• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전략환경영향평가

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Projections on climate internal variability and climatological mean using hourly time series (시단위 시계열을 이용한 기후 내적 변동성 및 기후학적 평균에 대한 예측)

  • Kim, Jongho;Doi, Manh Van
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.198-198
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    • 2020
  • 기후 내적 변동성(Climate Internal Variability, CIV)은 기후를 이해하는 데 중요한 역할을 하며 기후예측에 있어 주요 불확실성 원인들 중 하나이다. 본 연구는 다양한 이산화탄소 배출 시나리오에 대해 CIV와 기후학적 평균(Climatological Mean, CM)을 추정하는 것을 목표로 한다. 확률론적 날씨생성기(Stochastic Weather Generator)를 이용하여 국내 40개 기상 관측소에 대해, 30년에 해당하는 시단위 시계열 100개 앙상블을 생성하였다. CIV는 Detrend 방법과 Differenced 방법을 이용하여 추정되었으며, noise 계산값과 비교하였다. 그 결과, CIV 값과 noise 값들 사이의 correlation이 매우 높았으며, 제시된 방법론이 신뢰할 수 있음을 검증하였다. 국내 40개 지역에 적용하여 계산된 CIV와 CM의 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) 국내의 대부분의 지역에 있어 평균적으로 CM과 CIV는 미래에 증가할 것이며, 그 증가 정도는 RCP 8.5의 경우와 먼 미래END(2071-2100년) 기간에서 더 커질 것이다; (2) CM과 CIV의 미래 변화의 특성은 강수의 특성 지수에 따라 다르다. 강수량의 양을 나타내는 3개의 지수(총 강수량, totPr, 일 최대 강수량, maxDa 및 시간당 최대 강수량, maxHr)와 강수량의 발생일수를 나타내는 지수(무강우 일수, nonPr)의 특성은 크게 다르다. (3) CIV와 CM의 변화 요인들 사이의 관계를 조사하면 maxDa와 maxHr에 대해서는 그들 사이에 높은 상관관계가 있지만 다른 지수에는 그렇지 않다. (4) 국내에서 CIV 값이 공간적으로 변동성이 큰 경우는 계절적으로 여름이며, 이는 totPr 및 maxDa에서만 유효하다. 시단위 시계열 앙상블을 생성하여 추정된 기후내적변동성 정보는 기후 변화의 영향을 평가하고 적절한 적응 및 대응 전략을 개발하는 데 도움이 될 것이다.

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A Study on Utilization Plan and Assessment of Ecological Carrying Capacity of Asan City - Focused on the Ecological Footprint Survey - (아산시 생태환경용량 평가를 통한 도시계획 활용방안 연구 - 생태발자국을 중심으로 -)

  • Joo, YongJoon;Sagong, Hee;Lee, SangYoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.523-532
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    • 2017
  • Environmental problems in urban spaces tend to result from excessive use of resources faster than the ecosystem can recover itself. In order to address this problem, city or municipal governments tend to devise plans and policies to lead development within their ecological carrying capacity. This study computes ecological capacity of Asan city, Province Chung Nam, South Korea through applying the concept of ecological footprint. This study finds ecological footprint and deficit of Asan city in 2015 were 5.12 and -4.99, respectively. From 2001 to 2015, Asan city experienced not only an 81% increase of ecological footprint, but also a 190% increase of ecological deficit. Such results suggest that Asan city has experienced a steady increase of resource consumption due to population increase and urban growth, indicating that loss of ecological spaces such as green space, farmland, wetland and so on restoring the ecosystem has been accelerated. Therefore, in order to promote sustainable development, Asan city should not only protect green space, farmland, wetland, and so on but also create urban growth plans and policies taking into account its environmental capacity of the city. This study provides suggestions for Asan city to lead urban growth within its environmental capacity by applying ecological deficit.

The Exploratory Study of the Dynamic Price Changing under the On-line Context (온라인 환경 하에서 제품가격의 동적인 변화에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Na, Kyung Soo;Son, Young Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.511-521
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to research the effects of the same brand item sold online at different prices. To that end, the exploratory study is focused on four factors that influence price dispersion online is suggested. First, the products are divided into utilitarian products and hedonic products in line with the product concept, and laptops, washing machines are included in the utility concept products. Also the backpacks and sneakers are included in the hedonic concept products. A total of 400 effective objectives were selected and analyzed for each concept products, 200 objectives. The research analysis revealed that the price dispersion is significant relationship with an average price, the highest price, the lowest price, the year of release, the number of retailers, and the number of reviews in case of the utility concept product. On the contrary, in case of hedonic concept products, average price, highest price, lowest price, year of release, retailer, and reviews and ratings is found to be positively related to price dispersion. Based on these results, theoretical and practical implications are discussed about the influence price dispersion on marketing.

Application of the Water Cycle Analysis Model for The Urban Chtahment Using WEP ( : Foucus in Multifuntional Administrative City of Before Developed) (WEP 모형을 이용한 도시 물순환 해석 (개발 전 행정중심 복합도시를 대상으로))

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Noh, Seon-Gjin;Kim, Hyeon-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1264-1269
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    • 2008
  • 최근에 이르러 농촌 인구의 도시유입으로 도시의 주거공간이 절대적으로 부족해지고 있으며, 이는 대도시의 아파트 가격 상승을 유발하는 등 부수적인 사회/경제적 문제를 일으키고 있다. 정부나 지방자치단체에서는 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 대규모의 신도시 개발계획을 추진하고 있으며, 이러한 신도시 개발은 도시화로 인하여 환경적, 수문학적으로 영향을 미치는 것으로 조사되고 있으며 도시물순환계는 강우가 지표에 도달 한 후 바로 하천으로 유출되는 것과 침투하여 서서히 유출하는 자연경로 그리고 상수도 및 하수도를 통해 하천으로 배수되는 인공적 경로에 의해서 형성된다. 일반적으로 신도시 개발 전후의 수문순환을 평가하는 방법 중의 하나는 개발예정지에 대한 장단기의 수문 관측을 통하여 개발 전과 개발 후의 유출특성과 수질부하를 정량적으로 비교하는 것이다 (한국건설기술연구원, 2004). 따라서 본 연구에서는 행정중심 복합도시 물순환 해석을 하기 위해 대상유역을 100m 크기의 정방형 격자로 구분하고 기상조건, 지표면 조건, 하천, 토양, 지하 대수층, 농업용수 등의 광범위한 입력 자료를 구축한 후 이를 물리적인 기반의 공간분포모형인 WEP 모형에 적용하여 개발 전 홍수 및 유출특성을 규명하고자 한다. 이를 위해 대상지역에 대한 장기적인 수문모니터링 자료를 바탕으로 1996년에서 2007년 까지 모의 하여 실측자료가 있는 $2006{\sim}2007$년을 대상으로 비교한 결과 일부 갈수기 자료를 제외 하고, 전반적인 높은 상관성을 나타냈다. 하지만 일부 홍수위에서 금강으로 부터의 배수위 영향으로 인한 차이가 발생해 추가적인 검토가 필요하며, 본 연구에서 도출된 결과들은 향후 도시유역에서의 수자원 분배와 물자원 관리 등의 적응전략을 수립하는데 있어 본 연구가 도움이 될 것이라고 판단한다.

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Competition in the Life Insurance Market: Evidence from Korea using the Panzar - Rosse Model (국내 생명보험산업의 경쟁도 변화에 대한 융합적 연구: 방카슈랑스와 퇴직연금제도의 시행을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2016
  • This paper uses the Panzar Rosse model to investigate the competitive conditions in the Korean life insurance companies over the period of 1999 2012. We break down the entire sample period into four distinctive groups and analyze the competitiveness of each period. The results indicate that for the pre-introduction of Bancassurance period, the H-statistic is -1.3984 and the life insurance market is found to be in monopoly or cartel. However, for the post-introduction of Bancassurance period, the H-statistic is 0.9107 and the life insurance market appears to be in monopolistic competition. The results from the introduction of retirement pension system are very similar to those of the introduction of Bancassurance. Overall, the findings indicate that the Korean life insurance market is in long-run equilibrium before the new system introduction, but make adjustments to the new equilibrium.

A Basic Study on balance development of national land planning and developing of new-town at the national capital region (수도권 신도시 개발과 국토균형발전 방안에 관한 기초연구)

  • Yi, Hye-In;Park, In-Sook;Lee, Yoon-Sun;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.535-538
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    • 2007
  • Since 1980s, the government has established the overall country development master plan for balance development of country, it set basic aim of restraint overcrowding of the metropolitan area and devising a regional balance development for development policy. But, new urban development master plan which if propelled has revised development master plan for stabilization of housing cost through supply housing in the metropolitan area, not reviewed discussion suitability of development plan with policy propulsion, efficient pre-plan, negotiation with local self-administration community, convergence opinion of local resident, environmental impact evaluation. therefore, we should suggest considerations related to policy and development when it propelled solution of housing inefficience in the metropolitan area and new urban development policy for harmony of central function in capital.

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An Empirical Study on Effects of Global Alliance Networks' Motives on Firm's Capabilities, Partner's Capabilities, Operating Structures, and Performances of Korean Companies (글로벌 제휴네트워크 추진 동기가 기업 역량, 파트너 역량, 운영구조, 제휴 성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구)

  • Jeong, Jong-Sik
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.249-269
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    • 2012
  • The focus of our work is to identify and understand the drivers of alliance performance so that businesses can maximize their chances of a successful alliance-an area that has received little attention in empirical modeling. Although both conceptual and applied research on alliances has increased, an empirically tested comprehensive theoretical model that explains alliance performance has yet to be developed. Using five salient perspective, namely market power theory, transaction cost theory, the resource-based view, institutional theory, real option theory, this paper attempts to provide a theoretical rationale linking motives of global alliance networks on firm's capabilities, partner's capabilities, operating structures, and performances of Korean companies. The key contribution of this study is that it paints a picture of what matters in driving alliance performance. Our work shows the complex nature of driving performance and the interplay of firm's capabilities, partner's capabilities, and operating structures for understanding alliance performances. This study has given us a small but significant step forward towards understanding the intricacies of alliance performance. We are now better able to understand the respective roles played by various alliance factors and derive insights that lead to improved alliance performance.

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Lane Change Behavior of Manual Vehicles in Automated Vehicle Platooning Environments (군집주행 환경에서 비자율차의 차로변경행태 분석)

  • LEE, Seol Young;OH, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.332-347
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    • 2017
  • Analysis of the interaction between the automated vehicles and manual vehicles is very important in analyzing the performance of automated cooperative driving environments. In particular, the automated vehicle platooning can affect the driving behavior of adjacent manual vehicles. The purpose of this study is to analyze the lane change behavior of the manual vehicles in automated vehicle platonning environment and to conduct the experiment and questionnaire surveys in three stages. In the first stage, a video questionnaire survey was conducted, and responsive behaviors of manual vehicles were investigated. In second stage, the driving simulator experiments were conducted to investigate the lane change behaviors of in automated vehicle platonning environments. To analyze the lane change behavior of the manual vehicles, lane change durations and acceleration noise, which are indicators of traffic flow stability, were used. The driving behavior of manual vehicles were compared across different market penetration rates (MPR) of automated vehicles and human factors. Lastly, NASA-TLX (NASA Task Load Index) was used to evaluate the workload of the manual vehicle drivers. As a result of the analysis, it was identified that manual vehicle drivers had psychological burdens while driving in automated vehicle platonning environments. Lane change durations were longer when the MPR of the automated vehicles increased, and acceleration noise were increased in the case of 30-40 years old or female drivers. The results from this study can be used as a fundamental for more realistic traffic simulations reflecting the interaction between the automated vehicles and manual vehicles. It is also expected to effectively support the establishment of valuable transportation management strategy in automated vehicle environments.

The Production of Sex Determined Cattle by Embryonic Sexing Using Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization Technique (FISH 기법을 이용한 소 수정란의 성감별과 산자 생산)

  • Sohn, S.H.;Park, H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Embryo Transfer Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2007
  • Sexing from bovine embryos fertilized in vitro implicates a possibility of the sex controlled cattle production. This study was carried out to produce the sex determined cattle through the embryonic sexing by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) technique. FISH was achieved in in vitro fertilized bovine embryos using a bovine Y-specific DNA probe constructed from the btDYZ-1 sequence. Using this probe, a male-specific signal was detected on 100% of Y-chromosome bearing metaphase specimens. The analyzable rate of embryonic sexing by FISH technique was about 93% (365/393) regardless of embryonic stages. As tested single blastomere by FISH and then karyotype with their biopsied embryos, the accuracy of sex determination with FISH was 97.6%. We tried the embryo transfer with sex determined embryos on 15 cattle. Among them, the 5 cattle delivered calf with expected sex last year.

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Effects of Climate and Human Aquatic Activity on Early Life-history Traits in Fish (기후변화와 수상레저활동 인구변화가 어류의 초기생활사에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Who-Seung
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.395-408
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    • 2013
  • Environmental condition can induce changes in early life-history traits in order to maximise the ecological fitness. Here I investigated how temperature change and variation in human aquatic activity/behaviour affect early life-history consequences in fish using a dynamic-state-dependent model. In this study, I developed a general fish's life-history model including three life-history states depend-ing on foraging activity, such as body mass, mass of reproductive tissue (i.e., gonadal development) and accumulated stress (i.e., cellular or physiological damage). I assumed the level of foraging activity maximises reproductive success-ultimately, fitness. The model predicts that growth rate, development of reproductive tissues and damage accumulation are greater in higher temperature whereas higher human aquatic activity rapidly reduced the growth rate and development of reproductive tissue and increased damage accumulation. While higher foraging activity in higher temperature is less affected by human aquatic activity, the foraging activity in lower temperature rapidly declined with human aquatic activity. Moreover, lower survival rate in higher temperature or human aquatic activity was independent on mortality rate due to human aquatic activity or mortality rate when foraging activity, respectively. However, the survival rate in lower temperature or human aquatic activity was dependent on these mortality rates. My findings suggest that including of early life-history traits in relation to climate-change and human aquatic activity on the analysis may improve conservation plan and health assessment in aquatic ecosystem.