러나 고객 수요 패턴의 불확실성으로 인하여 공급망의 상위 단계로 갈수록 재고 변동폭이 커지는 양상을 보이는 등 적절한 재고 정책을 수립하는 것은 쉬운 일이 아니다. 더구나 취급 제품이 여러 개일 때는 공급망 전체의 재고 비용을 최소화할 수 있는 각 기업의 최적 재고 정책을 수립하기란 쉽지 않다. 따라서 본 연구는 복수 제품에 대하여 수요 패턴이 불확실한 공급망 모델을 가정하여 전체 공급망의 재고 비용을 최소화할 수 있는 각 기업의 재고 정책을 수립하고자 한다. 추계적인 양상을 보이는 수요 패턴에서 동적 계획법을 이용하여 (s, S) 재고 정책의 적합한 재주문점과 목표 재고점을 찾고, 시뮬레이션을 통해 그 결과를 검증하는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.8
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• pp.691-697
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• 2016

Remanufacturing refers to restoring a used product to an acceptable condition for resale in the market of remanufactured items. In this paper, we deal with the acquisition price and remanufacturing decision for remanufacturing systems in the case where the demand for the remanufactured product in a single period is known and the return quantity of the used product is determined by its acquisition price. The quality of the acquired used product is categorized into two classes, high and low, through inspection and different qualities incur different remanufacturing costs. The probability that the acquired used product is categorized as high class can be a constant or random variable. We derive the expected total cost functions, obtain the optimal solutions, and interpret the managerial meaning of the optimal solution for each case. The sensitivity of the optimal solution with respect to the variation of the inspection cost and uncertainty of the quality of the used product is investigated through numerical examples.