• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구감소지역

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A Study on the Population Estimation of Small Areas using Explainable Machine Learning: Focused on the Busan Metropolitan City (해석가능한 기계학습을 적용한 소지역 인구 추정에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 대상으로)

  • Yu-Hyun KIM;Donghyun KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the structure of the population has been changing rapidly, with a declining birthrate and aging population, and the inequality of population distribution is expanding. At this point, changes in population estimation methods are required, and more accurate estimates are needed at the subregional level. This study aims to estimate the population in 2040 at the 500m grid level by applying an explainable machine learning to Busan in order to respond to this need for a change in population estimation method. Comparing the results of population estimation by applying the explainable machine learning and the cohort component method, we found that the machine learning produces lower errors and is more applicable to estimating areas with large population changes. This is because machine learning can account for a combination of variables that are likely to affect demographic change. Overestimated population values in a declining population period are likely to cause problems in urban planning, such as inefficiency of investment and overinvestment in certain sectors, resulting in a decrease in quality in other sectors. Underestimated population values can also accelerate the shrinkage of cities and reduce the quality of life, so there is a need to develop appropriate population estimation methods and alternatives.

The Changes of Job-Housing Balance and Commuting Trip in Seoul Metropolitan Area: 2005-2010 (수도권의 직주균형과 통근통행의 변화: 2005-2010년)

  • Son, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.390-404
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    • 2014
  • This study analysed the job-housing balance using the number of employees and workers data, and investigated the relationship between job-housing ratio and commuting trip in the Seoul metropolitan area. Between 2005-2010, in the central business district which functioned as urban center, the number of employees were reduced and population growth slowed. Meanwhile, the suburbanization of employment and population has advanced as the employment and population moved from Seoul to Gyeonggi-do. As the increasement of workers compared to the employees became prominent, the excess workers increased significantly. The size of excess workers acted as a factor which reduced the job-housing ratio. Job-housing imbalance worsened in Gyeonggi-do especially. While in many regions, job-housing imbalance improved in clerical, sales, and professional job sectors, but in some regions, the job-housing imbalance worsened in simple labor job and service job sectors. The number of jobs which job-housing imbalance was eased increased in the employment center. The more the job-housing ratio is high, the lower the degree of self-sufficiency of commuting trip and the proportion of internal commuters. In business centers where the number of employees exceed the number of workers, the job-housing ratio and the proportion of commuting trips coming from other regions showed decreasing trend together. The results bear important implications for regional labour market plans considering the spatial mismatch between jobs and housing.

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대학중심의 지역기업, 지방정부 및 연구기관 연계를 통한 창업혁신활동 성과지표 개발에 관한 탐색적 연구

  • Byeon, Yeong-Jo;Lee, Sang-Han
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2019.04a
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2019
  • 대학의 지역 공헌활동에 대한 역할 증대, 학령인구의 지속적 감소와 이에 따른 재정문제에 대비한 대학의 수익원 창출 노력 등, 대학을 중심으로 재정, 지역연계 역할, 정부 및 연구기관과의 활동 등 대학과 지역의 상호발전을 위한 현실적 과제가 증가됨에 따라 대학 스스로 내부자원을 활용한 발전계획을 기획하고 시행할 필요가 있다. 뿐만 아니라 중앙 또는 지방정부의 대학재정 지원 시, 이러한 활동의 표준을 정해보고 활동에 대한 측정 등을 할 수 있는 지표 설정이 필요하다. 기존 대학의 지역연계 활동과 성과지표 선정 등에 대한 다양한 보고서와 논문 등을 선행연구로 하고 대학 중심의 창업지원과제 등을 중심으로 대학을 중심으로 한 다양한 창업혁신활동 주체를 도출, 이들과의 협력관계에 대한 내용을 선별하고 이를 투입, 활동, 실적, 성과 등으로 구분하여 보았다. 활동 및 주체의 타당성 확보를 위해 학계, 창투사, 연구기관의 창업관련 다양한 전문가를 대상으로 측정변수에 대한 타당성 측정 및 AHP 분석을 통한 변수의 적합도를 분석하여 창업활동 주체 및 평가지표 등을 도출 하였다. 본 논문을 통하여 대학은 지역의 기업, 정부/공공기관, 연구기관, 투자기관 등과 협업 연계할 수 있는 주체간의 연관가능 활동과 해당 기관의 자원을 연계하여 지역발전에 기여할 수 있는 모델 및 이를 측정할 수 있는 지표 및 주요 내용을 도출 할 수 있었다.

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Theoretical review for Consilience activity model and program development to improve creative problem solving skills of students in fishing and agarian villages in Jeju (제주지역 농어촌 학생의 창의적 문제해결력 향상을 위한 통섭적 활동 모형 및 프로그램 개발을 위한 이론적 고찰)

  • Jung, Eun-Hee;Moon, Chang-Bae;Hong, Seung-Hee;Park, Jung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2010.05b
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    • pp.937-940
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    • 2010
  • 21세기 정보화 세계화 사회에서 창의적이고 자율적인 인간양성을 위한 교육개혁으로 창의적 인재양성, 자기주도적 학습능력 배양이 강조되어지고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 제주지역 농어촌의 경우 인구 집중이 도시로 이루어지면서 농어촌의 인구가 감소되어지고 그러한 결과로 소규모 학교는 통폐합이되면서 교육여건은 악화되고 있는 실정이다. 이에 제주지역 농어촌 교육문제를 해소하여 학생들의 이농현상을 줄일 수 있으며, 창의적이고 자기주도적인 학습 능력을 배양할 수 있는 프로그램 개발의 필요성을 느끼게 되었다. 본 연구에서는 도시와 농어촌의 서로 다른 교육여건에 기반하여 교육내용을 특성화함으로써 제주지역 농어촌 학생의 창의적 문제해결력 향상을 위한 통섭적 활동 모형과 프로그램을 개발하기 위한 이론적 고찰을 하였다. 도시와 농어촌의 학력격차를 해소하기 위해서는 농어촌 학생에게 적절한 교육내용과 활동으로 재편성하여 가르칠 필요가 있다. 특히 제주도는 농촌과 어촌, 도시형이 특별히 구분되어지는 것이 아니라 하나의 통합된 생활문화의 특징을 가지고 있다. 앞으로 본 연구의 이론적 고찰을 바탕으로 제주지역 농어촌 학생들의 일상적인 생활환경에서 접하게 되는 다양한 활동 속에서 창의적으로 문제해결을 할 수 있도록 통섭적 활동 모형과 프로그램을 개발하여 적용하게 되면 학생의 역량을 강화시키고 잠재해 있는 창의적 문제해결력을 개발하여 학력향상에 기여할 수 있을 것이다.

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Characteristics and Application of Large-area Multi-temporal Remote Sensing Data (광역 시계열 원격탐사자료 분석의 특성과 응용)

  • 성정창
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2000
  • Multi-temporal data have been used frequently for analyzing dynamic characteristics of ecological environment. Little research, however, shows the characteristics and problems of the analysis of continental- or global-scale, multi-temporal satellite data. This research investigated the characteristics of large-area, multi-temporal data analysis and the problems of phenological difference of ground vegetation and scarcity of training data for a long term period. This research suggested a latitudinal image segmentation method and an invariant pixel method. As an application, the image segmentation and invariant pixel methods were applied to a set of AVHRR data covering most part of Asia from 1982 to 1993. Fuzzy classification results showed the decrease of forests and the increase of croplands at densely populated areas, however an opposite trend was detected at sparsely populated or depopulated areas.

A Road Traffic Noise Management Using a Noise Mapping Simulation (소음지도 시뮬레이션을 이용한 도로교통소음 개선방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Chul;Jeong, Jea-Hun;Kwon, Woo-Taeg
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 2007
  • Rapid urbanization and population increasing are making a high-rise residential building and high-density residential area. According to spacial concentration of population is occurred road traffic noise problem. Now we are popularly using almost only noise barrier installation, but it makes many disfunctions such as poor landscape, low noise barrier performance and crimes. The purpose of this research is to figure out which is best method one the traffic noise management. Alternative are composed to building layout type ($30^{\circ},\;90^{\circ},\;180^{\circ}$), separation between road and residential building, noise barrier types(noise barrier only, noise barrier and forests and etc). The noise barrier are shown to reduce barrier and building layout angle $30^{\circ}$ position is the best comparing with horizontal and vertical layouts. The gab distance is decreased approximately noise level 5dB(A). We figured out there are noise important method except noise barrier wall and it was analyzed how much decreased. This can be very useful before making a road planning and residential building design.

The Trend of Foreign Professional Workers' Influx and Their Geographical Distribution in South Korea (우리나라의 외국인 전문직 이주자 현황과 지리적 분포 특성)

  • Yim, Seok-Hoi;Song, Ju-Youn
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.275-294
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, international migration of professional workers is significantly increasing as globalization has been deepened more and more. South Korea is not an exception for this case. Immigration of professional workers have steadily increased since 2000 in Korea, and the number reached approximately to 50,000 in 2009. In addition, it is a major trend that immigrants of short-sojourn are decreasing and ones of long-sojourn increasing. Our research shows that foreign language instructor has the greatest number of foreign professional immigrants. The next is professional immigrants related to business-activities. There are considerably entertainers, but they have greatly decreased since 2003. Majority of foreign professional immigrants settle down in a few metropolises. Especially, they reside in Seoul Metropolitan Area and Southeast coastal region. Professional immigrants trend to do with Korean on the base of their offices rather than residental communities in terms of adaptation, and they do not have strong will to reside permanently in Korea. Moreover, they are located at a blind spot of Korean government's foreign immigrant policy, comparing to foreign workers and female marriage immigrants.

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An Analysis of Variation of Spatial Accessibility Pattern Based on 2SFCA : A Case Study of Welfare Facilities for the Aged in Gumi City (2SFCA 기반 공간적 접근성의 변화 특성에 관한 연구 : 구미시 노인복지시설을 중심으로)

  • Ahn, Jae-Seong;Kim, Lee-Bae;Park, Mi-Ra
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.112-128
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyse the variation of spatial accessibility pattern based on 2SFCA(2 Step Floating Catchment Area) by changing its parameter values. The general pattern of the result of 2SFCA analysis shows that the spatial accessibility value is decreased by growing base population, while the spatial accessibility value is increased by growing PPR(Provider to Population Ratio). The three characteristics of local pattern in the Gumi City are founded by cluster analysis on the sensitive analysis procedure. Firstly, the variation of the accessibility values is insignificant in the fringe area of the Gumi City. Secondly, the variation of the accessibility values is diverse in the surrounding area of the welfare facilities. Especially, Dong areas are more sensitive to PPR variation, while others are more sensitive to base population variation. Thirdly, the larger parameter values, the more the spatial accessibility of the central areas, where elder people can access welfare facilities more easily, is improved. It needs to choose parameter values with caution to analyse spatial accessibility based on 2SFCA.

도심 자율주행서비스 테스트를 통한 자율주행 기술개발 현황 및 5G연계 미디어의 역할

  • Choe, Jeong-Dan;Min, Gyeong-Uk;Han, Seung-Jun;Seong, Gyeong-Bok;Lee, Dong-Jin;Choe, Du-Seop;Jo, Yong-U;Gang, Jeong-Gyu
    • Broadcasting and Media Magazine
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2019
  • 고령인구의 증대 및 출생 인구의 감소로 과소지와 대중교통 취약지역이 확산되고 있다. 이러한 인구구조의 변화는 교통약자의 독립적 이동이 더욱 불편해지고, 물류의 수송이 어려워 진다. 한편, 도심은 차량의 포화상태로 대기환경의 질이 나빠지고 도심도로는 주차장으로 변질될 뿐만 아니라, 운전자와 보행자 모두에게 안전의 위협이 되고 있다. 이러한 환경과 이동의 효율성을 극대화 하는 방안으로 친환경자동차와 자율주행기술의 접목이 연구개발 중이다. 자율주행기술은 자율주행차와 도로 인프라에 ICT가 융 복합되어 이동과 수송분야의 새로운 산업과 서비스 창출이 가능하다. 본 고에서는 교통약자의 이동과 물류의 수송을 지원하는 자율주행기술의 개발 동향을 살펴본다. 특히 광화문, K-City 등의 도심 자율주행서비스 테스트 경험을 통해 해결해야 하는 복잡한 도심 주행 환경의 인지와 교차로 및 합류로, 비정형 도로환경에서의 주행협상기술의 필요성을 소개한다. 도심의 주행 환경은 고속도로와 같은 자동차 전용도로와 달리, 신호등과 교차로, 2륜 이동체 및 버스 등이 다양하게 혼재된 것으로 인지 및 판단 기능의 고도화가 적극적으로 요구된다. 그리고, 다양한 자율주행서비스 시장을 확산하기 위해 요구되는 이동하는 공간과 시간을 메꿔 줄 미디어 콘텐츠의 역할에 대해 설명하고자 한다.

Technical Efficiency of Medical Resource Supply and Demand (의료자원 공급, 수요의 성과 효율성에 대한 실증분석)

  • Chang, Insu;Ahn, Hyeong Seok;Kim, Brian H.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.3-19
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to observe the efficiency of clinical performance on the supply and demand of medical resources in Korea. For the empirical analysis, we constructed the dataset on age standardized mortality rate, the number of physician, specialist, surgery, medical institution, ratio of general hospitals of 16 provinces in Korea from 2006 to 2013. The panel probability frontier model is employed as an analysis method and considered heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation of the error in panel data. In addition, the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the 16 provinces, unemployment rate, elderly population ratio, GRDP per capita, and ratio of hospitals in comparison to the general hospitals are used to find the effect on the technical efficiency of clinical performance on supply and demand of medical resources. The results are as follows. First, for the clinical performance, the supply side of human resources such as doctors and specialists and the demand side factors such as chronic illness clinic per unit population have a significant influence, respectively. Second, the technical efficiency of clinical performance on the supply and demand of medical resources of each input component was 59-70% in terms of clinical efficiency in each region. Third. estimates of technical efficiency of inputs that affect clinical performance showed a slight increase in all regions during the analysis period, but the increase trend decreased slightly. Fourth, the ratio of the elderly population and GRDP per capita have a positive influence on the technical efficiency of clinical performance on the supply and demand of medical resources. The difference of each efficiency by region is due to the regional differences of the input medical resources and the combination of them and the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the region. It is understood that the differences in technological efficiency due to the complexity of supply and demand of medical resources, demographic structure and economic difference affecting clinical performance by region are different.