• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.521-539
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• 2009

This study investigates the time-space characteristics of the road traffic flows in Seoul and the relationship with land use patterns. For the purpose, we analyze the road traffic data collected at 118 observation sites over Seoul City area since 1993. We examine the time-trend of the annual average traffic flows per day during the last fourteen years. Three different trends are revealed: rapid increase during the time period between 1993 and 1997, maintenance same level after sharp decrease between year 1997 and 1998, and gradual decrease after sharp decrease between year 2003 and 2004. The spatial distribution patterns of road traffic flows have also been changed significantly during the period. The traffic flows in the urban center have been declined gradually, while the traffic flows in the boundary area and southern CBDs have increased dramatically. In order to examine the relationship with the changes in the land-use patterns and road traffic flows, we analyze the changes in the spatial distribution patterns of population and industries. We developed three multiple linear regression models to test the relationships between the changes in the land-use variables and road traffic flows.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.127-151
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to examine measures to improve government's supply oriented housing policy in population declining cities. For this purpose, system dynamics simulation method was used to build urban-housing model and different sets of housing policies were tested to see their impact on local housing problems. Simulation result shows that there is no best set of housing policies that can solve all housing problems in population declining cities. It also indicates that housing policy that solve one type of problems can worsen other type of problems. Housing policy that increases population size has negative effect of housing oversupply. It also increases proportion of old houses in population declining cities. However, housing policy that makes city younger with newer houses tends to increase housing shortage and housing price. So, policy choice needs to be made with clear understanding of trade off between different policies. The result also shows it is difficult to expect a full scale effect of housing policy on local housing problems unless it is executed with regional economic development policy because local housing problems are so closely related with local economic problem in population declining local cities.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.2023-2027
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• 2008

교통과 산업의 발달로 농촌인구의 감소가 빠르게 진행되고, 도시로 유입된 인구의 거주 공간 확보를 위해 도시주변의 피복 변화가 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 도시 지표의 대부분이 아스팔트나 콘크리트 등으로 피복되어 있어 도심의 기온이 교외와 비교하여 높게 형성되는 도시열섬현상(urban heat island, UHI)이 두드러지고 있다. 따라서 도시열섬현상 해소 대책으로 다양한 방법들이 분야 별로 제안되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 청주시 소재(미호천과 무심천을 대상으로) 하천으로 부터 떨어진 거리에 따른 열환경에 대하여 토지 피복에 따른 공간적 특성 분석을 수행함으로서 하천이 도심지 열 환경에 미치는 영향에 대하여 조사하였다. 하천을 중심으로 $0{\sim}1000m$ 까지 200m 간격의 버퍼를 생성하고 Landsat 영상에 의한 NDVI와 온도분포도를 이용하여 청주시 하천의 근접성에 따른 NDVI 및 온도 분포 분석 결과, NDVI는 하천을 기준으로 거리가 멀어질수록 점차적으로 증가하는 경향을 보였고 온도는 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 Quick-bird 영상에 의한 토지피복도와 NDVI, 온도 데이터를 중첩분석한 결과 NDVI는 산림-경작지-초지-나지-시가지 및 건조지 순으로 나타났고 평균온도는 NDVI의 역순으로 나타났다. 특히, 시가지를 비롯하여 공업지, 상업지 등 건조지역과 나지는 평균 $24^{\circ}C$ 이상으로 인구밀집지역은 높은 온도분포를 나타내는 것을 알 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.127-134
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• 2019

Recently, the city development policies are being switched to the policies focusing on recession worldwide. Even though South Korea is also facing the phenomena that small and medium-sized cities are downsized because of a decrease in population and an aging society problem, there is lack of solutions and even they are still planning city development policies based on prospect of high growth. This study is featuring 4 viewpoints depending on shrinking population trend in 7 small and medium sized local cities, which are chosen as downsized cities. It is dealing with population peak, current population, 2030 population, and 2040 population viewpoints. And this study uses downsizing simulation that suggests optimum area that fits population and then shows visual check of the status of the small and medium sized local cities. The area of the small and medium sized local cities are expanded more than needs when they are on population peak point. However, they need only 20% to 25% of current area in 2030 and 2040. The most important thing is realizing the seriousness and facing up to the 'shrinking' phenomena that each small and medium-sized cities suffer. Therefore, this study has significance for presenting the status of small and medium-sized cities' problems in South Korea.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.503-506
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• 2022

The absolute decreasing in the school-age population due to the low fertility rate that has lasted for more than 20 years is a result of the lack of filling in universities. The lack of filling in general universities is more serious in universities of local area than universities in the metropolitan area, and in two-year junior colleges rather than general universities. The purpose of this study is to how the highschool grading system and university rankings have an effect on the lack of filling enterance quota for new students.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.55-68
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• 2018

This paper aims to analyze the changes of the population distribution of metropolitan area by the development of the new town-type innovative city, focusing on the case of the Daegu Innovative City. Using dataset in the survey of population trend and the migration statistics microdata provided by the Statistics Korea, we decomposed population changes of Daegu and surrounding regions into natural increase and social increases(net migration). As a result of the analysis, Dong-gu, where the Daegu Innovation City is located, experienced population growth due to its increase of net migration, whereas the total population in Daegu been decreasing continuously between 2007 and 2016. In particular, the occurrence of high net migration to Dong-gu in 2014 showed a pattern consistent with the completion of the Daegu Innovative City development and the relocation of government institutions from the Seoul metro area. As a result of analyzing the migration to Dong-gu, the population moved from the Seoul metro area was 6.9% of the total, while the population moving from the other 7 gu-gun areas in Daegu (35.8%) and the surrounding regions (8.2%) were significantly high. In particular, the migration to Dong-gu were from neighboring areas, such as Suseong-gu, Buk-gu and Gyeongsan-si. Therefore, the development of the new town-type innovative city could accelerate toward sprawling urban structure.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.169-186
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• 2005

This paper has focused on the geographical patterns of migrations and the influence of housing value(apartment) per pyung on the migrations within the one city(Seoul) for 1995$\sim$2003. The migration flows which are composed of the origin, the destination and the number of migrants, are examined at the administrative gu and dong level. As most migrations occur among adjacent gus and dongs, short-distance migration is prominent But there is a tendency for the short-distance migrations to occur between specific regions. Since the economic crisis of 1997 out of which Korea was rescued by IMF, differentiation of housing price is so evident that residental relocation is selective among dongs. It seems that the differentiation of housing price has begun to facilitate the relocation of households. Certain social groups are excluded from high-quality residences, as they cannot afford the high price. The number of migrants between dongs is closely related to the variation of the housing value per pyung within dongs. The short-distance migration may reflect this phenomena simultaneously. It seems that the intra-urban migrations in Seoul play a important role to produce and reinforce the residential segregation.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.351-365
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• 2019

This study aims to predict the changes in population distribution in Korea by considering spatio-temporal characteristics of major migration reasons. For the purpose, we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of each major migration reason(such as job, family, housing, and education) and estimate the transition probability, respectively. By appling Markov chain model processes with the ChapmanKolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the population distribution for the next six years. As the results, we found that there were differences of population changes by regions, while there were geographic movements into metropolitan areas and cities in general. The methodologies and the results presented in this study can be utilized for the provision of customized planning policies. In the long run, it can be used as a basis for planning and enforcing regionally tailored policies that strengthen inflow factors and improve outflow factors based on the trends of population inflow and outflow by region by movement factors as well as identify the patterns of population inflow and outflow in each region and predict future population volatility.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.42 no.4
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• pp.1-29
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• 2019

This study estimates how changes in the female (aged 25 to 54) labor force participation rate (LFPR) following the historical experiences of the US and Japan would alter the future trend of the female economically active population by 2065, compared to the case in which the LFPR as of 2018 will remain unchanged. According to the results, the female labor force aged 25 to 54 will increase by 14% (about 797,000) and 15% (about 831,000), respectively, by 2042 if the female LFPR should change following the past trends of the US and Japan. In particular, the increase in the labor force is expected to be pronounced among females aged 30 to 44 who currently suffer high rates of job severance. The results of this study strengthen the prediction that the on-going population changes will not reduce much the overall economically active population in the near future. The result of a simulation based on the historical experiences of Japan suggests that, as least in the near future, policy efforts to encourage female labor supply will be more effective in alleviating the potential labor-market impacts of population changes, compared to policies aiming at increasing old-age employment.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.39 no.6
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• pp.457-467
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• 2021

This paper aims to analyze changes in urban space use due to social distancing measures for COVID-19 using de facto population data in Seoul during daytime, which is estimated by Seoul Metropolitan Government and telecommunication company of KT using public big data and LTE signal data. The result of kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that the distribution patterns of de facto population in 2019 and 2020 were generally similar. This is a result of showing that the government's social distancing measures enabled a certain level of normal activities while suppressing the spread of COVID-19. However, analyzing de facto population subtracting 2019 from 2020 showed different results at the micro level. De facto population decreased in commercial areas but increased in residential areas. This means that COVID-19 social distancing measures had spatially uneven effect. The results of analyzing the effect of regional, land use, economic, educational, and accessibility characteristics on the changes of de facto population using spatial regression analysis are as follows. The higher the density of commercial facilities, the more businesses subject to regulations and schools and universities that require non-face-to-face classes, the more de facto population decreased. Conversely, it was found that de facto population increased in areas with many houses and parks due to telecommuting.