• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정상확률

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A Method to Improve Energy Efficiency Using a Function that Evaluate the Probability of Attempts to Verify a Report at Intermediate Node in USN (USN에서 중간 노드에서의 보고서 검증 시도 확률 평가 함수를 이용한 에너지 효율 향상 기법)

  • Lee, Hyun-Woo;Moon, Soo-Young;Cho, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2011
  • Wireless sensor nodes operate in open environments. The deployed sensor nodes are very vulnerable to physical attacks from outside. Attackers compromise some sensor nodes. The compromised nodes by attackers can lead to false data injection into sensor networks. These attacks deplete the limited energy of sensor nodes. Ye et al. proposed the Statistical En-Route Filtering (SEF) as a countermeasure of the attacks. The sensor node in SEF examines the event reports based on certain uniform probability. Thus, the same energies are consumed in both legitimate reports and false reports. In this paper, we propose a method that each node controls the probability of attempts to verify a report to reduce energy consumption of sensor nodes. The probability is determined in consideration of the remaining energy of the node, the number of hops from the node to SINK node, the ratio of false reports. the proposed method can have security which is similar with SEF and consumes lower energy than SEF.

A Study on Recognition of Korean Continuous Speech using Discrete Duration CHMM. (이산 시간 제어 CHMM을 이용한 한국어 연속 음성 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 김상범
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1994.06c
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    • pp.368-372
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    • 1994
  • 확률적 모델을 이용한 HMM 으로 한국어 연속 음성 인식시스템을 구성하였다. 학습 모델로서는 양자화 DCK가 없는 연속출력 확률밀도를 사용한 연속출력 확률분포 HMM과 과도 구간 및 정상 구간의 시간구조를 충분히 BYGUS할 수 없는 것을 계속시간 확률 파라메터를 추가하여 보완한 이산 지속시간 제어 연속출력 확률분포 HMM을 이용하였다. 인식 알고리즘은 시계열 패턴의 시간축상에서의 비선형 신축을 고려한 에 매칭으로서, 음절의 경계를 자동으로 검출하는 O에을 이용하였다. 실험에서 사용된 연속음성데이타는 4연 숫자음과 연속음성 10문장으로 하였다. 인식 실험 결과 4연 숫자음에서 CHMM은 80.7%, DDCHMM은 92.9%의 인식률을 얻었고, 신문 사설에서 발췌한 연속 음성문장의 경우 CHMM 54.2%, DDCHMM에서는 68.9%을 얻어, 시간장 제어를 고려한 DDCHMM이 CHMM보다 SHB은 인식률을 얻었다.

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Detection of a Bias Level in Prediction Errors due to Input Acceleration (입력 가속에서 비롯된 예측오차 바이어스 레벨의 검출)

  • Shin, Hae-Gon;Hong, Sun-Mog
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 1993
  • In this paper the normalized innovations squared of a Kalman filter is used to detect a bias level in prediction errors due to target accelerations. The probability density function of the normalized innovation squared is obtained for a steady state Kalman filter, and it is used to calculate the detection probability of the bias level. A typical example is given to compute the detection probability and to plot the maneuver detector operating characteristic curves.

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Selection of Climate Indices for Nonstationary Frequency Analysis and Estimation of Rainfall Quantile (비정상성 빈도해석을 위한 기상인자 선정 및 확률강우량 산정)

  • Jung, Tae-Ho;Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Hyeonsik;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2019
  • As a nonstationarity is observed in hydrological data, various studies on nonstationary frequency analysis for hydraulic structure design have been actively conducted. Although the inherent diversity in the atmosphere-ocean system is known to be related to the nonstationary phenomena, a nonstationary frequency analysis is generally performed based on the linear trend. In this study, a nonstationary frequency analysis was performed using climate indices as covariates to consider the climate variability and the long-term trend of the extreme rainfall. For 11 weather stations where the trend was detected, the long-term trend within the annual maximum rainfall data was extracted using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition. Then the correlation between the extracted data and various climate indices was analyzed. As a result, autumn-averaged AMM, autumn-averaged AMO, and summer-averaged NINO4 in the previous year significantly influenced the long-term trend of the annual maximum rainfall data at almost all stations. The selected seasonal climate indices were applied to the generalized extreme value (GEV) model and the best model was selected using the AIC. Using the model diagnosis for the selected model and the nonstationary GEV model with the linear trend, we identified that the selected model could compensate the underestimation of the rainfall quantiles.

Noise-Biased Compensation of Minimum Statistics Method using a Nonlinear Function and A Priori Speech Absence Probability for Speech Enhancement (음질향상을 위해 비선형 함수와 사전 음성부재확률을 이용한 최소통계법의 잡음전력편의 보상방법)

  • Lee, Soo-Jeong;Lee, Gang-Seong;Kim, Sun-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new noise-biased compensation of minimum statistics(MS) method using a nonlinear function and a priori speech absence probability(SAP) for speech enhancement in non-stationary noisy environments. The minimum statistics(MS) method is well known technique for noise power estimation in non-stationary noisy environments. It tends to bias the noise estimate below that of true noise level. The proposed method is combined with an adaptive parameter based on a sigmoid function and a priori speech absence probability (SAP) for biased compensation. Specifically. we apply the adaptive parameter according to the a posteriori SNR. In addition, when the a priori SAP equals unity, the adaptive biased compensation factor separately increases ${\delta}_{max}$ each frequency bin, and vice versa. We evaluate the estimation of noise power capability in highly non-stationary and various noise environments, the improvement in the segmental signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and the Itakura-Saito Distortion Measure (ISDM) integrated into a spectral subtraction (SS). The results shows that our proposed method is superior to the conventional MS approach.

Estimation and Assessment of Future Design Rainfall from Non-stationary Rainfall Frequency Analysis using Separation Method (호우분리기법을 적용한 비정상성 빈도해석의 미래확률강우량 산정 및 평가)

  • Son, Chan-Young;Lee, Bo-Ram;Choi, Ji-Hyeok;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2015
  • This study aimed to estimate the future design rainfall through a non-stationary frequency analysis using the rainfall separation technique. First, we classified rainfall in the Korean Peninsula into local downpour and TC-induced rainfall through rainfall separation technique based on the path and size of a typhoon. Furthermore, we performed the analysis of regional rainfall characteristics and trends. In addition, we estimated the future design rainfall through a non-stationary frequency analysis using Gumbel distribution and carried out its quantitative comparison and evaluation. The results of the analysis suggest that the increase and decrease rate of rainfall in the Korean Peninsula were different and the increasing and decreasing tendencies were mutually contradictory at some points. In addition, a non-stationary frequency analysis was carried out by using the rainfall separation technique. The outcome of this analysis suggests that a relatively reasonable future design rainfall can be estimated. Comparing total rainfall with the future design rainfall, differences were found in the southern and eastern regions of the Korean peninsula. This means that climate change may have a different effect on the typhoon and local downpour. Thus, in the future, individual assessment of climate change impacts needs to be done through moisture separation. The results presented here are applicable in future hydraulic structures design, flood control measures related to climate change, and policy establishment.

Outlook for Temporal Variation of Trend Embedded in Extreme Rainfall Time Series (극치강우자료의 경향성에 대한 시간적 변동 전망)

  • Seo, Lynn;Choi, Min-Ha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2010
  • According to recent researches on climate change, the global warming is obvious to increase rainfall intensity. Damage caused by extreme hydrologic events due to global change is steadily getting bigger and bigger. Recently, frequently occurring heavy rainfalls surely affect the trend of rainfall observations. Probability precipitation estimation method used in designing and planning hydrological resources assumes that rainfall data is stationary. The stationary probability precipitation estimation method could be very weak to abnormal rainfalls occurred by climate change, because stationary probability precipitation estimation method cannot reflect increasing trend of rainfall intensity. This study analyzed temporal variation of trend in rainfall time series at 51 stations which are not significant for statistical trend tests. After modeling rainfall time series with maintaining observed statistical characteristics, this study also estimated whether rainfall data is significant for the statistical trend test in near future. It was found that 13 stations among sample stations will have trend within 10 years. The results indicate that non-stationary probability precipitation estimation method must be applied to sufficiently consider increase trend of rainfall.

Transmission Interval Optimization by Analysis of Collision Probability in Low Power TPMS (저전력 운영 TPMS에서 충돌 확률 분석을 통한 전송주기 최적화)

  • Lim, Sol;Choi, Han Wool;Kim, Dae Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.364-371
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    • 2017
  • TPMS is a vehicle electric system that measures the air pressure of a tire, and informs the driver of current tire states. The TPMS sensor typically uses unidirectional communication for small size, light weight, and low power. The transmission period of the sensor indicates the service quality of monitoring the tire. In order to determine the optimal transmission period, frame collision probability and the life time of the sensor should be analyzed. In this paper, collision probability model using Venn diagram is designed in low power TPMS with the normal and warning mode. And the life time and a collision probability were analyzed with the ratio(n) of the normal mode to warning mode transmission period. As a result, $T_{nP}=31sec$ and $T_{wP}=2.4sec$ at 5 years, and $T_{nP}=71sec$ and $T_{wP}=2.5sec$ at 7 years.

Concept of Trend Analysis of Hydrologic Extreme Variables and Nonstationary Frequency Analysis (극치수문자료의 경향성 분석 개념 및 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4B
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    • pp.389-397
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    • 2010
  • This study introduced a Bayesian based frequency analysis in which the statistical trend analysis for hydrologic extreme series is incorporated. The proposed model employed Gumbel extreme distribution to characterize extreme events and a fully coupled bayesian frequency model was finally utilized to estimate design rainfalls in Seoul. Posterior distributions of the model parameters in both Gumbel distribution and trend analysis were updated through Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation mainly utilizing Gibbs sampler. This study proposed a way to make use of nonstationary frequency model for dynamic risk analysis, and showed an increase of hydrologic risk with time varying probability density functions. The proposed study showed advantage in assessing statistical significance of parameters associated with trend analysis through statistical inference utilizing derived posterior distributions.

A redistribution model of the history-dependent Parrondo game (과거의존 파론도 게임의 재분배 모형)

  • Jin, Geonjoo;Lee, Jiyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2015
  • Parrondo paradox is the counter-intuitive phenomenon where two losing games can be combined to win or two winning games can be combined to lose. In this paper, we consider an ensemble of players, one of whom is chosen randomly to play game A' or game B. In game A', the randomly chosen player transfers one unit of his capital to another randomly selected player. In game B, the player plays the history-dependent Parrondo game in which the winning probability of the present trial depends on the results of the last two trials in the past. We show that Parrondo paradox exists in this redistribution model of the history-dependent Parrondo game.