• Title/Summary/Keyword: 자연로그

Search Result 57, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Additive hazards models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate events (결측되었거나 구간중도절단된 중간사건을 가진 준경쟁적위험 자료에 대한 가산위험모형)

  • Kim, Jayoun;Kim, Jinheum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.539-553
    • /
    • 2017
  • We propose a multi-state model to analyze semi-competing risks data with interval-censored or missing intermediate events. This model is an extension of the three states of the illness-death model: healthy, disease, and dead. The 'diseased' state can be considered as the intermediate event. Two more states are added into the illness-death model to incorporate the missing events, which are caused by a loss of follow-up before the end of a study. One of them is a state of the lost-to-follow-up (LTF), and the other is an unobservable state that represents an intermediate event experienced after the occurrence of LTF. Given covariates, we employ the Lin and Ying additive hazards model with log-normal frailty and construct a conditional likelihood to estimate transition intensities between states in the multi-state model. A marginalization of the full likelihood is completed using adaptive importance sampling, and the optimal solution of the regression parameters is achieved through an iterative quasi-Newton algorithm. Simulation studies are performed to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation method in terms of empirical coverage probability of true regression parameters. Our proposed method is also illustrated with a dataset adapted from Helmer et al. (2001).

Analysis of extreme wind speed and precipitation using copula (코플라함수를 이용한 극단치 강풍과 강수 분석)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.797-810
    • /
    • 2017
  • The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

Analyzing Effectiveness of the Web Application Development in Smartphone (스마트폰상에서의 웹 응용프로그램 개발 효율성 분석)

  • Lee, Go-Eun;Lee, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.323-330
    • /
    • 2010
  • Due to the widespread smartphones and application stores, mobile application developments are now booming again in the same manner of PC history. The smartphone software development process, however, gives much inconvenience to developers because of the heterogeneous platform APIs and hardware incompatibility between different devices. To make clear these problems, mobile web applications are being accepted as an alternative to the native smartphone applications. Mobile web applications can be developed more simply and easily than native applications by using webkit engine's html, Java script, and CSS. Additionally developers can provide a platform-independent applications since web applications are going to run on web browsers. In this paper, we develop a personal applications store running on an android phone's browsers. We can accomplish this very simply by using webkit's various APIs such as OpenID. We can find out by implementing a real web application that development of web applications can surpass the native one in cost and time period without much loss of performance.

A Usability and Product in Unsubstantial Space (물리적 실체가 없는 공간에서의 Product,그리고 사용성에 관한 연구)

  • 김시만
    • Archives of design research
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.93-102
    • /
    • 2002
  • The changing pattern of living and communication, combined with wireless technologies has given rise to more fluidity between spaces and relationships. Despite this, the way we use technology and the qualities of product and service are limited. For example, ON or OFF is like BLACK or WHITE, it presents a harsh distinction This severity in definition can make me uncomfortable when using products. The aim of this project is to improve the use of a product's functions and Qualities. As an example, the switch button has limited the possible interaction of a product. even each function is different. 1 intend this study is to imbue the switch with a greater freedom of interpretation. What will happen If I create a journey in between on and off\ulcorner For instance, time, pattern, state, rhythm and so on are analogue properties of a switch. The playful, spontaneous, and enjoyable behaviour of a switch will be able to bring other qualities of function and service. The switch will then be able to be an object with more human qualities, not simply an on and off button.

  • PDF

Seismic characteristics of earthquakes in and around the Korean peninsula (한반도 및 인근해역의 지진특성)

  • 전정수;전정수
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.98-112
    • /
    • 2000
  • Discrimination between natural earthquakes and man-made explosions is very essential but critical matter in Seismology. In the CTBT Monitoring business, this is very crucial issue and sometimes could occur the international conflict. In this study, we analyzed seismic and infrasound data from Chulwon Seismo-Acoustic Array and would like to introduce routine data processing procedures at the Korea Institute of Geology, Mining and Materials(KIGAM) to discriminate the earthquakes and artificial explosions. We found analyzing acoustic data together with seismic data is very effective way to identify and discriminate man made explosion from natural earthquake. Recent earthquakes in and around the Korean Peninsula are concentrated in a narrow zone with N60-70$^{\circ}$W in southern Korea, and Pyungan and Hwanghae Province in northern Korea. The mechanism of 14 larger earthquakes in and around the Korean Peninsula since 1936 show predominant strike-slip faulting together with minor thrust component. This indicates horizontal compression is dominant in and around the Korean Peninsula.

  • PDF

A Laboratory Study on Erosional Properties of the Deposit Bed of Saemankeum Sediments (새만금 점착성 퇴적물의 퇴적저면 침식특성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Yang, Su-Hyun;Lee, Seung-Jong;Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.105-112
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study, the erosional properties of deposit bed for the natural sediments are quantitatively estimated domestically for the first time using annular flume. Four erosion tests for Saemankeum sediments have been carried out on different consolidation time. Experimental results of erosional tests show that shear strength ${\tau}_s$ increases with the increases of consolidation time and bed depth. The erosion rate increases logarithmically with the increases of exceed shear strength ${\tau}_b-{\tau}_s$. But, the erosion rate decreases rapidly with the decreases of exceed shear strength under the $0.2N/m^2$. Experimental results of this study are found to be remarkably different in quantity as compared with those for results of previous study.

Relationship between Hydrogeological Characteristics and Subsurface Geology in Central Busan Megacity (부산광역시 도심부 수리지질 특성과 지하지질 발달상태의 관련성)

  • Ryu, Sang-Hun;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cha, Yong-Hoon;Jang, Seong;Jeong, Jae-Hyeong;Son, Moon;Kim, Ki-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.367-379
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study intended to evaluate hydrogeological characteristics in relation to subsurface geology data obtained from borehole, groundwater level, borehole flowmeter test, and field hydraulic tests. The regression equation of groundwater level (Y) versus ground elevation (X) is expressed by Y=0.75X-7.00 with quite high correlation coefficient of 0.78. Relationship between groundwater level and thickness of landfill, alluvium, and weathered zone results in higher correlation of groundwater level (Y) versus natural log value of weathered tone (A) than other correlations, with the regression equation Y= exp(9.974A)-14.155. The result of groundwater flow measurement in the boreholes indicates that groundwater flows towards between south and southwest, and this approximately agree with regional distribution of groundwater levels.

Development of a Voice User Interface for Web Browser using VoiceXML (VoiceXML을 이용한 VUI 지원 웹브라우저 개발)

  • Yea SangHoo;Jang MinSeok
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.101-111
    • /
    • 2005
  • The present web informations are mainly described in terms of HTML, which users obtain through input devices such as mouse, keyboard, etc. Thus the existing GUI environment have not supported human's most natural information acquisition means, that is, voice. To solve the problem, several vendors are developing voice user interface. However these products are deficient in man -machine interactivity and their accommodation of existing web environment. This paper presents a VUI(Voice User Interface) supporting web browser by utilizing more and more maturing speech recognition technology and VoiceXML, a markup language derived from XML. It provides users with both interfaces, VUI as well as GUI. In addition, XML Island technology is applied to the bowser in a way that VoiceXML fragments are nested in HTML documents to accommodate the existing web environment. Also for better interactivity, dialogue scenarios for menu, bulletin, and search engine are suggested.

A study on the rectangular coordinate system via comparing the interrelated influence between mathematical knowledge evolution and historical development of Cartography in Europe (서양의 역사적인 지도제작법의 발달 과정과 수학적 지식의 상호 영향 관계를 통해 본 직교좌표계)

  • Lee, Dong Won
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.37-51
    • /
    • 2012
  • By comparing the development history of rectangular coordinate system in Cartography and Mathematics, we assert in this manuscript that the rectangular coordinate system is not so much related to analytic geometry but comes from the space perceiving ability inherent in human beings. We arrived at this conclusion by the followings: First, although the Cartography have much influenced to various area of Mathematics such as trigonometry, logarithm, Geometry, Calculus, Statistics, and so on, which were developed or progressed around the advent of analytic geometry, the mathematical coordinate system itself had not been completely developed in using the origin or negative axis until 100 years and more had passed since Descartes' publication. Second, almost mathematicians who contributed to the invention of rectangular coordinate system had not focused their studying on rectangular coordinate system instead they used it freely on solving mathematical problem.

Effect of Sinuosity on Vertical Distribution of Streamwise Velocity in Open Channel Flow (개수로 흐름에서 사행도가 흐름방향 유속의 연직분포에 미치는 영향)

  • Seo, Il Won;Baek, Donghae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.168-168
    • /
    • 2015
  • 자연하천의 주요한 특징 중 하나인 하천의 사행은 직선수로에서 예측되는 유속분포를 왜곡시키며 매우 복잡한 흐름구조를 형성한다. 이는 하상 경계면에서 발생하는 전단응력 분포의 변화를 야기하는데 하상 경계면에서의 전단응력은 다양한 경험적 관계에 의존하는 유사이동의 한계 소류력 산정 및 오염물질 거동해석의 분산계수 산정에 많은 영향을 미치게 된다. 물리적인 관측을 통한 하상 경계면에서의 전단응력의 관측은 다소 제한적이며 많은 비용을 요구한다. 따라서 하상 경계면에서 발생하는 전단응력의 경우 수심의 20% 이하의 연직 유속분포를 벽법칙에 적용하여 추정하는 방법이 주로 이루어지고 있다. 벽법칙을 이용한 하상 경계면의 전단응력을 계산하는 경우 대수중복층의 유속 분포 $u/u^*=(1/{\kappa})ln(zu^*/{\nu})+B$에서 무차원상수 ${\kappa}$와 B의 적절한 추정이 요구되어 진다. 일반적으로 무차원상수 ${\kappa}$와 B는 수리학적으로 매끄러운 벽면에서 대략 ${\kappa}=0.4$, B=5.5로서 경험적으로 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 직선수로 및 다양한 사행수로의 3차원 흐름장 모의를 수행하여 벽법칙의 대수 중복층을 따르는 주흐름 방향 유속의 연직분포를 비교하였다. 수치모의 소프트웨어로서 Linux 기반의 OpenFOAM이 사용되었으며 모델의 검증을 위해 Chang(1971)에 의해 수행 된 사행수로에서의 유속장 관측 결과와 비교하였고 수치모의 결과가 실험 관측치와 잘 일치하는 것으로 판단되었다. 수치모의에 적용 된 사행수로의 형상은 Hey(1976)에 의해 제안 된 사행하천의 지형학적 인자들 간에 관계를 이용하여 사행도 1.03에서 2.42까지 총 7개의 사행수로 지형을 생성하였다. 사행도의 변화에 따라 만곡부 정점에서 대수중복층 구간의 주흐름 방향 유속의 연직분포를 비교한 결과, 본 연구에서 생성 된 모든 사행수로에서 대수중복층 구간의 무차원 유속 $u^+$와 무차원 거리 $z^+$가 로그 분포를 따르는 것으로 나타났으나 경험적으로 사용되었던 무차원상수 B의 경우 사행도가 증가 할수록 대수적으로 감소하는 경향이 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 관계가 무차원 상수 B값에 미치는 영향을 반영하여 수리학적으로 매끄러운 벽면에서 적용이 가능한 수정된 대수중복층 식을 제시하고자 한다.

  • PDF